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The buying money thread!

The buying money thread!

Ok with no shirts numbers experiment on the go I have to try something!

In this thread I am going to take R1000 (real money) and try to back virtual certs at very short prices until I have doubled my money or lost it all.

I will be selective about the bets I take and will not play anything at bigger than 1/4.

I missed the price but first bet is 30/1000 New Zealand for the Tri Nations.

Can I buy my way to a R1000 profit?

Brent Graham
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Re: The buying money thread!

big_smile  Arguably the most interesting experiment to date. Have to hand it to you with these escapades Brent

Was that half a million win or place on Lucky Dan....?

mackem
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LOL thanks Mackem, lets hope I don't hit a roadblock early on!

I am going to assume the first bet arrived after this morning even though mathematically it is not quite over but 3 bonus point wins for the Aussies and 2 losses with no bonus points for NZ is seriously not going to happen.

Should wait for the money in reality but to keep the momentum going will press on.

Balance: R1030
Bets Taken: 1

Brent Graham
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Re: The buying money thread!

This should be rather interesting. Nice idea!

What about taking some action on England in the 2nd test? I haven't shopped around but see GO have 1/33 (3% roi)... Can't see the poms losing from here.

Justin
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Interesting one Justin.

My only concern is the weather and while the forcast is not that bad it is also not that great so a bit worried about the draw. A bit of rain and a 100 stand by 2 Paki's and the draw will come right in.

There is 1/25 (4%) with WSB and WOS have the same price although it is suspended.

WOS have a money back rule if less than 350 overs bowled in match and it is a draw so I am going to keep an eye out there and hop on if they open at 1/25.

Brent Graham
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I had to go out so not sure if WOS ever came out with that 1/25 but it would have trotted up in the end.

Time for another short price strike - I can't see the Leopards living with the Sharks on Friday night and am taking the 1/25 at World Sports Betting

BET: 41.2/1030

Brent Graham
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That one trotted up as a 1/25 shot should!

Balance: 1071.2

Bets Taken: 2

Brent Graham
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Time for our 3rd step in the bid to buy 1k

Bet: 42.85/1071.2 Cheetahs win over Leopards at World Sports Betting

We are taking 1/25 the Cheetahs and if it arrives we will hit the 10% return mark.

Brent Graham
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Re: The buying money thread!

3 bets, 3 wins and an 11.4% return in 2 weeks - ok going ......so far

Balance: R1114.05

Bets: 3

Brent Graham
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Mised out on the weekend as time caught up with me before I could take the Sharks Lions double - having said that it would have been easy to have thrown the Bulls in and that would have been a distaster.

Following Saffers advice in the US Open thread and lumping 3 short prices together in round 1 for a combined 7% return.

BET: Roddick, Federer and Soderling to win US Open first round matches at a return of just shy of 7%

75.02/1114.05 at GreatOdds

Brent Graham
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Re: The buying money thread!

Following my advice Brent - now I am nervous!  Have joined you though (and added Davydenko for fun - he's paying $1.12).  Holding thumbs...

Saffer in Oz
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Phew that was a close one. The "Buying Money" thread nearly came to an abrupt end  speechlesssmiley

Federer and Roddick cruised home but Soderling wins 6-4 in the 5th having dropped a 2 set lead.

There is no comments column though and another winning bet:

Balance: R1189.07
Bets Placed: 4

Cheers for that one Saffer!

Brent Graham
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Never in doubt Brent ha ha!  Glad it worked out, would have felt really bad otherwise, me having made money out of your tips before!  You not going Nadal, Murray, Djokovic today then?!

Saffer in Oz
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LOL no worries mate, all in the interests of science  wink 

What do you think of that treble? I see the Djoker at 1/16 with GreatOdds - not a bad price and double with Nadal gives an 8% return (Could not find Murray game)

Brent Graham
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Re: The buying money thread!

Troicki is, like Djoker, a Serb and is No  45 in the world so no monkey.
Djokovic is 4-1 against him though and just beat him a couple of weeks ago in straight sets at Cincinnati.  So on that basis I am going for the treble.  Murray is a banker, paying only 1.03 though.  His match is the last one of the day so you may not have odds yet

Saffer in Oz
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Re: The buying money thread!

PS - if you are nervous about Djoker have a look at Nalbandian, playing a Rik v/d Vost, a South African journeyman.  Nalbandian is in great form at the moment.

Saffer in Oz
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Thanks Saffer was just interested that the Djoker was 0.12/1 with WSB a good deal shorter than the others.

Still he looks a good thing and RB has rubber stamped so here is the treble for today

182.91/1189.07 Djoker/Nadal and Murray to win with WSB (a 15% return)

I considered throwing Nalbandian in but did not want to tempt fate!

I am hoping the bullet was succesfully dodged yesterday and that these 3 trot up....

Brent Graham
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Oh dear, the Djoker a set all and a break down in the 3rd - is this the end of the Buying Money thread?  tongue

Brent Graham
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This is why I love sports betting. 23h00 and I am up watching a game I would normally have no interest in as my 1/10 shot battles from a break down in the 4th to force a deciding set.

And all because of a bloody experiment - if I get through this nor more tennis for a while  lol

Brent Graham
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Oh hell Djoker loses his opening service game  sad

Brent Graham
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Ha Ha, he got the win in the end though hey Brent.  I have just got back into the office to see Nalbandian needed 5 sets as well (I had him in my mix too)!  At least Nadal you can always count on - a win in the early rounds is as certain as death and taxes!  Murray only playing tonight so you will have to wait a bit longer!  Buying money never been so hard hey!

I know you said last bet on tennis for a while but have a look at Roddick,,,

Saffer in Oz
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Plenty of "buying money" material in the weekend footy Brent, Euro and AFCON qualifiers with prices tailor made for this thread  big_smile .

Was that half a million win or place on Lucky Dan....?

mackem
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Cannot believe how excited I got in that 5th set - I have got attached to this thread and will be a broken man if I get blown out of the water short of target!

As you say Saffer they arrived in the end and I had so much fun I may just start following tennis closely again.

Must say though that the fact that RB backed my 1/10 shot at 5/2 in running suggests that buying money can only end in tears at some stage.

If Murray arrives (and he is looking good in the 1st) then I may be tempted into another tennis.

Very wary of soccer Mackem but lets have your short priced good things for consideration!!!

Brent Graham
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Murray 2 sets up and looking good.

Hmmm I see there is 1/5 Murray at WSB - a 20% return - tempting

Brent Graham
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Re: The buying money thread!

Murray comes home as a 1/50 shot should

Balance: 1371.98

Bets Placed:

Saffer you probably still sleeping mate but it wont take much of a justification to get me on the 1/5 Murray

Brent Graham
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Googled the match and was taken to this article - enough to put me off http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2008/ju … n.tennis25

Will sleep instead

Brent Graham
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Very good call Brent!!  I had a small punt on Roddick to win 3 - 0:  obviously came up well short!

Saffer in Oz
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I reckon you are doing just fine Brent so stay clear of the footy if you are weary of it. I will not be the one to crash this experiment  wink

I did however notice when looking at the weekend footy the "match ups" below and thought of your buying money thread.

Egypt 1/8 home to Sierra Leone
Ivory Coast 1/8 home to Rwanda
Morroco 1/8 home to Central African Republic
Nigeria 1/8 home to Madagascar
Bafana (shortened) 1/8 home to Niger
Cameroon 2/11 in Mauritius

Isreal 1/12 home to Malta
Serbia 1/10 in the Faroe Islands
Bosnia 1/6 in Luxembourg
Spain 1/50 in Liechtenstein
Netherlands 1/50 in San Marino

footballsmiley

Was that half a million win or place on Lucky Dan....?

mackem
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Re: The buying money thread!

A Murray / Nadal double today should bring you another 9% closer Brent!

Saffer in Oz
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mackem wrote:

I will not be the one to crash this experiment  wink

LOL brilliant Mackem!

I am beginning to get quite attached to this thread - lets hope we can keep it alive a while.

Not much in the rugby this weekend and hopefully we have now dodged the US Open bullet in Roddick.

Taking the Murry/Nadal double at 8% with World Sports Betting

111.4/1371.98

Hold thumbs this would get us close to the 50% mark!

Brent Graham
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Re: The buying money thread!

Andy Murray trots up in 3 sets - come on Rafa do likewise!

Brent Graham
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All the ultra short priced favs in Europe came home, kicking myself for missing the 1/50 Spain, had a feeling they would push Lichtenstein all the way  wink

Was that half a million win or place on Lucky Dan....?

mackem
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Nadal Murray double arrived

Balance: 1483.38

Bets Placed: 6

Don't think I am going to push my luck in the tennis again (although arm can be twisted) as anybody making the 3rd round can surley play a bit and this heat can cuase havoc with players bodies reacting differently.

Brent Graham
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Brent I saw a good one for you - todays 20/20 in Cardiff.  Paying a massive $1.03 for a century NOT to be scored in the match.  Given they are playing on the same surface as Sunday's game where the total innings score was 120 odd (England's after 17 overs) it looks like it could tip you over the R1,500!

Saffer in Oz
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Good spot that one Saffer - was a hectic day but did a quick surf around at lunch time but could not find a local bookie quoting that market so had to pass.

I see Murray lost in the next round so pleased I packed up the tennis.

Brent Graham
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absolutely correct on the tennis, the bankers dry up after week one.  Nadal is only a 7% return, in a semi final - crazy.  Playing Youzhny who Nadal should beat (although he has lost to him 4 times before).  Just no value there at all!

Saffer in Oz
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Brent has taken the double Sharks/Pumas and WP over Leopards for an 8% return at World Sports Betting

BET: 118.67/1483.38

Admin
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Well I did a rocket on the spreads but at least the 1st leg of the buying money thread came in  tongue

Brent Graham
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Now thats what I expect from this experiment - a nice little 8% return with not a worry in sight.

Balance: R1602.05

Bets: 7

Brent Graham
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Brent reckons this is "put and take"

1/28 WP to beat the Pumas at GreatOdds

57.25/1602.05

Admin
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Re: The buying money thread!

Why take 1/28 if you can get 1/14 (=114/1602) from Volt?

Ignorance does not kill you, it just makes you sweat a lot.

SwissSaffer
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Re: The buying money thread!

Geez that is a big price (relativly speaking of course)

SS when I research the previews I look at the 6 bookmakers who support the main site (you can imagine that task in itself takes a while) and because of this I tend to place the majority of bets with them as well. Between them I usually get or match the best deal that is out there.

There are something like 12 online players in SA now so very tough to keep tabs on them all and holding decent balances with all also a problem sometimes.

Had I seen the Voltbet price and if I had a loaded account with them (which I don't) I would certainly have taken it - as it is I will have to settle for around a 3% return which before I saw your post seemed pretty decent.

Brent Graham
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Re: The buying money thread!

WP trotted up balance continues in the right direction

Balance: R1659.30

Bets: 8

Brent Graham
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Great work  big_smile

t-rac
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Cheers t-rac, lets see if we can move a bit closer to target.

When the "Buying Money" thread sees big rugby handicaps it gets excited and lumping the Cheetahs over the Pumas, WP to beat the Griquas and the Bulls to beat the Leopards offers a not to be sneezed at 15% return. All of the favourites still in the Currie Cup hunt and I can't see any of then fluffing their lines.

R248.9/R1659.3 with World Sports Betting

Brent Graham
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Looks like a nice bet that Brent!

Saffer in Oz
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Agree Saffer that was some generous pricing - all onto the Bulls now and then I am more than likely 1 bet from target.

Best not to get ahead of myself though.....

Brent Graham
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I wouldn't exactly say the Bulls trotted up but the win was never really in doubt

Balance: R1908.2

Bets: 9

The finish line is in site

Brent Graham
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The Sharks look cert this week and 1/50 is the best available - nothing else ctahces my eye so will settle for creeping R38 closer to target this weekend  wink

BET: 38.16/1908.2 with World Sports Betting

The traders at WSB must wonder who this clown is betting R1908.20 on a 1/50 shot!

The "Buying Money Experiment" was the focus of this weeks Citizen article http://www.goodforthegame.co.za/betting … grand.html

Cheers Lads

Brent Graham
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A 1/33 shot away from target!

The Sharks strolled up and delivered what really was a gift 2% return and the target is now potentially just a 1/33 shot away.

I wont rush it though, no sense losing patience now!

Balance: R1946.36
Bets: 10

Brent Graham
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Top class expeirment this is, I await the 1/33 shot with interest Brent, surely there will be no mistakes at the final fence  big_smile

Was that half a million win or place on Lucky Dan....?

mackem
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mackem wrote:

Top class expeirment this is, I await the 1/33 shot with interest Brent, surely there will be no mistakes at the final fence  big_smile

don't put the mockers on it mackem!! big_smile  Great experiment Brent and been interesting to follow and does make you wonder how many pro punters are out there following this strategy with big volumes.

southpaw
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LOL South,  big_smile   must admit this is one of my fav threads on the forum since it started, just the title, "buying money thread", I love it.

I reckon Brent will already have had an eye on the rugga fixtures for next weekend with this thread in mind. Not sure the ones below fit the bill though.

8 Oct Platinum Leopards v Vodacom Free State Cheetahs, Royal Bafokeng Sports Palace, Phokeng 19:00
8 Oct Xerox Lions v Barloworld Toyota Pumas, Coca-Cola Park Stadium, Johannesburg    19:10

There is however international footy next weekend,  I reckon Brent will perhaps put it all on Spain to beat Lithuania  big_smile  or he may wait for mighty Luxembourgs visit to France on the following Tuesday?  that could be interesting, the French could throw the toys out of the pram and disintegrate when Andy Schleck heads the visitors into a surprise early lead.  speechlesssmiley

Was that half a million win or place on Lucky Dan....?

mackem
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Only to have the game called void when Schleck is found to have eaten contaminated meat  wink

Yip I am eyeing out those fixtures but will probably have to double the pair to get to 1/33......

Brent Graham
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Brent Graham wrote:

Only to have the game called void when Schleck is found to have eaten contaminated meat  wink
......

lol, I reckon you are doing just fine with the rugga bankers mate

Was that half a million win or place on Lucky Dan....?

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nice work Brent! The Leopards will be asking you to send some money their way soon! Good luck with the last hurdle.  If I were you I would bank the R1000 before possibly trying it again!

Saffer in Oz
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LOL Saffer, if this leg arrives it will be decision time!

Money down for a potential 5% return

Lions (1/40) and Cheetahs (1/50) to beat the Pumas and Leopards with World Sports Betting

BET: 97.32/1946.36

Brent Graham
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O-U-C-H
Lay them, dont back them

Ignorance does not kill you, it just makes you sweat a lot.

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Shame Brent, fell at final hurdle, has been a great thread,  plenty to ponder on for backers and layers imo.

Shot fella

Was that half a million win or place on Lucky Dan....?

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Re: The buying money thread!

Guys just wanted to know which SA bookmakers offer lay options if any.

Avizn
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Can you believe it? Fell at the final fence   speechlesssmiley   

Was an interesting experiment and certainly gave me some entertainment and at least now the decision as to whether to continue or not is out of my hands.

Avizn if you are a South African punter you cannot lay bets so sadly not an option.

Brent Graham
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I shall miss this thread Brent but look forward to the next epic experiment.

Must admit I very rarely back anything at less than 7/10 unless it is maybe part of a multiple, this certainly had me thinking.

Was that half a million win or place on Lucky Dan....?

mackem
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stiff Brent, so close and was really enjoyable to follow - it had me pricing up some accas on really low priced footie and rugby games over last couple weeks (teams priced 1/10 or less), not something i'd normally be doing but this thread did make me wonder.

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Re: The buying money thread!

Jammer Brent that was a shocker by the Lions.  Just shows how there is never a sure thing, no matter how the bookies might have you believe it.  Still though, there is merit in the system I think - I lost count of the number of bets you placed and of course had the objective been other than to double your money you would probably have put some aside.  I reckon you should go again when the S15 arrives - picking against the Lions and Cheetahs on tour!
For me I am going to put a bet on Australia to win the annual 4 Nations rugby league comp, being held in NZ and Australia this year (the final in Brisbane).  The odds are lean (1/3) but if you think that, with the competition being New Zealand, England and Papau New Guinea against the strength of the Aussies it SHOULD be a no brainer.  I say should because in 2008 Australia lost to New Zealand in what they was the biggest upset in league history.  Any player involved in that match won't let it happen again I hope!  Anyway, interest rates in Oz are pretty lean so I reckon I may as well plonk my money with the bookies for a couple of weeks!

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