Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread

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2 years 8 months ago #101 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread

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2 years 8 months ago #102 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Surely a GC stage for a change today.

Two thoughts from me:
1. Can't help but think we saw the first little chink from Vingegaard yesterday. Looked like Van Aert and Kuss tried to set somehting up for him but he just didn't have the kick left. Huge last climb and just have a feeling he runs out of puff.
2. Different than last year Pogi is dominating the Tour from the start. Given his big lead I think he is starting to look for "legacy" type of performances and winning in yellow is one of those things you really want to do.

Strategy:
Pogi is so short that it really makes it tough to back him. I've taken a bit into a few multies but if a break gets away I hope he drifts to something like 4 or 5/1 in-running. My saver goes onto Uran who I think might be the only one with any shot of staying close to the race leader.

Uran @ 22/1
Double 1: Pogi over Vingegaard onto Uran over Carapaz @ 3/1
Double 2: Buchmann over Fuglsang onto Mas over O'Connor @ evens

Twitter: @HDiemont

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2 years 8 months ago #103 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
NIce one on Konrad Brent. Very pleased van Aert animated the GC over the last few kilo's which brought home my match bet. Would have been in big trouble if they just rode in.
On today I cannot see anything other then a GC finish. If it was hot I would look at a few bets but its predicted to be cold which is exactly the weather Pogacar likes so only one for me today.
Stage 17
Win
Pogacar @ 28/10

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2 years 8 months ago #104 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Stage 17, Quintana for me at 16/1 and followed Brent with Carapaz

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 years 8 months ago #105 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread


Movistar for me today lads, have to hope it is not GC for my KOM bet on Poels

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2 years 8 months ago #106 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
As Lopez is to Brent so is Chaves to me - just keep banging away. A few days ago Kwiatkowski went for the break with two DQS riders but they were pulled back. I don't buy into yesterdays show.
Stage 18
Win
Kwiatkowski @ 33/1
Chaves @ 33/1
e/w
Bonnamour @ 100/1
and a match bet double
Poels/Guerreiro into Uran/Kelderman @ 3/1

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2 years 8 months ago #107 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread

The Vann wrote: As Lopez is to Brent so is Chaves to me - just keep banging away. A few days ago Kwiatkowski went for the break with two DQS riders but they were pulled back. I don't buy into yesterdays show.
Stage 18
Win
Kwiatkowski @ 33/1
Chaves @ 33/1
e/w
Bonnamour @ 100/1
and a match bet double
Poels/Guerreiro into Uran/Kelderman @ 3/1


Not sure about the match bet. Bahrain hotel and bus raided last night so how do their riders react today?

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2 years 8 months ago #108 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread

The Vann wrote:

The Vann wrote: As Lopez is to Brent so is Chaves to me - just keep banging away. A few days ago Kwiatkowski went for the break with two DQS riders but they were pulled back. I don't buy into yesterdays show.
Stage 18
Win
Kwiatkowski @ 33/1
Chaves @ 33/1
e/w
Bonnamour @ 100/1
and a match bet double
Poels/Guerreiro into Uran/Kelderman @ 3/1


Not sure about the match bet. Bahrain hotel and bus raided last night so how do their riders react today?


Fortunately been betting on cycling way too long to go for any match bet which failed muster the first time around. Will probably go in-play if it looks like last nights events will affect my bet.

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2 years 8 months ago #109 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Thrown in 4 150/1 shots


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2 years 8 months ago #110 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Stuyven, Pollit and van Baarle for me, c'mon the break :)

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 years 8 months ago #111 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Hoping Cav lets DQS off the leash today and then sets up that perfect record breaker in Paris. Really is all up to the men in blue so reckon they need someone in the break or its a non starter. Also, Tommy has been on a three week scenic cruise around France - time to step up ffs!

Ballerini 22/1
Brent van Moer 66/1
TdG 125/1
Quintin Pacher 150/1
(And slip streaming the QftG boys on Van Baarle)

Twitter: @HDiemont

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2 years 8 months ago #112 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
In fact I'm going to add the outgoing Olympic Champ to try and finish his reign on a high. Come on golden boy Greg!
Van Avermaet 100/1

Twitter: @HDiemont

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2 years 8 months ago #113 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Same staking plan as Brent today - smalls on lots.
I think Mackem has a full house there so going with that and adding

Stage 19
Win
D van Poppel @ 40/1
Laporte @ 66/1 (Would take this if I only had one bet today)
Schelling @ 150/1
Zabel @ 250/1

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2 years 8 months ago #114 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Postelberger 40/1
Rutsch 75/1

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2 years 8 months ago #115 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
170km to go
van Aert @ 18/1

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2 years 8 months ago #116 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Stuyven, Ballerini and Laporte gone favourites in running. Rutsch and Van Moer also in the mix and one has to think surely one of us is going to he smiling at the end of this one...

Twitter: @HDiemont

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2 years 8 months ago #117 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread

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2 years 8 months ago - 2 years 8 months ago #118 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Almost the big pay day yesterday. Cannot believe Trek cocked it up that badly. Thought Stuyven was bringing home the money.
Today I believe if Pogacar goes he wins easy. Last year Tommy D, ITT world Champ and regular late ITT stage in GT winner was beaten by an exhausted Pogacar by 1m 21sec over 38km. Pogs on record as having ridden the course several times, he likes it and does not look anywhere near as tired as last year.
Taking my match bet on the basis that Kwiatkowski probably won't ride and Bissegger has been first pinky off the back for the past week.

Stage 20
Win
Pogacar @ 9/4
Match bet double
Castroveijo/Kwiatkowski into Berg/Bissegger @ 43/10
Last edit: 2 years 8 months ago by The Vann.
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2 years 8 months ago #119 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
It has been a long tour and I am hitting Paris a poorer man

Going for an 8/1 podium shot today


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2 years 8 months ago #120 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Expensive misread of the Pogacar character yesterday. Thought he would go for it. Just to confirm my TdF form I lose the match bet by 8 sec over 31km. So we soldier on.
I don't know if this is good or bad but I came up with the identical bet to Brent today but via a different route. The last time we saw such a dominant sprint performance was 2009 when Cav was sprinting against second tier sprinters in Farrar, Ciolek etc. He won six stages and his lead out, Renshaw finished second in Paris. This tour reminds me very much of 2009. The only "drol in die drinkwater"today could be van Aert.

Stage 21
Win van Aert @ 11/2
1-3 Morkov @ 8/1

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2 years 8 months ago #121 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Have to have an interest on the final today -

Phillipsen 5/1 win
Greipel 55/1 ew

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2 years 8 months ago #122 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Brent - Many thanks for the daily posts. I know it is a huge amount of work but it is much appreciated.
Was not a classic tour. Pleased Cavendish never won the final stage as he was busy turning into the dickhead he was in his prime.
On the punting side I did OK with five stage wins but the match bets were not great and the out rights absolute rubbish. My main out right Geraint for a stage went around France on his arse.
Look forward to the Olympic road race and the Vuelta.

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2 years 8 months ago #123 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
It is a pleasure Vann and well done on keeping the winners flowing and with the Van Aert pick today

Agree with your comments on Cav - always plays the thankful sprinter praising his team but always been a bit of a box in afrikaans :lol: :lol:

Money wise my worst GT in ages but I really enjoyed the race

Thanks to everyone who contributed and to Chris with the written previews

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2 years 8 months ago #124 by kcmarinopirlo
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Very enjoyable and profitable Tour for me...

Focused on outrights and landed the double of Pogacar for K.O.M + Jonas Vingegaard Top 10 finish @44/1.

Vingegaard also placed in K.O.M @150/1

And my main Antepost this season was for Ineos to have a rider Podium in each of the 3 Grand Tours @14/1 so with Carapaz now we move onto the final one La Vuelta!

Twitter @kamalch53215288

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