Cycling : Giro d'Italia
- Brent Graham
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Ciccone for a unit at 18/1
MVDP half unit at 66/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Hoping Ben Tullett gets let off the Carapaz leash @250/1
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- Couch Critic
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Poels 33/1
Nibali 40/1
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- mackem
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- The Vann
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Short stage today at 147km which I like with some very steep shortish climbs. Should be a good one. Saving match bets for tomorrow's mountain top.
Win
Poels @ 33/1
de Marchi @ 80/1
Taaramae @ 80/1
Rosa @ 80/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Mauro Schmid @125/1
+
Gijs Leemreize @175/1
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- Brent Graham
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Break today most likely so here are my 4 picks and the 4 riders you can safely put a line through
Ciccone 1u at 10/1
0.5u
L Hamilton 22/1
Valter (come on Mackem today he delivers) 80/1
Buitrago 50/1
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 15
Win
Hamilton @ 22/1
Taaramae @ 28/1
e/w
Pedrero @ 100/1
de Marchi @ 150/1 (My Valter)
and I have some hope for these two
Buitrago/Kelderman @ 18/10 (Can't see Kelderman in the break today after yesterday's effort so he should ride in after assisting Hindley and Buchmann)
Match bet double
Arensman/Fortunato into Bilbao/Buchman @ 16/10
AND stiffs Couch with that Nibali pick yesterday.
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- The Vann
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I was very pleased with the Buitrago match bet and the 25/1 place on Pedrero was welcome. Still pushing 20 cycling units down for the Giro so am going to need a massive week.
Giro Last Rest Day
Wanted to double the Bouwman KOM into Bahrain in the team at 15/2 but no book will allow this so had to look elsewhere.
Carapaz was down on his knee yesterday in an incident very similar to the Yates chute sans gravite so who knows how he will fare in the big mountains. Also they say bet against a loser or with a winner and anyone who can pick a grand tour stage winner and PGA winner from 7 shots back - a feat last achieved 44 years ago - is worth a follow even if it was only a dream.
Win
Landa @ 14/1
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- Couch Critic
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Descending could be the skill some neglect tomorrow and I'm backing arguably the best in the race at that aspect - Bilboa at 28/1.
Of course if there is rain around and GC don't feel safe going all in the break could have a chance and here I will back Dombrowski at 40/1.
Lastly its a man who can go up, go down, get in the break or win by taking on the GC guys late. Formolo at 50/1.
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Hoping for a turnaround with a Stage Matchbet
Bilbao > Buchmann @6/5
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- Brent Graham
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3/4 unit
Landa 15/1
Hamlton 22/1
Taaramae 80/1
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- mackem
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 16
Probably not wise to spend too much but we have poorish weather forecast and, as Couch points out, descending skills will be required today. Bahrain will want to keep both Landa and Bilbao in contention. I think Bilboa and Nibali are the best descenders which makes that kc match bet really attractive. I expect a GC win today but will add Formolo purely based on the expected weather.
Win
Yates @ 5/1
Formolo @ 50/1
Match Bet
Bilbao/Buchmann @ evens (Best I could find locally)
Match bet double
Hirt/Lopez into Dombrowski/Pedrero @ 27/10
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- The Vann
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Arensman @ 15/2
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- Brent Graham
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Will stick 4 units on this match bet at WSB at 19/20
Bilboa 4/10 over Buchmann
Buitrago 4/10 over Poels
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- Couch Critic
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Matches:
G Martin over Fortunato 16/10
Furtunato is sure to have another crack at the break. Should F be gobbled up he will likely pull the cord and relax all the way home. Martin is an up and down character but hopefully today is an "up" day.
Pozzovivo over Nibali 9/4
Love Nibs and seems best of the rest but Poz looked worse yesterday due to his slip and this price looks a touch of value.
Treble (motivated by BG) - Landa over Almeida, Pello over Buchman and Buitrago over Poel at 21/10.
Darts (backing the break):
Dombrowski 18/1
Taaramae 33/1
Cherel 150/1
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- mackem
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Noticed a couple of climbers who have been active so far coming in with the Groupetto yesterday so perhaps saving for a big go today;
Ivan Sosa @100/1
Merhawi Kudus @400/1
Juul Jensen @800/1
Also Vendrame @1000/1
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 17
Only way I see a break stay today is if Ineos are slow out the blocks and the break is 20 or so riders. A little nibble should this happen but going with a match bet and probably an in-play shot.
e/w
Sepulveda @ 400/1
Match bet
Lopez/Hamilton @ 12/10
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 18
150km Straight away. The ciclamino is settled so not sure FDJ will be that concerned about the break. Main job is get Demare over Saturday's mountains. The break may stay and Jumbo have put riders into most recently and they came close yesterday.
Only smalls today - even if I add an in-play later it will still only be at the beer level
Win
Eenkhoorn @ 33/1
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- Brent Graham
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- mackem
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Taking Pozzovivo >>> Juanpe Lopez @7/5
As long as he doesn't get in a break shoukd be good after the effort he used chasing yesterday.
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- The Vann
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The tough climb tops out with 44km to go and then there is around 15km flat before the easy final climb. Looks too much like a GC group riding in for me to risk match bets. Break must have a shot though and this is probably the last chance saloon for a long odds win.
Win
Leemreize @ 40/1
Rota @ 100/1
e/w
de Marchi @ 100/1
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- Brent Graham
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- The Vann
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Schmid @ 5/1
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- The Vann
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The Vann wrote: 140km to go
Schmid @ 5/1
Story of my Giro. Place bet and 5 minutes later Bora hit the front and start riding down the break
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- kcmarinopirlo
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 20
Bora and Bahrain have to take the fight to Carapaz today so I don't see a break making it. We head well over 2,000m for the first time today and Valverde has started looking old and he has never been comfortable over 2,000m. Arensman has looked to be running on empty recently.
Win
Carapaz @ 3/1 (This at BetXc)
Match bet double
Pozzovivo/Valverde into
Leemreize/Arensman
@ 18/10
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Skjelmose @200/1 in tomorrow's TT
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- Brent Graham
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Final roll of the dice for me and following Cycling Mole and backing Tobias Foss 2 units each way at 9/1
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- The Vann
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The punting has been diabolical. Lost 5 of 6 outrights early on and no idea how many bets have failed by a single place. My two rest day picks of Hindley top 3 at 7/2 - not taken as I had Bardet who was stretchered off a few days later - and the KOM/Team double at 15/2 - refused by books for being related - both landed to no avail.
Giro Stage 21
Foss was my only outright pick which was poor. He had obviously not recovered fully from his injuries. If fit he should win here so joining Brent with
Win
Foss @ 14/1
and the match bet double
Thomas dG/Barta into
Dowsett/van Emden
@ 19/10
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