Tennis : w/c 18 Oct Antwerp/Moscow + Other

Here is a thread for this week Quill.
Will be watching mostly footie this evening but fancy the local youngster to give Harris a rev

Antwerp
Berg v Harris
Over 2.5 sets @ 7/4

ATP Moscow

Paul vs Cilic
Duckworth vs Khachanov

Both Cilic and Khachanov have very good records in Moscow and both are former champions there.
Paul struggled in the first round against Ymer, while Cilic although he lost the first set to a tie-breaker against Dzumhur, he won the following two sets to 1.

Khachanov is leading 2-0 h2h against Duckworth without losing a set.
One win came on the indoor courts of St Petersburg last year (indoor, same like here in Moscow) and the second win came at Tokyo Olympics.

Bet 1: Cilic @2.03
Bet 2: Cilic + Khachanov @2.54

Antwerp

Sinner vs Musetti

There is a big difference between these two players.
Sinner has had a very successful year so far and recently he won titles in Washington and Sofia.
Musetti scraped past an average Mager in the first round, winning in two sets. However his performance was far from convincing, as he twice trailed the first set by a break and faced a set point (on serve) in the second set, winning 7-6 7-6.
Sinner should win this in two sets.

Bet: Under 20.5 games @1.90

Antwerp

RB Agut vs Fucsovics

Roberto Bautista-Agut reached the 4th round at Wimbledon, quarter-finals in Toronto, third round at the US Open where he lost in 5 sets to Aliassime, and at Indian Wells he lost in the second round to the eventual champion Norrie in 3 sets.

Maron Fucsovics has cooled off after reaching the quarter-finals at Wimbledon. He came to this tournament in poor form, coming off 5 consecutive defeats. In the first round here he defeated a qualifier after a difficult first set, 7-6, in which he faced 5 break points.


Moscow

Gerasimov vs Karatsev

Karatsev is the more talented player of these two, ranked 22, while Gerasimov is at 109 in the world and played qualifications to enter the main draw.


Bet: RB Agut + Karatsev @2.15

Moscow
Kudermetova vs Halep

Kudermetova narrowly avoided a humiliating defeat to 18-year-old Selekhmeteva, a player outside top 200. She served to stay in the match twice, needing two hours and 20 minutes to get through.
Halep played well enough to win 6-1, 6-4 over the local favorite Anastasia Potapova.

Bet: Karatsev + Halep @1.90

Moscow
Simon vs McDonald 

If this match took place a few years ago, Gilles Simon would have had a better chance of beating Mackenzie McDonald, but he is nowhere near his best at the moment.
He spent almost 3 hours on court in the first round and beat Djere, a clay courter, 6-7 7-5 6-3. Djere was leading by 1 set and 5-3 in the second and couldn't convert the opportunity.

On the other hand, Mackenzie McDonald beat Nishioka in just one and a half hours, 6-3 6-4, with a powerful, difficult to return serve, as he fired 9 aces.

Antwerp
Nakashima vs Laaksonen 

Nakashima completely outplayed Alex de Minaur in the first round. He rallied from a break down in the first set and served a bagel in the second set, 6-4 6-0.
Now at number 79 (career-high) Nakashima has posted some excellent results on hard surfaces in recent months. He made back-to-back runner-up finishes in Los Cabos and Atlanta.

Laaksonen needed 3 sets to defeat a struggling opponent, Benoit Paire.

Bet 1: McDonald + Nakashima @2.02

Adding Halep to boost the odds:

Bet 2: McDonald + Nakashima + Halep @2.62

Moscow
Martinez vs Cilic

Cilic likes playing on indoor hard courts and has enjoyed plenty of success on the surface over the years. Moscow in particular is a tournament that he's done very well over the years, as he lifted the trophy in consecutive seasons here in 2014 and 2015 and reached the semifinal at the last edition.

Antwerp
Fucsovics vs Harris

Fucsovics is playing well enough here, after a horrible 5 consecutive matches without a win. Yesterday he was very good against Agut, as he recovered from one set down to win in 3 sets.

Lloyd Harris is having the best season of his career so far. He's firing many aces, he hasn't lost a set, his serve hasn't been broken and he likes the indoor court conditions in Antwerp.
Against Struff in the previous round he didn't even have a break point to save and fired 11 aces in a quick 72 minutes match.

Bet 1: Harris -1.5 @1.83
Bet 2: Cilic -2.5 @1.85
Bet 3: Harris + Cilic @2.62

Moscow Final

Cilic vs Karatsev

Cilic won this tournament two times. Returning to play here has proven to be just what the doctor ordered for him. He has won eight consecutive sets without requiring a tiebreaker since dropping his opening set of the week to Damir Dzumhur.

These two players met two months ago in Cincinnati, where Cilic cruised 7-5 6-3.
So far in Moscow, Karatsev has not lost a set. This should be competitive, but Cilic is having a nice revival here in Moscow and he has to feel especially good having lifted this trophy twice in the past.
Also, I think the odds for Cilic are too high, he has just beaten Karatsev in two sets.

Bet 1: Over 2.5 sets @2.28
Bet 2: Cilic @2.20