Rugby World Cup - Semi Finals + other rugby

early bet 5 units boks - 6.5 @$1.90 tab nz cheers 3P

very good weekend and cannot wait for the semis.

Looking for best price on win double:

SA
NZ

should get around 9/10.

And for small interest on one that jumps out as a possible value play -

Last scoring play = SA drop goal @ 20/1.

All over the Boks -6.5. Solid GOLD!

On Sunday Sunbet was the first to open with the Boks vs Wales handicap and they had Bokke-7.5. I couldn't believe how low it was and immediately put a big bet on that.

Then I saw this morning that GG Gaming has Bokke-6.5 and took some more.

I can't believe the handicaps are set so low. They must be basing it on past results when the Bokke weren't that great. However it's a completely different Bok team now and Wales look worse than they have in a long while. It doesn't look like Wales will score tries against South Africa and the Welsh defence isn't what it used to be.

Josh navidi out for the tournament. Never been more confident for a handicap. Blowout win for South Africa, 15+

threepeat wrote: early bet 5 units boks - 6.5 @$1.90 tab nz cheers 3P

we are not the only ones thinking bok, bok, boks

went to add another bet and found the tab nz line to have moved out to -7.5 and payout down to $1.80

The Springboks on the minus handicap might not be the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow as apparently the case.

Read a interesting preview on the semifinal where it was noted that Wales were found wanting against offenses where offloads played an integral part of - Aus, France and Fiji all had more than 7 in their respective matches against Wales. The Boks only had two against the Blossoms and often revert to more conservative attacking approaches in big games - Wales will have a much easier task at hand to defend box kicks etc with the likes of Liam Williams and George North.

The loss of Havidi to be offset by the return of Jonathan Davies, so not all doom and gloom.

Wales will be up for this one, careful boys.

The only way the Boks don't cover the cap is if Garces influences the game. Wales should never have won that Quarter Final, were average against Uruguay and just beat a poor Aussie side. Boks by 14+

I tend to agree with Experienced Novice - if SA plays the same type of physical game against Wales, thats not gonna be an easy game. The rush defence Wales is playing and their love for a physical game could be a problem and the only will be to use the speed of Mapimpi and Kolbe.
On that note, I would get rid of Le Roux and put Kolbe at full back - this is where he s been the best for Toulouse last year and he could be a massive threat for Welsh at this position

Boks 1-12 win @ 16/10

This is the obvious bet for me. Covers a close arm-wrestle SA win and also SA winning by 2 scores (try and pen).

Weekend acca @ 6.55

BOP win
Munster -19
NZ win
Wales +8.5

i.redd.it/ez329t4zm4u31.jpg

Ill just leave this here.. . waiting for teams before diving in.

Brad Breath wrote: Weekend acca @ 6.55

BOP win
Munster -19
NZ win
Wales +8.5

Alternate Acca
4 LEG MULTI
Combine all selected single bets

@ 7.92

Bay of Plenty (-6.5) @ 1.71
Points Start (a)
Bay of Plenty v Hawkes Bay

Tasman (-8.5) @ 1.59
Points Start (a)
Tasman v Wellington

South Africa (-7.5) @ 1.80
Points Start
Wales v South Africa

New Zealand (-4.5) @ 1.62
Points Start (a)
England v New Zealand

Kolbe out for the semi final, massive blow for the Boks

Electric wings dont win you WC semi-finals. Defense does. Nkosi will be fine cover. Not a massive loss IMO

bradie82 wrote: Kolbe out for the semi final, massive blow for the Boks

Not amassive blow imo. Will only miss his reads on rush defence. Nkosi on par on attack and Nkosi brilliant in the air.

Already big on SA -6.5. If this affects the betting I will load up some more.

My weekend plays:

Ulster -7.5
Ospreys +22.5
Edinburgh -1.5
Benneton -13.5

Bears +7.5
Warriors +12.5

England +7.5
Boks 1-12

Liam Williams out for wales, Smart money tells me to load up on -6.5, if you can get it!

RE: Kolbe, yes a blow for SA, but looking at the japan game he was just not right, arguably costing SA tries, that he normally would have gotten if not for injury. Nkosi can handle the physicality of wales, and is a lethal finisher, changes nothing for me! still boks on minus

Bets from earlier in week:

NZ win/ SA win double @ 9/10 (very confident bet)
SA 1-12 win @ 16/10
last score SA drop goal @ 20/1

added bets today:

NZ over 11.5 1st half pts @ 9/10 (this market has been golden all tournament so sticking with it).
MoM = Ardie Savea @ 12/1

BOP vs Hawkes Bay M10 championship final:

Going BOP & under 60.5 points at 0.98 , points line seems very high for a final

Bet 1: BoP win and total over 53.5 points @2.25
Bet 2: BoP over 31.5 points @1.95
Bet 3: BoP -8.5 @1.90

Good luck to all!

Hawkes Bay with most of the possession and territory in the early parts of the game, but Bay of Plenty started taking control late in the half. I reckon they pull clear in the 2nd half and think we'll get a few points.

Bay of Plenty over 19.5 points at 17/20
Bay of Plenty to win the game and over 28.5 points at 21/20

hanrick wrote: Hawkes Bay with most of the possession and territory in the early parts of the game, but Bay of Plenty started taking control late in the half. I reckon they pull clear in the 2nd half and think we'll get a few points.

Bay of Plenty over 19.5 points at 17/20
Bay of Plenty to win the game and over 28.5 points at 21/20

Bad read

Wales vs Boks
Wales had South Africa's number for a while. Wales weren't great last weekend but they got over the line. That means a lot when you are looking for momentum." Alun Wayn Jones is a real leader in that team. Patience will be of cardinal importance.
Thats about this reason that I will lend towards Wales.So much things are against the Boks. The Referee, Young coaches, The monkey that NO team that has won the Championship has made it through to the final, No strong leaders in the Bok team., and that they were not tested through the tournement.
Wales < 12,5 wsb.

ENG vs ALL Blacks

England talk too much. The Ausrtalians almost held them,if it was not for wrong decisions on attack ,poor defencive system of the Wallabies and 2 soft tries that has been given on a plate.
NZ = -7,5 is gold.

Thoughts on semis; NZ by 1-12 seems a great bet but, for the longer odds, I’m risking 1-10 at 21/10 Betway. I fancy SA on the handicap or by 1-12 perhaps, not decided yet.

888 offer 7/5 in both games for last tryscorer to be “any other” (sub, no try or pen try) which is generous, just done the double for interest. Strikes me as close to a coin toss.

Hills prices for >1.5 cards look decent, 11/4 tomorrow and 7/2 Sunday. Done singles and the double.

Taken Wellington +13.5 @1.75

Brent Graham wrote: I have gone England +7.5 in the England v New Zealand Preview but as you are aware I am on them to win the tournament so battling to see the game without bias.

BG brave to continue flying the Union Jack. I have been large on AB v Boks final pre-tournament and opposed to Brent from the beginning. I disclose my existing bet bias and my bias for being an AB fan.

Betting AB's -7.5, on top of finals bet.

Oracle Rugby has had a "vision" on this game. No explanation so I shall offer one. Ireland were not that bad, AB attack was sensational. The new 10/ 15 axis (BeauMunga) will be played everywhere after the world cup. It counters the successful "line" defence.
AB's will shread the "Mitch" defence, by striking from 10/15 axis.Watch Barrett slice past Manu T.

Clever move by Hansen to have four line out jumpers v England = lineout domination!


AB by more than we beat Boks = AB's over England by 15+ Cheers 3P
PS: Only Barrett going off or a Red card can save the Poms. PS 2 Tasman 16 Wellington 3 - eighteen minutes gone.

England to win at 28/10. Not taking the plus, only win

Main bet NZ - 6.5 @ 1.83

NZ 13+ @ 2.60

Savea MoM @ 13
Back in his natural habitat in the 7 jersey, expecting a massive game from him.
(Have him world rugby player of the year @ 33 so hoping for a big performance here)

hanrick wrote: England to win at 28/10. Not taking the plus, only win

NO WORRIES HANRICK, u can get your dosh back tomorrow betting on the Boks - 7.5

Cheers #P

southpaw wrote: Bets from earlier in week:

NZ win/ SA win double @ 9/10 (very confident bet)
SA 1-12 win @ 16/10
last score SA drop goal @ 20/1

added bets today:

NZ over 11.5 1st half pts @ 9/10 (this market has been golden all tournament so sticking with it).
MoM = Ardie Savea @ 12/1

Added 1 more - 1st try Savea 20/1.

I really dont feel like England has been tested this world cup. They skipped the French, Argentina had a red card in the 16th minute and struggled to put away Tonga. Aussies were never going to win but still hung in for 60.

NZ -6.5 main bet
and found Sevu Reece try /abs 13+ @$4

Smart bet, This is where the value is!, regardless if it comes through.

Real war of attrition stuff this, England pressure has made the All Blacks look distinctly average, their kicking has been atrocious.

Nonetheless I think they come back a bit -

NZ +3.5 @ 8/10 at ht, incl overtime.

Well done England backers. Their defence was brilliant.

I took a hit their, not my biggest bet of tournament but gave back all of last weekends profits.

People saying England stepped up, and NZ playing poorly. Disagree strongly, This was England's year.
Anybody who watched them would have made them favourites in this game based on this world cup!.
Made a tidy profit on England outright win, as i'm sure harick and brent did also. Great game!