Eng v SA, Fra v NZL, Wal v Aus, Ire v Arg, Toyota Cup, Bunnings Finals 19-21 Nov

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2 months 6 days ago #1 by Brent Graham
Wow what a weekend for me - that late England try was a massive swing in my favour as had a big double ending on over 44.5 and also took England -10.5 at the break. Then on Sunday it was a late Welsh burst that saw home the over 3.5 and 4.5 Welsh tries and the overs Wales points highlighted in the preview. Also nice wins on the Boks -4.5 and of course the Newsletter Best Bet Ireland +10.5 which gave us our 3rd successive winner (link to sign up down below)

My year has turned on these last 2 weeks and I am hoping to keep it going this weekend where we have some great International rugby as well as Bunnings NPC Finals and the Toyota Championship which I didn't watch this weekend.

Here are my projected handicaps with the exception of the France v New Zealand game which has already been priced up

Italy v Uruguay - no feel for this one
Scotland -14.5 v Japan
England +2.5 v South Africa
Wales +5.5 v Australia
France +5.5 v New Zealand (actual cap)
Ireland -13.5 v Argentina


Don’t miss our live rugby betting show THE HANDICAP “Rugby chat that matters” on Thursday night 21h00 SA time – Here is the link to view the Goodforthegame You Tube Channel www.youtube.com/c/GoodforthegameTV/videos

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Look forward to your thoughts

BG

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2 months 6 days ago - 2 months 6 days ago #2 by The Vann

Brent Graham wrote: Wow what a weekend for me - that late England try was a massive swing in my favour as had a big double ending on over 44.5 and also took England -10.5 at the break. Then on Sunday it was a late Welsh burst that saw home the over 3.5 and 4.5 Welsh tries and the overs Wales points highlighted in the preview. Also nice wins on the Boks -4.5 and of course the Newsletter Best Bet Ireland +10.5 which gave us our 3rd successive winner (link to sign up down below)

My year has turned on these last 2 weeks and I am hoping to keep it going this weekend where we have some great International rugby as well as Bunnings NPC Finals and the Toyota Championship which I didn't watch this weekend.


BG


Don't tell the Missus :lol:
Last edit: 2 months 6 days ago by The Vann.
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2 months 6 days ago #3 by Brad Breath
I'd be all over the Welsh if the cap is +5.5, even if Hooper is fit.
Really interesting to see where they price that game and also Eng v Boks.......
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2 months 6 days ago #4 by Shazzadude
These are my line predictions:

Georgia +9.5
Russia +3.5
Italy -19.5
Scotland -17.5
England +2.5
Romania -2.5
Wales -3.5
Ireland -12.5

Womens:

France -14.5
Ireland -18.5
England -34.5
Wales +7.5

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2 months 6 days ago #5 by Brent Graham
A few more caps out to the right of mine in brackets

Scotland -14.5 v Japan (-15.5)
England +2.5 v South Africa (+1.5)
Wales +5.5 v Australia (choice)
Ireland -13.5 v Argentina(-14.5)

Big difference Wales v Aus game but I think rather than triggering a bet I may have got that one wrong

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2 months 6 days ago #6 by Cyclingexpert
On WSB England is +1.5 and on sunbet SA is +2.5

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2 months 6 days ago #7 by ThoughtsOnSports
Wales board at 15/20

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2 months 6 days ago #8 by Cyclingexpert

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Wales board at 15/20

Wales 19/20 at wsb

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2 months 6 days ago #9 by southpaw
Boks 1-12 @ 21/10

Farrell out for England.

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2 months 5 days ago #10 by Brad Breath
Boks +1, Wales win

Double @ 3.44
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2 months 5 days ago #11 by shark prince
Following sentiment on here against the wallabies, not particularly impressed with Wales however Wallabies toothless on the road without Kerevi, Tupou and now Hooper. Quade is negligible but the wheels don't turn without the other 3. On wales win and will be looking at unders wallabies tries/points.

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2 months 5 days ago #12 by ThoughtsOnSports
One of those gut fancies:

Otago +5.5

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2 months 5 days ago #13 by Shazzadude
South Africa have trailed at halftime and won three games in a row-does this hit a fourth game in a row?

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2 months 4 days ago #14 by Brent Graham
Taking a look at any betting movements in brackets - caps next to home team were my forecasts - Wales big support especially after Hooper out and likewise Boks have had support after Farrell/George news

Scotland -14.5 v Japan (-15.5 out to -17.5)
England +2.5 v South Africa (+1.5 stable although England did open as big as -2.5 in places)
Wales +5.5 v Australia (choice now -2.5 Wales as money comes for them)
France v New Zealand (-5.5 unchanged, some -4.5 available, sense a bit of support for the ABs)
Ireland -13.5 v Argentina(-14.5 stable)

I see Total Points out for France v NZL and at 47.5 at Playa

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2 months 3 days ago #15 by southpaw
Boks @ 10/11 outright. Fire.

Banning of Rassie going to fuel side this weekend.

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2 months 3 days ago #16 by ballaholic
Otago and Taranaki both named sides, like the look of Otago team

Have taken Otago +5.5, wouldnt be surprised to see move a couple points

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2 months 3 days ago #17 by ThoughtsOnSports
Adding Waikato +4.5 at 9/10

Double of Otago +6.5 X Waikato +6.5 at 2/1

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2 months 3 days ago #18 by Shazzadude
I’ve got England to win 1st half, and Australia +3.5 locked in so far

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2 months 3 days ago #19 by Brent Graham
Should be a great #TheHandicap live at 21h00 tonight as we bring the curtain down on the International's

Click here to watch on You Tube


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2 months 2 days ago #20 by southpaw
Like the All Blacks to score a few points in Paris. Will be firing overs when lines come out if low enough.

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2 months 2 days ago #21 by shark prince
No too much diversity from the forum and show, however just my 2 cents.

Taken Wales outright already, adding wales 1-12. Actually don’t mind the wallabies forward pack named, but no Hoops is too big. Differ from the show in thinking there’ll be points here, see a scrappy arm wrestle with neither reaching 25 points. Only side that could open it up imo is Wales but they’ve looked meh (I quite like their backline named this week). Will look at Australia unders

On Boks +1.5 earlier in the week, adding Boks outright and Boks 1-14 (TAB, 2.80) - don’t usually think the extra two points are worth for a price discount however Hanrick’s bullishness has got to me. England strong enough to not lose by 2+ converted at Twickenham, however very confident on the Boks. South Africa 1-21 (TAB, 2.15) also value as a higher price than the outright as already on the Boks win.

Medium on Scotland -16.5 from earlier, wasn’t full convinced however show’s confidence has got me to take more of -17.5

Smalls on NZ 1-12, see this staying close however been slightly disappointed with the French lately. Not being sharp and facing a wounded ABs not the best prep, fascinated to see the match unfold

Ireland 1-21 (Topsport, 1.83), more value than the cap for me, don’t see Irish losing at home however Argies have shown enough last two weeks to not be blown out

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2 months 2 days ago #22 by Brent Graham
England v South Africa Betting Preview

Boks win at 5/6, price likely to shift

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2 months 2 days ago #23 by Brent Graham
Scotland v Japan Betting Preview

Don't think the -17.5 will be there for long

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2 months 2 days ago #24 by mackem
Olimp's preview and plays for England v Boks

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/engla...s-from-olimp-sa.html

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2 months 2 days ago #25 by southpaw
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2 months 1 day ago #26 by ThoughtsOnSports
Harlequins over 31.5 at 8/10

Over 49.5 in Sale - Newcastle at 15/20

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2 months 1 day ago #27 by Brent Graham
Great pick Taranaki in the 1st final Hanrick - got #TheHandicap off to a good start

Wales v Australia Betting Preview


Battled with this, waited for points but eventually settled on either team by 6 or less

Going for a very slow jog and will ponder some big plays later in the day

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2 months 1 day ago #28 by southpaw
All Blacks over 26.5 @ 9/10

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2 months 1 day ago #29 by Brent Graham
Double at just under 5/2 Scotland over 4.5 tries Boks over 20.5 and also backing Scotland over 4.5 straight up

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2 months 1 day ago #30 by southpaw
Taken this treble -

Japan over 14.5
SA win
NZ over 26.5

@ 5/1

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2 months 1 day ago #31 by coil
Have put the baby on the Boks at 4/5 outright , main bet . Can't see them getting beaten.

France plus 5.5 , can't miss.

Finally Argentina on the best plus Sunday , Christmas has come early !

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2 months 1 day ago #32 by Kevin
Georgia vs Fiji played in Madrid

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2 months 1 day ago #33 by southpaw
Japan over 6.5 1st half points

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2 months 1 day ago #34 by Chiefie
Andrew Brace is reffing the Boks v England today.
The man is a joke. Gabe England the Covid cup a few years back.

A joke you’d find in a book in your in-laws spare bathroom.

I’m predicting 4-5 calls in England’s favour that will defy all logic or rugby laws.

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2 months 1 day ago #35 by Brent Graham
Scotland awful - had mentally banked over 4.5 tries and now I am chasing - Boks over 20.5 at 8/10 to get me out a hole

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2 months 1 day ago #36 by Chiefie

Chiefie wrote: Andrew Brace is reffing the Boks v England today.
The man is a joke. Gabe England the Covid cup a few years back.

A joke you’d find in a book in your in-laws spare bathroom.

I’m predicting 4-5 calls in England’s favour that will defy all logic or rugby laws.


True to form, Andrew Brace penalising the Boks in any scoring positions and awarding England 3 points at will. Stupid Belgian / Irish bastard.

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2 months 23 hours ago #37 by southpaw
Over 45.5 @ 10/11 wales aus

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2 months 23 hours ago #38 by Brent Graham
Boks overs gets me close to square = smaller bet under 4.5 tries at 12/10

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2 months 21 hours ago #39 by Brent Graham
Geez Aus were stiff there, was hoping they would win - Tribet comes in but small loss on game still with u4.5 tries failing .

Got Best Bet double ending on France +10.5 and pressed France win at 22/10

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2 months 8 hours ago #40 by Brent Graham
Ireland v Argentina Betting Preview

Late out with this one as just didn't have a feel and going for Ireland by 11-20

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2 months 5 hours ago #41 by southpaw
Pumas over 16.5 @ 10/11
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2 months 2 hours ago #42 by Chiefie
Backed over 30.5 points in the FH.

2 missed penalties in front of the post, dropped the ball cold 2m from the try line.

Betting isn’t worth it.

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2 months 2 hours ago #43 by Chiefie

Chiefie wrote: Backed over 30.5 points in the FH.

2 missed penalties in front of the post, dropped the ball cold 2m from the try line.

Betting isn’t worth it.


Ireland try 2 min later. 24-7.

Betting is totally worth it. I’m off to cry.

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2 months 1 hour ago #44 by southpaw
Yep that 5 minutes of 13 likely missed points from Pumas tells me my points play is 100% cursed today.

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2 months 1 hour ago #45 by Quill
HT bets

Bet 1: Team Total - Argentina Over 14.5 points @1.91
Bet 2: Total Points Over 54.5 @1.80

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