AFCON 2019
- mackem
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Will find an outright pick or 2 in the run up to the tournament and will cover selected matches with previews as and when time allows
Some outright betting here
goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-20...utright-betting.html
We can use this thread right through the tournament so anyone playing the AFCON your tips will be much appreciated.
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- mackem
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Friday, Egypt v Zimbabwe preview
goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/egypt-v-...betting-preview.html
Poor betting heat but gut feel is Zim might just have a goal in them , speculative call on btts yes at 2.84/1 with Betway
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- The Vann
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Initial fancy is the 15/4 Tunisia Top 3 but need the draw to pull the trigger.
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- Matador
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Morocco (-1) handicap vs Namibia @ a shade over 11/10 with Sunbet
Morocco are coached by Herve Renard which is a seasoned coach in AFCON history winning the title with both Zambia and Ivory Coast.
Good team with experience and youth being spearheaded by Ajax youngster Hakim Ziyech that had a great season with Ajax. They'll target the Namibian minnows as a must win game for their remaining matches being against Ivory Coast and South Africa.
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- mackem
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The Vann wrote: I'm having difficulty finding full draw details on AFCON. Got A/B/C/D play the four 3rd placed teams and E/F play runners-up from D/E but no clarity as to which side of the draw the teams are. Come across any site that has this detail Chris?
Initial fancy is the 15/4 Tunisia Top 3 but need the draw to pull the trigger.
I'm hoping this link to Soccerway will help Vann, they don't number the matches in the last 16 but I assume they go in running / date order and if so Brent's saying of 10 Professors might help you fathom it out. If I come across anything clearer I will let you know. I really dislike how these tournaments have evolved where the best 3rd place finishers get in the knockout rounds.
www.soccerway.com/international/africa/a...s13580/final-stages/
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- mackem
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Nigeria v Burundi and Guinea v Madagascar preview
goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-gr...ea-v-madagascar.html
I will be cautious but settled with Nigeria over 1.5 goals at 7/10, short on inspiration in that one tbh
I prefer Guinea over 1.5 goals in their game at a bigger price of 17/20. .
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-20...unday-23rd-june.html
Have credited Matador with his Morocco -1 goal pick against Namibia
Other matches Senegal v Tanzania, going HT/FT Sen/Sen at 23/20
Algeria v Kenya, nothing for me here but if pushed would go the draw at just over 3/1
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- The Vann
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www.cafonline.com/total-africa-cup-of-nations/matches/
Just click on Knock Out Phases
I make Egypt and Senegal on the same side of the draw. Would really help if could pick winner of Group D who look to have an easy ride into the semi's (Don't really rate Algeria's chances)
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Ivory Coast v South Africa preview, Monday
goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/ivory-co...betting-preview.html
Giving Bafana a shout of a draw here, I think Baxter will set them up accordingly
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- The Vann
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mackem wrote: I haven;t looked at Group F in much detail Vann but first impressions are that I'm not very bullish on the overall chances of Ghana or Cameroon when it gets to the knockout rounds
Ivory Coast v South Africa preview, Monday
goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/ivory-co...betting-preview.html
Giving Bafana a shout of a draw here, I think Baxter will set them up accordingly
Apologies guys - Finger error. Should read Group D in earlier post - have changed it.
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- The Vann
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Group Winners Treble
Egypt/Nigeria/Senegal @ 24/10
Winner e/w Based mostly on best manager (And thanks Matador)
Morocco @ 10/1
and one I like based on the draw
To make the last eight
Uganda @ 8/1
Foot Note - Based on living in Africa and watching many of these sides over the years you get any draw odds of over 2/1 - unless it's a total mismatch - take them.
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-20...onday-24th-june.html
Tunisia v Angola - not keen on this game but for the purposes of making a call will go half time draw at 21/20
Mali v Mauritania, a test of my theory here, Mauritania strong in their own country in qualifiers etc.. pretty poor when they travel, Mali look good to me at 8/10 though not suggesting anyone empty out. Mali could win this group imo and go pretty deep.
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- The Vann
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Top Goal Scorer
Mane @ 29/4
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- The Vann
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Not expecting many high scoring matches in this tournament so having a dig at
Egypt to win by one goal exactly @ 3/1
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- mackem
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Group F preview Tuesday
goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-20...esday-25th-june.html
Cameroon v Guinea-Bissau Draw at 53/20
Ghana v Benin 2-3 goals in total at 19/20
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- The Vann
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Double today
DR Congo draw into Guinea win @ 39/10
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Guinea v Madagascar
Guinea and over 2.5 match goals @ 19/10
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- The Vann
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I believe the main difference is the mind set. In Europe the main ambition is to win the match but in Africa it is generally not to lose the match. This has an effect on the overall stats for eg
AFCON 2017 - There were 32 matches
Draws 12
Matches won by a single goal 12
Bigger wins 8
and the ever popular 2.5 match goals
Under 2.5 - 22
Over 2.5 - 10
To place this in context. World cups run around 50/50 on the 2.5 line (eg 2018 was 33/31).
Picks for today. Namibia scored 5 goals in qualifying - all in the second half. Four of Senegal's last five wins have been by one goal. Kenya have not trailed at half time in their last seven matches.
Morocco v Namibia
Namibia highest scoring half - second @ 73/20
Senegal v Tanzania
Senegal to win by one goal exactly @ 23/10
Algeria v Kenya
Half Time/Full Time - Draw/Algeria @ 31/10
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- mackem
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Another factor might be the pitches. Have only seen highlights but the playing surfaces being used in Egypt look ok,at least for now, I've seen some shocking surfaces in AFCON finals over the years.
Wednesday's preview, Groups A and B
goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-20...esday-26th-june.html
Nigeria v Guinea, btts yes at 12/10
Uganda v Zim, 2-3 goals in total at 19/20
Egypt v DR Congo, Egypt total match goals, over 1.5 at evens
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- The Vann
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Ivory Coast v SA
Match goals over 2.5 @ 16/10
Like that Mali pick Mackem but odds have shortened so taking a double
BTTS - No
Tunisia + Mali matches @ 16/10
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-20...rsday-27th-june.html
Madagascar v Burundi, Burundi to win at 7/4
Senegal v Algeria, Both teams to score? (yes) at even money
Kenya v Tanzania, 2nd half total goals, over 1.5 at 29/20
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- The Vann
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Can't really see any upsets today so plan is - make one bet for small return, two for the money and three go man go.
Each to win by one goal exactly
Ivory Coast
Tunisia
Mali
Each one on offer at 5/2
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-20...riday-28th-june.html
Tunisia v Mali, Draw at 41/20
Morocco v Ivory Coast, Draw at 39/20
South Africa v NAmibia, Bafana over 1.5 goals at 9/10
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-20...urday-29th-june.html
Mauritania v Angola, Angola win at 14/10
Cameroon v Ghana, Draw at 37/20
Benin v Guinea-Bissau over 2.5 goals at 29/20
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- The Vann
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Not making any match bets but will keep trying till bailiffs knock on door.
Nigeria v Guinea
Any team to win by one goal exactly @ 5/4
Uganda v Zimbabwe
Draw @ 37/20
Egypt v DR Congo
What Mackem refers to as a speculative punt
Half time/Full time - Draw/Egypt @ 24/10
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Madagascar v Burundi
Madagascar highest scoring half second @ 19/10
Senegal v Algeria
Senegal by one goal exactly @ 26/10
Kenya v Tanzania
A few beers on
Exact score 1-1 @ 21/4
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-gr...unday-30th-june.html
Uganda v Egypt, Egypt to win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 at 17/10
Zim v DR Congo, over 2.5 goals at 5/4
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- Naidoo
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Group B Sunday preview
goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-gr...unday-30th-june.html
Burundi v Guinea, Guinea to score over 1.5 goals at 21/20
Madagascar v Nigeria, Nigeria clean sheet? (yes) at 9/10
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- The Vann
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Naidoo wrote: Hi need some insight from u guys, based on Senegal loss yesterday, will Egypt and Senegal now be on opposite sides of the draw, possibly meaning a final between each other now instead of a semi final?
Yep. Senegal probably get Uganda and Egypt a 3rd place qualifier and can only meet in the final if the groups play out as expected. Problem is Senegal just looked rubbish with Mane back. He is the big star and, quite frankly, buggers up the team. He took all the set pieces - very badly - spent the match calling instructions to team mates and throwing himself to the ground on at least two occasions when there was a goal scoring opportunity. It's one of those situations you sometimes find in footie where the inclusion of your big star makes the team worse and, based on last nights performance, I am very pleased I waited for his return before pulling the trigger on tournament out rights. I don't see them getting past Ivory Coast and Nigeria on that side of the draw with Mane in the side.
Initial pick from that side would be Ivory Coast. Certainly would not discount Algeria's chances on the Egypt side of the draw.
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The Vann wrote:
Naidoo wrote: Hi need some insight from u guys, based on Senegal loss yesterday, will Egypt and Senegal now be on opposite sides of the draw, possibly meaning a final between each other now instead of a semi final?
Yep. Senegal probably get Uganda and Egypt a 3rd place qualifier and can only meet in the final if the groups play out as expected. Problem is Senegal just looked rubbish with Mane back. He is the big star and, quite frankly, buggers up the team. He took all the set pieces - very badly - spent the match calling instructions to team mates and throwing himself to the ground on at least two occasions when there was a goal scoring opportunity. It's one of those situations you sometimes find in footie where the inclusion of your big star makes the team worse and, based on last nights performance, I am very pleased I waited for his return before pulling the trigger on tournament out rights. I don't see them getting past Ivory Coast and Nigeria on that side of the draw with Mane in the side.
Initial pick from that side would be Ivory Coast. Certainly would not discount Algeria's chances on the Egypt side of the draw.
Thanks Vann. Yeah I agree with you on Mane. I don't see anyone stopping Egypt though.
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-gr...monday-1st-july.html
Kenya v Senegal 2-3 goals in total at 19/20
Tanzania v Algeria, highest scoring half first had at 41/20 (hoping Algeria get in front in first half and the game drifts.
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Tunisia v Mali
BTTS - yes @ 23/20
Morocco v Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast win @ 23/10
SA v Namibia
Like Mackem's take on over 1.5 for SA but too skinny for me at 9/10. Namibia look like they may have a set piece goal in them so adding to Mackem's over 1.5
Final score SA 2-1 @ 35/4
and have to take the double at these odds
Mali and Ivory Coast win @ virtually 10/1
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-so...betting-preview.html
South Africa v Morocco, match result draw at 2/1
Namibia v Ivory Coast, going with IC -1 goal handicap (no price at time of writing)
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Mauritania v Angola
Angola win and BTTS - yes @ 37/10
Got 2/1 on the Cameroon draw and 14/10 on the Benin match goals
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Group F Preview
goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-gr...uesday-2nd-july.html
Benin v Cameroon, draw at 5/2
Guinea-Bissau v Ghana , Ghana total goals, over 1.5 at 0.82/1
Group E preview
goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-gr...uesday-2nd-july.html
Angola v Mali, Mali win at 19/20
Mauritania v Tunisia, Tunisia total goals, over 1.5 at 0.87/1
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Egypt and Uganda only need the draw here but Egypt will want a home win and Uganda may settle for a one goal loss which would leave them with 4 points and a positive goal difference - virtually sure to go through. I made Zimbabwe and DRC around evens and, as Zimbabwe need the win and the books have them at 2/1 will take that
Egypt v Uganda
Egypt win by one goal exactly @ 9/4
Zimbabwe v DR Congo
Zimbabwe win @ 2/1
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- The Vann
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Nigeria and Madagascar need the draw so will take that. Guinea need a win against Burundi and there is merit in Mackem's over 1.5 but with zilch goals scored in yesterdays three matches I'm taking longer odds on Guinea winning late.
Nigeria v Madagascar
Draw @ 7/4
Burundi v Guinea
Half time/Full/time - Draw/Guinea @ 36/10
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- The Vann
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Joining Mackem on Algeria first half at 2/1 and a double on Group D
Morocco and Senegal matches - BTTS no @ 11/10.
Decided to spend half of today's budget on an outright
Tournament Win
e/w Madagascar @ 50/1
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Match Double BTTS - No
Cameroon and Ghana matches @ 16/10
Mali v Angola
Half time/Full time - Draw/Mali @ 4/1
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- mackem
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Going away for a few days but will put something up for Round of 16 games as and when I can. Good luck with Madagascar, an imaginative pick and would make a great story. Im still with Mali but probably more in hope than confidence
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/afcon-ro...friday-5th-july.html
Morocco v Benin (no betting out as yet but was thinking multiscore Morocco to win in 90 mins 1-0, 2-0 0r 3-0 if not too short)
Uganda v Senegal btts yes (90 mins), speculative play but at just under 2/1 thats a nice price.
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/egypt-v-...betting-preview.html
Really struggled to find anything I liked, speculative picks
Nigeria v Cameroon, extra and any goal? (yes) at 33/10
Egypt v South Africa, Percy Tau anytime goalscorer at 41/10
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/africa-c...sunday-7th-july.html
Madagascar v DR Congo, DR Congo total goals over 1.5 at 16/10 (90 mins)
Algeria v Guinea, 90 min draw at 23/10
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/africa-c...monday-8th-july.html
Mali v Ivory Coast, Mail to score 1 goal exactly (90 mins) 13/10
Ghana v Tunisia, Will there be a penalty shoot out? (yes) at 36/10
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- The Vann
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Madagascar v DR Congo
Neither sides defense has impressed and will probably need more then one goal to win this
BTTS - Yes @ 12/10
Algeria v Guinea
Guinea is another side whose defense looked a little suspect and must admit I have been surprised by the chances Algeria have created
Match Bet and Total
Algeria and over 2.5 goals @ 41/20
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/africa-c...betting-preview.html
Match result and total goals, Senegal win and over 1.5 at 19/20
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/africa-c...betting-preview.html
90 mins btts at 29/20
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goodforthegame.co.za/AFCON-2019/africa-c...betting-preview.html
Half time correct score 0-0 at 5/4
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