Rugby World Cup - Quarter Finals + other rugby
- Brent Graham
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We are at the knockout stages and here are the opening handicaps
England -8.5 v Australia
New Zealand -11.5 v Ireland
Wales -6.5 v France
Japan +14.5 v South Africa
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- Tarka
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- cluaindiuic
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Rolling Stones of the rap game, not braggin'
Lips bigger than Jagger, not saggin'
Spell it backwards, I'ma leave it at that...
That ain't got nuttin to do with rap
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- Geros
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Turbos +16.5
HB -4.5 vs Otago
Very confident on these.
WC:
Japs +14.5
Double on Wales X England @9/10
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- Brad Breath
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Hearing Dupont and Penaud both under injury clouds for the French - Bradie or someone else may know more?
These are perhaps their best 2 players........
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- The Vann
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England -9.5 @ 11/10
Japan +9.5 @ 15/10
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- Tarka
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- bradie82
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Brad Breath wrote: Big early bet on Wales & NZ win, double @ 1.76 with Skybet
Hearing Dupont and Penaud both under injury clouds for the French - Bradie or someone else may know more?
These are perhaps their best 2 players........
Don't know much at this stage - Dupont has had back problem for the past 2 weeks but don't see it as a main issue for the quarter final and for Penaud, which will be the biggest lost for France, it seems like it is a hamstring injury but as far as I know, it did not seem a worry for the French staff - will update everybody once I know more
That said, wonder if Biggar will be playing after 2 head knock in less than 10 days - with Sam Warburton explaining on TV few days ago that France was a rubbish country in term of head knock and allowing players to play straight away, that will be an interesting topic in the next few days as it seems Biggar will be playing
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- Brent Graham
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Warriors ML @17/20
Bears -2.5
Wasps -11.5
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- landrews77
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Where will the Upset gonna.be?
I really thinks ,the Ausies game and
or France game. We have not really see the French.The most dangerous unknown animal in that Q4 finals.
The Ausies can Upset the Apple card.TheSouthern hemisphere teams have the best prep in terms of Championship. It is hard ,no fear and accurate rugby when it mattersI.
I really like France on the best plus and Ausies also on best plus.
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- landrews77
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SA. - 14,5
NZ -12,5
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- bradie82
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Both have made another injury assessment and waiting on the final result but this is how it looks like :
- Dupont trained with the group fully today and it seems like his back problem would not be an issue for Sunday’s game.
- However, Penaud was still not training and it seems like he won’t be able to play on Sunday.
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/RWC-2019/england-v-...betting-preview.html
6 units England -8.5 at 19/20 at Sunbet
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/RWC-2019/japan-v-so...betting-preview.html
4 units South Africa -14.5 at 19/20 at Sunbet
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- bradie82
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He will it a go tomorrow at training and then a decision will be made
Squad will be as the one expected for the English game with Raka replacing Penaud in case he could not play
Médard - Penaud, Vakatawa, Fickou, Huget - (o) Ntamack, (m) Dupont - Ollivon, Alldritt, Lauret - Vahaamahina, Le Roux - Slimani, Guirado (cap.), Poirot.
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- mackem
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- southpaw
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I just can't get away from RWC record when get to play-off stages, they seem to get into another mode, regardless of coach or squad. I think they will be a real handful at the breakdown and i'm mystified by Ford only playing from bench.
Gone Aus +8.5 @ 17/20 in the end, but also hoping to see if any exotics appeal once points etc come out.
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- threepeat
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southpaw wrote: Just been catching up on posts after seeing team news, had been feeling bullish about Aus plus but BG's preview has me concerned.
I just can't get away from RWC record when get to play-off stages, they seem to get into another mode, regardless of coach or squad. I think they will be a real handful at the breakdown and i'm mystified by Ford only playing from bench.
Gone Aus +8.5 @ 17/20 in the end, but also hoping to see if any exotics appeal once points etc come out.
Hi South,
Pre- tournament long term plays are now coming home. Mine is and has been an AB v SA final $$$. Not changing my mind.
BG has been on England pre-tournament and not changing his mind! They will not get past B'Munga if they get past Aussie.
IMO NZ, SA & Wales all cruise through quarters.
For me England are favourites with good reasons v Australia, but for me this is also the game most likely to have an upset.
- Jordan Petaia is a superstar and is a genius choice by Cheika.
- Eddie Jones has adjusted his defence to counter Wallaby mid-field threat = no (swing high) Owen Farrell @ 12.
- Pocock & Hooper are more experienced than English counterparts.
- England have not played a fast pace Southern Team, they are in for a shock.
- England are already thinking about semi v NZ (big mistake).
- Aussies are desperate and have a stand up RWC record.
- Plenty of Kiwis telling Cheik how to beat the "Mitch" defence.
No bet on this game so far, but expecting english $ to come for England and get on at around Aussie +11.5. Cheers 3P
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- Quill
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Australia +8.5 @1.84
Australia over 17.5 points @1.90
Australia over 1.5 tries @1.89
Total points over 44.5 @1.90
Mitre 10 Cup
Bay of Plenty -21.5 @1.90
BOP over 38.5 @1.95
Good luck everyone!
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- Brent Graham
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Also thrown in a couple of speculators at 66/1 and 33/1
3Peat correct in that I am committed to England and will be seeing this through. Interesting though that the money appears to be coming for Australia who are now +7.5 in places.
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- mackem
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England v Australia
goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...betting-preview.html
New Zealand v Ireland
goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...betting-preview.html
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- threepeat
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Points Start (a)Mitre 10 Cup: Wellington v CanterburyRugby UnionSat, 19 Oct 2019, 7:05pm
Canterbury (3.5) @ 1.57
Points Start (a)Mitre 10 Cup: Bay of Plenty v ManawatuRugby UnionFri, 18 Oct 2019, 7:35pm
Bay of Plenty (-13.5) @ 1.61
Points Start (a)Mitre 10 Cup: Tasman v AucklandRugby UnionSat, 19 Oct 2019, 2:05pm
Tasman (-13.5) @ 1.67
Points StartMitre 10 Cup: Hawkes Bay v OtagoRugby UnionSat, 19 Oct 2019, 4:35pm
Hawkes Bay (-7.5) @ 1.87
Also taken BOP to win Championship @ $1.75 - looks like $ for jam.
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- threepeat
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Brent Graham wrote: After much pondering I have gone unders in New Zealand v Ireland - Click Here for the Preview
Also thrown in a couple of speculators at 66/1 and 33/1
3Peat correct in that I am committed to England and will be seeing this through. Interesting though that the money appears to be coming for Australia who are now +7.5 in places.
BG you and Chris have been gracious hosts all year long, especially to us opinionated Internationals. Thank you for that. It does make the site more interesting. Actually thought the French guys were SA transplants until very recently! lol
Obviously strongly disagreeing with you on the state of North v South Rugby. We do however agree on the unders on the NZ v Ireland game. Followed you, but got -45.5 on tab nz. Need to win bigger than this so have added Wales -6.5, making it a double. French have shown me nothing and "Warren Ball" will crush any French flair. Also agree with dangers of betting against the French, but Gatland too experienced too good to lose this one.
2 LEG MULTI
Combine all selected single bets
@ 3.51
Unders @ 1.85
Total Points
New Zealand v Ireland
Wales @ 1.90
Points Start (-6.5)
Wales v France Cheers 3P PS Please get yourself some insurance on the Southern Hemisphere winning!
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- mackem
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Brent Graham is joined by @HanrickSwart, @OracleRugby and @Sean_Nicholas to discuss the 4 RWC quarter finals from a betting angle.
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- hanrick
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Of the World Cup games' handicaps I like the Boks minus the strongest, with England minus 2nd. No strong feeling on the other two. Wales should win and although I don't like the team NZ have picked I think they should beat an Ireland team who peaked a year too early. NZ won't make the final though.
Like the unders in all four WC games, especially in the NZ/IRE game.
Mitre10 Cup semi's:
Bay of Plenty vs Manawatu I see there has been a lot of money for Bay of Plenty. I'm leaning Turbos on the plus here and have taken Manawatu +22.5. I called BOP and Hawkes Bay to fight out the Championship after week 2 when the overrated Taranaki was still favourites.
Hawkes Bay vs Otago I think the Magpies will beat the minus at home.
Tasman vs Auckland, I'm a big Mako fan, but staying out of this handicap at this stage. Looks big, but can't go against Tasman at home.
Then onto the best bet of the weekend. I can't believe this is basically a choice game. Canterbury horrible overrated because of their name. A shadow of the side of previous seasons though. Wellington will put them away easily at home. Just like Taranaki, the bookmakers keep overrating Canterbury. I'm not complaining though.
Have pending outright bets on Tasman at 14/10 and Bay of Plenty at 3/1, placed after week 2 so hope the finals are in Nelson/Blenheim and Rotorua.
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- Northerner
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- Brad Breath
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Wellington win at 1.91
Get on now if you wish, the price will melt off the back of team news. (Canterbury have a few out injured)
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- bradie82
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This has been a successful WC so far and with my 2 main bets on under points and tries cashing in 2 weeks, I will not waste those in games where I reckon anything could happen.
But I will share some thoughts :
Eng vs Aus : Australia has nothing to lose I reckon and that could make them dangerous. Farrell is not at the top of his game, reckon he could be targeted and Daly at full back is just a non-sense to me. I tend to agree with Quill on over and Australia H.
Nz vs Ire : the fact that Aki is out is a good news I reckon but I could put all my money on Sexton to be targeted – Kiwis knows a “simple knock” could get him of the pitch. I would go against everybody on that game and over Ireland and match on that game
Wales vs Fra : Yes I still reckon France is crap and having Iturria and Raka not even on the bench is just an aberration to me. To beat he Welsh you need to play a fast game as the Fijian managed to do but I reckon France will try play physical like they did against Tonga as there is nobody smart enough in the management to give the right direction. Still reckon it would be a close game so would go either team to win by 7 and under 2.5 tries HT (already available on betclic)
SA vs Japan : I said last Sunday that the Japan +15.5 seemed interesting and have not change my mind. Apart from that depending on the cut an over could be interesting.
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- mackem
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Wales v France
goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...betting-preview.html
Japan v SA
goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...betting-preview.html
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- southpaw
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southpaw wrote: Just been catching up on posts after seeing team news, had been feeling bullish about Aus plus but BG's preview has me concerned.
I just can't get away from RWC record when get to play-off stages, they seem to get into another mode, regardless of coach or squad. I think they will be a real handful at the breakdown and i'm mystified by Ford only playing from bench.
Gone Aus +8.5 @ 17/20 in the end, but also hoping to see if any exotics appeal once points etc come out.
Added Aus over 8.5 1st half pts 9/10
MoM Kerevi 16/1
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- bradie82
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Bristol & under 40.5 @ 2.45
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- Brent Graham
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Hawkes Bay (-2.5) @ 1.46
Tasman (-12.5) @ 1.53
Wellington @ 1.69
New Zealand (-5.5) @ 1.42
Combined Odds 10.45
Fairly confident here at just over 10/1
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- R3V3R3NT_
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- Quill
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Auckland over 15.5 points @1.79
Total tries: over 6.5 @2.00
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- hanrick
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- Brent Graham
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- hanrick
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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Been a market that’s worked very well all tournament for me so going in again.
Smaller interests -
MoM MoUnga 9/1
1st try MoUnga 18/1
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- Brad Breath
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Smaller plays:
NZ by 21-30 @ 5.50
MOM: Savea @ 11
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