Super Rugby Week 13 plus other Rugby

Bit late getting up, on Jags +7.5 2nd half cap taken yesterday.

It is apparently very humid in Hamilton and expect a closed first half

Under 26.5 @ 1.85 (Bwin)

hanrick wrote: Also having a big strike on the Chiefs under 28.5 points at 8/10

Have added under 6.5 tries at evens, Sharks +5.5 at evens and Sharks to win the game at 18/10

Sharks over 10.5 1st half pts 10/11

Going for huge shite fest , under 6.5 tries , under 22.5 shark points , under 50.5 total , under 27.( Chief points , fancy chiefs to sneak it

bradie82 wrote: It is apparently very humid in Hamilton and expect a closed first half

Under 26.5 @ 1.85 (Bwin)

Adding under 3.5 tries HT @ 1.62 (Unibet)

Lions -6.5 @ 8/11
Lions over 16.5 1st half points 8/10
Lions over 34.5 points 9/10

3pm kick off, Altitude, Seconds Ref, Lions woeful defense, stars have aligned

Tahs over 25.5 @ 9/10

hanrick wrote:

hanrick wrote: Also having a big strike on the Chiefs under 28.5 points at 8/10

Have added under 6.5 tries at evens, Sharks +5.5 at evens and Sharks to win the game at 18/10

Such small margins. 1 point less for Chiefs and the Chiefs unders and Shark plus come off and it's a very profitable game for me. Ended up a big loss and am well down for the weekend.

Going to fire hard into the Waratahs to recover.

Phew, that was ugly , like Hanrick only the under 6.5 tries helped .... went under at 50.5 total, under sharks at 22.5 and chief and 27.5 ... that final chiefs try was awesome but heart breaking to watch.

Can't make up my mind in the next , it screams points but think the spread is right .... like the Lions with whitely leading them but I want to punt the Tahs plus but I don't rate them although I do liek their starting XV which could well battle in the scrums LOL .... confused yet ??

I was on the other side of the Chiefs points, had over 27.5 and took over 29.5 at halftime. So mixed bag. Onto the Lions for me.

Lions over 16.5 halftime
Lions over 32 and then 33 later in the morning.
Schoeman anytime 16/10 and last 16/1

Leinster vs Saracens

1 bet for fun while watching the game

Drop goal @ 4.5

Waratahs over 24.5 points at 17/20 and Waratahs +9.5 at 9/10

Total points over 58.5

Waratahs over 25.5

And in the Heineken Cup final later
Saracens 1-12 @ 2.75

Lions - 8.5 @ 6/4 ( in play HT )

so this game stays under.

good luck if you still try to beat normal "sportsbooks"

TRYline wrote: so this game stays under.

good luck if you still try to beat normal "sportsbooks"

Game of 2 halves like soooo many this year. Points in the 1st half and then you fire unders at halftime, but punters find it tough taking unders.

hanrick wrote:

TRYline wrote: so this game stays under.

good luck if you still try to beat normal "sportsbooks"

Game of 2 halves like soooo many this year. Points in the 1st half and then you fire unders at halftime, but punters find it tough taking unders.

This is not the Lions of the previous 3 years, but punters still punt them as if they are.

Gave a bit back there with 1/3 bets landing but was a bit heavier on lions half cap as also been noticing that 2nd half trend where things tighten up. Same reason for sharks ht punt.

Been a good weekend so far so will have an interest in final in Newcastle -

Leinster over 8.5 1st half
Leinster over 17.5 ft
Both 9/10

bradie82 wrote: Leinster vs Saracens

1 bet for fun while watching the game

Drop goal @ 4.5

Adding over 5.5 penalties @ 1.66 - I see both team kicking every single penalties

Lovely game that - Lions will get thumped my landers next week in Joburg.

Under 38.5 points in the final @ 17/20

hanrick wrote:

TRYline wrote: so this game stays under.

good luck if you still try to beat normal "sportsbooks"

Game of 2 halves like soooo many this year. Points in the 1st half and then you fire unders at halftime, but punters find it tough taking unders.

Well valid point.

If you are still able to bet on sportsbooks which let you bet on rugby union inplay.

So you fire under 77.5 or smth like that at ht, thats fine. Or you would have taken under 60.5 at halftime too?

But if you are on over 60.5 with no chance to hedge or whatsoever, its just frustrating not to win after that 1st half.

So its better to stop betting if you can not get on, on the trash books anymore who offer everything live. Asians just too tough to beat on the long run.

Under 3.5 tries at 8/10 in the Leinster/Saracens game

I'm in a pub with rabid Irishmen who assure me that this game is a shoe in. Who am I to argue.

Leinster 1-12 @ 9/5

mackem wrote: Super Rugby preview picks are 6 from 6, dodgy call on Sunday game but a chance of a first full house for the season. Good luck for the rest of the weekend lads

top stuff Mackem, pulling for your full house.

Small profit on that game with 1st half points better than ft. Well done Saracens and any Sarries backers, was a good tight game, low scoring but enjoyed it.

On to tomorrow and the cap has creeped up, not sure about this one but can’t watch game so won’t get involved in the short price stuff -

Brumbies 11-20 @ 28/10.

Brumbies to score a try before 20” @ 1.53

Sunwolves under 20.5 points at 0.82/1

Gents, I need some quick advice. I'm sitting on a multi with 4 out of 5 wins. The last line to play out is Brumbies by 1 to 10 over Sunwolves. If I win I'd cash around 25/1 or I can cash out at under 7/1.

Thoughts please...

I'm concerned that the Wolves are fielding an understrength side, but you never know against an Aus side who might not pitch on the day.

Fancy the Brumbies set piece to put the squeeze on the Wolves

Brumbies -15 @ 1.91

Brumbies by 21-30 @ 4.50