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- Super Rugby AU & AO, 6 Nations, Preparation Series, GPR, Pro14, Top14 9-14 Mar
Super Rugby AU & AO, 6 Nations, Preparation Series, GPR, Pro14, Top14 9-14 Mar
- Brent Graham
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"May the Force be with you" was the title of last weeks betting newsletter and while it wasn't easy the Force -2.5 arrived to ensure profits. We missed the 12/1 acca with the Leicester -2.5 missing by 2 points and I understand they conceded 2 tries against 14 men to see us beat - pleased that wasn't the last leg.
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On a personal note it was a good weekend thanks to the Force and Crusaders o31.5 arriving. I was up and down in most of the other matches but some decent ammo for a busy week ahead.
And busy it is with midweek action in SA getting us going - here are the early Preparation Series caps from WSB
Cheetahs 7/10 v Sharks 12/10 -no cap yet, opened choice
Pumas +12.5 v Bulls
EP +38.5 v Lions (opened +36.5)
Griquas +10.5 v Stormers
Super Rugby AU round 4 and AO round 3 on the weekend - here are my projected caps
Force +6.5 v Rebels
Brumbies -7.5 v Reds
Crusaders -15.5 v Chiefs
Blues -6.5 v Highlanders
Here are the week 4 Six Nations caps
Italy +25.5 v Wales
England -1.5 v France
Scotland +1.5 v Ireland
Look forward to your thoughts as we take on the bookies.
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Bristol -7.5 vs Wasps
Chiefs -13.5 vs Harlequins
Newcastle +5.5 vs Bath
Saints +5.5 vs Sale
Gloucester -4.5 vs Tigers
London Irish -5.5 vs Warriors
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- Brent Graham
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Cheetahs -3.5 v Sharks 12/10 -opened choice then went 7/10
Pumas +13.5 v Bulls - opened +12.5
EP +42.5 v Lions - opened +36.5
Griquas +9.5 v Stormers - opened +10.5
Super Rugby AU round 4 and AO round 3 caps are out and on the right in brackets - original caps were my projections
Force +6.5 v Rebels (=4.5)
Brumbies -7.5 v Reds (-5.5)
Crusaders -15.5 v Chiefs (-15.5)
Blues -6.5 v Highlanders (-7.5)
All within a couple of points of mine so no early moves for me
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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EP +42.5
Force +4.5
Reds +5.5
Against the grain here but strong fancy on Chiefs to cover the +15.5.
Brumbies - Reds over 46.5
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- son_of_a_punt
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Hoping Faf can lead the Sharks to another W!
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- Ruan Fourie
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ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Force +4.5
Against the grain here but strong fancy on Chiefs to cover the +15.5.
Well that's not a good sign. I went with the opposite.
First went with Rebels-3.5 and then when the line moved to -1.5, I took some of that too.
Also went with Crusaders-15.5
I've had a poor year so far but last weekend went better for a change.
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- Kendolph
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Can't refresh the squad with the Sam Simmonds' of this world even if Eddie wanted to (which he doesn't).
Even allowing for not knowing the affect that coivd will have had on individuals, Vakatawa and Ntamack are added to the squad, this is going to be a beatdown and odds against about France on the board is just superb. 4/5 strength due to the covid question mark at 21/20.
Elsewhere 'keep calm and back the Crusaders' usually with good reason, expected the Chiefs to be better than last year but last week suggests more of the same so taking the minus.
Scotland +2 the other confident play at this stage pre any team news as the week goes on.
France on the board
Crusaders -15
Scotland +2
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- Chiefie
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France will murder England. No crowd. Autumn harvest cup revenge. Full France squad. It’s going to be a war crime against those pommy bastardos.
Crusaders will win comfortably.
Wales to win by 25+
Scotland v Ireland - no idea. Either team to win by 7 points?
Super AU - don’t give a shit
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- Brent Graham
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Griquas v Stormers Betting Preview
A small interest in the 2nd half highest scoring and I will be waiting for points lines
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- Brent Graham
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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EP +42.5 at 9/10 (strongest fancy)
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- Shazzadude
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Kiwi living in Australia
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Back on the Stormers train at 7/10.
Crazy price.
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- son_of_a_punt
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- Brent Graham
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- Experienced Novice
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- The Vann
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Match points over 63.5 @ evens
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- Ruan Fourie
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/South-Africa-Rugby/...review-and-tips.html
EP v Lions
goodforthegame.co.za/South-Africa-Rugby/...review-and-tips.html
Brent not particularly keen on getting involved pre-match but would go with smalls on best EP plus and Cheetahs minus
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Strong on Reds +5.5
Added Reds board 1-12 at 2.2/1
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- Zambusta
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ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Brumbies ripe for the picking.
Strong on Reds +5.5
Added Reds board 1-12 at 2.2/1
I think it will be a tight one...hopefully with no red card.
I've taken either team by 7 including draw @2.3
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- Joeywallace
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- Quill
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Expecting a bounce back by EP. The Lions with fringe players and youngsters.
Bet 1: EP over 16.5 pts @1.83, bet365
Bet 2: EP +35.5 @1.80, bet365
Cheetahs vs Sharks
Cheetahs with close to their best selection. Sharks still with fringe players.
Bet: Cheetahs -4.5 @1.97, sportsbet
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- landrews77
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- landrews77
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...w-and-best-bets.html
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- mackem
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- Darren
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- Brent Graham
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Click Here to watch on You Tube
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- Brent Graham
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A tough one but stuck with my original thoughts that the cap should be closer to 6 points
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- Chiefie
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An empty twickenham, a stacked French team with Vakatawa and Ntamack back, am I missing something here?
France on the board at 21/20 for me.
And, either team to win by 1-6 at 13/8.
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Going with Couch's Chiefs u17.5 call
Brumbies v Reds Betting Preview
Reds overs for me
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- Brent Graham
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Italy v Wales Betting Preview
I fancy Italy to beat the cap but main bet is Italy o6.5 1st half points
England v France Betting Preview
Chiefie I hear you - happy to take odds-against the French
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- Brent Graham
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Scotland v Ireland Betting Preview
Like the Scots on the board
Blues v Highlanders Betting Preview
Handicap looks well set - early kickoff and that is enough to get me onto overs
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- southpaw
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Blue v High - over 48.5 pts @ 17/20 Sunbet
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- southpaw
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- Quill
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Over 44.0 pts @1.88, Pinnacle
I don't always take points on the Force games, but when I do I take overs.
Somehow every time I take an under it goes spectacularly into overs and then some, and I remember when it started.
It was about 8 years ago on a rainy, bucketing down day, drenched like a drowned rat, no umbrella or rain jacket able to shelter me, being at the stadium in Perth watching Force vs Blues. I took a spectacular unders bet and was happy to take in the floods from the sky and bear a shitfest in the mud if that was going to give me a winner.
Lo and behold, both teams score at ease, and I'm not talking penalties, they scored tries. Many. Enough to beat an over on a nice summer day.
I've tried unders many times since then, but more often than not (it is just what has been happening to me, not general stats) they go into overs.
I guess I must have received the baptism of the Over Gods that day.
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- Brad Breath
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Shouldn't this be much shorter given Rebels not scored any tries in their first 2 games??
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- Laraxwell
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Joey Carbery makes first start in a year
Some feel good in the province
Munster -8.5pts v Scarlets
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- Ruan Fourie
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Brad Breath wrote: Taken Rebels - more pens than tries @ evens with B365
Shouldn't this be much shorter given Rebels not scored any tries in their first 2 games??
That looks like a great bet!
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- southpaw
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- Chiefie
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southpaw wrote: time and time again i get sucked in by general positive sentiment for Force. They are clueless on attack. Zero plan.
10-7 after 80mins. Australian rugby should be defunded. And this is why it’s being streamed for free in the UK - they literally can’t give the shit away.
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- Kirky
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- Experienced Novice
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I will probably be lamenting this decision tomorrow night, but my money is down on England by 1 -10 @ 2/1.
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- Chiefie
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Experienced Novice wrote: Like a moth to a flame I find myself inexplicably backing the English again this week. According to weather forecasts there will be some rain and wind about, and I do somehow feel that a slower paced, forward orientated game will suite them better than the French.
I will probably be lamenting this decision tomorrow night, but my money is down on England by 1 -10 @ 2/1.
Look, Andrew Brace is reffing - so literally anything is possible. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him award a penalty, take the kick himself for posts, then overrule himself with a TMO Check Check. Honestly. How the man is not on furlough is beyond me.
The only bet I’m confident is on unders points on the game, sitting around 41.5. French hate the English, defence drilled by Shaun Edwards and they will want retribution from COVID cup.
France on the board at 11/10
France +1.5 @ 5/6
Red card @ 6-1
Unders 41.5 @ 5/6
Tonight Bristol V Wasps.
Gone big on unders 40.5 points @10/11.
Karl Dickson Reffing so should be a whistle fest. Wasps not scoring points and Bristol have a work experience kid at fly half, weather is also biblical according to metoffice.
Good luck everyone. Viva le Crunch
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- Chiefie
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Chiefie wrote:
Experienced Novice wrote: Like a moth to a flame I find myself inexplicably backing the English again this week. According to weather forecasts there will be some rain and wind about, and I do somehow feel that a slower paced, forward orientated game will suite them better than the French.
I will probably be lamenting this decision tomorrow night, but my money is down on England by 1 -10 @ 2/1.
Look, Andrew Brace is reffing - so literally anything is possible. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him award a penalty, take the kick himself for posts, then overrule himself with a TMO Check Check. Honestly. How the man is not on furlough is beyond me.
The only bet I’m confident is on unders points on the game, sitting around 41.5. French hate the English, defence drilled by Shaun Edwards and they will want retribution from COVID cup.
France on the board at 11/10
France +1.5 @ 5/6
Red card @ 6-1
Unders 41.5 @ 5/6
Tonight Bristol V Wasps.
Gone big on unders 40.5 points @10/11.
Karl Dickson Reffing so should be a whistle fest. Wasps not scoring points and Bristol have a work experience kid at fly half, weather is also biblical according to metoffice.
Good luck everyone. Viva le Crunch
16-13 at HT. my under 40.5 is looking pretty shitty right about now.
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- southpaw
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Chiefs over 7.5 1st half points @ evens
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- Chiefie
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Chiefie wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Experienced Novice wrote: Like a moth to a flame I find myself inexplicably backing the English again this week. According to weather forecasts there will be some rain and wind about, and I do somehow feel that a slower paced, forward orientated game will suite them better than the French.
I will probably be lamenting this decision tomorrow night, but my money is down on England by 1 -10 @ 2/1.
Look, Andrew Brace is reffing - so literally anything is possible. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him award a penalty, take the kick himself for posts, then overrule himself with a TMO Check Check. Honestly. How the man is not on furlough is beyond me.
The only bet I’m confident is on unders points on the game, sitting around 41.5. French hate the English, defence drilled by Shaun Edwards and they will want retribution from COVID cup.
France on the board at 11/10
France +1.5 @ 5/6
Red card @ 6-1
Unders 41.5 @ 5/6
Tonight Bristol V Wasps.
Gone big on unders 40.5 points @10/11.
Karl Dickson Reffing so should be a whistle fest. Wasps not scoring points and Bristol have a work experience kid at fly half, weather is also biblical according to metoffice.
Good luck everyone. Viva le Crunch
16-13 at HT. my under 40.5 is looking pretty shitty right about now.
37-20. Not even close.
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- coil
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Testing conditions , rain pelting down, a pathetic school boy kick by goparth at the death allows Bristol to score the killer blow ,
Fook me sideways... i'm lost for words.
Gonna be a weekend of chasing .
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