All Football Tips w/c 14th September

Aussie Rules
Collingwood vs Gold Coast

Collingwood lost a tight match last round they played, 34-42 to Brisbane Lions (2nd on the ladder) in Brisbane.
They are sitting 8th and must win this to make sure they get to the play-offs, as two other teams are breathing down their necks.
They had 10 days rest ahead of this game, so they should have worked out a way to win.

Gold Coast are out of the play-offs, but they are stil good to put up a fight. They generally don't lose by big margins and Collingwood aren't demolishing their opposition either.

Bet 1: Collingwood margin 1-39 @1.83
Bet 2: Over 116.5 @1.91
Bet 3: Collingwood win + Ben King (Gold Coast) anytime goalscorer @1.80

Aussie Rules
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles

The Kangaroos are on a 7 match losing streak. Actually they lost 13 out of 16 matches, so that gives you a better picture. They are sitting second from last on the ladder, equal on points with the last team.
They have been losing by big margins, including to teams in the lower part of the table.

The Eagles are 5th on the ladder and are aiming for a top 4 finish, if results go their way, so that they can get a double chance in play-offs (that is even if they lose, they still get to play one more match to qualify). 

Bet 1: Eagles -30.5 @1.91
Bet 2: Total team points WCE over 74.5 @1.95
Bet 3: Total team points Kangaroos Under 43.5 @1.89

Alternative Lines Combo
WCE -16.5 (@1.40) + Rabbitohs (Rugby League) -9.5 (@1.42) @1.98

Aussie Rules

St Kilda vs Greater Western Sydney Giants

This is the last match of the regular season.
The Giants blew away a couple of big chances to get their play-off spot. They are now in a must win situation and wait for other results to go their way.

St Kilda lost their last match to the Eagles, a top 4 team. They must win this to avoid complications. They are 7th on the ladder, just inside the play-offs, but if they lose, they'll have to hope other results go their way.

Therefore I think this will be a hard fought match, with a tight score and few points.

Bet 1: Total Under 117.5 points @1.91
Bet 2: Either team to win by 15 or less @2.20

Quite big on Arsenal to Score 2 and West Ham 20+ Booking Pts @6/4

Have it doubled with Leeds-1 as well @5.87

Aussie Rules
Adelaide vs Richmond

Adelaide are rock bottom, but they won their last 3. Prior to that they were winless.
Richmond must win this to finish top 4. If they don't win, they still finish in the play-offs, but they won't have a double chance advantage (i.e. lose and play another match).

Richmond have some injury concerns, but they are a deep team and have plenty of talent. They are title favourites.

Adelaide found some form and they may keep it tighter than the handicap. However, Richmond should win.

Tyson Stengle (Adelaide) likes to score when he plays at home.
Liam Baker has had more than 15 disposals in every Richmond win this season.

Bet 1: Richmond win and Liam Baker 15+ disposals (passes) @2.10
Bet 2: Richmond win and Tyson Stengle to score @2.30
Bet 3: Total over 114.5 @1.91

Aussie Rules
Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues

The Lions are 2nd on the ladder and they just need the win to have a chance of snatching the top spot in this last round of the regular season, and become Minor Premiers for the first time. For that to happen, they must wait for port Adelaide vs Collingwood match, and hope that Port won't win.

Carlton are out of the play-offs.

The Lions improved their accuracy in recent weeks and I expect them to win with a statement, to show they deserve home finals and winning the minor Premiership.

Bet 1: Lions -23.5 @1.90
Bet 2: Lions Over 71.5 points @1.84

Not great odds on today's acca but looking to make an early season confidence builder
Swansea
Everton
Leeds
Man United
Arsenal
@ 23/2

Been a nice morning on the Rugga, looking at reinvesting some winnings in a few Liverpool markets tomorrow. For now usual highly speculative acca -

Over 2.5 goal in the Championship afternoon games except Middelsborough match.

421/1 !!

Found my one Sunday bet -

Liverpool over 11.5 total shots @ 9/10 (sunbet)

Absolutely cracking price this, strong fancy, Chelsea will play a game that allows reds to have chances.

Aussie Rules

Hawthorn vs Gold Coast

The last game of the season, both teams are sitting in the bottom part of the table, nothing to play for.

There are three players who regularly get on the scoreboard, and I'll place a small bet on them, as well as on totals. These two teams have had their fair share of high scoring games, and there's no reason why they shouldn't go for it in this nothing-to-play-for last game of the season.

Bet 1: Total over 129.5 points @1.91
Bet 2: Anytime goal scorers Breust + Sexton @1.75
Bet 3: Anytime goal scorers Breust + Sexton + Ben King @2.10

Australian Rules Football
Sydney Swans vs Geelong

The Swans have had a very poor season. They had to deal with injuries too and they are finishing very low on the ladder.
Geelong must win this to get inside top 4, which means double chance finals (lose and get to play again).
They get back four key players for this game, and they look to take it very seriously.

Bet 1: Geelong -26.5 @1.91
Bet 2: Geelong team total over 70.5 points @1.86

Aussie Rules
Fremantle Dockers vs Western Bulldogs

This is the last game of the regular season and the Bulldogs must win in to get into the pay-offs.

They must beat the Dockers, who are finishing the season just outside play-offs, but in good form. They won their last two matches and 5 of their last 8. Among their victims are the three teams that are occupying the last three play-off spots. One of them will be replaced by the Bulldogs, if they win.
So the Dockers are similar to these teams, therefore the Bulldogs will not have it easy tonight.

Another important aspect is that the Dockers have a top 4-5 defence, they are very tight at the back.

The match is played in Cairns, which means humid and slippery conditions, and that helps my bets for the plus handicap and under points.

Adding another bet, Hogan to score, as he scores regularly for the Dockers, and Smith to have more than 20 disposals (passes), a number he regularly beats.

Bet 1: Dockers +19.5 @1.80
Bet 2: Total points Under 113.5 @1.91
Bet 3: Hogan anytime goal scorer + Smith 20+ disposals @1.88

southpaw wrote: Found my one Sunday bet -

Liverpool over 11.5 total shots @ 9/10 (sunbet)

Absolutely cracking price this, strong fancy, Chelsea will play a game that allows reds to have chances.

Chelsea badly off the pace most game and red card sealed their fate. Rusty like Man U?
Lovely win for the Reds and biggest football punt for many months arrives.