Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 9, Australia Week 6
- Brent Graham
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Rebels +4.5 v Brumbies - looks like this will be played in New South Wales
Hurricanes -6.5 v Chiefs
Waratahs +2.5 v Reds
Crusaders -11.5 v Highlanders
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- Dizzle
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- Kirky
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First winning weekend for me after 5 losing.
But after my hot streak in the first 2 weeks, I'm still up on the bookies in the competition overall.
Also right on top or close to top, on all my Superbru pools.
My losses have generally been from taking the first half / second half bets for their higher odds of 6.50 ish. Just can't resist them and none have come home.
And first try scorer bets on boys with high odds Pure dumbness.
Looking forward to another good 'un ahead
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- threepeat
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Rebels +4.5 (+4.5) v Brumbies
Hurricanes -6.5 (-6.5) v Chiefs
Waratahs +2.5 (+4.5) v Reds
Crusaders -11.5 (-15.5) v Highlanders
I handicapped the Sader game @ -10.5, so have taken a decent strike on Landers +15.5
Expect the line to move lower. Also a big margin sets up some beautiful in play options. Cheers 3P
PS: Winning margin v Chiefs was 6. Even I think the Sevu Reece try was a no try. Bookies have not adjusted.
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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I really don't think they Landers are as bad a side as this cap suggests. It's tough to bet against the Saders in Christchurch but this cap is too big. Landers have a great maul and inform players in Smith, Frizell and Dixon.
Under 52.5 in Canes - Chiefs as main strike:
Canes missing Laumape and rain expected in the morning. Should be damp with high winds. I expect Boshier to be a menace at the breakdown and cause a few problems. I also expect big performances from ALB. I'm sticking my neck out on the line and taking Chiefs +8.5 - they should cover this cap.
Double on under 59.5 in Chiefs-Canes and Reds victory at 11/10.
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- Brent Graham
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Don't see myself getting too involved in the Aussie games
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- son_of_a_punt
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2 bets for the moment:
We're following TOS with U52.5 in canes v chiefs. Rain around in the morning so pitch won't be dry. Also a chance in the afternoon/evening and you can never write it off in NZ! Will also look for in play handicap value as winds look like they'll be strong.
And then taken reds -4.5 against the Tahs. Reds looked great last week and ran the Brumbies very close.
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- landrews77
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I also following TOS on Under 52,5 in Canes /Chiefs game.Chiefs will sharpen their defends.
The best for the Ausies games is to go on the Plus.Big surprises are always on the cards in this games.The Reds on the best plus if available.
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- Brent Graham
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The lads on Use it or Lose it confirm the wind should be howling in Wellington - I stood in for Couch who had "work" matters to attend to
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...und-6-best-bets.html
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- mackem
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- son_of_a_punt
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&
Rebels U2.5 tries v brumbies @0.66
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- Brent Graham
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- threepeat
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Rebels v Brumbies
Forcast wet weather should suit Brumbies weaponized rolling maul. Cheers 3P
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- Kirky
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By persisting with D Mac at 15, he's gonna end on 0-8, having left at least one try out on the field in every game. What a dumb waste of talent by a very average (read poor) coach. I can cry for the kid.
Just my opinion
Let's break the bookies this weekend chaps
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- Zambusta
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threepeat wrote: Brumbies Over 23.5 @ 1.80 Brumbies - Total Points
Rebels v Brumbies
Forcast wet weather should suit Brumbies weaponized rolling maul. Cheers 3P
If you like that bet you should rather go for:
First team to reach 20 points Brumbies @1.95
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- Zambusta
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Zambusta wrote:
threepeat wrote: Brumbies Over 23.5 @ 1.80 Brumbies - Total Points
Rebels v Brumbies
Forcast wet weather should suit Brumbies weaponized rolling maul. Cheers 3P
If you like that bet you should rather go for:
First team to reach 20 points Brumbies @1.95
Especially with Rebels unders a big play...Rebels points line now sitting at 15.
But wet weather and poor Oz rugby level does not leave a lot of confidence.
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- coil
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Have also joined on the unders at 40.5 , though for smaller as only going on the weather forecasts at this stage .
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- Quill
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In the rugby league game going on right now they are scoring like crazy, it's 10-16 after 35 minutes.coil wrote: Swimming against the tide and going for the Rebels plus 7.5 , if the Brumbies start well as they normally do, will get on the plus Rebels in running as well.
Have also joined on the unders at 40.5 , though for smaller as only going on the weather forecasts at this stage .
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- The Vann
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Post removed. Doorbell rang while posting and accidentally posted after match started.Quill wrote:
In the rugby league game going on right now they are scoring like crazy, it's 10-16 after 35 minutes.coil wrote: Swimming against the tide and going for the Rebels plus 7.5 , if the Brumbies start well as they normally do, will get on the plus Rebels in running as well.
Have also joined on the unders at 40.5 , though for smaller as only going on the weather forecasts at this stage .
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- Brent Graham
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Hurricanes v Chiefs Betting Preview - following TOS unders but at 50.5
Waratahs v Reds Betting Preview - I am almost done with Aussie Rugby but a small interest Reds 1-12
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- coil
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moving on to Saturday , also inclined to go for the under 50.5 in the chiefs game but it'll be important also to see who has the wind in the first half , I think a small bet on the best plus chiefs is the way to go.
best bet on the card and I'm with the oracle, Waratahs plus the best price .. I think they'll win it .
If that fails my next best is the Highlanders on the best plus on Sunday .
Play well
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- mackem
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- Kirky
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Waltzing Matilda, waltzing Matilda, you go a a'waltzing Matilda with me - plonkers
Hop skip kangarooroo-boys
Yech
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- son_of_a_punt
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Murphy the ref and should be quite slippery from all the rain. H2H also suggests unders big time!
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- Brad Breath
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Full strength Chiefs team would struggle in my view, but they are nowhere near this.
Boshier out is huge - Jacobsen is a great player but not a turnover specialist and is coming in fresh.
Canes -5 @ 1.93
Weather reports suggest rain will be well gone by kick off and wind dying down too. I think there will be points.
Canes over 26.5 points @ 1.83
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- southpaw
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Tahs + 6.5 @ 0.81. Think they will drag Reds down to their level and an arm wrestle expected. Petaia out for Reds.
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- Brad Breath
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southpaw wrote: Canes tries does the business, reinvesting into the Aussie derby -
Tahs + 6.5 @ 0.81. Think they will drag Reds down to their level and an arm wrestle expected. Petaia out for Reds.
Similar thoughts, have taken the extra point and lower price, Tahs +7.5 @ 1.70
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- Brent Graham
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I am giving up reading form in these Aussie games
Well done Tahs backers
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Crusaders v Highlanders Betting Preview
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- Brent Graham
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