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wales17The Springboks take on Wales in a one off international in Washington on Saturday, the Boks have named an experimental squad and Wales will also be missing some key men.

 

 

South Africa v Wales, Saturday 2nd July, Washington, KO 23:00 (South African time)

Referee: Matthew Carley (England)
Assistant referees: Alexandre Ruiz (France), Frank Murphy (Ireland)
Television match official: David Grashoff (England)

Weather Forecast

South Africa:

Although this game falls outside of the international window South Africa opted to take on this assignment in the USA ahead of England’s 3 match tour to follow. It’s the start of a new era under Rassie Erasmus who has named a 43 man squad for the June tests, 26 of which will be on the flight to Washington.

This will be the Boks first action since 2017 end of year internationals where they lost heavily in Ireland (38-3) before wins in France (18-17) and Italy (35-6). In their final game of the tour they were edged out 24-22 by Wales in Cardiff.

South Africa once boasted a 16 match winning streak against Wales, a sequence established from 2000 to June 2014 but they have lost 3 of the last 4 head to heads with the 3 defeats coming in Cardiff and the victory coming in a RWC 2015 quarter final clash at Twickenham.

Wales:

Wales had a reasonable 6 Nations campaign in Feb / March this year, winning 3 home games but losing 2 away fixtures, at England (12-6) and Ireland (37-27). They will be heading to Argentina after this and they are without a contingent of players who represent English clubs.

Their most recent action against Southern Hemisphere opposition came at the end of 2017 which delivered home defeats to the Wallabies (29-21) and the All Blacks (33-18) before the aforementioned win over the Boks.

Team News

South Africa: 15 Curwin Bosch, 14 Travis Ismaiel, 13 Jesse Kriel, 12 Andre Esterhuizen, 11 Makazole Mapimpi, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Ivan van Zyl, 8 Dan du Preez, 7 Oupa Mohoje, 6 Kwagga Smith, 5 Pieter-Steph du Toit (captain), 4 Jason Jenkins, 3 Wilco Louw, 2 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 1 Ox Nche

Substitutes: 16 Akker van der Merwe, 17 Steven Kitshoff, 18 Thomas du Toit, 19 Marvin Orie, 20 Sikhumbuzo Notshe, 21 Embrose Papier, 22 Robert du Preez, 23 Warrick Gelant

Wales: 15 Hallam Amos, 14 Tom Prydie, 13 George North, 12 Owen Watkin, 11 Steff Evans, 10 Gareth Anscombe, 9 Tomos Williams, 8 Ross Moriarty, 7 Ellis Jenkins (c), 6 Seb Davies, 5 Cory Hill, 4 Bradley Davies, 3 Dillon Lewis, 2 Elliot Dee, 1 Nicky Smith

Substitutes: 16 Ryan Elias, 17 Wyn Jones, 18 Rhodri Jones, 19 Adam Beard, 20 Aaron Wainwright, 21 Aled Davies, 22 Rhys Patchell/Gareth Davies, 23 Hadleigh Parkes

Most Recent Head to Head (any venue)

2017 INT Cardiff Wales 24-22 South Africa Tries 3-3

2016 INT Cardiff Wales 27-13 South Africa Tries 2-1

2015 RWC Twickenham Wales 19-23 South Africa Tries 1-1

2014 INT Cardiff Wales 12-6 South Africa Tries 0-0

2014 INT Nelspruit South Africa 31-30 Wales Tries 4-3

2014 INT Durban South Africa 38-16 Wales Tries 5-1

2013 INT Cardiff Wales 15-24 South Africa Tries 3-0

2011 RWC Wellington South Africa 17-16 Wales Tries 2-1

Betting

Handicap

South Africa -6.5 points 9/10 widely available

Wales +6.5 points 9/10 widely available

Note, odds quoted are correct at the time of last update but are subject to change.

Betting Angle

It took some time for the betting to come out and I must I wouldn’t have liked to have priced this one up and it will be interesting to see if the line moves now both line ups are confirmed. The “new era” factor could well tip the scales in the Boks favour but with so many players making the step up to international level I wouldn’t be overly confident.

I’ll go with a conservative call on the minus handicap.

Bet: South Africa -6.5 points 9/10 widely available

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