Cycling : w/c 10 Aug Criterium du Dauphine, Il Lombardia etc
- The Vann
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Criterium du Dauphine
A five day stage race with enough climbs to set the legs for the TdF. In my opinion the field this year probably contains the full TdF top 10.
On the Outrights
Probably Roglic but the odds are too short so am taking two shots at the podium
Finish 1-3
A Yates @ 7/1
Soler @ 40/1
Stage 1
Once again going for the longer place odds
Valverde @ 7/1
Gallopin @ 33/1
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- Couch Critic
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Loving the look of the Dauph with climbs all the way through the week. Puncheurs only really have Stage 1 to have a proper crack at, after that the big boys will come out to play. That being said the GC guys saw what happened when Ala was given a bit too much rope in the TdF last year so the little Frenchie could find it tough being afforded any space from Jumbo or Ineos.
I will sleep on a couple of possible plays for now and share my picks tomorrow.
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- Couch Critic
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Dauph 1: (Just too short at the top end so will back a break or late attack - like the Gallopin play Vann and expecting a TdG from Chris as well).
Mohoric @ 50/1
Benoot @ 50/1
Gorka Izagirre @ 80/1
Piemonte:
Aranburu @ 7/1 (looks in superb form and the route should suit him perfectly)
Ciccone @ 20/1 (to have a late attempt at sneaking away)
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- The Vann
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e/w
I Izagirre @ 22/1
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- Brent Graham
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May look for a match bet in running and really looking forward to the Dauphine - it certainly is a beast of a route
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- Brent Graham
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Guillaume Martin / Warren Barguil (Home)7/20
Richie Porte / Rigoberto Uran (Home)5/10
Tom Dumoulin / Geraint Thomas (Home)1/3
And to win - Pogacar to attack with a km to go and Ineos and Jumbo to hesitate as to who chases him, he is not seen again - 0.5u at 7/1
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- The Vann
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Fancy the longer odds on two of the match bets today
Masnada / Rolland @ 14/10
D Martin / Higuita @ 2/1
Looked impressive yesterday and short stage does not favor a break so going stage win
Bernal @ 5/1
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- Couch Critic
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Dauph Stage3: Surely Jumbo take a day off and with the flat start before the 2 climbs the break candidate needs to have the pace/power on the flats to make it to the hills.
- Benoot @ 40/1
- Bilboa @ 40/1
- Polanc @ 150/1
- Jungles @ 200/1
- Cosnefroy @ 200/1 (ew)
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- Brent Graham
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I think this stage could go either way but also make the break fav and 2 of your pics namely Benoot and Polanc going into my staking plan (just hope Polanc isn't on baby sitting duty for Pogacar)
Final picks to follow
PS Was good to land yesterdays treble although Tom D had me worried for a while
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- The Vann
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I do not hold out much hope for a break today as there is no real springboard for them in the first 80 odd km's but need a few beers for the watch
Dauphine Stage 3
Benoot @ 40/1
Soler @ 100/1
and a match bet double
Rolland / Pozzivivo into
Uran / Valverde @ 4/1
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- Brent Graham
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0.25 units on
Beenoot now 20/1
Pogacar 22/1 (if it comes together he may get some leash)
Lutsenko 33/1
Polanc 100/1
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Egan Bernal / Tadej Pogacar (Away)2/1
Enric Mas Nicolau / Adam Yates (Home)6/10
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- The Vann
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I think Roglic looks top dog and anyone who beats him wins the TdF. Roglic won the Vuelta in 2019 but he clung on desperately at the end and was unable to stay with his main rivals on the penultimate stage. His 2017 and 2018 TdF efforts played out on exactly the same lines. His strength is the ITT but the TdF ITT's are on the second last stage. In 2017 over 23km flat he finished 14th and shed almost 50sec to Froome. In 2018 over 31km of flat he finished 8th and shed 70 plus sec to Froome losing his podium place - Froome did not win either of the ITT's. The 20th stage ITT this year is over 36km but around 10km are up hill. I don't think he gets any time from his main rivals on this stage. In my opinion the rider who looks most capable of challenging and beating Roglic at the TdF is
Win Pinot @ 15/2
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- The Vann
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Brent Graham wrote: Taken 1 unit on this double at 7/2
Egan Bernal / Tadej Pogacar (Away)2/1
Enric Mas Nicolau / Adam Yates (Home)6/10
Two doubles at 7/2 and 4/1 landed on the boards today - Verrrie Naaaice
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- Couch Critic
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No messing around for me any more I'm going big on Lombardia tomorrow. Everyone and he's dog is in love with Remco atm but tomorrow his bubble goes pop. Trek and Astan will give the youngster a working over and I'm putting all my eggs in one basket early. Big bet in cycling terms for me on Jakob!
Fuglsang @ 6/1
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- kt6747
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Tao Geoghegan Hart @ 66/1
Navarro @ 200/1
Both can climb and descend, hoping surprise
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- Brent Graham
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If Roglic doesn't win today then this one is really wide open - small win interests
0.25u Pogacar @33/1 - hasn't looked at his best but getting stronger and if there at the end can slip away for the win
0.25u Froome 100/1 - would have to be from the break and only if he has been bluffing a bit
0.25u Tom D 200/1 - will prob work for Rog but Jumbo so strong he may get to follow an attack and win from there - he shoould only be 190/1
0.25u Valverde 33/1 - has not looked good but may just be targeting a stage
1.5u double at just shy of 1/1
Pogacar/Bardet
Buchmann/Martin
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- The Vann
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Might look at the break in play but first up
de Gendt @ 33/1
Polanc @ 150/1
and sadly one of us has to lose our double today
Yates / Valverde into
Martin / Buchmann @ just under 7/2
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- The Vann
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Spending more on the Dauphine as I have seen the riders there. Beers for the falling leaves
Bennett @ 9/1
Schachmann @ 33/1
Hermans @ 100/1
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- Brent Graham
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They are all trying to beat young Remco and if they let him get away they wont see him again. I think this race will be ridden hard from a long way out and I am looking to beat the fav
0.25u on
Sosa 22/1
Ciccone 33/1
Schachmann 28/1
Aru 100/1
Bettiol 100/1
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- kt6747
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Couch Critic wrote: Nice work on the matches lads.
No messing around for me any more I'm going big on Lombardia tomorrow. Everyone and he's dog is in love with Remco atm but tomorrow his bubble goes pop. Trek and Astan will give the youngster a working over and I'm putting all my eggs in one basket early. Big bet in cycling terms for me on Jakob!
Fuglsang @ 6/1
Couch you Biscuit. Great call
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- southpaw
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Didn’t get to watch any sport yesterday but got some time today, will make a rare venture into cycling -
Caruso 28/1
Barguil 40/1
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- The Vann
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Dauphine Stage 5
Disappointed by Yates in the double yesterday but he apparently has the runs.
e/w
Thomas @ 33/1
Grossschartner @ 250/1
Win only
Caruso @ 20/1
Latour @ 33/1
Higuita @ 33/1
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- The Vann
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Had difficulty with the match bets today but have finally settled on the following double
Lopez / Sivakov into
Haig / Elissonde @ 4/1
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- Brent Graham
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0.25u on
Froome 66/1
Polanc 150/1
Van Aert 66/1
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- Brent Graham
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0.125u Yankee
LaTour 15/10/Yates
Lopez/14/10/ Sivakov
Rolland 7/4/Bardet
Landa 2/1//Pinot
Acca works out just under 50/1
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- The Vann
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Win
Kuss @ 12/1
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- Brent Graham
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Landa/Pinot
Pog/Martin
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- Brent Graham
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In running
0.5u Pog at 8/1
2.5u Pog/Martin at 7/10
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- Brent Graham
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The Vann wrote: Roglic has been pulled so throwing in
Win
Kuss @ 12/1
Great call The Vann
What a stage
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- The Vann
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Have seen a lot of inexplicable lapses in sport in my life but today's sight of Froome and Thomas in the gruppetto leaves me kinda speechless.
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