Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other

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1 month 2 weeks ago #1 by Brent Graham
Ok lads a full weekend of rugby ahead with the Rugby Champs back, the Currie Cup continuing and plenty of European and New Zealand domestic action.

Rugby Champs
Here are the caps for this weeks games

New Zealand -27.5 v Argentina
Australia -5.5 v SA

Currie Cup

There was drama in the Free State v Sharks game last weekend with Betx coming out -15.5 Sharks, probably not realising it was a Free State B team - the money flew into the minus and the line started at around 30 points (WSB opened +45.5) and Betx were left smiling when the Sharks barely won the game

Here are my projected caps for this weekend

Sharks -21.5 v Pumas
Griquas +10.5 v Bulls
Lions -33.5 v Cheetahs

Will take a look at the Pro 14 later

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1 month 2 weeks ago - 1 month 2 weeks ago #2 by MrMeeseeks86
Replied by MrMeeseeks86 on topic Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other
Looks good Brent thanks! Think people are giving the Currie Cup Cheetahs B...or C team too little credit. I would guess more around -22.5 for the Lions v Cheetahs game but the rest look about right to me.

Already took a healthy helping of Australia -4.5 @2.00 when it came out. I'm still a bit more conflicted on the NZ game as Argentina can be very stubborn.
Last edit: 1 month 2 weeks ago by MrMeeseeks86.

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1 month 2 weeks ago #3 by mackem
Here's a heads up on the latest Currie Cup outright betting from Sunbet who now have Western Province as favourites

www.goodforthegame.co.za/Currie-Cup-2018...e-3rd-september.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 2 weeks ago #4 by mackem
Rugby Champs New Zealand v Argentina preview ..

goodforthegame.co.za/Rugby-Championship/...betting-preview.html

Not considering this a banker by any means but happy to put this up very early as I will battle to form an opinion on the full time cap.

I like half time handicap, Arg +13.5 points, 9/10 at WSB

Comments welccome

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1 month 2 weeks ago #5 by NicG
I've taken 2nd half as the Highest Scoring Half for the NZ vs Arg game @ 0.83 on WSB

Arg should be on a high after their win and will hopefully keep it tight for the first 30 min or so.

NZ have started slow this year and then pull away during the 2nd half when they simply switch gears

This bet has been successful every time I've taken it this year, hoping for more of the same :-)
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1 month 2 weeks ago #6 by hanrick
Have taken Waikato +11.5 at 9/10. The Wellington team that was announced certainly won't shoot any lights out and happy to take a double digit start on the Mooloos at home.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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1 month 2 weeks ago #7 by Wies Bang

hanrick wrote: Have taken Waikato +11.5 at 9/10. The Wellington team that was announced certainly won't shoot any lights out and happy to take a double digit start on the Mooloos at home.


Thanks Hanrick , have taken +10.5 @ Betx.

Wellington resting some key players for the second fixture in the round.

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1 month 2 weeks ago #8 by hanrick
Having a go at Australia again this weekend. Neither team has been impressive, but Australia has impressed me more than the Boks so far. Have seen the Boks probable team and for me it’s a few steps backwards from the previous two tests’ teams. Then there is also the Brisbane factor, Australia’s best performing venue.



Boks have started slowly and Australia has started solidly against NZ in both tests. With that in mind I’m taking Australia -2.5 halftime handicap at 9/10 and Australia halftime/fulltime at even money.



Then also Australia -4.5 fulltime handicap at 0.89/1.



Not sure who the ref is yet, but with the Boks’ defensive frailties out wide I will also look at Australia overs.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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1 month 2 weeks ago #9 by ThoughtsOnSports
Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other
Have followed on Waikato +11.5. The Wellington team is underwhelming and other bookies have the cap at 6.5. I see the Pro 14 caps are out. Cardiff are looking strong this season so eyeing out the -3.5 on them. Elsewhere, the Cheetahs +21.5 against Ospreys.
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1 month 2 weeks ago #10 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other
Not sure if I missed any action today but WSB handicaps to the right of mine in brackets

Sharks -21.5 v Pumas (-21.5)
Griquas +10.5 v Bulls (+11.5)
Lions -33.5 v Cheetahs (-28.5)

Will look around a bit but reckon the Lions can beat that handicap

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1 month 2 weeks ago #11 by Quill
Waikato over 2.5 tries @1.76

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1 month 2 weeks ago #12 by hanrick

hanrick wrote: Having a go at Australia again this weekend. Neither team has been impressive, but Australia has impressed me more than the Boks so far. Have seen the Boks probable team and for me it’s a few steps backwards from the previous two tests’ teams. Then there is also the Brisbane factor, Australia’s best performing venue.



Boks have started slowly and Australia has started solidly against NZ in both tests. With that in mind I’m taking Australia -2.5 halftime handicap at 9/10 and Australia halftime/fulltime at even money.



Then also Australia -4.5 fulltime handicap at 0.89/1.



Not sure who the ref is yet, but with the Boks’ defensive frailties out wide I will also look at Australia overs.


Glen Jackson is the ref, so there goes my overs play out of the window.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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1 month 2 weeks ago #13 by mackem
Many thanks to Oracle for his weekend Rugby Championship plays

www.goodforthegame.co.za/Oracle/oracle-r...round-3-preview.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 2 weeks ago #14 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other
GG
Under 50.5 points
Wellington Under 28.5 points

Then took big stab on the +11.5 Waikato with Hollies, taken small cover on the -6 Wellies

Firmly in the Mooloo camp!

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!

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1 month 2 weeks ago #15 by mackem
Sharks v Pumas Currie Cup preview

www.goodforthegame.co.za/Currie-Cup-2018...betting-preview.html

Hesitant on this one but eventually sides with small bet on Pumas +22.5 points, 9/10 BetXchange

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 2 weeks ago #16 by landrews77
Replied by landrews77 on topic Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other
Ausies vs SA - I take with confidence AUS -6,5 after i heard rumours who will come off the bench and who gonna start. There is no way how the Boks will beat this AUS loose trio to the breakdown. The Aus's also apply offside line pressure defence, as can be seen against the AB's. The Boks don't know how to deal with it.Normally the Boks start slow , in contrast with the AUS who play a type of fast game with a solid defence in 1st half. Machem's Halftime -2,5 also appeal. In a nutshell ,the Ausies will win by 7 points and more.

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1 month 2 weeks ago #17 by Cettas
Leicester Tigers v Newcastle

Tigers coach got the boot this week, might disrupt their prep for the week.

Newcastle +7.5 @ 1.8

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1 month 2 weeks ago #18 by Quill
Canterbury vs Manawatu
Canterbury over 5.5 tries @1.65

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1 month 2 weeks ago #19 by hanrick
Manawatu under 17.5 points at 0.89/1

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1 month 2 weeks ago #20 by mackem
Wallabies v Boks Rugby Champs preview

www.goodforthegame.co.za/Rugby-Champions...betting-preview.html

5 units (of 10) Aus -5.5 points

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 2 weeks ago #21 by mackem
Many thanks to Oracle for his weekend Currie Cup previews

www.goodforthegame.co.za/Oracle/oracle-r...round-4-preview.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 2 weeks ago #22 by MrMeeseeks86
Replied by MrMeeseeks86 on topic Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other
I know people are going to think I'm crazy, I might be, but I took Cheetahs +22.5 at 2.5

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1 month 2 weeks ago #23 by mackem
Really struggling to find any confidence in calling these Currie Cup matches this week.

Griquas v Blue Bulls preview ..

www.goodforthegame.co.za/Currie-Cup-2018...betting-preview.html

3 units Griquas +13.5 points 17/20 Sunbet

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 2 weeks ago #24 by mackem
Last up, Lions v Cheetahs Currie Cup preview ..

www.goodforthegame.co.za/Currie-Cup-2018...betting-preview.html

2 units, Golden Lions -27.5 points at 9/10 WSB

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 2 weeks ago #25 by bradie82
Prod2
Oyonnax vs Bayonne

Oyonnax over 3.5 tries @ 1.83
Oyonnax race 30 @ 1.90

Bayonne does not bring its best team and Oyonnax at home on its synthetic pitch and with Botica should score quite loads

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1 month 2 weeks ago #26 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other
"THE HANDICAP" our weekly rugby betting show is live at 21h00 and I will be joined by Oracle Rugby and Couch Critic


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

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1 month 2 weeks ago #27 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other
Anyone strong an anything in the Northern Hem this weekend thats worth a mention on the show?

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1 month 2 weeks ago - 1 month 2 weeks ago #28 by southpaw
SA to win 2nd half @ 6/4 really appeals to me. (Sunbet).

Boks have been much better 2nd half of late whereas it's the opposite for Aussies, their conditioning looked suspect vs All Blacks. Also prefer look of Boks bench to Aus, Marx + Pollard as well as the 2 props look good replacements to make a positive difference.

May also look at the HT/FT Aus/SA also i'm also worried Boks sloppy start could leave too big a gap to chase down.

Twitter @southpawZA
Last edit: 1 month 2 weeks ago by southpaw.

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1 month 2 weeks ago #29 by Thrasher6
Northampton -5 (v Harlequins). Very bullish about Northampton making Franklin Gardens a fortress this season

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1 month 2 weeks ago #30 by Quill
Otago vs Northland
Otago (-7) @1.81

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1 month 2 weeks ago #31 by Quill

Quill wrote: Otago vs Northland
Otago (-7) @1.81

Over 55.5 points @1.80
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1 month 2 weeks ago #32 by hanrick
Auckland to win the game at 15/10 and under 57.5 match points at 17/20

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1 month 2 weeks ago #33 by Murfin
Thanks Hanrick, I would like to follow those. Which bookie are you getting those lines from?

Jesus Saves

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1 month 2 weeks ago #34 by hanrick
The 15/10 at Supabets and the under 57.5 available at GG Gaming or Sportingbet

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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1 month 2 weeks ago #35 by southpaw
Bets for weekend so far:

NZ -14.5 2nd half cap @ just under evens
SA 2nd half win @ 15/10
Exeter -1.5 @ 5/6

all Sunbet.

Also looking for best SA 2nd half pts line.

Twitter @southpawZA

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1 month 2 weeks ago #36 by shaft
Sunbet go 63.5 points in the Sharks game. I want what they're on.

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."

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1 month 2 weeks ago #37 by hanrick

shaft wrote: Sunbet go 63.5 points in the Sharks game. I want what they're on.


Managed to get under 64.5 with them and also Pumas under 22.5. Love that Pumas unders.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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1 month 2 weeks ago #38 by shaft

hanrick wrote:

shaft wrote: Sunbet go 63.5 points in the Sharks game. I want what they're on.


Managed to get under 64.5 with them and also Pumas under 22.5. Love that Pumas unders.


I'd be surprised if the total reaches 50.

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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1 month 2 weeks ago #39 by bradie82
Shaft, Hanrick, may I ask you why you both are on the under points on the Sharks v Pumas game please? Forecast only?

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1 month 2 weeks ago #40 by hanrick

bradie82 wrote: Shaft, Hanrick, may I ask you why you both are on the under points on the Sharks v Pumas game please? Forecast only?


No, forecast had nothing to do with the bet for me. Would have gone unders even if it was an afternoon game in perfect conditions. Games at the coast (Durban and Cape Town) are just normally lower scoring.

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1 month 2 weeks ago #41 by shaft
Bradie, as an overs punter I honestly don't think this a game you should get involved in. The Sharks follow the same pattern every year. After an underwhelming performance they tighten up their defence. I think tomorrow's Currie Cup games will have buckets of points

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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1 month 2 weeks ago #42 by bradie82
Hanrick, Shaft,
Thanks for your comments
Shaft, I know I m an overs punters and to be honest with you, I hate taking unders especially if I watch the game as I want to see tries, offloads, … and not push for a forward pass and scrums to be set up :sick:
But on that game, you both convinced me to go ahead with the under so just hope I won’t be the black cat and that the game will end up with 100 points :silly:

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1 month 2 weeks ago #43 by Thrasher6
All over the two pluses in the Pro 14 tonight...Munster +7...Edinburgh +5.
Not sure Glasgow will be the force they were last year...Rennie is getting itchy feet already....and I'm sweet on Edinburgh this season and I'm not convinced about Ulster (yet...although a very good win last week)
And get on Northampton -5
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1 month 2 weeks ago #44 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other

Thrasher6 wrote: All over the two pluses in the Pro 14 tonight...Munster +7...Edinburgh +5.
Not sure Glasgow will be the force they were last year...Rennie is getting itchy feet already....and I'm sweet on Edinburgh this season and I'm not convinced about Ulster (yet...although a very good win last week)
And get on Northampton -5


Agree re Edinburgh, as well as the +5 I've taken some Edinburgh win at 2.90

Will follow on Northampton -5 too, I see there's still some left at Sportingbet

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1 month 2 weeks ago #45 by southpaw
Saints -5.5 @ 5/6
Saints over 27.5 @ 19/20
Htft saints/saints @ 17/20

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1 month 2 weeks ago #46 by Stoossy
ISRAEL Folau has joined David Pocock on the sidelines for the South Africa Test, prompting a three-position reshuffle for the Aussies.

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1 month 2 weeks ago #47 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby Champs Wk 3, Currie Cup Wk 4, Pro14 + other
We are doing a pre Rugby Champs show and this will be a big topic of discussion at 08h00


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1 month 2 weeks ago #48 by Eduard
Egon Seconds is the ref in the Griquas v Bulls game and he never fails to hand out a yellow card. He issued at least one in all of his last 7 games. WSB offers the usual 45c for a yellow to issued. I've combined this with under 9.5 tries in the NZ v Arg game @ 65c. Since 2012, this bet would've lost only once in all the NZ home games (1/16) - 5 tries each in the Aus game in 2017. This also failed only once in all of Arg away games (1/18) - when SA beat them 73-13 (9-1 try count). Throughout the competition the only other instance 10 or more tries were scored was Aus v NZ 34-54 (4-8 try count)

The double is available @ 1.39
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1 month 2 weeks ago #49 by southpaw

southpaw wrote: Bets for weekend so far:

NZ -14.5 2nd half cap @ just under evens
SA 2nd half win @ 15/10
Exeter -1.5 @ 5/6

all Sunbet.

Also looking for best SA 2nd half pts line.


Keeping main bet 2nd half cap and adding for small exotics interest -

1st try Taylor 18/1
1st away try Creevy 15/2

Just caught recording of this mornings show, good stuff guys and I echo sentiment re Sunbet, best place to punt right now for me, in play options also a stand out.

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1 month 2 weeks ago #50 by coil
Just managed to get home and will have an interest on Argentina plus 14.5 at ht and 2nd half highest scoring

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