Cycling : The Tour de France
- Brent Graham
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Stage 6 preview will be up in the morning as have some poker to play tonight
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- mackem
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- Brent Graham
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1 unit Pinot win 7/1WSB
1 unit Pinot top 3 17/10 at Sunbet
Early morning video after a late night poker session and before an early meeting below
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- The Vann
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Will see your Pinot and raise you
Win
Woods @ 26/1
1-3
Mas @ 12/1
Match Bet Double
Mas over Landa into
Woods over Valverde @ 11/2
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- The Vann
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Ciccone @ 12/1
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- Brent Graham
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1 unit Kristoff top 3 12/5 at WSB
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- The Vann
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Ewan at 5/1
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- Proudwolf
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We were at the Atomium last monday and did Brussels the wednesday. What a thrill to see them put up the banners and stages and media trucks for the Tour and then watch the start on the television.
Glad we got out before things picked up though,because those places are crazy enough as it is.
Dont know if i'll get onto some TDF betting,but damn glad i'm back for the Open next week.
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- mackem
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- Brent Graham
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0.5 units Politt 66/1 Sunbet
0.5 units Fraile 40/1 Hollywood
0.5 unit Naesen 50/1 Hollywood
0.5 unit Vuillermoz 200/1 Hollywood
0.5 unit Bilbao 80/1 Sunbet
Here is the preview
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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Barguil 66/1
Fraile 40/1
Sanchez Gil 66/1
Lutsenko 40/1
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- Brent Graham
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Schachmann/Lutsenko 7/10 - I don't think Astana rider gets into the break but expect Shachmann to - if they both make it (or if neither do) it could go either way
Benoot/Wellens 13/20 - feel Benoot has targeted this stage and while Wellens may be in break for KOM points he has started to look tired.
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- southpaw
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6/1 acca -
Stage 8 (Tour de France 2019)
Cycling
Tour de France
Stages
13 Jul 2019 11:25
Best finishing position
Alaphilippe, Julian (Alaphilippe, Julian - Meurisse, Xandro)
1.22
Stage 8 (Tour de France 2019)
Cycling
Tour de France
Stages
13 Jul 2019 11:25
Best finishing position
Wellens, Tim (Wellens, Tim - De Gendt, Thomas)
1.45
Stage 8 (Tour de France 2019)
Cycling
Tour de France
Stages
13 Jul 2019 11:25
Best finishing position
Van Aert, Wout (Van Aert, Wout - Trentin, Matteo)
1.50
Stage 8 (Tour de France 2019)
Cycling
Tour de France
Stages
13 Jul 2019 11:25
Best finishing position
Pinot, Thibaut (Pinot, Thibaut - Yates, Adam)
1.50
Stage 8 (Tour de France 2019)
Cycling
Tour de France
Stages
13 Jul 2019 11:25
Best finishing position
Benoot, Tiesj (Benoot, Tiesj - Herrada, Jesus)
1.55
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- The Vann
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De Marchi @ 43/1
Meurisse @ 53/1
Clarke @ 85/1
Kelderman @ 150/1 (Also taking top 3)
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- Brent Graham
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Added 0.5 u Villermouz top 3 at 40/1
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- Couch Critic
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This stage has break written all over it but the race is actually in a very interesting place right now. Reckon we could see a real battle for the break as I doubt the real GC guys will be keen on giving Ala P or Ciccone much more time and as such they won't be allowed into a break. Trek and QS in turn are solid teams and they won't be letting anyone who could threaten yellow get away. As such things could get really fun at the start and ito predicting the winner I reckon it should be from a bunch of guys well out of the overall running.
Looking at the overall by my reasoning I could thus start picking winners from Vuillermoz who is around the 30th position. (I also agree that Ag2R will have to let their lads off the leash so a nice pick there BG). WVA, Schachmann, Mohoric and Benoot all deserve to be high up on the boards for mind. But this is the type of stage where I like to go for a few bigger priced guys.
I reckon you need to almost TT away from your fellow breakaways up or down one of the climbs or alternatively have the legs to stay with them over all the climbing and then have the pace and power to beat them to the line. So here goes:
Michael Valgren @ 44/1 (Nothing like having an Amstel Gold Race winner in your ranks. Take him to the finish at your peril).
LLS @ 80/1 (Attack up a climb and then pull away on the descent).
Rohan Dennis @ 129/1 (No one will have to remain on Nibali duty any longer and I'm hoping RD won't just be waiting for the ITT for the next week - stretch your legs son!)
Simon Geschke @ 160/1(GVA might save the powder for tomorrow and Geschke could out-climb his break partners).
Gorka Izagirre @ 199/1 (Same as LLS)
Tom Skuijns @ 259/1 (Trek might look to lessen the pressure on themselves by stashing someone in the break)
Ivan Garcia Cortina @ 269/1(Same as Dennis - Bahrain to chase stages)
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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A very enjoyable tour so far but no sign of profits at this point (-13 units at this point). Stage 9 looks another tough one to call - here are my stage win bets and once again going with some big prices
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0.5 u Bettiol 50/1 Sunbet
0.5u Politt 66/1 Sunbet
0.5u Vuillermoz 200/1 WSB
0.5 u Vuillermoz Top 3 40/1 WSB
0.5u Skujins 100/1 Sunbet
adding 2 units Matthews/Sagan 15/0 WSB
May add a match bet or 2 - video preview below
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- Couch Critic
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Will add more tomorrow but for now I have always been a Vuillermoz fan so am following him without doubt on Bastille Day. Then also been seriously impressed with Xandro Meurisse.
Meurisse to win @ 124/1 & Top 3 @ 25/1
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- mackem
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As Brent mentioned giving Politt another chance on Sunday, 80/1 now with WSB. Then adding Eddie Bos at 33/1, GvA at 22/1
Finally Rui Costa at 40/1. Costa has been on the attack so appears to have license from his team to try and pick up a stage and he has also been known to miss a turn or 2 at the front so if he is there at business end that tactic could come in handy.
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- The Vann
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Win
Alaphilippe @ 16/1
Calmejane @ 50/1
and e/w
Meurisse @ 100/1
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- Couch Critic
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LLS (again) @ 55/1
Naesen @ 63/1
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- The Vann
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T Martin @ 25/1
so will have some of that
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Great win Impey
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- Brent Graham
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This finish is not 100% straight forward and the Matthews podium could be some value
1 unit Matthews podium at 5/1 WSB
Here is the video
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- mackem
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- The Vann
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e/w
Kristoff @ 14/1
Match Bet
Matthews over Colbrelli @ 11/10
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- Brent Graham
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0.5u e/w Polltt at 159/1 Betx
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- kt6747
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Calemajne @ 100/1
Griepel @ 125/1
Know Griepel has been out of form but he is still quick and with his experience might pop up. And can't get hurt at those odds.
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- Brent Graham
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- Matador
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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2 units Groenewegen win at 16/10 WSB*
*Money back in free bets if he finishes 2nd
5 unit Matthews Green Jersey (without Sagan) 5/6 at WSB - see video for reasoning
Going to look at KOM tonight and will post any bets
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- The Vann
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Match bet
Matthews over Colbrelli into
Naesen over Bettiol @ 22/10
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- Brent Graham
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Money back for Groenewegen at least but well behind in the tour now
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Dylan Teuns @ 30/1
Fraile @ 53 /1
Ben King @ 71/1
Mohoric @ 75/1
Gorka Izagirre @ 140/1
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- mackem
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Chopped it down to these 3.
Tiesj Benoot - 22/1, think he could still be Lotto's best hope for KoM though they not short of options.
Wilco Kelderman 50/1 - Sunweb trying anything they can for a stage win now, way back on GC so a breakaway contender
Marc Soler 40/1 - Thinking Movi will keep Ineos on their toes with a man up the road but in the end won't chase break down so he could be allowed to go for a stage, hoping Soler is the man though they have other candidates.
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- Brent Graham
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0.5 units on
Keldermann 50/1
Bilbao 45/1 Betx (same reasoning as Soler)
Soler 80/1 Sunbet
Costa 20/1 Sunbet
and @insidepeloton96 pick GVA at 100/1
Video preview below
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- The Vann
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De Gendt @ 23/1
Schachmann @ 45/1
Kelderman @ 63/1
Soler @ 69/1
Izagirre @ 129/1
Geschke @ 269/1
Berhane @ 639/1
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- kt6747
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I like the following 2 at decent odds.
Lampert @ 25/1
Haga @ 25/1
And both to place at 4/1
I may be off the mark but this will at least give me an interest.
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- The Vann
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e/w
Haga @ 32/1
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- kt6747
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- The Vann
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kt6747 wrote: Thanks Vann. Can I ask where you got the 32/1. That is brilliant for Haga.
Sportsbet - Usually the same on the shorter odds but from around the over 10/1 they have better prices than most.
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- Brent Graham
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Vann hope you can continue your recent ITT form!
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- kt6747
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The Vann wrote:
kt6747 wrote: Thanks Vann. Can I ask where you got the 32/1. That is brilliant for Haga.
Sportsbet - Usually the same on the shorter odds but from around the over 10/1 they have better prices than most.
Thanks Vann. The one site where I am limited. Will stick with the 25/1.
Hope you habe a good one.
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- Brent Graham
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2 units Thomas win at 11/4 WSB - money back for 2nd and reasoning in video
I may post a match bet or 2 later
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