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Our blogger and rugby tipster went 5 from 6 this weekend in the Super 14 but was left feeling frustrated when his best bet the Hurricanes failed to arrive.
It is one thing to tip winners and another to make money. What I am getting at here is that the structuring of your bets is all important and this weekend was a case in point. I called all but the Hurricanes handicap in round 4 but unfortunately the Canes -18 was my best bet for the weekend and I included it in multiples with some of my other selections. They only won by 17 points in the end and having sat up through the night to watch the game I can confirm that it was an absolute shocker and while there were a few tries in the end I would go so far as to say that the standard of rugby was the worst I have seen in the Super 14 and yes it was even worse than the Highlanders and Bulls games that were to follow. To the Cheetahs credit they competed well with a second string side but the Hurricanes were a disgrace throwing wild passes and losing something like 12 of their own lineouts. That's the sort of side they are though and backing them to cover a big handicap as I did is always risky. After all was said and done I only edged a 2 unit profit in this weeks Super 14. The only other sport I got involved with was golf where getting caught up at the office on Thursday nearly cost me a few units. I had posted my preview of the Honda Classic that morning but by the time I got a free minute to get my bets on the tournament was underway. Checking the prices after round 1 I was able to discount Els and Calcavecchia (or so I thought) and I took bets on Cink and Merrick who were in contention (and now shorter prices) as well as Crane who had a solid opening round. In Cranes case I took half a unit each way at 50/1 only to see 80/1 still available elsewhere and I decided to double up my bet averaging out at 65/1. It turned out be a good move as Crane finished strong for third delivering a 14.25 unit return and ensuring a nett profit of 7.75 units in the golf where I had also backed Calcavecchia going into the final round as he had played himself back into contention. A small profit on the weekend but I made a few careless mistakes and I need to sharpen up going forward. BETTING SUMMARY Balance after week 8: +131.31 units Week 9 result: +9.75 units Running balance: +141.06 units Pending Premier League: 30 units (Chelsea win 20, Hull last 10) Champions League: 9.5 units (Chelsea win 2, any English team 6, Juventus 1.5 at 25/1) Golf: Race to Dubai: 30 units (10 wins Garcia and 20 places Garcia) 6 Nations: 10 units (Ireland at 5.25/1 average) FA Cup: 3.92 units (Fulham 80/1, West Ham 55/1, Blackburn 66/1) PSL: Ajax (5 units at 2/1) Super 14: 60 units (Sharks Top SA, Brumbies Top Aus, Hurricanes Top Kiwi, Cheetahs for last, Sharks and Canes to win, a match bet treble Lions/Cheetahs, Reds/Highlanders, Sharks/Blues)
BEST BET Get my best and value bets each week - simply drop me a line at brent@goodforthegame.co.za and I will add you to the list. You will find all of the Champions League previews in our Football Section and feel free to post your own thoughts in our discussion forum.
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