Currie Cup Final, Mitre10Cup week 5, Japan v Boks + other rugby
- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...betting-preview.html
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- Matador
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hanrick wrote:
hanrick wrote: Tasman win and over 48.5 points at 23/20
Weather prediction I checked was horribly wrong. Bucketing down and in deep trouble here.
It wasn't a bad bet (I took exactly the same without seeing your post). How can one team score 30+ points in this weather and the other team think they at the pub on Sunday? Frustrating to say the least.
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- Wies Bang
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- Brad Breath
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Thanks to you and Brent (for highlighting it) re the under 65.5 on Bok game, I'm on board.
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- bradie82
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William Hill has under 8.5 tries @ 1.73 so giving it a go
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- harry_rag
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Marchant 13/10 Sporting Bet
Wilson 7/2 888
Bellini 11/2 Lads (6/1 if you use your daily boost)
They're the main bets but I've had a bit on the brace and hat trick for Marchant (6/1 and 33/1 Hills) and 1st and last try for Bellini (33/1 each 888).
It's a shame Lads aren't quoting 2 or more prices as I suspect Bellini would be huge!
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- southpaw
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For an interest -
Eng win and under 65.5
Scot win and under 55.5
Double @ 5/2
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- Brad Breath
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Also smalls on England -33 @ evens
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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New Zealand -23.5 ht handicap at GGG
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- Brad Breath
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Modest punt on NZ -45 @ 1.91
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- Quill
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NZ over 58.5 points @1.86
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- threepeat
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Money for jam, Randwick could not beat Tonga lol, who just lost 92-7 v AB's
Australia -27.5 v Samoa. Tier 2 teams are all under done, Wallabies need to make a statement.
Samoa struggled to put away a Heartland 15 last weekend. That is a team of guys not good enough to play Mitre 10 and came together for less than a week!
Cheers 3P
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- hanrick
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Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- bradie82
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Wellington over 3.5 tries @ 1.95 (bet365)
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- threepeat
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threepeat wrote: Argentina -29.5 v Randwick
Money for jam, Randwick could not beat Tonga lol, who just lost 92-7 v AB's
Australia -27.5 v Samoa. Tier 2 teams are all under done, Wallabies need to make a statement.
Samoa struggled to put away a Heartland 15 last weekend. That is a team of guys not good enough to play Mitre 10 and came together for less than a week!
Cheers 3P
Half time in Sydney Argie 33 v Randwick 0
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- threepeat
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Rolling out the 3P Double Max Bet. Unlike the Oracle Granny fund this special bet is capped at 200%.
USA v Canada, Vancouver Canada tomorrow, cloudy no rain.
Betting Double Max USA -10.5
1) Cannot believe the line is this low.
2) Tight five for USA is almost all English Premiership.
3) Last played in July, USA winning 47-19
4) USA only lost 20-34 to Japan in Pacific Nations Cup
5) COACHING SA Gary Gold v Wales Kingsley Jones - No contest.
(Kingsley is the son of Phil Kingsley Jones who bumbled is way around NZ "managing" Jonah. Son has not fallen far from the tree, Canada have been pathetic).
6) Have followed USA in Pacific Nations and they are hugely improved.
Cheers 3P
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- hanrick
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All over Bay of Plenty in the next game. Backed them to win at 9/10 on Monday and now adding -6.5 at 15/10 and BOP over 25.5 points at 17/20
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- bradie82
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Great gem but not available yet in European Bookie
Could be interesting in the future for punters to add the bookie they take the bet on to help other punters and speed up to place their bet - just an idea
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- threepeat
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That being said their sports book except for specials is controlled by Paddy Power
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- Bruce
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- threepeat
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hanrick wrote: Love that USA minus, Threepeat, but none of our SA bookmakers have priced up unfortunately.
All over Bay of Plenty in the next game. Backed them to win at 9/10 on Monday and now adding -6.5 at 15/10 and BOP over 25.5 points at 17/20
Hi Hanrick. I will be betting this game live. BOP have been in great form, and certainly well coached by Clayton McMillan. However I see danger in the Wellington backline, with multi threats from Super Hurricane players including the return of Ben Lam. Wellington coach Chris Gibbes has been promoted to assistant Hurricanes Coach for next season, so has his players working for him. Cheers 3P
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- Northerner
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- Northerner
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Any thoughts on the points line 3P etc?
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- southpaw
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- southpaw
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- southpaw
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- hanrick
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- Geros
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- Brad Breath
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Bit concerned about the scrum, but the halves pairing of Tomos Williams and Patchell completely changed the game last week
Small play on Josh Adams any time @ 3.6
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- BDub
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- bradie82
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Definitely too high for a final
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- Brent Graham
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Geros wrote: Curriecup handicap, any thoughts? 6.5 to 8.5..recon the cheetahs will finish strong like last week?
I have taken the -6.5 at Hollywood - will have to rely on radio comms if there are any as will be driving
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- Tarka
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Tarka wrote: Cheetahs -7.5 gold IMO.
Gobsmacked......wtf just happened? Was counting my money at half time...
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- Geros
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- catsmug
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As you go through life it’s a long, long road. There’ll be joys and sorrows too
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- threepeat
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BDub wrote: Canada +11.5. All over the Canucks here. Maple men 1st choice at home vs USA 2nd string.
BDub,, No idea how you figure this to be a weak Eagles Team. Saturday’s full lineup features 529 cumulative test caps — a total greater than any of the three matches in the Pacific Nations Cup! I find counting Test Caps a great indicator of World Cup success. Check out 1014 Rugby on Youtube. This is a top USA team, bar a few injuries. Cover your bet, going to be way bigger than -10.5. Cheers 3P.
STARTERS
PLAYER NAME POSITION CLUB XVs CAPS
1. Eric Fry Prop Vannes (FRA) 44
2. Joe Taufete’e Hooker Worcester Warriors (ENG) 22
3. Titi Lamositele Prop Saracens (ENG) 27
4. Ben Landry Lock Ealing Trailfinders (ENG) 21
5. Greg Peterson Lock Newcastle Falcons (ENG) 25
6. Hanco Germishuys Flanker Glendale Raptors 16
7. John Quill Flanker Rugby United New York 35
8. Cam Dolan No. 8 NOLA Gold 46
9. Nate Augspurger Scrumhalf San Diego Legion 23
10. Will Magie Flyhalf Unattached 24
11. Martin Iosefo Wing USA Sevens 5
12. Paul Lasike Center Harlequins (ENG) 15
13. Marcel Brache Center Western Force (AUS) 18
14. Blaine Scully (C) Wing Unattached 49
15. Will Hooley Fullback Bedford Blues (ENG) 11
RESERVES
PLAYER NAME POSITION CLUB XVs CAPS
16. Dylan Fawsitt Reserve Rugby United New York 11
17. Olive Kilifi Reserve Seattle Seawolves 26
18. Paul Mullen Reserve Unattached 13
19. Nate Brakeley Reserve Rugby United New York 20
20. Malon Al-Jiboori Reserve Unattached 4
21. Shaun Davies Reserve Glendale Raptors 24
22. Bryce Campbell Reserve London Irish (ENG) 27
23. Mike Te’o Reserve San Diego Legion 23
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- threepeat
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Northerner wrote: Spreadex in the UK also have the handicap out at -11, and they have USA points at 31.5
Any thoughts on the points line 3P etc?
Hi Northerner, Only points bet on offer downunder is Total Points -55.5. Line Bet -10.5 is so strong not betting points.
Do expect USA to blow past 31.5, and go close to 47 scored last time. One weather forcast has spotty rain, which should make minimal difference. Canada have fallen to 21 in world rugby rankings. That is below Russia, who leak points everywhere. English Premiership USA tight five to control game. Lights out for the home team in Vancouver. Cheers 3P
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- BDub
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- Couch Critic
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- BDub
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Couch Critic wrote: Good spot on the team news BDub. I raced into the USA price but after your comment ended up trading out of most of that punt. Thanks for the heads-up and well played!
Cheers Couch. Yeah, no AJ MacGinty at 10 was too big a loss for me as well as no Ruben De Haas. Tyler Ardron also said this week that they were going to put in a max performance to try beat USA
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- southpaw
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Had one of those rare 100% days, everything landed on rugby punts from Friday all thru to a slightly fortunate cheetahs 1-12 in the cc final. Nice bank bring built for RWC.
On the Cheetahs - have had a nibble at 66/1 pro14 outright, at least will keep me interested in competition. Their first 4 games will be while Scottish and Irish sides are missing all internationals, a side like Glasgow will be much weakened. I think they’ve found a formula that suits their play and so damn impressive in first half yesterday.
No harm done at that price.
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- Kirky
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But we'll get'em next week, won't we guys ?
Cheers
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