Currie Cup Midweek, Super Rugby Pacific, Gallagher Prem, URC 23-27 March

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2 years 7 months ago #1 by Brent Graham
For the 2nd week in a row I was royally screwed by Munster - last week they came back against the Bulls at Loftus to destroy my Bulls -6.5 and this week I had them to win against the Lions (as well as overs) and they blew a massive lead and failed to score a point in the 2nd half.
The awful newsletter Best Bet run continues but it wasn't all bad news as the 11/1 acca landed thanks to the Rebels, Italy, a last minute Italian try and the French beating the handicap against the English.

Well done France and well done Italy - what a tournament it was to watch

Back to bread and butter rugby this weekend starting with midweek Currie Cup ( click here for separate Varsity Cup thread ) - here are my Currie Cup handicap projections

WP -6.5 v Pumas
Sharks +3.5 v Cheetahs
Lions +13.5 v Bulls

Team selections will be important especially for the Bulls who I reckon may rest a few players.

Super Rugby Pacific continues and hopefully we get a full house of games - my handicaps below

Moana Pasifika +23.5 v Hurricanes
Rebels -6.5 v Drua
Force +6.5 v Brumbies
Highlanders +5.5 v Blues
Chiefs -0.5 v Crusaders
Reds -9.5 v Waratahs

The SA teams are in action against fresh opposition in the URC - here are my projected handicaps

Lions -11.5 v Ospreys
Stormers -7.5 v Ulster
Sharks -8.5 v Edinburgh
Bulls -36.5 v Dragons

There is also Gallagher Premiership action


Don’t miss our live rugby betting show THE HANDICAP “Rugby chat that matters” on Thursday night 21h00 SA time – Here is the link to view the Goodforthegame You Tube Channel www.youtube.com/c/GoodforthegameTV/videos

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Here is the link to subscribe to the free weekly Goodforthegame Newsletter with BEST BET and usually a double digit acca bit.ly/bettingmail

Have a good one

BG

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2 years 7 months ago #2 by Brent Graham
I see we have some Super Rugby lines out - WSB to the right in brackets

Moana Pasifika +23.5 v Hurricanes (+25.5)
Rebels -6.5 v Drua (-0.5)
Force +6.5 v Brumbies (+9.5)
Highlanders +5.5 v Blues (+8.5)
Chiefs -0.5 v Crusaders (+0.5)
Reds -9.5 v Waratahs (-9.5)

Big difference is the Rebels game - will be interesting to see if the Rebels firm

Have not seen any Currie Cup yet

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2 years 7 months ago #3 by ThoughtsOnSports
Rebels to beat Drua at 9/10

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2 years 7 months ago #4 by takethegap
Cheetahs -1.5 0.82 at sunbet

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2 years 7 months ago #5 by Brent Graham
Had a quick look at Sunbet and see their handicaps are similar to mine - like the -1.5 Cheetahs and Rebels win suggested above

WP -6.5 v Pumas (-8.5)
Sharks +3.5 v Cheetahs (+3.5)
Lions +13.5 v Bulls (+14.5)

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2 years 7 months ago #6 by Brent Graham
WP v Pumas betting preview

I think the Pumas can push them close

Sharks v Cheetahs Betting Preview

I missed the early price on the Cheetahs but will take the -3.5 and may play points if home in time

Lions v Bulls betting preview

Not a confident call but Lions plus 15.5

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2 years 7 months ago #7 by Brad Breath
Chiefs v Crusaders

I know Saders will be salty after losing at home a couple of weeks back, but Chiefs have stronger pack IMO (no Moody or Whitelock).
Chiefs at home with crowds (covid restrictions now removed), I think they're well capable of the win double.

Chiefs + 1.5 @ 1.91

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2 years 7 months ago #8 by jollyrygy
there was plenty of thunder and lighting last night in cape town , but the sun is sitting beautifully over green point stadium today, expecting points and i have taken a decent strike on overs.

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2 years 7 months ago #9 by southpaw
seen some comments on social and i completely agree as was also my early standout when seen Tahs side early am - it looks very green, a number of key players rested, Reds look full strength.

Tah's bubble to burst this weekend.

Reds -9.5 @ 10/11
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2 years 7 months ago #10 by hanrick

southpaw wrote: seen some comments on social and i completely agree as was also my early standout when seen Tahs side early am - it looks very green, a number of key players rested, Reds look full strength.

Tah's bubble to burst this weekend.

Reds -9.5 @ 10/11


My big SR fancy this week. Reds again. They have been good to me.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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2 years 7 months ago #11 by The Vann
Sharks v Cheetahs
Half Time/Full Time
Sharks/Cheetahs @ 5/1

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2 years 7 months ago #12 by Brent Graham
Over 7.5 tries Lions v Bulls game at 9/10

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2 years 7 months ago #13 by Brent Graham
Still in pain from the Bulls butchering that final try

Join us live at 21h00 for The Handicap where I am joined by The Understaker and TheCroweTips

Click here to watch on You Tube


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2 years 7 months ago #14 by Brent Graham
Moana Pasifika v Hurricanes betting preview

Following the lads on the panel with +30.5

Rebels v Drua betting preview

Rebels on the board at 15/20

Force v Brumbies betting preview

Hanrick was strong on the Force and that is good enough for me

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2 years 7 months ago #15 by Brent Graham
Highlanders v Blues Betting Preview

Highlanders +7.5

Chiefs v Crusaders Betting Preview

Either team by 7 or less at 5/4

Reds v Waratahs Betting Preview

Hopping on board the Reds minus with Hanrick and Chris

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2 years 7 months ago #16 by Brent Graham

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2 years 7 months ago #17 by shark prince
Excellent show as always, confidence from everyone has made me go large on bulls and reds minuses. Was previously not fully convinced. Two bets I think are value if you can get hands on. I found them on Topsport and am piling in.

Force vs Brumbies - tribet 11pts or under at 1.82
Chiefs vs Saders - tribet 9pts or under at 1.96

Both cracking value for effectively even value odds, see both staying extremely close. Force brumbies had tribet 9pts or under at 2.06 if you want juicier odds, however I feel more comfortable with a try+penalty difference. Good luck to all

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2 years 7 months ago #18 by Brad Breath
In play Drua +13.5 @ 1.83

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2 years 7 months ago #19 by coil

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2 years 7 months ago #20 by southpaw
HT/FT Brumbies/Force @ 11/1

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2 years 7 months ago #21 by southpaw

southpaw wrote: HT/FT Brumbies/Force @ 11/1


taken at HT:
Brumbies 10/11
Draw @ 16/1

guarantee around 5 units profit, but Force win would be 12. cmon Force.

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2 years 7 months ago #22 by Experienced Novice
Unfortunately i can not have the Crusaders losing back to back fixtures against the same opposition. They conceded 14 points in the last 5 minutes in the previous match. That wont happen again.
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2 years 7 months ago #23 by southpaw
Over 54.5 @ 17/20 lions ospreys

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2 years 7 months ago #24 by southpaw
Highlanders over 23.5
Crusaders over 24.5

Double @ 5/2
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2 years 7 months ago #25 by ThoughtsOnSports
Torrential rain in Brisbane.

Under 47.5 at 9/10

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2 years 7 months ago #26 by jollyrygy
Stormers -10.5 at 2.6/1 and over 52.5 at 9/10 both with sunbet

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2 years 7 months ago #27 by southpaw
Lowry first try 16/1 ew

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2 years 7 months ago #28 by Jameson
I could only get Bath +5.5 so Sale will win by 6pts guaranteed!

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2 years 7 months ago #29 by southpaw
Ulster +8.5 @ 17/20 at ht

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2 years 7 months ago #30 by Brent Graham
In Durban this weekend and a fair amount of rain this afternoon - still drizzling

Firing Edi on the plus 13.5

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2 years 7 months ago #31 by Quill
Rugby - Six Nations Women

France W vs Italy W

France will have taken huge confidence from their twin successes against the Black Ferns.
But after the success of their men’s side, the atmosphere in France is a happy one and they are making no secret of their ambitions.

The head of the French women’s set-up Thomas Darracq said: "It’s true that the schedule is favourable with three home games, two away from home and we hope a final against England for the Grand Slam."

Other Six Nations teams destroyed Italy at the last edition, and given France W's recent results I think this handicap will be covered.

Bet: France -33.5 @1.89

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2 years 7 months ago - 2 years 7 months ago #32 by Jameson
Exeter v Leicester

When things are this close you've got to go with the home team. Exeter to win 10/11.

Edit: Not close at all, bookies and me got this totally wrong. Exeter nilled at 1/2 time - don't know if that's happened before.....
Last edit: 2 years 7 months ago by Jameson.

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2 years 7 months ago #33 by southpaw
Great weekend so far and could resist one more -

France over 43.5 points @ 8/10

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2 years 7 months ago #34 by southpaw

southpaw wrote: Great weekend so far and could resist one more -

France over 43.5 points @ 8/10


Probably one too many :pinch:

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