Wimbledon 2018

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5 years 8 months ago #1 by mackem
Wimbledon 2018 was created by mackem
Wimbledon 2018 is underway, appreciate some of the forum members like their tennis punting so all tips for this tournament are most welcome here

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5 years 8 months ago #2 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
A multiple to start with...
The choices are more or less self explanatory.

Brazil to qualify
Belgium to qualify
Gilles Muller
Cilic
Federer
Raonic

Total odds @2.00

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5 years 8 months ago #3 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
G Muller vs Mmoh
Muller -4.5 @1.81

Cilic vs Nishioka, Under 29 games @1.87

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5 years 8 months ago #4 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Wimbledon 2018
Kick off with a few outrights as per usual
All to win
Cilic @ 8/1
Raonic @ 28/1
Kerber @ 14/1

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5 years 8 months ago #5 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Mannarino + Millman + Dimitrov @2.11

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5 years 8 months ago #6 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Tomic + Nishikori + Gulbis + Lopez + A Zverev @2.00

Vesely + Lopez + A Zverev + Kyrgios + Nadal @2.00

Vesely -3.5@1.83
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5 years 8 months ago #7 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Wimbledon 2018
Schwartzman + Verdasco + Edmund (3-0) @ 4/1

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5 years 8 months ago #8 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Gulbis vs Clarke over 34.5 @1.83

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5 years 8 months ago #9 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Pouille -5.5 @1.90
Pouille 3-0 @2.25

Pouille + Mannarino + Querrey @2.10

Pouille + Mannarino + Monfils + Fed + Cilic @2.08

Pouille + Medvedev + Monfils + Fed + Anderson @2.38

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5 years 8 months ago #10 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Kohlschreiber vs Muller over 39.5 games @1.83

Double
Tsitsipas vs Donaldson over 3.5 sets
Kohlschreiber vs Muller over 3.5 sets

Odds 2.10

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5 years 8 months ago #11 by Roger Rabbit
Replied by Roger Rabbit on topic Wimbledon 2018
Fabbiano vs Wawrinka

Stan started the match at 0.3/1 Favorite yesterday.

the match is currently in running, Fabbiano is up 2 -0. The score is 5-6 40/40 in the third. rain stopped play yesterday. i can't see Stan winning the 3rd set and coming back to win the match.

Fabbiano to win 3-0
Fabbiano to win the match

odds are not available yet but il get on as soon as the market opens, i imagine the 3-0 will be close to 3.5/1
and the win 0.5/1

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5 years 8 months ago #12 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Del Potro vs Lopez

Both players are in good form and won their first round matches 3-0.
Del Potro played a semifinal here a few years ago, losing to Djokovic.
Lopez likes to play on grass, it is his favourite surface.
H2H is 4-3 to Del Potro.

I think we should have a long match.

Bet: over 40 games @1.82
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5 years 8 months ago #13 by Roger Rabbit
Replied by Roger Rabbit on topic Wimbledon 2018
comfortable win for Fabbiano , i hope some members managed to get on :)
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5 years 8 months ago #14 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Wimbledon 2018
Expecting a close contest in this one
Isner v Albot
Over 39.5 games @ 9/10
5 Sets @ 7/2
One never knows which Monfils will arrive - maybe the one that plays tennis and is good for a set
Querrey v Monfils
Querrey win 3-1 @ 28/10
(and if not Querrey first set 6-0 @ 125/1)

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5 years 8 months ago #15 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Mannarino vs Medvedev over 39.5 @1.83

Novak vs Raonic over 34.5 @1.83

Isner vs Albot over 38.5 @1.80

Fed vs Struff under 29.5 @1.83

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5 years 8 months ago #16 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Wimbledon 2018
Can't pick a bet for love nor money and, amazingly, lost Cilic yesterday. Only one for me today
Gulbis v Zverev
Over 3.5 sets @ 9/10

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5 years 8 months ago #17 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Wimbledon 2018
Federer under 28.5 games 9/10, and Anderson to win 7/10.

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5 years 8 months ago #18 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018

Pierrebal wrote: Federer under 28.5 games 9/10, and Anderson to win 7/10.

I'm afraid to take these two bets because:

1. Mannarino is good on grass, it's his preferred surface. In an interview he said he will try to beat Federer.
Yes, h2h is crushing in favour of Fed.

2. Monfils is 5-0 up against Anderson. Ok, none of them on grass, but he has just beaten another big server, Querrey, who also plays well on grass.

I'll see how I feel later, may be I'll still follow you here ;)

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5 years 8 months ago - 5 years 8 months ago #19 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Ostapenko + Cibulkova @2.10

Pliskova vs Bertens over 21.5 @1.83
Last edit: 5 years 8 months ago by Quill. Reason: Added another bet

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5 years 8 months ago #20 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Mannarino +8.5 @1.90

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5 years 8 months ago #21 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
I'm trying to write a preview for my Mannarino bet and the site gives me an error.
It says "Kunena error. Contact the administrator. "

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5 years 8 months ago #22 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Wimbledon 2018

Quill wrote: I'm trying to write a preview for my Mannarino bet and the site gives me an error.
It says "Kunena error. Contact the administrator. "


Sorry Quill Ive been away from my computer since this morning and only saw this now. I wish I could offer an explanation but if it happens again please drop me a mail to This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. with as much detail as possible .

Apologies for the inconvenience

twitter: @goodforthegame
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5 years 8 months ago #23 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Wimbledon 2018
Ladies tennis today - have to say with the big names out my picks are more on form and tournament stats that anything else.

Bertens / Goerges - 9/10 match.
Bertens, been very consistent with only one match against Venus going to a third set tie break - she has hit 28 aces so far - third highest.
Goerges, similar to Bertens although having dropped one set more, she has hit 42 aces, highest in the tournament.
Head to head, Bertens leads 2-0, although both games were on clay.

I've been reading to the previews and all points to a tight match with both good at defending their own serve (and hitting aces) - main pick over 21.5 games 7/10 and smaller interest over 10.5 games first set 23/10.

Kasatkina 17/10 v Kerber 9/20
Kasatkina, has gotten through fairly easily, only dropping one set. Kerber has a similar record and both ladies completed their matches yesterday. Head to head, is 3-3 all, with the most recent meeting (and only on grass) being a couple of weeks with Kerber winning over three sets.

This match is screaming for overs, and over 20.5 @ 7/10 looks good, with a small bet on a three set match 27/20.

Williams 1/5 v Giorgi 67/20
Williams has been impressive so far not dropping a set, whereas Giorgi has dropped two. Head to head, Williams also leads 3-0 and all points towards another win for her. To be honest I've never seen Giorgi play and from what I read she blows hot and cold and is very unpredictable.

Picking Serena to win in two sets should be the logical option here but the game lines 13/20 over 19.5 / 23/20 under 19.5 suggest a closer match. Taking a tentative Giorgi +4.5 games @ 19/20.

Cibulkova 11/10 v Ostapenko 7/10
Both ladies came made it to the quarter finals without dropping a set. Cibulkova leads the head to head 2-0 (one of grass) - Ostapenko won the tournament at Eastbourne which probably makes the favourite.

Betting suggests another tight one and this time I'm going to stay away from the games and back Ostapenko outright to win @ 7/10. Think she brings in a lot of momentum and is due a win against Cibulkova since she the loss in grass at the age of 19.

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5 years 8 months ago #24 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
I like the overs in all matches except Serena vs Giorgi.

Serena @1.20 is a bit high for the kind of favourite she is, so I'm going for Giorgi +4.5 as well.

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5 years 8 months ago #25 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Wimbledon 2018
Ostapenko in but hard fought one, Kasatkina was disappointing but I'll take 21 games any day - lost out on the three sets though. Have an 3/1 acca alive with Bertens / Georges over 23.5.

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5 years 8 months ago #26 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Wimbledon 2018
In the end a good day yesterday with 5/6 including the acca coming in, pity I gave some away on woman's cricket.

Men's quarters today

Federer 1/14 v Anderson 29/4
Federer has won 32 sets in a row, never lost serve, and only faced four break points this year. Anderson has had to fight in each match he has played and the last was over three hours, four sets, 51 games, and three tie-breaks.

Head to head Federer leads 4-0, all won in straight sets, with closest Anderson coming was going down 5-7 in a set. For me Anderson is a one-trick pony, he has a strong serve and not much variation after that.

I am going for decent strike on under 32.5 games 23/20 - I can't see Anderson's serve or holding 5 / 6 consecutive serves against Federer.

Djokovic 1/8 v Nishikori 19/4
Djokovic has had a very good tournament, dropping only one set - his matches averaging 27.75 games. Nishikori has had to fight hard with three of his four matches going to four sets.

Head to head, Djokovic leads 14-2 and you have to go back to 2014 for a Nishikori win.

Total games is set at 35.5 - I think this is way to high and implies at two tie breaks or four sets (2/1 quote). So I will be going under 35.5 @ 15/20

Raonic 13/20 v Isner 12/10
Both players have had similar run to the quarters with both players dropping sets twice. Isner leads in aces with 135 and has not lost a serve, Raonic is rated second in aces with 117.

They've met four times in the past with Isner winning in three occasions.

The bookies expect a long match with games set at 46.5 and four sets lowest at 15/10. I think this is a match for in-play, but for a small bet I'm going for the first set not to end in a tie-break - under 12.5 games 7/4.

Nadal 7/20 v Del Potro 21/10
Nadal has breezed through the tournament, winning all matches in straight sets at an average of 27 games per match. Del Potro also started by winning all his matches in three sets until the last 16 match which ran over 2 days, 4.5 hours, and four sets with three tie-breaks.

Head to head Nadal leads 10-5, with the most recent match in the French Open SF, 6-4, 6-1, 6-2. Although Clay is Nadal's domain, the French Open followed a similar pattern for Del Potro with a very long quarter final against Cilic only to go down quickly against Nadal.

Games are set at 40.5 and I think that will be too much against a well rested and on form Nadal. Going under 40.5 @ 8/10

Cheers

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5 years 8 months ago #27 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Ostapenko vs Kerber

Both players come into this match in great form.
Kerber lost only one set so far, while Ostapenko won all 5 matches in straight sets.

Kerber has 41 wins this season.
Ostapenko lost only 32 games in her 5 matches here, the fewest of all four players left in the competition.

Kerber needed 7 match points to beat Kasatkina.

I think this is going to be a long one and Ostapenko will at least keep it close.

Bet 1: Over 21.5 games @1.82
Bet 2: Ostapenko +3.5 @1.83

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5 years 8 months ago #28 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Wimbledon 2018
Goerges vs S Williams

These two players met recently at the French Open.
Serena won 2-0 in 1hr 16 min.
While she's been playing better and better since her return, and is in a familiar position on familiar territory, for Goerges is something entirely different, as it is the first time that she got so far at a Grand Slam tournament.

Bet: Williams (-1.5 sets) @1.78

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5 years 8 months ago #29 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Wimbledon 2018
Thanks Quill,

I got rolled yesterday in the end - was already counting money with Federer on match point.

Following you on both in the Ostapenko game - really rate her. As for Williams I went against her in the last round and she started slowly, Görges has a mean serve but don't think she can win but will take some service games. Think I'm going to take her on +4.5 games @ 15/20

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5 years 8 months ago #30 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Wimbledon 2018
Ostapenko moved to +2.5, so I ended up only taking the overs. Good luck!

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5 years 8 months ago #31 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Wimbledon 2018
Looks like Djoko is running into some form and he has the better grass court game
Djokovic v Nadal
Djoko win 3-1 @ 15/4

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5 years 8 months ago #32 by Roger Rabbit
Replied by Roger Rabbit on topic Wimbledon 2018
It was a phenomenal performance by Kevin Anderson to take out the fed express , He has progressed steadily over the last few years andI’m sure his confidence must be at an all time high. It will be a spectacular Sunday if I’m able to cheer home Kevin before the World Cup final.

I really believe he has what it takes to win today . So a healthy strike on Anderson @.95/1

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5 years 8 months ago #33 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Wimbledon 2018
Andersen v Isner
Under 47.5 games @ evens

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5 years 8 months ago #34 by Zambusta
Replied by Zambusta on topic Wimbledon 2018

The Vann wrote: Andersen v Isner
Under 47.5 games @ evens


Was that bet for the 5th set?? :ohmy:

What a crazy match!
They have to change this 5th set rule, it's ridiculous...entertaining but ridiculous.

Kevin is going to be stuffed on Sunday!
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5 years 8 months ago #35 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Wimbledon 2018

The Vann wrote: Andersen v Isner
Under 47.5 games @ evens


Vann it is at times like this that you are thankful you were not playing the spreads :lol:

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5 years 8 months ago #36 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Wimbledon 2018

Brent Graham wrote:

The Vann wrote: Andersen v Isner
Under 47.5 games @ evens


Vann it is at times like this that you are thankful you were not playing the spreads :lol:

A beautifully researched punt and, at 5-3 in the 3rd with Andersen serving for the set and the book begging for mercy The Vann hung tough and got his bollocks handed to him on a silver platter:woohoo:

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5 years 8 months ago #37 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Wimbledon 2018

The Vann wrote: Kick off with a few outrights as per usual
to win
Kerber @ 14/1


Well that makes up for the tiny blemish on the mens semi.

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5 years 8 months ago #38 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Wimbledon 2018
LOL well played Vann

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5 years 8 months ago #39 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Wimbledon 2018
A little bit patriotic but taking a bit of rugby profits onto Anderson @ 4.25/1.

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5 years 8 months ago #40 by Roger Rabbit
Replied by Roger Rabbit on topic Wimbledon 2018
I am with you Southpaw. i have taken the double , Anderson & Croatia to lift the cup @ 13/1

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