Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

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5 years 10 months ago #101 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

southpaw wrote:

hanrick wrote: Great morning for you South, well played mate! Nice early call on the Crusaders.

Also, well played on the penalty double! Wish we could get those markets with SA bookies. I know WSB offers it, but I don't regard them as a bookie as they don't want serious punters as clients.


cheers Hanrick, good going on Rebels pts!

It would be good if the pen market was more widely offered. It was my first go, credit to Bradie for his regular posting of his pen punts as has been catching my eye all the time.

I'm going to try a strategy this weekend of playing the 'before' market on every game on one side. See how it ends up come tomorrow night.


I m going to target this type of market as well but shame I'm restricted on SB as the try before 14"59 game and 19"59 team are golden compared to Bet365
But there is another market I have in mind for this week end is the anytime try scorer
Players like Ben Foden who have played more than years for the Saints, George North, .. and many other players are playing their last game for the club, and for some at home - I reckon their team mates will do anything for them to score a try

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5 years 10 months ago - 5 years 10 months ago #102 by coil
Looking to oppose the Lions tomorrow and will likely go the under Lion points in the region of 21-22. Also like the Cane's on the minus cap for smaller.

There was plus 6.5 the Blues earlier in the week and i was hoping for a little better , however it's shortened into plus 4.5 and on paper it's a crazy bet , the plus 4.5 and even more so the Blues, however I will hope for an early Waratah's score to possibly try get a bigger plus , while the return of Israel at 15 is a huge bonus I feel the Blues could possibly win this.

I'm in the Bull's camp in Cape Town and haven't rated the Stormers all season , hoping the visitors can put them in their place .

Lastly the hapless Sharks get a tentative vote from me in Durban , an awful team this season but I feel another upset ( chiefs vs jag's ) could be on the cards.

Have lumped on Munster vs Edinburgh under 49.5 points and will be following the Scarlets after that on the cap.

Looking forward to the points lines in the Aviva after reading the earlier thoughts in the week.
Last edit: 5 years 10 months ago by coil.

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5 years 10 months ago #103 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Cheers Coil! Made the bookies pay on a crazy quote. Nice win to start hopefully another profitable weekend!

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5 years 10 months ago #104 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Hanrick, great call on Rebels points. Never in doubt and there try was unbelievably lucky. Congrats to all saders minus punters! Rebels are falling to pieces
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5 years 10 months ago #105 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Missed the rugby this morning lads but looks like a good one for most and thanks to South for pointing out the Crusaders -12.5 at Sunbet which I followed

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

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5 years 10 months ago #106 by Northerner
Replied by Northerner on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Just a quick note on the Aviva games tomorrow... I don’t know about other people but I’ll be going for over tries rather than over points. In the dead rubber games, the games that will be targeted, I can imagine very few penalties being attempted!
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5 years 10 months ago #107 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

Northerner wrote: Just a quick note on the Aviva games tomorrow... I don’t know about other people but I’ll be going for over tries rather than over points. In the dead rubber games, the games that will be targeted, I can imagine very few penalties being attempted!


I had exactly the same thought this week and I checked the past 5 years of Aviva round 22.
Apart from a game per year, most of them ended with 1 or 2 penalties scored so will be targeting first team try or total try rather than points depending on the cut obviously.
Weather will be perfect tomorrow in the UK (B)
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5 years 10 months ago - 5 years 10 months ago #108 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
First tryscorer I m going with is Ben Foden. He spent 10 years in the club, last game at home, all his team mates will do their best to make him score a last try

Ben Foden @2.05

Adding Banahan who played 12 seasons for Bath

Matt Banahan @ 2.40

Brits who played 9 seasons for Saracens

Schalk Brits @ 2.50
Last edit: 5 years 10 months ago by bradie82.
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5 years 10 months ago #109 by Cettas
Replied by Cettas on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
@Pierrebal & @ Shaft

SWD win 38-20 & Leopards lose 40-20

Nice calls (B)
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5 years 10 months ago #110 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Hurricanes -11.5 at 9/10 with Sunbet. :ohmy: Thank you, thank you, you're far too kind.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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5 years 10 months ago #111 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Thanks for the score update. Am in Zanzibar and the wife had been getting super pissed off with me asking for wifi the whole time!

Follow me on @kilianpierre

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5 years 10 months ago #112 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

hanrick wrote: Hurricanes -11.5 at 9/10 with Sunbet. :ohmy: Thank you, thank you, you're far too kind.


Have also taken Lions under 22.5 points at 17/20 with them.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 years 10 months ago #113 by slaterj
Replied by slaterj on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
I oppose them every week on here but fair play to Los Jaguares for this mornings effort against the Chiefs. Granted the Chiefs played a shocker but there's no papering over the cracks behind winning 4 on the bounce.. all away from home as well!

Unbelievable effort from the Jags

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5 years 10 months ago #114 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Double tomorrow am:

Lions pen before 55 min
Blues pen before 25:15 min

5/2

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5 years 10 months ago #115 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

Cettas wrote:

bradie82 wrote:
Racing v Agen – Agen players have been partying loads since they managed to secure their place in top14 for next season. Racing needs a win, a bonus try if possible but not sure what will be the squad as they’re playing Leinster the following week. Massive blow for them with the injury of Machenaud, the best scrum half in France this season, who will be out until 2019. This game will be played in Vannes, not in the U Arena but if the weather is good, massive over in perspective I reckon.

One thing to add. Oyonnax and Stade Francais might not be able to bring the best squad for the last game. The reason is that in France, you need a minimum of JIFF (players that have been trained in France in an academy for 3 years at least)on average during the season which both team did not respect.
If they don’t bring JIFF players on the last game, the could face a 2 points sanction on next season so this is to be kept in mind.


From Agen's twitter feed and my use of google translate it seems Agen are so happy to be safe for next season they will be sending a team composed of 23 JIFF players.


Unloaded on Racing. HT -10.5 and FT -20.5. Agen stuck to their tweets, academy side with only 2 starters from last week, their bench also weak. Racing playing a proper side.

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5 years 10 months ago #116 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

southpaw wrote: Double tomorrow am:

Lions pen before 55 min
Blues pen before 25:15 min

5/2


You became addict to that type of bet quickly South :P
Following you on the Lions penalty before 55"00
Hope Lions will attempt more than usual (less than 5 so far this season) and the wind will not be a huge problem

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5 years 10 months ago #117 by bradie82
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5 years 10 months ago #118 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Waratahs vs Blues over 55.5 points at 9/10. Two teams with x-factor players and Peyper the ref.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 years 10 months ago #119 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

hanrick wrote: Waratahs vs Blues over 55.5 points at 9/10. Two teams with x-factor players and Peyper the ref.


like this and have followed on points overs.

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5 years 10 months ago #120 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Hurricanes -11.5 main bet
1st tryscorer Julian Savea 9/1 (looking trim and fit for a change)

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5 years 10 months ago #121 by bamiam
Replied by bamiam on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Went Hurricanes - 11.5 and added a unit on 11 to 20

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5 years 10 months ago #122 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

southpaw wrote: Hurricanes -11.5 main bet
1st tryscorer Julian Savea 9/1 (looking trim and fit for a change)


added high Evans try min @ 12

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5 years 10 months ago #123 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

bradie82 wrote:

southpaw wrote: Double tomorrow am:

Lions pen before 55 min
Blues pen before 25:15 min

5/2


You became addict to that type of bet quickly South :P
Following you on the Lions penalty before 55"00
Hope Lions will attempt more than usual (less than 5 so far this season) and the wind will not be a huge problem


lol Bradie. Ran out of luck on it with Lions game but still enjoyable market to punt.

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5 years 10 months ago #124 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
eish poor result in the end and gave a fair bit back.

Over 55.5pts @ 17/20 in next game, following hanrick.
High Tahs shirts @ 45

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5 years 10 months ago #125 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Stormers v Bulls
Over 2.5 tries HT @ 1.72

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5 years 10 months ago #126 by Thrasher6
Replied by Thrasher6 on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Tars/Blues....This is becoming very frustrating...

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5 years 10 months ago #127 by TRYline
Replied by TRYline on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Why goes every 2nd half 0-0 when im on the over and the first half is very good.

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5 years 10 months ago #128 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Can't believe we only had 13 points in the 2nd half. Lots of games this year where the 1st half is much higher scoring than the 2nd.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 years 10 months ago #129 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Bulls to score more tries than Stormers at 13/10 (Bulls doesn't take 3 points), under 53.5 match points at 17/20 and Bulls to win the game at 13/10

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 years 10 months ago #130 by coil
Managed to get under Munster game at 49.5 yesterday , now 44.5 , no rain or anything , I just thought it will be tight , might just middles I'm not strong on this.

Going for Bulls later on but just waiting on the points to finalise bets , later on will be going under in Durban , ah shit as I write I see the game has kicked off already in CT ...grrrr
In play then ,

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5 years 10 months ago #131 by coil
Under 51.5 in running Bulls game.

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5 years 10 months ago #132 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Sharks to win the game and under 60.5 points at 3.36/1 and Highlanders under 30.5 points at 17/20

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 years 10 months ago #133 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Having a bit of a strike in the Sharks game - over 5.5 tries at 6/7 Sunbet

Humidity readings look lower than we sometimes get in Durban and I see other firms have 6.5 as the line

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5 years 10 months ago #134 by coil
Bulls under bet basically cancelled out by Bulls o/r bet , Stormers were very good and I under estimated them.

Going under 56.5 in Durban totals and going to punt the Sharks in running .

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5 years 10 months ago #135 by shaft
Replied by shaft on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
I'm on the Sharks +5.5 @ 9/10

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."

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5 years 10 months ago #136 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Over 7.5 tries @ Quins @ 1.80
Over 7.5 tries @ Northampton @1.80
Bath over 5.5 tries @ 2

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5 years 10 months ago #137 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Sharks over 24.5 @ 5/6
High JL du Preez try min @ 9

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5 years 10 months ago #138 by Chickendinner
Replied by Chickendinner on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Also on the sharks plus. Hoping for that famous second week syndrome.

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5 years 10 months ago #139 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Highlanders 1-12 @ 3.40

On Scarlets v Cheetahs - as well as the -12 I got earlier this week, I've got a strong feeling the Scarlets will finish over the top of the Cheetahs, so have taken some 2nd half cap of Scarlets -8

Also for interest MOTM Rob Evans @ 34

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5 years 10 months ago #140 by azzman
Replied by azzman on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

azzman wrote: Is it only me??? Thinking that if the Blues get one or two early balls to stick, they can actualy run riot over the Tahs.... I know they are not the most reliable team, but i cant help thinking about their previous games, so many oppertunities created, but some how always knocking the ball or missing the pass. If they can get a early ball to stick, and they get the 1st try, i can see them winning by 15... with the players they have, they cant be as bad as their recent results.
Call me crazy.... im having a decent 4units play on the Blues outright, and a 6units on the cap just to cover...

Taking some of this loot to have a 2 units on CHEETAHS outright at 4/1, and a 3 units on +15,5

Jesus is our only saviour

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5 years 10 months ago #141 by coil
Scarlets minus 13.5 and Racing Metro minus 21.5 , the last two bets of a long day.

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5 years 10 months ago #142 by slaterj
Replied by slaterj on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
What an absolutely appalling performance from the Landers. Fair play to the Sharks they've been great but the Landers have tanked this game in my opinion. Really unprofessional i'd be fuming if i was the coach

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5 years 10 months ago #143 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

bradie82 wrote: First tryscorer I m going with is Ben Foden. He spent 10 years in the club, last game at home, all his team mates will do their best to make him score a last try

Ben Foden @2.05

Adding Banahan who played 12 seasons for Bath

Matt Banahan @ 2.40

Brits who played 9 seasons for Saracens

Schalk Brits @ 2.50


2 out of 3 - not bad

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5 years 10 months ago #144 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

bradie82 wrote: Over 7.5 tries @ Quins @ 1.80
Over 7.5 tries @ Northampton @1.80
Bath over 5.5 tries @ 2


2 out of 3 but can t believe Saints did not score more and took penalties at the end of each half - in first half the have penalties after penalties, go to touch few times before taking the points while they have been destroying Worcester in scrum.
Then 2 minutes left - yellow for Worcester - and they take the three points :blink:
:sick: :sick:

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5 years 10 months ago #145 by coil
well played lads on the under and sharks , have taken Racing minus 21.5 and waiting to fire on Scarlets , hoping the kids will be in bed so can watch in peace :)

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5 years 10 months ago #146 by coil
also added toulon plus 9.5 , despite lots of players missing .

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5 years 10 months ago #147 by Thrasher6
Replied by Thrasher6 on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

bradie82 wrote:

bradie82 wrote: Over 7.5 tries @ Quins @ 1.80
Over 7.5 tries @ Northampton @1.80
Bath over 5.5 tries @ 2


2 out of 3 but can t believe Saints did not score more and took penalties at the end of each half - in first half the have penalties after penalties, go to touch few times before taking the points while they have been destroying Worcester in scrum.
Then 2 minutes left - yellow for Worcester - and they take the three points :blink:
:sick: :sick:


It ruined what could have been the nuts.....but it's a profit I suppose....

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5 years 10 months ago #148 by shaft
Replied by shaft on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Joining Scarlets -13.5

Cheetahs probably feel they've done well enough in their first Pro14

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."

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5 years 10 months ago #149 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby

slaterj wrote: What an absolutely appalling performance from the Landers. Fair play to the Sharks they've been great but the Landers have tanked this game in my opinion. Really unprofessional i'd be fuming if i was the coach


Agree with this. Was a hard watch. Played as if they were happy to come away with SA with just the one win.
Sharks excellent though - maybe those conference winner tickets are still alive lol

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5 years 10 months ago #150 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
Pressed the -13.5 at WSB - get in you Scarlets

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

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