australia 119Australia and France had back to Brisbane for the third and final test on Saturday, the outcome of which will decide the series.

 

 

 

Australia v France, Saturday 17th July, Brisbane, KO 12:00 (South African time)

 

Referee: Ben O’Keeffe 
Assistant referees: Mike Fraser, Brendon Pickerill 
TMO: Glenn Newman

 

Weather Forecast – Brisbane

 

Australia:

 

Australia have started as favourites in the region of 9.5 to 10.5 points for both matches so far but both games went to the wire and the series is all square.

After coming from 15-0 down to edge the first contest 23-21 at this venue last week, the Wallabies had the opportunity to seal the series when the teams met in Melbourne on Tuesday. Both matches were settled by late penalties and the second test fell the way of France who came out on top 28-26.

 

Coach Dave Rennie has made 8 changes to the starting line up for this decider. 

 

France:

 

A converted try and 7 penalties from Melvyn Jaminet saw France square things up on Tuesday. That was their first win on Australian soil since 1990 and forces a decider in a series Les Bleus can justifiably think they could already have sealed.

France are without a number of regular starters and they a mess of the opportunity to close out the first test last week, conceding a penalty at the death

 

Team News

 

Australia: 15 Tom Banks, 14 Filipo Daugunu, 13 Len Ikitau, 12 Hunter Paisami, 11 Marika Koroibete, 10 Noah Lolesio, 9 Tate McDermott, 8 Isi Naisarani, 7 Michael Hooper (captain), 6 Lachlan Swinton, 5 Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, 4 Darcy Swain, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 2 Brandon Paenga-Amosa, 1 James Slipper.

Replacements: 16 Jordan Uelese, 17 Angus Bell, 18 Taniela Tupou, 19 Matt Philip, 20 Rob Valetini, 21 Jake Gordon, 22 Matt To’omua, 23 Reece Hodge

 

France: 15 Melvyn Jaminet, 14 Damian Penaud, 13 Pierre-Louis Barassi, 12 Arthur Vincent, 11 Teddy Thomas, 10 Antoine Hastoy, 9 Baptiste Couilloud, 8 Anthony Jelonch (captain), 7 Cameron Woki, 6 Dylan Cretin, 5 Romain Taofifenua, 4 Cyril Cazeaux, 3 Sipili Falatea, 2 Gaetan Barlot, 1 Enzo Forletta.

Replacements: 16 Anthony Etrillard, 17 Quentin Walcker, 18 Demba Bamba, 19 Pierre-Henri Azagoh, 20 Alexandre Becognee, 21 Teddy Iribaren, 22 Anthony Bouthier, 23 Julien Heriteau

 

Recent Head to Head

 

2021 INT Melbourne Australia 26-28 France (Tries 2-1)

2021 INT Brisbane Australia 23-21 France (Tries 2-2)

2016 INT Paris France 23–25 Australia (Tries 3-3)

2014 INT Paris France 29–26 Australia (Tries 2-2)

2014 INT Sydney Australia 39–13 France (Tries 5-1)

2014 INT Melbourne Australia 6–0 France (Tries 0-0)

2014 INT Brisbane Australia 50–23 France (Tries 7-2)

 

 

The Betting,

 

 

Australia -4.5 points at 9/10

France +5.5 points at 9/10

 

Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.

 

Betting Angle

 

This should be a cracking series decider and I have given plenty of thought but come up with nothing on the handicap or total points line (currently 50.5). The sides have been closely matched and last time out the "Either team wins by 7 or less" arrived for us and I am going to stick with that betting strategy. 

 

Bet: 3 units "Either team wins by 7 or less" at 13/10 at Sunbet 

 

Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.

 

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