Finland take on Belgium in their final European Championship Group B match in Saint Petersburg on Monday, Belgium are already sure of a place in the knockout rounds and Finland are also in contention.
Finland
Coming into the game Finland have 3 points, the same as Russia who take on Denmark in Copenhagen in their final match. If Denmark win that game, and they are odds on to do so, a point here would see Finland qualify as runners up.
Goal difference could also be a factor in this group and Finland's GD is zero after a 1-0 win over Denmark in Copenhagen was followed by a 1-0 defeat to Russia at this venue in Saint Petersburg. Pohjanpalo scored Finland's only goal of the tournament so far in the second half of the surprise win over Denmark and they rode their luck with the Danes missing a chance to equalize from the penalty spot.
Finland are priced at around 11/10 to qualify for the last 16 via any means.
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Belgium
Belgium will be in the last 16 and they now bid to make sure they top the group by avoiding defeat in this game. They started with a 3-0 win over Russia at this venue with goals from Lukaku (2) and Mernier but they faced a tougher test next time out against the Danes in Copenhagen.
Belgium conceded in the first minute of their second group match but they turned it around in the second half to win 2-1. Thorgan Hazard equalized and Kevin de Bruyne, who missed missed the Russia game, came off the bench and popped up with the winner.
At the time of writing Belgium’s odds to win the tournament are around 7/1 and they are 3/1 to reach the final.
The Betting
Finland are trading at around 9.5/1 to win the game with the draw at 3.75/1 and Belgium can be backed at around 3/10
A game of 3 goals or more is priced at 8/10 and it's 5/4 for both teams to score.
Note, odds are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
The Verdict:
This is obviously a big ask for Finland as although a draw will suit both teams playing for a point doesn't appear to be in Belgium's DNA.
It's possible Belgium might make a few changes but they have depth in the squad and I'll go with a Belgium win and over 2.5 total goals in the match.
Bets: Match result and total goals, Belgium win and over 2.5 at even money.
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Note, odds are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
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