Super Rugby Week 3, Pro 14 + other rugby
- Thrasher6
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- harry_rag
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Won on him last week at 9/4 anytime and bought him at 16. This week he's 11/8 best anytime but available to buy at a point lower on the spreads. Good enough for me to stick with him (I'd equate it to around 12/5 anytime.)
Another try for Akira Ioane would be no surprise but the prices don't quite make enough appeal.
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- harry_rag
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Buy Kuridrani's try minutes at 13 with Spreadex. I'd equate that to better than 11/4 anytime when the best fixed odds price is 6/4. I'd say the true price should be somewhere in the middle.
Tom Cusack to score a try at 9/2 with Skybet (and a token bet on him for 1st try at 33/1). Not much Super Rugby form to go on but I'll take a chance on my feeling that the price is a little generous based on prices elsewhere and his NRC form.
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- southpaw
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Blues 1-12
Brumbies 1-12
6/1
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- Taylor
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Later on Brumbies v Reds, strongly with the Brumbies on the minus as it sounds like most are
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- Taylor
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Reds - Penalty converted before 27mins 30 secs @ 1.85
Brumbies - Penalty converted before 29mins 15 secs @ 1.85
These seem very late (generally around 12-13mins) and Australian teams typically take the 3 points when available rather than pushing for tries. As long as the Brumbies don't blow the Reds out of the water early, these could both come through comfortably
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- hanrick
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Took Blues to win at evens and Brumbies -4 at 9/10 earlier in the week. Adding Blues over 26.5 at 9/10 and Brumbies over 28.5 at 17/20.
Don't you dare burn me again, Blues!
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- Madkiwi
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- Iceman
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- Cettas
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D Mackenzie @ 15
T Falcon @ 10
S Stevenson out
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- Taylor
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- hanrick
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Cettas wrote: For chiefs
D Mackenzie @ 15
T Falcon @ 10
That strengthens the Chiefs. D Mac in his best position
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- RuggaBugga
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Adding
1st points - Blues Try
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- mackem
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2.5 units Hurricanes -13.5 points 9/10 widely available
Sunwolves v Rebels preview is up but waiting for total / team points and tries markets so that will follow later
twitter: @goodforthegame
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- The Missing Link
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- Oracle
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hanrick wrote: Chiefs and Reds are two teams I will continue to oppose until the bookies catch up on them.
Took Blues to win at evens and Brumbies -4 at 9/10 earlier in the week. Adding Blues over 26.5 at 9/10 and Brumbies over 28.5 at 17/20.
Don't you dare burn me again, Blues!
Looks like we are being burned 17 - 0 after 17 mins in the 2nd wow
Absolutely never, ever worry about the stuff you cannot control!!
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- RuggaBugga
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Think they win this by 1
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- hanrick
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- RuggaBugga
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RuggaBugga wrote: Adding
1st points - Blues Try
Thank F for that opening Blues try, what a diabolical ending Blues. Blues must be the bookies favourite team of all time. Every year they do this to us ... EVERY. SINGLE. YEAR!
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- The Missing Link
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- Taylor
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I did have to laugh at the end there once the handicap was gone, 1min left and they try to drive it from the 22, then an absolute miracle to get the ball back after full time and can't throw it straight. It's just classic Blues of last few years.
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- hanrick
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- davopnz
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- Brad Breath
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The Missing Link wrote: Going under 50.5 points in the Reds Brumbies game. Historically low scoring, rubbish games vs these two in Brisbane and think it'll be close so can't see an expansive game.
Have joined you on unders
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- southpaw
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Brumbies 1-12 @ 17/10 to recover morning.
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- sunnyskies
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Taking Brumbies by:
8+, and a smaller bet on 13+.
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- The Missing Link
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- Thrasher6
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- The Missing Link
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- The Missing Link
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- mackem
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3 units, Rebels -6.5 points 9/10 Sportingbet, Sunbet, Playabets, BetXchange
Still can't find any points lines for the above game but watching Brumbies struggling in Brisbane they are hardly franking last week's form in Tokyo where they beat Wolves by 7 points. Rebels minus has grown on me though will keep it steady with the units.
twitter: @goodforthegame
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- Couch Critic
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Twitter: @HDiemont
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- Stoossy
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- sunnyskies
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- shaft
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Going under 57.5 points.
"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- sebokeng
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I'm definitely with you on the Crusaders. Nothing in the world will prevent a smashing of the Stormers tomorrow.
Canes Shud cruise in Argentina, however, I wouldn't be surprised if the game is a nail biter
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- RuggaBugga
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The Brumbies were just awful and Reds raised there game. Lesson here is that backing a favourite on the road in Superugby should have a precaution sign next to the bet button!!! Home dogs are always great and Reds had a point to prove after being smacked against the Rebels ...
Think the Blues was the right call boys so bounce of the ball makes for a GOLDEN weekend
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- bradie82
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Saders R35 @1.50
Saders R40 @1.83
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- bradie82
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2 rubbish sides playing together its either a massacre or a try festival
Going for the second option
Kings over 3.5 @ 1.80
Dragons over 3.5 @ 2.10
Over 6.5 tries @ 1.72
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- bradie82
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Over 3.5 tries @ 2
Over 36.5 @ 2
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- southpaw
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Saders v Stormers under 61.5
double @ 12/5
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- harry_rag
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Buy Widnes hotshots at 25 with SPIN (Hanbury, Marsh, Inu, Chamberlain)
Inu to score a try at 29/10 with Lads (boosted from 11/4) and to score 1st try at 20/1.
Chance of at least 1 try from those 4 good enough to tempt me in at the price, Inu in particularly decent form.
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- Oracle
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Absolutely never, ever worry about the stuff you cannot control!!
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- harry_rag
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A slightly unusual scenario in tomorrow's first game, I'm buying both team's hotshots at relatively high prices.
Buy Sunwolves hotshots at 40 with SPIN (Tupou, Lafaele, Yamada, Robinson)
Buy Rebels hotshots at 56 with Spreadex (Hodge, Naivalu, Maddocks, D. Haylett-Petty)
Bottom line is I make both prices wrong by over 12% and I'd rarely pass up that sort of edge. I've looked at the players stats and it doesn't put me off pulling the trigger. Essentially I need this octet of players to muster at least 4 tries between them to show a profit. Let's see how it pans out
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- Taylor
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hanrick wrote: Love the Sharks -5.5 and Blues even money to win. Have fired into those.
Then also a big bet on Crusaders, Sharks and Hurricanes win trebble at 1.97/1
I like that treble too, following on that but with Saders -6.5
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- shark prince
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Earlier in the week piled into saders -15.5 (100x better coached than stormers), and the sharks -4.5 (tad concerned now after seeing their team tho). Also only a medium play on Bulls +11.5, don't have a great read on bulls just yet. Unsure which way to go regarding sunwolves and jags handicaps so might just take smaller stakes on higher value margin options closer to game time (thinking rebels 1-10 at this stage but they were incredibly unimpressive for me last week). Genia was class but scoreline was flattering and they fell apart as soon as he came off. With Genia likely being subbed off around the 60th again with last week being his first game back from a fractured back , I'll also look at 2nd half markets for the wolves.
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- shark prince
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Crusdaers o46.5 @2.80
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- Madkiwi
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Great weather here today in Christchurch so the Stormers better turn up or it will be a flogging.
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- The Missing Link
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The Missing Link wrote: That game just convinced me to take Sunwolves +7.5. Like the Blues, the Rebels are still rubbish for me and Sunwolves much improved this year. Not backing the Rebels until they show they've improved, I think they struggled vs the Reds till they went down to 14 men.
Covering this and losing half my initial stake. Rebels going to give them a hiding
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- The Missing Link
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