Arsenal v Newcastle, Manchester City v West Ham and Chelsea v Manchester United are the games in focus in the English Premier League Round 13 preview including goals markets and goalscorer betting tips courtesy of @Olimp_SA
English Premier League Round 13
Arsenal vs. Newcastle, Saturday 27 November 14:30
After a disastrous trip to Anfield last week that saw the Gunners losing 4-0 to Liverpool, Arteta’s men remain in fifth place on the table with 20 points. It was their first loss in 12 matches across all leagues and their first loss in eight EPL matches. Last week was also the first time they failed to find the net since their goalless draw with Brighton at the beginning of October and they are now the fourth lowest scoring team in the league with only 13 goals this season. We all knew it wasn’t going to be an easy clash against the Reds, but it’s still disappointing that their impressive recovery run since their poor start to the season had to come to an end. The Gunners now have a record comprising of six wins, two draws and four loss and they have the perfect opportunity to get their campaign back on track when they take on the worst team in the league on Saturday. Prior to last week Arsenal defeated Wolves 1-0 at the Emirates, won 2-0 away to Leicester, won 3-1 at home to Aston Villa and drew 2-2 at home to Crystal Palace.
The Magpies managed to avoid another defeat last week then they drew 3-3 with Brentford at St. James’ Park. It was a slight improvement for Newcastle, but they still have a long way to go and remain winless this season. The now have a record of 0 wins, six draws and six losses and are firmly at the bottom of the table with just six points. Despite being last in the league, Newcastle have a semi-respectable goal tally this season (15) and have managed to find the net in all but two of their fixtures so far. However, along with Norwich their defense has been the worst in the league and have let in a total of 27 goals. With an average of more than two goals conceded per match things don’t look good for the Magpies and unless they can somehow dramatically improve their defense in the remainder of the season I don’t see them finishing anywhere outside of the relegation zone. Newcastle are still looking to pick up their first clean sheet in the EPL this season, but I think it’s unlikely that we will see it on Saturday against a team like Arsenal.
In the last five matches between the two teams in the EPL Arsenal have completed dominated and won all five clashes. The last time these two sides met was at St. James’ Park in May which saw Aubameyang and Elneny help the Gunners to a 2-0 victory. Arsenal also came out on top with a 3-0 win when the two teams last met at the Emirates in January this year and you will have to go all the way back to 2010 to find the last time Newcastle managed to pull off a win in London.
Prediction
This match looks like it should be a straight-forward victory for Arsenal. Although Arsenal aren’t exactly amazing with scoring goals this season I feel like they should have enough to get the victory on Saturday. Newcastle’s defense is just terrible this season and there have been no signs of improvement. I do expect Newcastle to find the net in this match as they have been doing in almost every match this season, but I can’t see their defense holding up and the Gunners should outscore them in this match. For this reason I am going to go with Arsenal to win and over 2.5 goals, as well as both teams to score and over 2.5 goals. Both bets are available at just under even money and I see them landing comfortably. I’m also going to have another crack at Emile Smith-Rowe to score a goal in the match since he has been the most consistent for the Gunners with three goals in his last four starts for his team.
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Manchester City vs. West Ham, Sunday 28 November 16:00
After a convincing 3-0 victory against Everton last week, the Citizens remain within in reach of Chelsea and still find themselves in second place on the table with 26 points. Pep’s men lived up to the expectation of putting a few goals past a terrible Toffees team last week and they have now scored a total of 25 goals this season – the second highest in the league. A clean sheet last week means Man City have not conceded in back-to-back EPL fixtures which has restored confidence amongst the fans who were slightly concerned after letting in goals against Brighton and Crystal Palace.
Man City have still only let in six goals the entire season which is the second best in the league right now and will look for another clean sheet on Sunday when they take on West Ham. After securing qualification for the Champions League Round of 16, as well as top spot in their group with a 2-1 win against on Wednesday, the Citizens will be full of confidence heading into the clash which will certainly be a boost against a team like West Ham who have proven to be a tricky customer when facing off with the big names in the EPL this season.
West Ham’s remarkable four match undefeated streak came to a disappointing end at the Molineux last weekend where they lost 1-0 to Wolves. The visitors failed to capitalize on a number of chances and would be bitterly disappointed at not picking up any points in the clash. Fortunately for the Hammers they still find themselves in fourth place on the table thanks to Arsenal losing against Liverpool and things are still looking good for a spot in Europe next season for Moyes’ men. Prior to last week West Ham’s EPL campaign hit a new high when they defeated Liverpool 3-2 in London.
Some other recent results include a 4-1 win away to Aston Villa, a 1-0 win at home to Spurs and a 1-0 win away to Everton. It should also not be forgotten that the Hammers defeated their opponents on Sunday already this season when the two teams met in the EFL Cup Round of 16 last month. After forcing a goalless stalemate in regular time the Hammers were able to send Manchester City out of the EFL Cup by winning the penalty shootout. This should be encouraging to the men from London and if they can put last week’s loss behind them and take just one point from Sunday’s clash it will be another massive result for them against another top league team.
There hasn’t been much success for West Ham in the last five EPL clashes between the two teams. The best the Hammers have managed was a draw last season, while the four other clashes were won by Manchester City. The last time the teams met at the Etihad was in February this year when the home team won 2-1. West Ham have not picked up a win in any of their last 11 EPL clashes with Manchester City with their last EPL win coming at the Etihad back in 2015.
Prediction
It’s going to be a very tough outing to the Etihad for West Ham and Manchester City are rightly priced up very short to win the game. The Hammers have pulled off some big results against quality teams this season, but I don’t think it’s going to be another fairy tale victory for West Ham on Sunday. Manchester City are just too good at the moment on defense and after a minor slip-up against Crystal Palace their attack appears to be right back to their full strength. West Ham will be very lucky if they can walk away here with a point but after their performance last week I don’t think they will manage to even do that. I also believe Manchester City will be out for revenge after their shock loss to the Hammers in the EFL Cup last month and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a scoreline of 2-0 or 3-0 in favour of the hosts.
West Ham’s defense have only conceded 14 goals this season, but four of those goals came in their last 3 EPL matches which could be a sign that the defense is slowly getting worse. Their defense is going to struggle to hold off Manchester City’s attack and I can’t see them easily breaking through the defense. With the price being so short I am going to go for Manchester City to win and under 3.5 goals which is available at a little more than even money. I also like only one team to score in the match and for goalscorers I will back Bernardo Silva who has now scored in Manchester City’s last two matches.
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Chelsea vs. Manchester United, Sunday 28 November 18:30
Chelsea managed to bounce back at the King Power Stadium last week with a 3-0 win against Leicester and are still three points clear of Manchester City at the top of the table. Tuchel’s men now have 29 points and a record comprising of nine wins, two losses and one draw. The Blues are now undefeated in their last seven matches in the EPL and are looking very likely to qualify for a spot in Europe next season. They are currently the second highest scoring team in the league with 30 goals and have had no problems finding the back of the net in their recent fixtures. Fifteen of these goals were scored in their last five matches and the last time Chelsea failed to find the net was when they lost to Manchester City back in September.
Despite having an extremely potent attack, it’s the defense that’s been the stand out for the Blues. It’s been a very hard one to crack for teams and only four goals have been let in this season. Chelsea’s success has also been present in the Champions League and a 4-0 midweek win at home to Juventus has secured them qualification for the Round of 16. They will be carrying a lot of momentum into their clash on Sunday and look to continue their domination against a Manchester United side that are having a tough time in the EPL.
The Red Devils hit another low in the EPL last week when they lost 4-1 away to Watford. They have now slipped down to eighth place on the table where they sit with 17 points. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has finally been given the boot and they now look to rebuild under the temporary leadership of Michael Carrick until a permanent manager is appointed. Under the guidance of Cristiano Ronaldo, Man United’s attack has been decent this season and have managed 20 goals. However, their defense has been a big letdown for the team recently.
There have now been 21 goals conceded by Man United this season which is far too many and all of a sudden they have the third worst defense in the league. Fifteen of these goals have come in their last five league matches and it comes as no surprise that Man United have only won one of their last five EPL clashes. On a positive note, the Red Devils did manage to pull off a 2-0 win in the Champions League against Villarreal on Wednesday evening in Michael Carrick’s first match in charge. Hopefully this is a sign of better things to come, but it’s still going to take a massive effort to end their EPL losing streak when they take on the top team in the league on Sunday.It’s all square in the last five EPL head-to-heads between the two teams.
Manchester United and Chelsea have one win each, while the remaining three matches have all ended in a draw. The last time these two teams met was in February this year at Stamford Bridge where the match ended in a goalless draw. Man United’s last win in London was a year before that in February 2020 when Martial and Maguire featured in a 2-0 win. Interestingly, the Red Devils have won three out of their last five matches at Stamford Bridge across all leagues which suggests that it’s a favourable venue for the men from Manchester.
Prediction
Chelsea are clearly the dominant team going into this clash and it comes as no surprise that they have been priced up as clear favourites. They have proven week after week that it takes a lot to break through their defense and they are not quiet on the attack either, averaging between 2-3 goals per match. Despite all of this I am going to go with what’s happened in the past between these two teams and predict a tight low-scoring game. Manchester United also have a new man in charge and after a win in his first match he might just be able to get his side to put in a top performance on Sunday.
I am in no way expecting the Red Devils to pick up a win, but they could force a stalemate and I am willing to have a flutter on a Man United Double Chance which is priced up at over even money. I also like Under 2.5 goals and only one team to score in the match, while my pick for a goalscorer will be Romelu Lukaku who I expect to put in a big performance after returning from injury.
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Note, odds are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
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