Tennis : The French Open

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1 month 1 week ago #1 by The Vann
Tennis : The French Open was created by The Vann
The clay major kicks off tomorrow. With Wimbledon its the most convenient time zone for us in SA.
No glaringly good value on the outrights so two exotics for me.
Nadal had to take a break from practise last week with his foot trouble and I think there is every chance it does not make it through the tournament. By my calculations he playsThompson in round 1, Stan the Man coming back from long term injury in round 2 and then van de Zandschulp. So round 3 he will be asked to run some.
Looking at the quarters I like the chances of Sinner in 4. Medvedev not up and running and Rublev not great on clay. Gives Sinner a good chance in that half of the draw. Alcaraz is just a Phenom.

To lose in the 3rd round
Nadal @ 15/1
Name the finalists
Alcaraz/Sinner @ 25/1
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1 month 1 week ago #2 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Two from the early matches for me.
Coric has taken a set off Sinner and Zverev recently so should scrape past Taberner and Thiem has lost six in a row since returning.

Coric v Taberner
4 Sets exactly @ 33/20
Both to win
Coric/Dellien @ 57/20

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1 month 6 days ago #3 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Didn't have time to study these matches too much, so I'm taking a few multiples based on my general expectations to win their matches.

Schwartzman + Auger Aliassime + Zandschulp + Zverev + Khachanov @2.38

Fognini + Schwartzman + Auger Aliassime + Zandschulp + Zverev @2.80
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1 month 6 days ago #4 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Two big servers in Isner and Halys so we should get a tie breaker or two with either capable of winning here. Auger-Aliassime probably has way too much game for Varillas

Isner/Halys over 3.5 sets into
Auger-Aliassime/Varillas under 3.5 sets
@ 18/10

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1 month 6 days ago #5 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Disappointing from A-A thus far.
Karatsev has had a poor year winning only 3 from 15. His one win on clay was over my man Harris who, like me, is convinced clay is for catapults and not for tennis courts. Today's opponent grew up on the clay in Argentina and he has a decent shot.

Carabelli v Karatsev
Win Carabelli @ 13/10
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1 month 6 days ago - 1 month 6 days ago #6 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Ramos vs Kokkinakis

Ramos is on a four match losing streak on clay, and last time he lost even to O'Connell, an Australian ranked 124.

Kokkinakis played in Geneva last week on clay and he reached the quarterfinal there. He defeated two seasoned clay courters, Fabio Fognini and Federico Delbonis, and lost in the quarter-final in a tight match to Ruud (no. 8 ), 4-6 6-7.

Bet: Kokkinakis @1.85
Last edit: 1 month 6 days ago by Quill.

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1 month 6 days ago #7 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Londero vs Alcaraz

Londero needed a lucky loser spot to enter the main draw after losing in straight sets to Borna Gojo in the final qualifying round.

Alcaraz has won consecutive titles in Barcelona and Madrid Masters in the lead up to this tournament.
The gulf in class and quality between these two players is obvious.

Bet 1: Player total games - Alcaraz Under 18.5 games @1.80 (bet365)
Bet 2: Total Match Games - Under 27.5 @1.90 (bet365)

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1 month 5 days ago #8 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
A few multis to start the night.

McDonald + Kerber @2.33
McDonald + Fucsovics @2.16
Ivashka + Kecmanovic + Norrie + Nadal + Cilic @2.13
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1 month 5 days ago #9 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
I think we could see some tennis in these two matches with both underdogs being pretty useful on clay

Over 3.5 sets in
Evans v Cerundola/McDonald v Agamenone @ 16/10
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1 month 5 days ago #10 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
All right, all right, a bet on Nadal.

Jordan Thompson vs Rafael Nadal

I read that Nadal has looked good in pre-tournament practices, unbothered by the foot injury, after Rome.

Thompson is not particularly adept on clay and his record on the red stuff this spring is a dreadful 2-5. He lost to unknown players like Wu Y. and Misolic.
Obviously the outcome of this match and Nadal’s tournament as a whole depends on the status of his foot, but if he is close to 100 percent this should be a beatdown.

Bet: Total Games Under 26.5 @1.82
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1 month 5 days ago #11 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Gombos vs Cachin

Two clay courters coming from qualifications.
I think we should see enough games to cover this total.

Bet: Over 37.5 games @1.88

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1 month 5 days ago #12 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Looking for the days upset.
Duckworth comes off 4 months injuries but I believe he moved OK against Cerundola in Lyon. Ymer has had 4 outings on clay and lost them all. If Duckworth is fit enough he should win this. Throwing in Martinez to improve the odds

Win
Duckworth + Martinez @ 7/2

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1 month 4 days ago #13 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
A few multiples to start the night.

Molcan + Ostapenko @2.02
Goffin + Brengle @1.96
Molcan + Goffin @1.96
Alexandrova + Halep + Putintseva + Brengle @2.00

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1 month 4 days ago #14 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
One double on the early matches and a games fancy

Tiafoe v Bonzi
Over 38.5 games @ 17/20
and the double
Goffin + Otte @ 12/10

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1 month 4 days ago #15 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
The kind of contest where you can virtually guarantee one of the players will bring their C game. Hopefully they don't both do this.

Pouille v Kolar
Match games under 37.5 @ 19/20

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1 month 3 days ago #16 by Zambusta
Replied by Zambusta on topic Tennis : The French Open

Quill wrote: A few multiples to start the night.

Molcan + Ostapenko @2.02
Goffin + Brengle @1.96
Molcan + Goffin @1.96
Alexandrova + Halep + Putintseva + Brengle @2.00


On fire Quill! Nice job.
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1 month 3 days ago #17 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Fritz + Schwartzman @1.92

Krajinovic + Norrie (odds pusher) + Zverev + Alcaraz (odds pusher) + Djokovic (odds pusher) + Korda @2.14
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1 month 3 days ago - 1 month 3 days ago #18 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Zverev vs Baez

These two played a tight one in Rome 2 weeks ago, 7-6 6-3 to Zverev.
On clay this year, Baez played the final in Santiago, took the title in Estoril and played two other quarterfinals. In the first round here he beat Lajovic in 4 sets.

I think that we'll have an entertaining match here.

Bet: Over 33.5 games @1.83
Last edit: 1 month 3 days ago by Quill.
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1 month 3 days ago #19 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Alcaraz 3-0 + Nadal 3-0 @1.81
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1 month 3 days ago #20 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Lovely stuff Quill - especially in first round. Always difficult to know what game and attitude some of the lesser players bring. Will follow on a few of the above and looking at

Over 3.5 sets in
Nakashima + Van de Zandschulp @ 27/20
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1 month 3 days ago #21 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Ramos vs Alcaraz

Alcaraz has been the dominant clay-court player of the 2022 season so far. He captured titles in Barcelona and Madrid, he beat both Nadal and Djokovic this season and he was one of the pre-tournament favourites to win the title here.

Alcaraz played twice against Ramos and beat him both times.
Ramos has had an average clay season this year. He had a good showing in Estoril, where he made the semis, but crashed out in the first round in his next three events.

Alcaraz should win this in 3 sets.

Bet: Alcaraz Total Games Under 18.5 @1.98
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1 month 3 days ago #22 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Moutet vs Nadal

Alexander Zverev had this to say about Nadal during the German’s initial French Open press conference: “We watched him practice and all of a sudden his forehand is just 20 miles an hour faster. He moves lighter on his feet. There is something about this court that makes him play 30 percent better just being on this court.”

Zverev may be on to something. Nadal arrived at Roland Garros dealing with a foot injury and having failed to win either Masters 1000 event in Madrid or Rome. Nonetheless, nothing but the normal Roland Garros version of Nadal rolled to a 6-2, 6-2, 6-2 beatdown of Jordan Thompson in the first round.

Nadal will hope for more of the same tonight against Corentin Moutet.
Moutet defeated Stan Wawrinka in four sets. That marked the 139th-ranked Frenchman’s sixth ATP-level victory of the season, but it was his first since January. Moutet is in lackluster form at best right now and a first-ever matchup with Nadal is never easy, especially not at Roland Garros. He may not even fare better than Thompson did in round one.

Bet 1: Total Games Under 26.5 @1.83
Bet 2: Nadal Total Games Under 18.5 @1.76

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1 month 3 days ago #23 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Korda vs Gasquet

Korda has been plagued with nerves while attempting to serve out matches. He was broken again on Tuesday serving for the match at 5-3 in the third. Korda managed to hold himself together to win the ensuing tiebreaker, but opponents are only going to get more difficult as the tournament progresses.

Richard Gasquet is ranked 70th in the world and will be the sentimental favourite for the Parisian crowd. He comes into Roland Garros off some success in Geneva, where he made the semifinals defeating world No. 2 Daniil Medvedev along the way. He posted a tidy win over Lloyd Harris in the first round, but Korda is much more comfortable on the dirt than Harris.

I'm taking Korda to win this and add a few big favourites to push the odds to 2.00.

Bet: Korda + Schwartzman + Alcaraz + Djokovic + Nadal @2.03
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1 month 2 days ago #24 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Tiafoe vs Goffin

It took Tiafoe eight years to win a main-draw match at Roland Garros (six main-draw losses and one in qualifying), but he finally did it on Tuesday, when he beat Benjamin Bonzi in 3 tight sets.

Tiafoe will have the crowd against him again tonight, as Goffin always enjoys raucous support from the Belgian contingent in Paris. Of course, it’s not like he needs any extra help.
Goffin is back in form and he won a title in Marrakech plus had third round performances in Monte Carlo and Madrid.

In the first round he beat Lehecka in 4 sets. Additional good news for Goffin is that he leads the head-to-head series with Tiafoe 3-1. The veteran has the edge in matchup history, the surface, and past Roland Garros performances, so this should be mostly straightforward.

I'm adding Ruud and Rune as big favourites in their respective match-ups, to get nicer odds

Ruud + Rune + Goffin @2.06
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1 month 2 days ago #25 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Ruud vs Ruusuvuori

Ruud and Ruusuvuori met two times so far and both of their previous encounters have gone Ruud’s way in dominant fashion; in straight sets at the 2020 U.S. Open and 6-2, 6-2 earlier this year in Barcelona.

That most recent result is especially unsurprising because Ruud is one of the best clay-courters in the world and Ruusuvuori is more comfortable on hard courts. The Finn needed five sets to get past a struggling Ugo Humbert on Tuesday, so that is not ideal preparation for a much tougher second round matchup.
Ruud also endured a difficult opener, but that wasn’t an easy situation for him in Tsonga's final match, who treated the home crowd to an impressive performance.
Ruud should now settle down and once again take care of business with ease against Ruusuvuori.

Bet 1: Ruud 3-0 @1.95
Bet 2: Total Match Games Under 33.5 @1.87
Bet 3: Ruud Total Games Under 19.5 @1.84
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1 month 2 days ago #26 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Ruud + Rune + Kecmanovic + Sonego @2.19

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1 month 2 days ago #27 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Big favourites to win 3-0

Sinner 3-0 + Tsitsipas 3-0 @2.09

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1 month 2 days ago #28 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Simon vs Johnson

Simon produced a big surprise in the first round when he beat world no. 18 Careno Busta.

At the end of this season he will retire. He may be able to give it his all in a last hurrah and go for another round with the home crowd behind him, especially that his opponent today is not scary on clay and certainly not in the same league as Careno Busta.

Bet 1: Simon +4.5 @1.83
Bet 2: Simon win @2.62, cheap beer stake

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1 month 2 days ago #29 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jannik Sinner

Sinner is by far the better player of these two. He reached the quarter-finals in Monte Carlo and Rome in preparation for Roland Garros.
In the first round he dominated Bjorn Fratangelo from start to finish.

Carballes Baena plays mostly at Challenger level.

I think Sinner will have another short day at the office.

Bet: Total Match Games Under 31.5 @1.81

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1 month 2 days ago #30 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Kolar vs Tsitsipas

Kolar is a player ranked outside top 100.
Tsitsipas is one of the best players on clay.

Bet 1: Total Match Games Under 28.5 @1.83
Bet 2: Tsitsipas Total Games Under 18.5 @1.88

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1 month 2 days ago #31 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open

Quill wrote: Simon vs Johnson

Simon produced a big surprise in the first round when he beat world no. 18 Careno Busta.

At the end of this season he will retire. He may be able to give it his all in a last hurrah and go for another round with the home crowd behind him, especially that his opponent today is not scary on clay and certainly not in the same league as Careno Busta.

Bet 2: Simon win @2.62, cheap beer stake


Easy money. Nice one Quill :beer
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1 month 1 day ago #32 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Two matches today which should feature a tie breaker or two and possibly over 3.5 sets. Having tried and failed miserably on the sets settling for the games double today

Over 35.5 games in
Auger-Aliassime v Krajinovic and
Isner v Zapata Miralles
@ 15/10

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1 month 1 day ago #33 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Let's see what we can get tonight...

A quick one before analysing a couple of other matches, but these ones start soon.

Djoko 3-0 + Isner @2.02

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1 month 1 day ago #34 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Botic Van de Zandschulp v Rafael Nadal

The first sterner test for Nadal.
The Dutchman has done exceptionally well so far in this year's clay swing. He made his maiden quarterfinal appearance on the surface in Marrakech and finished as the runner-up to Holger Rune in ATP Munich earlier this month.

Unlike Nadal's first two opponents here, Jordan Thompson and Corentin Moutet, Van de Zandschulp has the form to trouble Nadal.
He beat Pavel Kotov and Fabio Fognini with little trouble. Van de Zandschulp has more firepower than Thompson and Moutet with which to hurt Nadal, and although he may not win this, I think that he will stay close enough.

Remains to be seen why the bookies offer similar lines in this match-up as they did in the previous rounds.

Bet 1: Van de Zandschulp +8.5 @2.12
Bet 2: Over 28.5 Games @1.80

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1 month 1 day ago #35 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Norrie vs Khachanov

Norrie comes into the event off his first-ever clay-court title just last week in Lyon.
So far the Brit beat a couple of inexperienced (on the main tour) opponents, Manuel Guinard and Jason Kubler, in straight sets.

Norrie has won both of his previous matches on clay with Khachanov. The Russian is no clay-court specialist, but he holds his own on the dirt.
Khachanov’s clay results this year have not been something to write home about, but he did reach the semifinal in Belgrade. Also, he beat Careno Busta in Rome and then lost in 3 sets to Tsitsipas in the third round there.
At the French Open however, he's had good results. He made it to the second week in his first four main-draw appearances between 2017 and 2020, and his best result here was reaching the quarterfinal once in 2019.

I think this will be one of the longer matches.

Bet: Over 37.5 Games @1.88

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1 month 1 day ago #36 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Djoko 3-0 + Nadal 3-0 @1.92

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1 month 1 day ago #37 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open

Quill wrote: Botic Van de Zandschulp v Rafael Nadal
...
Remains to be seen why the bookies offer similar lines in this match-up as they did in the previous rounds.
...


Yup, now I see why.
He's killing it.
Nadal will play the final here.

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1 month 1 day ago #38 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Korda vs Alcaraz

Korda beat Alcaraz in 3 sets in Monte Carlo recently.

Alcaraz has had a stellar year so far, but he struggled with Ramos and nearly lost.
Korda has a much better serve than Ramos and I expect another tough match for Alcaraz.

Korda is a good clay-court player in his own right, certainly wasn’t intimidated by Alcaraz in their last meeting. He has enough game to make a match of this.

Bet: Over 33.5 Games @1.83
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1 month 13 hours ago - 1 month 13 hours ago #39 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Goffin beat Hurkacz on clay 18 days ago 7-6/7-6. Simon and Cilic have met 7 times over their long careers and, strangely, Simon leads the H2H 6-1. He is also playing his final French Open and is performing way above any expectations. I think he could push Cilic in a set or two.

To be a Tie Breaker in match - Yes
Goffin v Hurkacz/Simon v Cilic @ 26/10


Also think an on form Goffin could run Hurkacz very close.
To Win
Goffin/Rune/Ruud @ 23/10
Last edit: 1 month 13 hours ago by The Vann.

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4 weeks 2 days ago #40 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Djokovic vs Schwartzman

Djokovic fired minimum 9 aces in each of his first 3 matches here.

Schwartzman conceded 4 aces in a short match from Dimitrov, where Dimitrov won only 6 games.

I think Djokovic can hit 8 aces in this match.

Bet: Player Total Aces - Djokovic Over 7.5 @1.72 (bet365)

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4 weeks 2 days ago #41 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Auger-Aliassime vs Nadal

Last night at the Champions League final, Nadal appeared relaxed and we'll probably see him as relaxed in this match as well.

Nadal is looking like his normal French Open self. All the rib and foot problems prior to this tournament have been put to rest, at least for now, by his first three matches in which he administered beatdowns to his opponents.

Auger Aliassime had a complicated match against Krajinovic. Although the 3-0 win appears comfortable, it was actually a very tight 7-6 7-6 7-5 and more than 3 hours on court.

Bet 1: Nadal -6.5 @1.88
Bet 2: Player Total Games - Auger Aliassime Under 14.5 @1.80
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4 weeks 2 days ago #42 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Zverev vs Zapata Miralles

This is undoubtedly Zapata's best week of his career. Sitting at 131 in the world rankings, he had never beaten a top-30 player in a completed match before this campaign, but has now beaten Fritz and Isner in the last two matches, and for the first time in his career, the Spaniard has won more than two main-draw matches in a row in tour-level events.

Zverev, no. 3, is in another dimension altogether for Zapata.
For Zverev this should be a comfortable matchup.
Bernabe Zapata Miralles will be playing his first match against a top-5 player.

Bet 1: Total Games Under 30.5 @1.90
Bet 2: Zverev Under 18.5 Games @2.20

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4 weeks 1 day ago - 4 weeks 1 day ago #43 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Ruud v Hurkacz

Early prices were Ruud 13/20 with Hurkacz at 5/4. Ruud is firming but I don't see it. My read is the prices are based on their long term form but Ruud has not looked good here. Unconvincing against Joe W with three tie breakers and Sonego took him to five. My take is Hurkacz will present him with a similar problem to Tsonga but with better mobility and ground strokes. Closer to choice here. The games line has been set at 39.5. If pushed I would short that but not going there as enough meat on the match odds

Win
Hurkacz @ 13/10
Last edit: 4 weeks 1 day ago by The Vann.
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4 weeks 1 day ago #44 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Rune v Tsitsipas
Rune is only 19 but has not fulfilled expectations. He won the French Boys Open so clay is his surface but he has struggled with fitness - usually cramps. Thus far he has breezed through three matches here without dropping a set or looking in any physical trouble. A Rune without cramps could run Tsitsipas close in a few sets.

Match Bet and Games
Tsitsipas and over 36.5 games @ 16/10
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4 weeks 1 day ago #45 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open

The Vann wrote: Ruud v Hurkacz

Early prices were Ruud 13/20 with Hurkacz at 5/4. Ruud is firming but I don't see it. My read is the prices are based on their long term form but Ruud has not looked good here. Unconvincing against Joe W with three tie breakers and Sonego took him to five. My take is Hurkacz will present him with a similar problem to Tsonga but with better mobility and ground strokes. Closer to choice here. The games line has been set at 39.5. If pushed I would short that but not going there as enough meat on the match odds

Win
Hurkacz @ 13/10


Followed you here.

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4 weeks 1 day ago #46 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open

The Vann wrote: Rune v Tsitsipas
Rune is only 19 but has not fulfilled expectations. He won the French Boys Open so clay is his surface but he has struggled with fitness - usually cramps. Thus far he has breezed through three matches here without dropping a set or looking in any physical trouble. A Rune without cramps could run Tsitsipas close in a few sets.

Match Bet and Games
Tsitsipas and over 36.5 games @ 16/10


Took the same bet, only that I found it with 32.5 games

Tsitsipas & Over 32.5 games @2.30, bet365

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4 weeks 1 day ago #47 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Rublev vs Sinner 

Both players have put together solid weeks and are capable on clay.
This is a matchup between two of the biggest forehands on the tour and I think this will be a very entertaining match. 

Bet: Over 38.5 games @1.85
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4 weeks 12 hours ago #48 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
No idea what came over Hurkacz yesterday? Boy, that was a poor performance. Looked like he had weights in his shoes. Such a pity about Sinner - I was expecting him to deliver a big performance in this tournament.

Zverev v Alcaraz
These players met last month on clay and Alcaraz won 1 and 3. Saw an amazing stat (unchecked) that Zverev has lost 11 straight matches against top 10 players in the slams. Scary

I would not write off the chances of Zverev doing something special here because he does have the game so my call is a reasonably easy win`for one or the other

Match games under 36.5 @ 9/10
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4 weeks 10 hours ago #49 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Zverev vs Alcaraz

With much hesitation I'm writing my bet for this match, seeing what Vann has posted.

Not very often, but once in a while we do have the odd opposite bet.

Although both players cruised into the quarter-finals, both of them faced a tough test so far, Zverev 3-2 against Baez, and Alcaraz 3-2 against Ramos, both in the second round.

Alcaraz may hold a mental edge because of his demolishing of Zverev in Madrid recently.
However, I think that Zverev will be a different player than he was in Madrid. We rarely see two players who met before, recently or not, repeating the same result. Quite often we see the win going the other way.

At his level and class, I do expect Zverev to have learnt what he has to do so that at least he will give a better impression. I doubt that we will see the one way traffic we saw in Madrid, and I think we will see a long match, as Alcaraz is in too good a form to lose in 3 sets, if he does lose.

Bet: Over 35.5 games @1.83
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4 weeks 9 hours ago #50 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Djokovic vs Nadal

And here's my Nadal biased bet :lol:

So they changed the schedule to play at night time and did not consider, did not even pretend they took the time to think about Nadal's request to have the match played during the day.
OK.
Let's get past all the things that everybody knows, Djokovic in great form, Nadal not in as good a form as he used to be, Nadal's current injuries, etc.

Nadal is in better form than last year when he lost in 4 sets to Djokovic here.

Two years ago Nadal demolished Djokovic in the semifinals here. Two years ago Nadal was going through injuries as well. He's been playing with injuries for many years now.
Again, two years ago Nadal was not in as great a form as he used to be.

And... two years ago the match was played in the Paris autumn, 12th October, at night, when conditions would have been probably worse than a night time match in Paris spring-summer.

OK, for the sake of argument let's say similar conditions like tonight.

Nadal said that he is giving his all in every match, as it may be his last, because of his foot injury.

These being said, I made myself believe that Rafa can make a match of this and stay in the game long enough to give us some money on this bet.

That is if he doesn't go ahead and wins this in 3 quick sets like 2 years ago (in similar or worse conditions), in which case I don't care if the bet wins or loses. :lol:

Bet: Over 37.5 games @1.83

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