The Rebels host Jaguares in Round 9 of Super Rugby in Melbourne on Saturday with the home side bidding to strengthen their position at the top of the Australian Conference.
Rebels v Jaguares, Saturday 14th April, Melbourne, KO 07:15 (South African time)
Referee: Nic Berry
Assistant Refs: Will Houston, Graham Cooper
TMO : Damien Mitchelmore
The Rebels return from a bye and in their most recent outing they were served up with something of a reality check as they crashed 50-19 to the Hurricanes in Melbourne. Their only other loss this season came at the Waratahs in Sydney, 51-27 in Round 5. Those 2 defeats aside the Rebels have been obliging on handicaps with plenty of daylight. They thrashed the Reds (45-19), the Brumbies (33-10) and the Sharks (46-14) in home games and also beat the Sunwolves 37-17 in Singapore.
The Rebels come into Round 9 third in the overall standings and in terms of the Australian Conference they lead the way, 1 point clear of the Waratahs, 6 better off than the Brumbies and 7 ahead of the Reds with all the teams having played 6 matches.
Jaguares head overseas again after a run of 5 consecutive home games, the most recent of which ended in a 40-14 defeat at the hands of the Crusaders. Two of the home games came against Australian opposition and the results were decidedly mixed, a 38-28 win over the Waratahs followed by an 18-7 loss to the Reds.
Jaguares started their campaign with 2 games in South Africa which saw them beaten by the Stormers (28-20) in Cape Town and the Lions (47-27) in Johannesburg. Their only visit to Australia came at the tail end of the 2017 campaign and they won both games, beating the Tahs (40-27) in Sydney before edging out the Rebels at this venue.
Jaguares remain bottom of the SA Conference with a record of 2 wins and 5 defeats and they have 8 log points, 1 shy of the fourth placed Bulls who have played 1 game fewer.
Rebels – 15 Dane Haylett-Petty, 14 Jack Maddocks, 13 Tom English, 12 Billy Meakes, 11 Marika Koroibete, 10 Jack Debreczeni, 9 Will Genia, 8 Amanaki Mafi, 7 Richard Hardwick, 6 Ross Haylett-Petty, 5 Adam Coleman (c), 4 Geoff Parling, 3 Sam Talakai, 2 Anaru Rangi, 1 Tetera Faulkner
Subs: 16 Jordan Uelese, 17 Ben Daley, 18 Jermaine Ainsley, 19 Matt Philip, 20 Colby Fainga’a, 21 Lopeti Timani, 22 Michael Ruru, 23 Sefa Naivalu.
Jaguares: 15 Emiliano Boffelli, 14 Ramiro Moyano, 13 Matias Orlando, 12 Jeronimo De La Fuente, 11 Sebastian Cancelliere, 10 Nicolas Sanchez, 9 Martin Landajo, 8 Javier Ortega Desio, 7 Marcos Kremer, 6 Pablo Matera (captain), 5 Tomas Lavanini, 4 Guido Petti Pagadizaval, 3 Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro, 2 Julian Montoya, 1 Santiago Garcia Botta
Substitutes: 16 Agustin Creevy, 17 Javier Manuel Diaz, 18 Juan Pablo Zeiss, 19 Matias Alemanno, 20 Leonardo Senatore, 21 Gonzalo Bertranou, 22 Bautista Ezcurra, 23 Joaquin Tuculet
Recent Head to Head (any venue)
2017 Melbourne Rebels 29-32 Jaguares (Tries 2-4)
Rebels -11.5 points at 9/10 widely available
Jaguares +11.5 points at 21/20 BetXchange, WSB
Note, odds quoted are correct at the time of last update but are subject to change.
The Rebels have had a couple of weeks to regroup from a hiding at home to the Canes and they face a Jaguares side who have been more miss than hit this season. Jaguares haven’t travelled since spending the first 2 rounds in South Africa when their results were more in line with pre-match handicaps than we saw in their subsequent home games. They did do well in Australia at the tail end of last season, albeit against teams who had poor campaigns and the Rebels are much stronger than last year.
I’ll go with the minus but its a far from confident call.
Bet. 3 units Rebels -11.5 points at 9/10 widely available
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