Currie Cup semi's, Mitre 10 Cup Week 4, Internationals + other
- Brent Graham
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Fixtures
Lions v Griquas
Free State v Sharks
I will be doing a video with my handicap projections and a look at the outright betting in the next hour
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- Brent Graham
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Lions -7.5 v Griquas
Free State -5.5 v Sharks
Video with a look at the differences between WSB and Sunbet in the outrights
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- threepeat
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Managed 5 out of 7 results last week in Mitre 10 Cup, and still finished short due to multis including one or three of Canterbury HTH (lost by 1) Auckland -6.5 (lost by 1) and followed Team GFTG with Griquas HTH (lost by 1). Unbelievable!
Betting early comes with higher risks and returns. I thought Wellington found a better team than expected v Canterbury.
Also, on tab nz you get very few options on a Monday.
This weeks early bet is Otago -11.5 @ $1.87. Easy bet option is Otago HTH @ $1.26 does not return enough, but a safe add to any multi.
Manawatu looked pedestrian against a rampant Tasman last weekend.
Manawatu have leaked over 100 points in only three games.
Manawatu Coach, Peter Russell does not seem to have won anything, and this will not change on Friday night.
Have assumed Josh Ioane does not get in the 31 man squad for AB RWC, announced this coming Wednesday.
No weather factor as played in covered stadium in Dunedin = big home field advantage with noisy student crowd.
No chance of Turbos winning the Ranfurly Shield.
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- bradie82
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Seeking some advice on the currie cup outright please as I have not seen many games this year
A bookmaker is proposing the following odds
Cheets 3
Sharks 3.25
Griquas 5
Lions 5.5
I reckon the Lions odd is far too high and they should reach the final but not sure if they have enough to beat Cheetahs or Sharks in final
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- Bookie Basher
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bradie82 wrote: Hi All
Seeking some advice on the currie cup outright please as I have not seen many games this year
A bookmaker is proposing the following odds
Cheets 3
Sharks 3.25
Griquas 5
Lions 5.5
I reckon the Lions odd is far too high and they should reach the final but not sure if they have enough to beat Cheetahs or Sharks in final
Great prices on the Cheetahs and Lions.
Here is a comparison from WSB
9/10 Free State Cheetahs
5/2 Golden Lions
11/2 Sharks
7/1 Griquas
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- catsmug
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As you go through life it’s a long, long road. There’ll be joys and sorrows too
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- hanrick
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Counties +11.5. Wellington overrated and Counties underrated imo.
Otago -11.5. Turbos rubbish.
Canterbury vs Southland. No betting out yet. If the handicap is 28.5 or higher I'll be on the plus. Will also have a look at the ht plus. Southland tend to start well and fade late.
Hawke's Bay -7.5. HB playing good rugby and the Taniwha struggling.
Waikato +5.5. I would have made this choice.
Bay of Plenty to win the game at 13/10. Harbour overrated and Steelers playing great rugby.
Tasman -11.5. Tasman will win by 20-plus
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- mackem
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Cheetahs 15/10 Hollywood, BetXchange
Golden Lions 7/2 BetXchange
Sharks 4/1 WSB
Griquas 8/1 WSB
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@Chris_Lacharge
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- Pierrebal
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Both teams are allowed to have a squad of 26 for the game. Georgia coaches said they are going to rotate quite a bit so we even may see almost two different teams.
Georgia starting line-up filled with youngsters and only 7 players that played their final Europe Cup game against Romania a couple of months ago.
Georgia play Scotland also at home of Saturday which will be their big one for the fans and is back to 23 players per team. Sounds like that will be the first team. Scotland only -6.5 favourites.
Kings have a decent squad, only place to see it is on their Twitter. Catrakilis, Banda, Mnisi, Super Sarel, Sithole, Ungerer, Bholi, Sexton, Burger, Astle, Lerm etc. So they can pretty much line-up with Pro14 team.
You can watch the game on Georgia Rugby's facebook page.
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- bradie82
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Médard - Huget, Guitoune, Fofana, Fickou - (o) Ntamack, (m) Dupont - Camara, Picamoles, Lauret - Taofifenua, Iturria, Slimani, Chat, Poirot (cap.)
Bench: Guirado, Baille, Setiano, Lambey, Cros, Serin, Vakatawa, Ramos.
Belleau and Rattez are probably out of the world cup but for the rest, impossible to know who s not going as Brunel is unpredictable.
Why is Fickou playing on the wing? Why is Iturria back on the second row when Brunel requested Clermont to make him play third row? 2 days ago Brunel said that the players who did not play yet will have their chance and here we are….I like the Guitoune/Fofana association but for the rest, I start thinking the Italy +16 is value.
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- Quill
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Kings +24.5 @1.80
Over 55 points @1.80
Kings over 14.5 points @1.80
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- Pierrebal
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Which bookie is offering the points?
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- Quill
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bet365Pierrebal wrote: Hi Quill,
Which bookie is offering the points?
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Pierrebal wrote: Got 16.5 with WSB and hit it hard. Now just have to sit through this Georgian commentary!
At least we only had to get 20min of Gerogian commentary What an easy one!
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- Brent Graham
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- BookieDave
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Wellington -12.08 v Counties
-No Bet
Otago -21.29 v Manawatu
-Cant believe this opened -8.5!!!!!!!!!!!! ..Tried to get on but they kept rejecting my bet Insane. BET Otago -12.5
Canterbury -35.84 v Southland
-No Bet
Northland +4.81 v Hawkes Bay
-Small bet Northland +9.5
Waikato +4.02 v Auckland
-No bet
Harbour -4.04 v BOP
-No bet
Taranaki +7.18 v Tasman
-Small bet Taranaki +11.5
OUTRIGHTS
TASMAN $1.79
AUCKLAND $4.45
WELLINGTON $10.46
CANTERBURY $17.56
HARBOUR $26.11
WAIKATO $52.23
COUNTIES $187.76
TARANAKI $1.93
BOP $3.88
HAWKES BAY $8.10
OTAGO $13.23
NORTHLAND $54.01
MANAWATU $148.79
SOUTHLAND $9999
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- BradNZ12
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I also went Hawke’s Bay -9.5, the line has now dropped to -7.5. I think Hawke’s Bay win this and have been playing good rugby, they beat Otago and drew with Wellington. While northland has got a hiding from Auckland and Taranaki. They only beat Southland by 10 points.
I’m unsure on the auk v Waikato game I thought the -4.5 for auk was a solid bet. Interested to hear any thoughts on this or any other games.
Cheers
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Canterbury - Southland. 2pm NZ time kick off.
Over 50.5 @0.89
Over 56.5 @16/10
Southland over 6.5 points @ evens
Otago -11.5
Sharks +6.5 (GG) @8/10
Eat your heart out.
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- Brad Breath
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A second row playing 6 and a 6 playing 7.
On board the Otago -12
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Currie-Cup-2019/gol...betting-preview.html
2 units, Lions win by 1-12 points, 7/4 with Sunbet
(Unit scale 1-5)
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- Quill
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Wellington -11 @1.87
Wellington over 33.5 points @1.95
Wellington over 4.5 tries @1.68
All with bet365.
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- BookieDave
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ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Time to load up on the RWC loot.
Canterbury - Southland. 2pm NZ time kick off.
Over 50.5 @0.89
Over 56.5 @16/10
Southland over 6.5 points @ evens
Otago -11.5
Sharks +6.5 (GG) @8/10
Eat your heart out.
Where on earth are you getting the game totals from!! Who is up!!>?
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- Wies Bang
Over 50.5 points
Canterbury should be desperate for 5 points , even if they are playing terrible rugby at the moment.
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- Wies Bang
BookieDave wrote:
ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Time to load up on the RWC loot.
Canterbury - Southland. 2pm NZ time kick off.
Over 50.5 @0.89
Over 56.5 @16/10
Southland over 6.5 points @ evens
Otago -11.5
Sharks +6.5 (GG) @8/10
Eat your heart out.
Where on earth are you getting the game totals from!! Who is up!!>?
Betway
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- BookieDave
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Wies Bang wrote:
BookieDave wrote:
ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Time to load up on the RWC loot.
Canterbury - Southland. 2pm NZ time kick off.
Over 50.5 @0.89
Over 56.5 @16/10
Southland over 6.5 points @ evens
Otago -11.5
Sharks +6.5 (GG) @8/10
Eat your heart out.
Where on earth are you getting the game totals from!! Who is up!!>?
Betway
I would pay serious $$$$$ to get my hands on one of those accounts!!
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goodforthegame.co.za/Currie-Cup-2019/fre...betting-preview.html
2 units Cheetahs to win by 1-12 points, 17/10 BetXchange
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- southpaw
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Think this line is too big and fancy it to be much tighter.
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Turbos very poor second half team and Otago the opposite.
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- threepeat
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Opportunities to pick up easy cash at good returns in the Mitre 10 Cup are getting harder and harder to find, as the bookies close down the odds everywhere.
Lots of good Mitre 10 Cup picking in the forum but nobody punting with confidence.
Here is the 3P Mitre 10 Cup value bet.
Otago 13+ @ $1.62 into Hawkes Bay -18.5 @ $3.10 = $5.02
Got on Otago -11.5 on Monday in my best early pick @ $1.87 (refer thread), and accepting the higher line and lower payout for this double.
The Taniwha is a supernatural creature in Maori mythology, which lives in deep water. Well, if you haven't noticed, the Taniwha is more like the Lochness monster, yet to be sighted in defence, attack or anywhere else this Mitre 10 Rugby Cup.
In fact the Taniwha have leaked more points than a Manawatu turbine. Taniwha are cellar dwellers, together with Stags @ Turbos, and -7.5 line is a gift. Take the easy double, the value double or both!
Head Coach Mark Ozich of the Magpies is a super-nova of Mitre Cup coaching, combining his professional teacher training (like Graham Henry), people skills, Razor R enthusiasm & love of the game. This is evidenced by all the Hawkes Bay youth he has been able to retain within the province. Players want to play for him and their teammates.
Magpies are unbeaten this season, including holding premier team Wellington to a draw. They are youthful and get better every week.
Cheers 3P
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hanrick wrote: Still Otago -14.5 at 10/11 available at Sportingbet. Get on
Have added Otago to win and under 60.5 points at 21/20. When Glen Jackson has the whistle you go unders. And contrary to what you might expect, games under the roof in Dunedin tend to be unders games.
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- bradie82
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hanrick wrote:
hanrick wrote: Still Otago -14.5 at 10/11 available at Sportingbet. Get on
Have added Otago to win and under 60.5 points at 21/20. When Glen Jackson has the whistle you go unders. And contrary to what you might expect, games under the roof in Dunedin tend to be unders games.
Indeed but the last 3 Otago vs Manawatu ended played under the roof ended up with 93, 63 and 70 points, with Glenn Jackson referring the 93 and 63 points game so depends on which side you look. GL for your bet.
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- bradie82
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southpaw wrote: Italy +18.5 @ 9/10 Hollywoodbets
Think this line is too big and fancy it to be much tighter.
I m with you on that one - Italy brought their strongest squad while France is still doing some experiment.
Italy +18.5 @ 2
I think the cut tries (6.5) and points ( 50.5) are quite high.
Both Brunel and Fickou explained that they would not go for try systematically but will sit on those 2 for now and share before the game if I take them.
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- Thrasher6
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