All Football Tips w/c 27th December

Waiting for some info before placing anything at St James this evening but a few beers on a treble

Derby D/C
QPR Draw
Man Utd Win
@ 10/1

The less richer United last played on the 11th. Covid issues aside now Rangnick has a fully fit squad to choose from (No Pogba). Based on how a team who had a lengthy layoff came back (Spurs) I expect a fast start to this game tonight. The richer United team who surely only a miracle can keep up this season need to start getting some results now. They love a card or 3 and playing at home I expect them to atleast give their opponents a game. Interesting stat from Rangnick games so far (against Palace and Norwich), his allowing more width to opponents, that makes Newcastle corners a big runner,

Goal scored in each half + Booking in each half + Newcastle 4+ corners
4/1 - Sportingbet

Newcastle v Man United
ManU look like a normal set-up but Eddie has gone with six goal scorers. Presume this is to give everyone a shot before the massive Saudi checkbook opens in the January window.

Last four matches saw 5/4/5/5 goals
Match Goals over 3.5 @ 29/20

Gave back 50% of my Boxing Day rugby profits on Northampton so reinvesting the balance into shots tonight. I think line few low -

Over 26.5 match shots @ evens

Spurs and West Ham games over 2.5 goals @ 5/2 ( best price could find )

Southampton have scored in their last five home matches and Watford scored in their last three against ManC/ManU/Chels.
Also believe Norwich look punch drunk - they have just soaked up too many beatings and Spurs are starting to play some winning footie.

BTTS - Yes
Southampton/Watford @ 19/10
Win Double
Palace/Spurs @ 5/2

Leicester vs Liverpool Build a bet

BTTS and 2+ cards each team - 4/1

29 or more match shots @ evens in Liverpool game

A pube away from a great evening yesterday. Really needed that Spurs win. VAR rules out the Kane goal by inches but does not correct the Ref on the Foster own goal? You can see from Foster's immediate reaction he knows its a goal. And then we round it off with the 27.5 shots at the King Power and miss by one.

Acca - Over 2.5 Match goals at
Swindon
Ipswich
Oxford
Blackiburn
Chelsea
Brentford
@ 27/1

Ivan Toney 2+ shots - 12/10

Just one for the evening. Chelsea have conceded in six of their last seven EPL matches and the Tosser is on form

Chelsea v Brighton
BTTS - Yes @ 11/10

When you need a win, its best to back a selfish man....

Ronaldo 5+ shots - 12/10

Arsed the extra time goal last night to make the bet. Half bet on the ManU match and a few beers on the acca

Man Utd v Burnley
Burnley One goal exactly @ 31/20

Over 2.5 Match goals at
Sunderland
Bournmouth
Bristol
Notts Forest
Man Utd
@ 19/1

Naidoo wrote: When you need a win, its best to back a selfish man....

Ronaldo 5+ shots - 12/10

You are a brave man Naidoo - Ronaldo looks like a player trying to piss off the entire dressing room. Hopefully they give him the ball five times tonight

Stiff on the acca Vann, I still cant believe Forest game had only 1 goal. Chances galore in that game.

Early one for Sunday big game at the Bridge, feel like it's a gift at this line as well.

Liverpool 14 or more shots - 1/1

Need a lowish odds month end/year end account rounding bet and have settled for the following

Valencia v Espanyol
Valencia over 1.5 match goals @ 8/10

Naidoo wrote: Stiff on the acca Vann, I still cant believe Forest game had only 1 goal. Chances galore in that game.

Early one for Sunday big game at the Bridge, feel like it's a gift at this line as well.

Liverpool 14 or more shots - 1/1

Adding 26+ total shots as well - 17/20

Like the Liverpool shots line as well. Joined @ 9/10.

Arsenal home form has been lethal so far this season after their terrible August. City are on a roll though and December/January is when they step up a gear. Their match against Brentford was the perfect example to show Pep's squad depth as he played the entire match without making a sub. Think they beat Arsenal and complete the double on them.

City and over 1.5 goals - 9/10

City over 15.5 shots @ 5/6

English 2.5 acca

Hull
MK Dons
Oxford
Forest Green
Swindon
Watford
West Ham

75/1

All to Win
Crawley
Sutton
Oxford
Spurs
West Ham
@ 31/1

Marhrez just needed to shoot at the death there. Cost me by 1 shot. Eish.

Blackpool
Burton
Mk dons
Charlton
Oxford
Rotherham
Barrow
Crawley
Forest green
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
Sutton
Swindon
Walsall

Over 1.5 @ 31/1

Lucas 2+ shots - 9/10
Spurs win and over 1.5 goals - 9/10

Chelsea vs Liverpool Sunday night and Liverpool will be without Thiago, Minamino, Origi, Elliott, Phillips all due to injuries. Klopp has also mentioned in his press conference yesterday that 3 more players are out with Covid. No names were provided but rumours are 2 of the players are Alisson and Firmino. The biggest loss of all will be Klopp himself who has tested positive as well.

Liverpool though still will have a strong 11 with Van Dijk, TAA, Fabinho, Henderson, Mane, Salah and Jota still there. Bookies somehow believe this will be a cagey game hence the low shots lines. As a Liverpool fan, I must admit Liverpool just dont do defensive games, their natural instinct is to attack and Ljinders will be on the touchline I am sure with Klopp in his ear.

Four bets for this game that seem way to low lines for this Liverpool team:

Liverpool 14 or more shots - 1/1
26+ total shots - 17/20
Mane 2+ shots - 11/10
Jota 2+ shots - 11/10

Missed Oxford penalty cost us the acca yesterday. Going with four aways today

To Win
Sheffield Wednesday
QPR
Villa
Liverpool
@ 42/1

Naidoo wrote:
Four bets for this game that seem way to low lines for this Liverpool team:

Liverpool 14 or more shots - 1/1
26+ total shots - 17/20
Mane 2+ shots - 11/10
Jota 2+ shots - 11/10

Hi Vin - Which site do you use to check the individual match shots?

The EPL card today looks like a snooze extravaganza if you are a goals punter. Scraping the bottom of the barrel with this

Everton v Brighton
I know Brighton don't score much but Everton's last clean sheet was 7 Nov and Brighton have managed to sneak a goal in four of their last five outings. This will be Brook's second match of the season. He flashed five cards first time out.

BTTS - Yes and over 0.5 bookings each @ 27/20

The Vann wrote:

Naidoo wrote:
Four bets for this game that seem way to low lines for this Liverpool team:

Liverpool 14 or more shots - 1/1
26+ total shots - 17/20
Mane 2+ shots - 11/10
Jota 2+ shots - 11/10

Hi Vin - Which site do you use to check the individual match shots?

So far only Sunbet offers individual match shots

Naidoo wrote:

The Vann wrote:

Naidoo wrote:
Four bets for this game that seem way to low lines for this Liverpool team:

Liverpool 14 or more shots - 1/1
26+ total shots - 17/20
Mane 2+ shots - 11/10
Jota 2+ shots - 11/10

Hi Vin - Which site do you use to check the individual match shots?

So far only Sunbet offers individual match shots

Yeah one of my beer accounts - but which site gives the actual match stats?

The Vann wrote:

Naidoo wrote:

The Vann wrote:

Naidoo wrote:
Four bets for this game that seem way to low lines for this Liverpool team:

Liverpool 14 or more shots - 1/1
26+ total shots - 17/20
Mane 2+ shots - 11/10
Jota 2+ shots - 11/10

Hi Vin - Which site do you use to check the individual match shots?

So far only Sunbet offers individual match shots

Yeah one of my beer accounts - but which site gives the actual match stats?

Whoscored.com give you player stats

Trossard 2+ shots - 15/20

I use Sofascore to keep track of players and team stats in running. Sofascore uses Opta stats so they are accurate and bookies use Opta stats to settle bets

Btts yes @ 23/1 in -

Everton
Brentford
Leeds
Blackburn
Birmingham

No clear favorite for me on today's EPL card so taking

Yankee on four draws for a beer or two