Hey South

Had a look at the Greyville Card, looks like a real toughy and I have decided for now just to take a PA for percentage, think i could pay tonight and wouldn't be surprised to have c/o in Pick 6 tonight. Well thats just my opinion.

Happy punting.

Hi guys, a little busy on the work front but have gone through the card, I agree with KT, is quite a tough one. Anyway I like the following.

Best Bet
Race 5, Read My Heart @ 5/2. Excellent 3rd last time out, will be cherry-ripe for tonight and gets preferred good going over a distance that should be perfectly suited. Strong stable/jockey combo and a decent enough draw, RMH has raced in better company than this and can hopefully get it right tonight. 

Outsider Bet
Race 3, Persian Sun @ 40/1. From the dangerous Scott/Yeni combo, she’s not yet produced the goods on the track but is a full sister to a Grade 2 placed filly and has been supported in betting on numerous occasions. She bumps into her weakest opposition to date here, and was only 2L behind today’s favourite Constitution last time out, who is as short as 3/1 in the following race tonight. Will take a gamble she’s got ability and might show up today – 40/1 small win and place 8/1.


Eeach-way value Bet
Race 9, Metro Man. Very well related gelding, ran a poor run out of maidens last time out but had run behind some good sorts in past and I can only thing something was amiss that night. Get’s 4kg claim today, perfect inside draw. I fancy this one to bounce back and like the 10/1 each way.

Might try find a couple others on the card. Break a leg with the PA kt.

Nice call on RMH South and KT. IJ in race one seemed pretty obvious, with no value, put him in combo with NE for the win in race 8, my only bet today aside from Constitution, who was a loss.

Apparently it was a static electricity problem at the starting gates. Both horses and jockeys affected

Lodar  NE won as he liked 4-5 lengths. Jack Hobbs had a terrible fall in race

Morning racing fans,

Durbanville today, I like the following.

Best outsider
Race 3, Eden Rose @ 25/1. Tries the 1600m for first time, been racing over sprints most of career. She has the best formlines by a mile in this small field – multiple winners coming out of some of her earlier career starts including Graded company. She’s was placed in 2 of last 3 runs, gets normal stable jockey this time round instead of apprentice. Stable had a nice winner on Met day, am hoping ER has some ability over longer trip. This is not a strong field – Gold Academy is favourite but faded badly in last start and I can’t be taking 5/10 on her.

Best Bet
Race 4, Premium Wood @ 13/20. Excellent run last time out, this field looks at his mercy and can get out the maidens here. Not a huge price so will take him into a double with a later race. I also like the exacta, Premium Wood / Air Patrol, which i'll take boxed to be on safer side.

Each way Bet
Race 7, Lord Paramount e/w @ 9/2, 8/10 places. Classy sort who’s a course and distance winner, ran in a hot MR80 race last time out when 4th behind Northern Conquest who won a top handicap on Met day on the weekend. Looks a very solid place bet, going medium @ 8/10 as smaller punt on the win @ 9/2.

Will add Lord Paramount places onto Premium Wood win for a 19/10 double.

Cheers Batrico, was a decent day, only poor bet was the exacta in the 4th which in hindsight wasn't the right strategy.

Lord Paramount win @ 9/2 a good way to end interest on card plus the 19/10 double. Must mention Charles who put up LP a couple weeks ago when he won in his penultimate start, remembered that when making selection.

Hi Charles, great to have your thoughts again mate! Well thought out picks, really Like the look of Wagner, kept seeing him in a lot of formlines from recent weeks. Heard a word that Muzi not riding as precaution after nasty fall at Greyville, but Fradd is free and has ridden Wagner before so can step in if Muzi is definitely out.

nice on HB Dante, on reflection the formlines were superb! That Heavy Metal maiden race is providing winner after winner.

Excellent start on the places PL Charles, on Wagner on next 18/10 just taken.

Just taken a bet for greyville Ice Axe @22/10 for 2 units.

Hi racing fans,

Like the following ATC at Meyan -

R2 IP Man win
R3 Gamilati win
R4 Humidor place (4 plc)
R5 Hitchens place (4 plc)

works out to 5/1 ATC.

hi guys

Today i fancy a ATC
DAILY FLIGHT (PLACE)-WHATT WEST (PLACE)-CHECCETTI(PLACE)-ICE GODDESS(PLACE)-EXTRA ZERO (WIN)-JET EXPLORER(WIN) Works out 10/1

My fancies for the day:

Turffontein:

I'm sticking to two horses that I posted in horses to watch thread - Extra Zero and Brooks Club. I'll try the double @ 8/1. My other fancy is a horse that's made me a few quid in it's last 2 runs - Meadow Magic @ 8/1. The treble works out to 78/1. My swinger and exacta bet is Extra Zero and another winner from 2 weeks back, Shadows in the Sun.

Kenilworth:

Coetzee seems to have a really good card of rides. I really fancy the double early on: Taj Mahal Trip and Jet Explorer @ 13/10. Thereafter, I'll be looking for trebles and fourfolds with Coetzee's other good mounts e.g. Annie be Quick; Winter Heart and Rush to John and one of my roughies for the day, Mystere @ 10/1. My other roughie is Abbey Creek @ 14/1.

Good punting

dantedenver wrote:

Today i fancy a ATC
DAILY FLIGHT (PLACE)-WHATT WEST (PLACE)-CHECCETTI(PLACE)-ICE GODDESS(PLACE)-EXTRA ZERO (WIN)-JET EXPLORER(WIN) Works out 10/1

Dante. I'm cautious about 6-legged ATC bets, but on paper it looks like your bet can't miss and 10/1 looks good value. Good luck and enjoy the track. 

Turf Race 7
Best Outsider - Orbit War @ 16/1. Bang in form KZN raider from the Kethro yard. He's tried raiding up here before but didn't quite pan out, I'm banking on him faring far better this time round. OW has hit a purple patch with two eye-catching wins in his last two runs. This is a big step up in class but you don't make this trip if the horse isn't in with a shout. Going e/w.

Turf Race 4
Best Each-way bet - Irish Gift @ 5/1 win, 9/10 places. Has 4th run after long rest, ran in a very hot race last time, not disgraced. Has won over the inside track before and takes on a weak field here, only Winter Union to beat in my opinion. But IG looks a typical Ferraris runner, given time to find form again and in this field I feel the e/w looks a great shout.

taking a leaf out of Dante's book, i'm trying this short priced ATC in first few races at each centre -

K1 - Taj Mahal Trip win
K2 - Daily Flight place
K3 - Shoes & Company place
T1 - Speed Dial place
T3 - Tigers Retreat place

ATC @ just over 5/1.

no sort of run form TMT, managed a small e/w bet on the first pick Speed Dial of ATC at Turffontein but overall dissapointed with TMT.

On that note i'm limiting myself to just a small straight line PA in the Cape -

Leg 1 : Race 3 [2]
Leg 2 : Race 4 [9]
Leg 3 : Race 5 [3]
Leg 4 : Race 6 [1]
Leg 5 : Race 7 [2]
Leg 6 : Race 8 [3]
Leg 7 : Race 9 [6]

Taken x 100

CharlesCot wrote:

dantedenver wrote:

Today i fancy a ATC
DAILY FLIGHT (PLACE)-WHATT WEST (PLACE)-CHECCETTI(PLACE)-ICE GODDESS(PLACE)-EXTRA ZERO (WIN)-JET EXPLORER(WIN) Works out 10/1

Dante. I'm cautious about 6-legged ATC bets, but on paper it looks like your bet can't miss and 10/1 looks good value. Good luck and enjoy the track. 

Looking good Dante, 4 down 2 to go. Holding thumbs matey! 

Meadow Magic to save the day. 

cheers KT, not the best of days yesterday, thankfully one of the best bets came in to ensure a slight profit for day. Greyville today, like the following.

Race 6
Excuse My French @ 4/1. Steps back up to 1400m, course and distance winner and clearly likes the Greyville track. Was good enough to run in the KXN Guineas and i'm prepared to draw a line through last run when nowhere near capability. Has good pace, a nice draw and fancy EMF to skip clear with the tailwind and hold off the favourite Ransom Of Choice, who might find this trip a touch on the sharp side.

Race 8
Ice Axe @ 9/4. A real GoodfortheGame faovurite, have been on Ice Axe plenty in past and he's been very kind. Very consistent type, been out top 3 just once in career. 1600m trip is perfectly suited and apprentice will take 4kg off, which I feel is needed given his merit rating and top weight. Indian Hawk looks the biggest danger and could be worth adding into swingers with Ice Axe.

Race 3
Very weak field of struggling sorts, will take a chance on the first timer Opera Lass @ 20/1, small stakes. Well related to some decent types such as Grade 2 placed Grafton Street and Aim High, she might find this trip a bit sharp but in such a poor field if she shows ability she can pop up.

Ice Axe continues to just keep giving back, yet another win today and ends the day on a nice winning note. Also got the swingers with Indian Hawk.

Unfortunately the tactic on the Jackpot didn't pay off, caught but needed an upset in 5th race but favourite won, meant a small R70 loss on perm.

Back next week, the postponed PE meeting takes place tomorrow, then straight into Vaal and Greyville on Tuesday.

Other fancies in both racecards include bucaneer, tamarack, tomcat, copper parade, arctic jet, globe trotter, gun point, spartan and big daddy. Have taken all the above each way. Also taken a few doubles and trebles and taken a place ATC with all those horses with the bookies. All the best.

He jumped like a farm donkey.