Eng v SA, Fra v NZL, Wal v Aus, Ire v Arg, Toyota Cup, Bunnings Finals 19-21 Nov

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2 years 5 months ago #1 by Brent Graham
Wow what a weekend for me - that late England try was a massive swing in my favour as had a big double ending on over 44.5 and also took England -10.5 at the break. Then on Sunday it was a late Welsh burst that saw home the over 3.5 and 4.5 Welsh tries and the overs Wales points highlighted in the preview. Also nice wins on the Boks -4.5 and of course the Newsletter Best Bet Ireland +10.5 which gave us our 3rd successive winner (link to sign up down below)

My year has turned on these last 2 weeks and I am hoping to keep it going this weekend where we have some great International rugby as well as Bunnings NPC Finals and the Toyota Championship which I didn't watch this weekend.

Here are my projected handicaps with the exception of the France v New Zealand game which has already been priced up

Italy v Uruguay - no feel for this one
Scotland -14.5 v Japan
England +2.5 v South Africa
Wales +5.5 v Australia
France +5.5 v New Zealand (actual cap)
Ireland -13.5 v Argentina


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Look forward to your thoughts

BG

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2 years 5 months ago - 2 years 5 months ago #2 by The Vann

Brent Graham wrote: Wow what a weekend for me - that late England try was a massive swing in my favour as had a big double ending on over 44.5 and also took England -10.5 at the break. Then on Sunday it was a late Welsh burst that saw home the over 3.5 and 4.5 Welsh tries and the overs Wales points highlighted in the preview. Also nice wins on the Boks -4.5 and of course the Newsletter Best Bet Ireland +10.5 which gave us our 3rd successive winner (link to sign up down below)

My year has turned on these last 2 weeks and I am hoping to keep it going this weekend where we have some great International rugby as well as Bunnings NPC Finals and the Toyota Championship which I didn't watch this weekend.


BG


Don't tell the Missus :lol:
Last edit: 2 years 5 months ago by The Vann.
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2 years 5 months ago #3 by Brad Breath
I'd be all over the Welsh if the cap is +5.5, even if Hooper is fit.
Really interesting to see where they price that game and also Eng v Boks.......
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2 years 5 months ago #4 by Shazzadude
These are my line predictions:

Georgia +9.5
Russia +3.5
Italy -19.5
Scotland -17.5
England +2.5
Romania -2.5
Wales -3.5
Ireland -12.5

Womens:

France -14.5
Ireland -18.5
England -34.5
Wales +7.5

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2 years 5 months ago #5 by Brent Graham
A few more caps out to the right of mine in brackets

Scotland -14.5 v Japan (-15.5)
England +2.5 v South Africa (+1.5)
Wales +5.5 v Australia (choice)
Ireland -13.5 v Argentina(-14.5)

Big difference Wales v Aus game but I think rather than triggering a bet I may have got that one wrong

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2 years 5 months ago #6 by Cyclingexpert
On WSB England is +1.5 and on sunbet SA is +2.5

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2 years 5 months ago #7 by ThoughtsOnSports
Wales board at 15/20

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2 years 5 months ago #8 by Cyclingexpert

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Wales board at 15/20

Wales 19/20 at wsb

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2 years 5 months ago #9 by southpaw
Boks 1-12 @ 21/10

Farrell out for England.

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2 years 5 months ago #10 by Brad Breath
Boks +1, Wales win

Double @ 3.44
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2 years 5 months ago #11 by shark prince
Following sentiment on here against the wallabies, not particularly impressed with Wales however Wallabies toothless on the road without Kerevi, Tupou and now Hooper. Quade is negligible but the wheels don't turn without the other 3. On wales win and will be looking at unders wallabies tries/points.

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2 years 5 months ago #12 by ThoughtsOnSports
One of those gut fancies:

Otago +5.5

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2 years 5 months ago #13 by Shazzadude
South Africa have trailed at halftime and won three games in a row-does this hit a fourth game in a row?

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2 years 5 months ago #14 by Brent Graham
Taking a look at any betting movements in brackets - caps next to home team were my forecasts - Wales big support especially after Hooper out and likewise Boks have had support after Farrell/George news

Scotland -14.5 v Japan (-15.5 out to -17.5)
England +2.5 v South Africa (+1.5 stable although England did open as big as -2.5 in places)
Wales +5.5 v Australia (choice now -2.5 Wales as money comes for them)
France v New Zealand (-5.5 unchanged, some -4.5 available, sense a bit of support for the ABs)
Ireland -13.5 v Argentina(-14.5 stable)

I see Total Points out for France v NZL and at 47.5 at Playa

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2 years 5 months ago #15 by southpaw
Boks @ 10/11 outright. Fire.

Banning of Rassie going to fuel side this weekend.

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2 years 5 months ago #16 by ballaholic
Otago and Taranaki both named sides, like the look of Otago team

Have taken Otago +5.5, wouldnt be surprised to see move a couple points

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2 years 5 months ago #17 by ThoughtsOnSports
Adding Waikato +4.5 at 9/10

Double of Otago +6.5 X Waikato +6.5 at 2/1

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2 years 5 months ago #18 by Shazzadude
I’ve got England to win 1st half, and Australia +3.5 locked in so far

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2 years 5 months ago #19 by Brent Graham
Should be a great #TheHandicap live at 21h00 tonight as we bring the curtain down on the International's

Click here to watch on You Tube


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2 years 5 months ago #20 by southpaw
Like the All Blacks to score a few points in Paris. Will be firing overs when lines come out if low enough.

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2 years 5 months ago #21 by shark prince
No too much diversity from the forum and show, however just my 2 cents.

Taken Wales outright already, adding wales 1-12. Actually don’t mind the wallabies forward pack named, but no Hoops is too big. Differ from the show in thinking there’ll be points here, see a scrappy arm wrestle with neither reaching 25 points. Only side that could open it up imo is Wales but they’ve looked meh (I quite like their backline named this week). Will look at Australia unders

On Boks +1.5 earlier in the week, adding Boks outright and Boks 1-14 (TAB, 2.80) - don’t usually think the extra two points are worth for a price discount however Hanrick’s bullishness has got to me. England strong enough to not lose by 2+ converted at Twickenham, however very confident on the Boks. South Africa 1-21 (TAB, 2.15) also value as a higher price than the outright as already on the Boks win.

Medium on Scotland -16.5 from earlier, wasn’t full convinced however show’s confidence has got me to take more of -17.5

Smalls on NZ 1-12, see this staying close however been slightly disappointed with the French lately. Not being sharp and facing a wounded ABs not the best prep, fascinated to see the match unfold

Ireland 1-21 (Topsport, 1.83), more value than the cap for me, don’t see Irish losing at home however Argies have shown enough last two weeks to not be blown out

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2 years 5 months ago #22 by Brent Graham
England v South Africa Betting Preview

Boks win at 5/6, price likely to shift

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2 years 5 months ago #23 by Brent Graham
Scotland v Japan Betting Preview

Don't think the -17.5 will be there for long

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2 years 5 months ago #24 by mackem
Olimp's preview and plays for England v Boks

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/engla...s-from-olimp-sa.html

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2 years 5 months ago #25 by southpaw
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2 years 5 months ago #26 by ThoughtsOnSports
Harlequins over 31.5 at 8/10

Over 49.5 in Sale - Newcastle at 15/20

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2 years 5 months ago #27 by Brent Graham
Great pick Taranaki in the 1st final Hanrick - got #TheHandicap off to a good start

Wales v Australia Betting Preview


Battled with this, waited for points but eventually settled on either team by 6 or less

Going for a very slow jog and will ponder some big plays later in the day

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2 years 5 months ago #28 by southpaw
All Blacks over 26.5 @ 9/10

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2 years 5 months ago #29 by Brent Graham
Double at just under 5/2 Scotland over 4.5 tries Boks over 20.5 and also backing Scotland over 4.5 straight up

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2 years 5 months ago #30 by southpaw
Taken this treble -

Japan over 14.5
SA win
NZ over 26.5

@ 5/1

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2 years 5 months ago #31 by coil
Have put the baby on the Boks at 4/5 outright , main bet . Can't see them getting beaten.

France plus 5.5 , can't miss.

Finally Argentina on the best plus Sunday , Christmas has come early !

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2 years 5 months ago #32 by Kevin
Georgia vs Fiji played in Madrid

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2 years 5 months ago #33 by southpaw
Japan over 6.5 1st half points

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2 years 5 months ago #34 by Chiefie
Andrew Brace is reffing the Boks v England today.
The man is a joke. Gabe England the Covid cup a few years back.

A joke you’d find in a book in your in-laws spare bathroom.

I’m predicting 4-5 calls in England’s favour that will defy all logic or rugby laws.

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2 years 5 months ago #35 by Brent Graham
Scotland awful - had mentally banked over 4.5 tries and now I am chasing - Boks over 20.5 at 8/10 to get me out a hole

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2 years 5 months ago #36 by Chiefie

Chiefie wrote: Andrew Brace is reffing the Boks v England today.
The man is a joke. Gabe England the Covid cup a few years back.

A joke you’d find in a book in your in-laws spare bathroom.

I’m predicting 4-5 calls in England’s favour that will defy all logic or rugby laws.


True to form, Andrew Brace penalising the Boks in any scoring positions and awarding England 3 points at will. Stupid Belgian / Irish bastard.

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2 years 5 months ago #37 by southpaw
Over 45.5 @ 10/11 wales aus

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2 years 5 months ago #38 by Brent Graham
Boks overs gets me close to square = smaller bet under 4.5 tries at 12/10

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2 years 5 months ago #39 by Brent Graham
Geez Aus were stiff there, was hoping they would win - Tribet comes in but small loss on game still with u4.5 tries failing .

Got Best Bet double ending on France +10.5 and pressed France win at 22/10

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2 years 5 months ago #40 by Brent Graham
Ireland v Argentina Betting Preview

Late out with this one as just didn't have a feel and going for Ireland by 11-20

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2 years 5 months ago #41 by southpaw
Pumas over 16.5 @ 10/11
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2 years 5 months ago #42 by Chiefie
Backed over 30.5 points in the FH.

2 missed penalties in front of the post, dropped the ball cold 2m from the try line.

Betting isn’t worth it.

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2 years 5 months ago #43 by Chiefie

Chiefie wrote: Backed over 30.5 points in the FH.

2 missed penalties in front of the post, dropped the ball cold 2m from the try line.

Betting isn’t worth it.


Ireland try 2 min later. 24-7.

Betting is totally worth it. I’m off to cry.

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2 years 5 months ago #44 by southpaw
Yep that 5 minutes of 13 likely missed points from Pumas tells me my points play is 100% cursed today.

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2 years 5 months ago #45 by Quill
HT bets

Bet 1: Team Total - Argentina Over 14.5 points @1.91
Bet 2: Total Points Over 54.5 @1.80

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