Rugby World Cup - Pool matches 08 -13 October, Pro 14 + other

I just cannot buy a handicap win. Whichever minus or plus I go, the other comes in.
My last ten or eleven have gone opposite - soul-destroying stuff

Just a heads-up to the group:
I really want the Japs to go into the QFs, so I'm taking a BIG punt on Scotland to win - hopefully my run continues to that game.

Hope you guys are having better results than me,

Kirky wrote: I just cannot buy a handicap win. Whichever minus or plus I go, the other comes in.
My last ten or eleven have gone opposite - soul-destroying stuff

Just a heads-up to the group:
I really want the Japs to go into the QFs, so I'm taking a BIG punt on Scotland to win - hopefully my run continues to that game.

Hope you guys are having better results than me,

Feel your pain mate - I got absolutely smashed on the weekend. Well down for the tournament.

Pulled a very small amount back with wins on both caps this morning.

Going Wales -17 next.
Just think their defence will frustrate the Fijians and grind them down, perhaps running away late

Losing bet aside, that was a superb game

Radradra deservedly MOM, the bloke is an absolute freak

I can't help but think that Cheetahs -5.5 (at 1.95) vs Munster in Bloem is a gold mine

I've taken Cheetahs -11.5 at 3 too

love this Fiji team, going to take some tier 1 scalps in coming years.

1st major bet of week lands, now for Scotland on Sunday to send Japan packing.

Pierrebal wrote: Namibia v Canada
I really cannot wait for this match and think Namibia can push Canada and get their first ever win. Namibia has completely outscored Canada so far, with the weeks rest and the confidence they have I'm really backing them to pull through here. I took these bets halftime during the NZ game and it looks good value so far.

Namibia to win 22/10 - Current price 15/10
Namibia +5.5 - Current price +3.5

I do think Namibia will see more money until Sunday and especially after South Africa puts away Canada.

Agree with you Pierre and you're quite right, money has indeed come for Namibia

Cap is now +1 with most books in UK, but Skybet has +4 which I've just taken a lump of

Canada vs Namibia

Canada -1,5 @ 9/10 WSB

I've emptied both my 'depleted' betting accounts onto BOP Steamers -22.5 tomorrow morning. No matter how hard I try, despite not finding a team list anywhere on the web, I just cannot see the Southland getting within 30 points of the Steamers.

If BOP win, then I can place a few bets over the weekend, otherwise, I'm out till next week...

Might be a good cue for you guys to punt Southland, given my luck recently

Kirky wrote: I've emptied both my 'depleted' betting accounts onto BOP Steamers -22.5 tomorrow morning. No matter how hard I try, despite not finding a team list anywhere on the web, I just cannot see the Southland getting within 30 points of the Steamers.

If BOP win, then I can place a few bets over the weekend, otherwise, I'm out till next week...

Might be a good cue for you guys to punt Southland, given my luck recently

Just ASK :

Southland:
1. Joe Walsh
2. Greg Pleasants-Tate
3. Morgan Mitchell (50th)
4. Craig Smith
5. Mike McKee
6. Brayden Mitchell (c)
7. Matt James
8. Charles Alaimalo
9. Logan Crowley
10. Mitch Taylor
11. Lewis Ormond
12. Ray Nu'u
13. Isaac Te Tamaki
14. Josh Moorby
15. Marty McKenzie

BOP:
1. Aidan Ross
2. Nathan Vella
3. Jeff Thwaites
4. Aaron Carroll
5. Baden Warlaw
6. Hugh Blake
7. Mitchell Karpik
8. Abraham Papali'i
9. Leroy Carter
10. Dan Hollishead
11. Pryor Collier
12. Chase Tatia
13. Matthew SG
14. Emoni Narawa
15. Jason Robertson

So basically BOP will destroy them

Kirky wrote: I just cannot buy a handicap win. Whichever minus or plus I go, the other comes in.
My last ten or eleven have gone opposite - soul-destroying stuff

Just a heads-up to the group:
I really want the Japs to go into the QFs, so I'm taking a BIG punt on Scotland to win - hopefully my run continues to that game.

Hope you guys are having better results than me,

Hi Kirky,
just to let you know that tabnz has picked BOP -22.5...... this is always a worry as they often get every game wrong! Not influenced as I was already with you on this one before they posted!

SOUTHLAND $8.90 v BAY OF PLENTY $1.05
Rugby Park, Invercargill
Thursday, 7:35pm
Southland reverted back to their old habits last week, getting embarrassed 64-7 by Auckland at Eden Park. It was a disappointing result just two weeks after breaking their record loss streak but they’ll be happy to return home to Rugby Park where they’ve covered their last two. Up against Bay of Plenty, though, life won’t be easy on Thursday night and it will be no surprise if the Steamers run up a score. BOP are unbeaten against Championship sides this season and have won four straight games. They’re 8-1 ATS this year and have beaten fellow championship sides by an average of 29 points and Southland are arguably the bottom of that pile. We can expect a big BOP win on Thursday if the conditions are dry.
Recommended Bet: Bay of Plenty -22.5 ($1.87)
Confidence: Confidence level
Value Bet: Bay of Plenty 31-40 ($5.00)

Just be careful awful weather expected in Southland (and on most of the MITRE game this week end), good to pick Dixon or Vella to score a try

CLrugby wrote: Just be careful awful weather expected in Southland (and on most of the MITRE game this week end), good to pick Dixon or Vella to score a try

Invercargill Hourly Weather for tonight = Baby showers between 8 & 9 = no worries

7 PM
10/10
8°
Cloudy
Precip: 26%

8 PM
10/10
8°
Showers
Precip: 69%

9 PM
10/10
7°
Cloudy
Precip: 49%

Happy with the weather situation in the great Southland.

Thought about BOP Head Coach Clayton McMillan with great assistance coaches v outgoing prop coach Dave Hewitt and its time to add some x factor punting.

Betting an extra unit BOP -33.5 @ $3.35 doubling into Tasman -7.5 @ $1.87 (cannot believe line keeps dropping, Hawkes Bay farmers must have had a good winter) Cheers 3P

England vs France and New Zealand vs Italy called off. Decision to be taken on Scotland vs Italy on Sunday.

Obviously taking some Tasman H-7.5 to counter bet my HB +13.5, The Makos are going with a strong team to face the Bay, far from the turnover I was expected so cover is taken now oping for a 8-13 margin win

threepeat wrote:
Hi Kirky,
just to let you know that tabnz has picked BOP -22.5...... this is always a worry as they often get every game wrong! Not influenced as I was already with you on this one before they posted!

Hi 3P,
I've been camped on tabNZ punters lounge all week, and even now, all they've got up is week 9 preview. Nothing about week 10.

Where did you find their BOP pick info ?

The line here has shortened to -18.5

hanrick wrote: England vs France and New Zealand vs Italy called off. Decision to be taken on Scotland vs Italy on Sunday.

Just hope the books don't use this to try and weasel out of the total tournament points bets. The under 2615.5 points my biggest bet. Weather was expected though so should be OK.

Big strike Bay of Plenty -5.5 at 17/20 at halftime. With the wind I reckon they put this tp bed in the 2nd half

Nice horrible weather in Southland as per the forecast. Good coins on the H+, it will be similar type of weathers on most of the NZ fields this week.

Brent Graham wrote:

The Vann wrote:

hanrick wrote: England vs France and New Zealand vs Italy called off. Decision to be taken on Scotland vs Italy on Sunday.

Just hope the books don't use this to try and weasel out of the total tournament points bets. The under 2615.5 points my biggest bet. Weather was expected though so should be OK.

I know the spread firms have a default allocation for a game that is not played for any reason.

Thanks Brent. My bets are fixed odds. Checked our only spread book until 5 minutes before first match. Would have taken it but was never offered as a spread locally.

CLrugby wrote: Obviously taking some Tasman H-7.5 to counter bet my HB +13.5, The Makos are going with a strong team to face the Bay, far from the turnover I was expected so cover is taken now oping for a 8-13 margin win

twitter.com/TasmanMako?lang=en To view very strong team.

Tasman Mako going on a shark hunt, can taste magpie! lots of it

Have received refunds from England and NZ games plus payouts from doubles with England as anchor.

Need to stay in the RWC game - Pulling out the Double Max Tasman -7.5 Granny fund if I had one! Purchase of Currency. Cheers 3P

Kirky wrote:

threepeat wrote:
Hi Kirky,
just to let you know that tabnz has picked BOP -22.5...... this is always a worry as they often get every game wrong! Not influenced as I was already with you on this one before they posted!

Hi 3P,
I've been camped on tabNZ punters lounge all week, and even now, all they've got up is week 9 preview. Nothing about week 10.

Where did you find their BOP pick info ?

GO MAKOS KIRKY

On tabnz site go to Rugby Union from punters lounge (left side). All rugby union will show to the right.
Also try Mitre 10 Cup webpage, hit News then latest news for team lists.

PS: Having trouble with Scotland v Japan game, but your lack of luck has convinced me to go with the Kiwi Coaches & Japan

CHEERS 3P

Australia vs Georgia under 25.5 1st half points at 8/10

Taranaki vs Auckland
Small interests on
Over 5.5 tries @ 2
Over 2.5 tries Taranaki @ 2.25
Over 2.5 tries Auckland @ 1.53

Auckland -3.5 at 19/20

Just watched last night's Handicap show and very surprised to hear that I'm not the only one with an aching sphincter from the Southland/BOP game. Feel less of a twat now than I did yesterday after my BOP expectations were dashed, if top punters like you guys also got nailed.
The reality is that Southland and Northland would probably do better playing cricket than rugby.

Am I smoking my socks again if I say that Otago has got to smoke Northland by 25 at least on Sunday ?

Great show and good insights guys, it's back to the trenches for me and hopefully turn things around

For me this RWC has been nothing but trouble for a year now, for lots of reasons, and I'll be glad to see the back of it.
Counting down the days to Super Rugby and some good honest rugby again.
Hopefully by then they'll have sorted out this tackling/TMO/red card nonsense that's spoiling the RWC. Probably a case of 'dream-on'.

Good punting everyone

Joe Dwebba anytime at 2.75 (at GG gaming)

First try scorer at 16

Georgia over 3.5 first half points @ 9/10 for me

Under 50.5 total pts @ 5/6. Rain is coming down.

Australia over 5.5 tries 1/1, Home Team points is at 38.5, meaning 6 tries and 5 conversions.

Georgia doesn't offer much on attack and, weird to say, Australia has got a good scrum so I can't see Georgia disrupting the set pieces that much. Both Wales and Fiji also put 40 points over Georgia.

hanrick wrote: Australia vs Georgia under 25.5 1st half points at 8/10

Steady rain in Fukuroi so have added a strike on under 50.5 total points at 17/20

southpaw wrote: Under 50.5 total pts @ 5/6. Rain is coming down.

line now 45.5 and rain still looks heavy. Hopefully continues for next 2 hours.

Have not been impressed with Australian defence so far so small interest on

Georgia to score a try @ 1.5 with skybet
Georgia over 0.5 HT @ 1.58 with 888
Georgia over 7.5 @ 2.07 with 888

HT Georgia over 3.5 pts @ 1.85 on 888

Oyonnax -16.5 @ 1.87 on 888

Big guns for Oyonnax while Carcassonne is doing a huge turnover and its -19/-20 on every other bookmaker

Cheetahs vs Munster

First try after 8 @ 1.91 on WH

Cheetahs over 32.5 points at 0.82/1

Much strengthened Ulster team lining up vs Kings.
Coetzee, Burns & McCloskey in particular.

Not typically great away from home, but should have far too much for the Kings.

Ulster -9 @ 1.91

Nevers x Cheetahs @ 1.78

Gloucester vs Bath
Under 49.5 @ 1.87
Weather has been horrible all day long

Cheetahs at home during the RWC! GOLDEN!!!!!!!!!

Cracking calls on the show boys, well done!

bradie82 wrote: Nevers x Cheetahs @ 1.78

Nice one Bradie - Sweet As

Points StartGuinness Pro 14: Cheetahs v MunsterRugby UnionSat, 12 Oct 2019, 5:15am
Cheetahs (-8.5) @ 1.92
Points StartGuinness Pro 14: Glasgow Warriors v Cardiff BluesRugby UnionSun, 13 Oct 2019, 7:35am
Glasgow Warriors (-6.5) @ 1.92
Points StartMitre 10 Cup: Hawkes Bay v TasmanRugby UnionSat, 12 Oct 2019, 2:35pm
Tasman (-7.5) @ 1.87
Points StartMitre 10 Cup: Canterbury v North HarbourRugby UnionSun, 13 Oct 2019, 4:35pm
Canterbury (-12.5) @ 1.87
Combined Odds 12.89

Samoa under 1.5 tries at 17/20