ellis parkThe Lions host Western Province in Johannesburg in the final action of Round 12 of the Currie Cup on Saturday. The home side are still without a win whilst the visitors need victory to keep their hopes of sneaking into the play offs alive

 

 

 

Lions v Western Province, Saturday 28th May, Johannesburg, KO 17:00 (South African time)

 

Referee: Stephan Geldenhuys
TMO: Marius van der Westhuizen

 

Weather Forecast – Johannesburg

 

Lions:

 

The Lions fielded many URC players for their visit to the Bulls in the previous round. They were 35-17 down by half time but fought back to get within a point of the log leaders before a late Bulls try condemned them to a tenth straight defeat (43-37).

 

The Lions have been getting closer to that elusive victory in recent weeks, including a home game against the Griquas where the decisive score came right at the death.

 

They have 5 bonus points to show for their efforts so far but they are 8 points adrift at the foot of the standings with just this game and a visit to the Sharks to come.

 

Lions Currie Cup Fixtures and Results

R1 WP (a) lost 48-36, R2 Pumas (h) lost 50-9, R3 bye, R4 Sharks (h) lost 43-31, R5 Cheetahs (a) lost 66-14, R6 Griquas (a) lost 49-17, R7 Bulls (h) lost 40-10, R8 Pumas (a) lost 45-10, R9 Griquas (h) lost 23-17, R10 Cheetahs (h) lost 35-26, R11 Bulls (a) lost 43-37, R12 WP (h), R13 Sharks (a), R14 bye

 

Western Province:

 

WP came away from Nelspruit with a 23-17 win over the Pumas last time out. That was only their second victory of the tournament and their first since they beat the Lions (48-36) in Cape Town in the opening round.

 

Province have now picked up 13 log points and they finished the previous round second from bottom in the standings, 7 points behind the Pumas, 8 behind the Griquas and 11 behind the third placed Sharks. After this WP finish up with home games against Griquas and the Sharks and they have no margin for error if they are to gate-crash a play off spot.

 

WP Currie Cup Fixtures and Results

R1 Lions (h) won 48-36, R2 Bulls (h) lost 40-21, R3 Sharks (a) lost 35-20, Griquas (a) lost 22-20, R5 (bye), R6 Cheetahs (a) lost 24-17, R7 Pumas (h) lost 37-11, R8 Bulls (a) lost 45-34, R9 Cheetahs (h) lost 28-21, R10 bye, R11 Pumas (a) won 23-17, R12 Lions (a), R13 Griquas (h), Sharks (h)

 

Team News

 

Lions: 15 Quan Horn, 14 Stean Pienaar, 13 Henco van Wyk, 12 Matt More, 11 Edwill van der Merwe, 10 Tiaan Swanepoel, 9 Sanele Nohamba, 8 Francke Horn, 7 Emmanuel Tshituka, 6 Sibusiso Sangweni, 5 Reinhard Nothnagel (c), 4 Ruben Schoeman, 3 Ruan Dreyer, 2 Morne Brandon, 1 JP Smith.

Replacements: 16 PJ Botha, 17 Sti Sithole, 18 Asenathi Ntlabakanye, 19 PJ Steenkamp, 20 Jarod Cairns, 21 Morne van den Berg, 22 Manuel Rass, 23 James Tedder.

 

Western Province: 15 Tristan Leyds, 14 Sergeal Petersen, 13 Juan de Jongh, 12 Cornel Smit, 11 Ebenezer Tshimanga, 10 Timothy Swiel, 9 Godlen Masimla, 8 Junior Pokomela, 7 Marcel Theunissen, 6 Nama Xaba (captain), 5 Adre Smith, 4 Ernst van Rhyn, 3 Sazi Sandi, 2 Jacques van Zyl, 1 Ali Vermaak.

Replacements: 16 HP van Schoor, 17 Kwenzo Blose, 18 Lee-Marvin Mazibuko, 19 Ben-Jason Dixon, 20 Keke Morabe, 21 Thomas Bursey, 22 Mnombo Zwelendaba, 23 Rikus Pretorius

 

Recent Head to Head

 

(Currie Cup)

2022 WP 48-36 Lions

2021 WP 35–13 Lions

2021 Lions 38-32 WP

2020 Lions 22–19 WP

2019 WP 28–30 Lions

2018 Lions 35-68 WP

2017 WP 19-5 Lions (semi final)

2017 Lions 29–20 WP

2017 WP 39-3 Lions

 

 

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Lions -4.5 points at 9/10

Western Province +4.5 points at 9/10

 

Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.

 

Betting Angle

 

When I handicapped this game in the Goodforthegame Forum I went Lions +6.5, but made the disclaimer that this handicap would change dramatically if the Lions selected the URC players. I haven't seen the team yet, but word on the street that is exactly what they are going to do and they are now priced at 6 point favourites for the match. This Western Province side have looked better in recent outings and it was only a couple of weeks ago that the Lions with their full strength side failed to beat what amounted to a Bulls B/C team. I have no confidence in the handicap either way and will be waiting patiently for the points lines before getting involved.

Click here for the video preview for Lions v WP to see what @TheConductor and @TheCroweTips are betting on

For bets from other punters keep an eye on our forum

 

Update 27 May 14h30 

The points line is high at 59.5 but I expect both teams to go for the tries and will take an interest in over 8.5 tries at 11/10 

 

BET: 3 units over 8.5 tries at 11/10 at Sportingbet 

 

Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.

 

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