Super Rugby Week 12, Pro 14 + other Rugby
- bradie82
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southpaw wrote:
hanrick wrote: Great morning for you South, well played mate! Nice early call on the Crusaders.
Also, well played on the penalty double! Wish we could get those markets with SA bookies. I know WSB offers it, but I don't regard them as a bookie as they don't want serious punters as clients.
cheers Hanrick, good going on Rebels pts!
It would be good if the pen market was more widely offered. It was my first go, credit to Bradie for his regular posting of his pen punts as has been catching my eye all the time.
I'm going to try a strategy this weekend of playing the 'before' market on every game on one side. See how it ends up come tomorrow night.
I m going to target this type of market as well but shame I'm restricted on SB as the try before 14"59 game and 19"59 team are golden compared to Bet365
But there is another market I have in mind for this week end is the anytime try scorer
Players like Ben Foden who have played more than years for the Saints, George North, .. and many other players are playing their last game for the club, and for some at home - I reckon their team mates will do anything for them to score a try
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- coil
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There was plus 6.5 the Blues earlier in the week and i was hoping for a little better , however it's shortened into plus 4.5 and on paper it's a crazy bet , the plus 4.5 and even more so the Blues, however I will hope for an early Waratah's score to possibly try get a bigger plus , while the return of Israel at 15 is a huge bonus I feel the Blues could possibly win this.
I'm in the Bull's camp in Cape Town and haven't rated the Stormers all season , hoping the visitors can put them in their place .
Lastly the hapless Sharks get a tentative vote from me in Durban , an awful team this season but I feel another upset ( chiefs vs jag's ) could be on the cards.
Have lumped on Munster vs Edinburgh under 49.5 points and will be following the Scarlets after that on the cap.
Looking forward to the points lines in the Aviva after reading the earlier thoughts in the week.
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- Overs_Punter
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- Overs_Punter
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- Brent Graham
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- Northerner
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- bradie82
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Northerner wrote: Just a quick note on the Aviva games tomorrow... I don’t know about other people but I’ll be going for over tries rather than over points. In the dead rubber games, the games that will be targeted, I can imagine very few penalties being attempted!
I had exactly the same thought this week and I checked the past 5 years of Aviva round 22.
Apart from a game per year, most of them ended with 1 or 2 penalties scored so will be targeting first team try or total try rather than points depending on the cut obviously.
Weather will be perfect tomorrow in the UK (B)
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- bradie82
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Ben Foden @2.05
Adding Banahan who played 12 seasons for Bath
Matt Banahan @ 2.40
Brits who played 9 seasons for Saracens
Schalk Brits @ 2.50
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- Cettas
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SWD win 38-20 & Leopards lose 40-20
Nice calls (B)
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- hanrick
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- Pierrebal
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- hanrick
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hanrick wrote: Hurricanes -11.5 at 9/10 with Sunbet. Thank you, thank you, you're far too kind.
Have also taken Lions under 22.5 points at 17/20 with them.
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- slaterj
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Unbelievable effort from the Jags
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- southpaw
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Lions pen before 55 min
Blues pen before 25:15 min
5/2
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- Pierrebal
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Cettas wrote:
bradie82 wrote:
Racing v Agen – Agen players have been partying loads since they managed to secure their place in top14 for next season. Racing needs a win, a bonus try if possible but not sure what will be the squad as they’re playing Leinster the following week. Massive blow for them with the injury of Machenaud, the best scrum half in France this season, who will be out until 2019. This game will be played in Vannes, not in the U Arena but if the weather is good, massive over in perspective I reckon.
One thing to add. Oyonnax and Stade Francais might not be able to bring the best squad for the last game. The reason is that in France, you need a minimum of JIFF (players that have been trained in France in an academy for 3 years at least)on average during the season which both team did not respect.
If they don’t bring JIFF players on the last game, the could face a 2 points sanction on next season so this is to be kept in mind.
From Agen's twitter feed and my use of google translate it seems Agen are so happy to be safe for next season they will be sending a team composed of 23 JIFF players.
Unloaded on Racing. HT -10.5 and FT -20.5. Agen stuck to their tweets, academy side with only 2 starters from last week, their bench also weak. Racing playing a proper side.
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- bradie82
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southpaw wrote: Double tomorrow am:
Lions pen before 55 min
Blues pen before 25:15 min
5/2
You became addict to that type of bet quickly South
Following you on the Lions penalty before 55"00
Hope Lions will attempt more than usual (less than 5 so far this season) and the wind will not be a huge problem
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- bradie82
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- hanrick
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- southpaw
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hanrick wrote: Waratahs vs Blues over 55.5 points at 9/10. Two teams with x-factor players and Peyper the ref.
like this and have followed on points overs.
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- southpaw
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1st tryscorer Julian Savea 9/1 (looking trim and fit for a change)
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- bamiam
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- southpaw
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southpaw wrote: Hurricanes -11.5 main bet
1st tryscorer Julian Savea 9/1 (looking trim and fit for a change)
added high Evans try min @ 12
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- southpaw
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bradie82 wrote:
southpaw wrote: Double tomorrow am:
Lions pen before 55 min
Blues pen before 25:15 min
5/2
You became addict to that type of bet quickly South
Following you on the Lions penalty before 55"00
Hope Lions will attempt more than usual (less than 5 so far this season) and the wind will not be a huge problem
lol Bradie. Ran out of luck on it with Lions game but still enjoyable market to punt.
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- southpaw
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Over 55.5pts @ 17/20 in next game, following hanrick.
High Tahs shirts @ 45
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- bradie82
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Over 2.5 tries HT @ 1.72
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- Thrasher6
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- TRYline
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- hanrick
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- hanrick
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- coil
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Going for Bulls later on but just waiting on the points to finalise bets , later on will be going under in Durban , ah shit as I write I see the game has kicked off already in CT ...grrrr
In play then ,
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- coil
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- hanrick
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- Brent Graham
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Humidity readings look lower than we sometimes get in Durban and I see other firms have 6.5 as the line
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- coil
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Going under 56.5 in Durban totals and going to punt the Sharks in running .
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- shaft
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- bradie82
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Over 7.5 tries @ Northampton @1.80
Bath over 5.5 tries @ 2
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- southpaw
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High JL du Preez try min @ 9
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- Chickendinner
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- Brad Breath
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On Scarlets v Cheetahs - as well as the -12 I got earlier this week, I've got a strong feeling the Scarlets will finish over the top of the Cheetahs, so have taken some 2nd half cap of Scarlets -8
Also for interest MOTM Rob Evans @ 34
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- azzman
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Taking some of this loot to have a 2 units on CHEETAHS outright at 4/1, and a 3 units on +15,5azzman wrote: Is it only me??? Thinking that if the Blues get one or two early balls to stick, they can actualy run riot over the Tahs.... I know they are not the most reliable team, but i cant help thinking about their previous games, so many oppertunities created, but some how always knocking the ball or missing the pass. If they can get a early ball to stick, and they get the 1st try, i can see them winning by 15... with the players they have, they cant be as bad as their recent results.
Call me crazy.... im having a decent 4units play on the Blues outright, and a 6units on the cap just to cover...
Jesus is our only saviour
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- coil
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- slaterj
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- bradie82
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bradie82 wrote: First tryscorer I m going with is Ben Foden. He spent 10 years in the club, last game at home, all his team mates will do their best to make him score a last try
Ben Foden @2.05
Adding Banahan who played 12 seasons for Bath
Matt Banahan @ 2.40
Brits who played 9 seasons for Saracens
Schalk Brits @ 2.50
2 out of 3 - not bad
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- bradie82
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bradie82 wrote: Over 7.5 tries @ Quins @ 1.80
Over 7.5 tries @ Northampton @1.80
Bath over 5.5 tries @ 2
2 out of 3 but can t believe Saints did not score more and took penalties at the end of each half - in first half the have penalties after penalties, go to touch few times before taking the points while they have been destroying Worcester in scrum.
Then 2 minutes left - yellow for Worcester - and they take the three points
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- coil
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- coil
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- Thrasher6
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bradie82 wrote:
bradie82 wrote: Over 7.5 tries @ Quins @ 1.80
Over 7.5 tries @ Northampton @1.80
Bath over 5.5 tries @ 2
2 out of 3 but can t believe Saints did not score more and took penalties at the end of each half - in first half the have penalties after penalties, go to touch few times before taking the points while they have been destroying Worcester in scrum.
Then 2 minutes left - yellow for Worcester - and they take the three points
It ruined what could have been the nuts.....but it's a profit I suppose....
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- shaft
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Cheetahs probably feel they've done well enough in their first Pro14
"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- Brad Breath
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slaterj wrote: What an absolutely appalling performance from the Landers. Fair play to the Sharks they've been great but the Landers have tanked this game in my opinion. Really unprofessional i'd be fuming if i was the coach
Agree with this. Was a hard watch. Played as if they were happy to come away with SA with just the one win.
Sharks excellent though - maybe those conference winner tickets are still alive lol
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- Brent Graham
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