Cycling : Tour de France
- Brent Graham
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Summary after Stage 10
Long Term Invested: 0 unit
Stage: +14.75 unit
Stage 11 Bets
0.5 units on Ciccone and Meintjies at 50/1
2 units winning margin >10 seconds at 5/4
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- Couch Critic
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I reckon Jumbo throw everything they have at Pogi today, especially the Primoz tempter later on. Unfortunately for them I 1. Dont think Roglic is strong enough after his crash and 2. Reckon Tadej is at the top of his powers atm. I expect the champ to start struggling next week given his lack of team strength but at the minute he is flying!
Don't see anything other than a Pogi win but will go with a sneaky Woods nibble at 33/1 and big Joe Dombrowski at 66/1.
Main play in the matches for this one so double stakes on:
G Thomas over Primoz - 11/10
Vlasov over Pidcock (hoping the back is 99%) - 27/20
Yates over Gaudu - 11/10
Uran over Pinot (Tnibaut is win or bust) - 9/4
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- Brent Graham
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- The Vann
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On today's stage I think GC has a better then even chance of contesting the finish on the basis that it will be very difficult for climbers to get away early. Like Couch I am going for the match bets today
Tour de France Stage 11
e/w
Rolland @ 150/1
I also fancy this bet as called by Couch because tomorrow is Bastille Day and a little matter of Alpe D' Huez
Uran/Pinot @ 9/4
and Match bet double
Quintana/Caruso - Gaudu/Yates @ 17/10
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- southpaw
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Around 3/1 outright now - any of the tdf gurus think he can bounce back? Was untouchable a few days ago!
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- Brent Graham
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All square for me thanks to the winning margin over 10 sec arriving
Summary after Stage 11
Long Term Invested: 0 unit
Stage: +15.25 unit
Stage 12 Bets
2 units Mas/Vlasov at 16/10 WSB
2 units Meintjies/Pidcock at 15/10 WSB
0.5u win Roglic 80/1 WSB & Meintjies 66/1 Sunbet
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Getting involved in the King Of The Mountains Claasification;
Bob Jungels @150/1 (currently 6th 12pts off 3rd)
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- Brent Graham
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2 units Mas/Vlasov at 16/10 WSB
2 units Meintjies/Pidcock at 15/10 WSB
0.5u win Roglic 80/1 WSB & Meintjies 66/1 Sunbet
Have added 0.5u the matchbet double at 11/2
Following on Jungels KC 0.5 unit at 150/1 and also throwing 0.5 unit at Meintjes at 150/1 for KOM - my 1st long term bets
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- Couch Critic
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Break should have a great shot though Jumbo must surely push one more time to try and put Pogi out of it completely.
Still a bit miffed that bloody Yates got hauled in by Gaudu who looked cooked early doors. Needed that one to make it a good day.
But I will go again (as always!).
Only a die hard climber willing to go deep into the hurt zone can get it done today so nibbles on:
Uran 66/1
Mollema 80/1
Rolland 200/1
Matches:
Vingegaard over Pogi 8/10
Following Brent on Meintjies over Pidcock
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- The Vann
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Tour de France Stage 12
Match bets look the way to go today. Noticed that Ewan was way off the back day before yesterday and is on the start line now courtesy of the demonstrators. Uphill start today could be a problem.
Win
Verona @ 33/1
Match bets
Jakobsen/Ewan @ evens
Following on the Meintjies bet and taking a double
Meintjies/Pidcock - Quintana/Bardet @ 47/20
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- southpaw
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- Brent Graham
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Long Term Invested: 1 unit
Stage: +14.95 unit
Hard to believe I backed a 66/1 shot in a match bet and he finishes 2nd in the stage but the match bet loses - hard luck for Louis as well - great ride though and I see he is 2nd in the KOM so hope he focuses on it
Stage 13 Bets
2 units Matthews Top 3 at 6/1
0.5 unit Pedersen win at 14/1
0.5 unit Matthews win at 22/1
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- kt6747
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Caleb Ewan @ 33/1 E/W (Sunbet)
I just think that maybe he will have a shot today if it is a bunch sprint.
R Van Rensburg @ 300/1 E/W (Sunbet)
If I remember correctly he isnt the worse sprinter and maybe if Ewan doesnt get to the finish, he has been known to get into breaks and if gets a chance might surprise.
My main bet is Sagan/Pederson @ evens
Enjoy the racing after a couple of hectic mountains
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- The Vann
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Stage 13
Win
Philipsen @ 5/1
1-3
Sagan @ 10/1
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- mackem
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- Brent Graham
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Summary after Stage 13
Long Term Invested: 1 unit
Stage: +19.45 unit
Stage 14 Bets
0.5 unit on Schultz 25/1, Jungels 50/1 Verona 50/1 Powless 66/1 Storer 80/1
2 units Powless/Jungels at 16/10
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- kcmarinopirlo
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- mackem
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- The Vann
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Stage 14
Schultz @ 25/1
Verona @ 40/1
LL Sanchez @ 66/1
Powless @ 66/1
van Baarle @ 100/1
Joining on the Powless match bet and adding a double
Konrad/Pinot - Mollema/Kamna @ 39/10
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- Couch Critic
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Fuglsang 25/1
Mohoric 33/1
B Thomas 150/1
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- southpaw
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- The Vann
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100km to go
Kron @ 28/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Stage before the rest day so I can see him being rewarded for his domestique duties over the last few days and to keep him sweet for the Pyrenees, so Jumbo should work for him today?
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- Brent Graham
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Summary after Stage 14
Long Term Invested: 1 unit
Stage: +20 units
Stage 15 Bets - I don't see Jumbo chasing but if it comes to a spring Wout is surely the man - I am backing the break though and am quite excited about this one
0.5 unit on
Stuyven 40/1
Pasqualon 150/1
Boasson Hagen 100/1
Ganna 80/1 all at Betxchange
0.5 unit Velasco 300/1 at Sunbet
2 units Ganna/Kung at 5/4
1 unit Winning Margin 2 seconds or more 5/1 at Sunbet
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- southpaw
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Boasson Hagen @ 100/1
Benjamin Thomas @ 100/1
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- mackem
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- The Vann
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Stage 15
Like the Ganna logic and Kung did a massive pull to deliver the break to the second last climb yesterday so in at 13/10.
Win
Stuyven @ 28/1
Boasson Hagen @ 100/1
e/w
Haller @ 200/1
Swift @ 200/1
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- The Vann
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kcmarinopirlo wrote: Weighing up a punt on Wout to win today @11/2
Stage before the rest day so I can see him being rewarded for his domestique duties over the last few days and to keep him sweet for the Pyrenees, so Jumbo should work for him today?
Roglic a non-starter so I would swerve
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- kcmarinopirlo
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- The Vann
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Durn Wout cost me every bet on stage 15 by ensuring the break was only two riders.Fortunately I had nowhere near the confidence level I had on the Alpe D Huez stage so much smaller losses.
Rest day bet logic
I recall the stage 20 ITT two years ago. Tommy D, who has won a grand tour and a few final ITT's in Grand Tours had ridden a brilliant ITT and was leading. Pogs, who looked cooked the day before when he was unable to follow Roglic in a mountain top finish, came out looking fresh as a daisy and blitzed Tommy D by 1m 21s over 36km.There was a climb in the stage but, should he arrive at the start line this Saturday in that exact same shape, he is taking a minute plus off a tiring Vingegaard. Looking at whats left of UAE and Jumbo Visma teams I think the UAE team is much stronger in the mountains and I don't think the GC is over by a long shot.
To Win le Tour
Pogacar @ 22/10
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- kcmarinopirlo
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On at 40/1
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- Brent Graham
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Summary after Stage 15
Long Term Invested: 1 unit
Stage: +14.5 units
Stage 16 Bets
1 unit Caruso 14/1 and Martinez 14/1
0.5 unit Kron at 50/1
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- Couch Critic
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Today is the real deal and in the last week class usually shines thru.
Pinot, Caruso, Martinez, Uran , Vlasov and Mollema are top dogs who are surely only hanging in for that stage win.
Of these there is Danny M who could be on team duty and I can't trust TB downhill. Caruso just a touch too short for me.
Uran 40/1
Vlasov 33/1
Mollema 26/1
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- kt6747
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Match bet - Bardet/Thomas @ 7/4
If they get to the top together, I think Bardet is better on the downhills, and may try to get some time back to get on the podium.
Stage 16 Win
Micheal Woods @ 50/1
Patrick Konrad @ 28/1
Max Schatman @ 50/1
KOM
Chris Froome @ 66/1
Micheal Woods @ 100/1
All the best for another good stage I hope
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- The Vann
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Stage 16
Win
Konrad @ 28/1
Kron @ 40/1 (Hopefully he gets a reliable bike today)
e/w
Jorgenson @ 100/1
And the main dig of the day
Match Bet
Powless/Jungels @ 18/10
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- mackem
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Summary after Stage 16
Long Term Invested: 2 units
Stage: +12 units
Stage 17 Bets
1 unit Pidcock 14/1 *
0.5 unit Caruso 33/1
0.5 unit Froome 40/1
0.5 unit Kron 125/1
3 unit Meintjes/Vlasov at 12/10 at WSB
* Managed to get 20/1 at Betxchange who opened after the video
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- kt6747
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I have gone with the following:
Woods @ 15/1
Rolland @ 200/1
Jorgenson @ 80/1
Followed you with Pidcock.
My major play is Yates over Gaudu, hoping the cooler weather helps and he can take some, but @ 5/2 think worthwhile, considering they are the strongest team left.
Enjoy the racing
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- Brent Graham
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The 12/10 is available at Betxchange so I have placed there instead but have asked for an explanation as to why it was an "obvious error"
I look forward to the response
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- kompos
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the 12/10 is an obvious error, but the 14/1 on Pidcock is not?
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- southpaw
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But we love it and keep trying -
Quintana @ 25/1
Mollema @ 50/1
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- The Vann
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Stage 17
With the flat start and the short stage I'm leaning GC today but throwing in smalls on Verona who stays in nearby Andorra and knows the climbs.
Win
Pogacar @ 7/2
e/w
Verona @ 33/1
Match bet double
Pidcock/Lutsenko - Madouas/Storer @ 22/10
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- Brent Graham
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Summary after Stage 17
Long Term Invested: 2 units
Stage: +6.5 units
Stage 18 Bets
0.5 unit Lutsenko 16/1
3 units Vinnegaard/Pogacar at 6/5
2 units winning margin more than 10 seconds at 7/5
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Jonas to win the stage @11/4
*ps just a word on your slow Wi-Fi Brent; it could be all the tabs you leave open!
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- kt6747
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Lets hope we have some fireworks again.
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- The Vann
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KOM
Geschke @ 7/4
Stage 18
Match Bets
Hamilton/Leknessund @ 16/10
Teuns/Sanchez @ 2/1
And the beers
Win
Woods @ 18/1
Match bet treble
Above two bets and Schultz/Madouas @ 23/2
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- Brent Graham
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Summary after Stage 18
Long Term Invested: 2 units
Stage: +12.4 units
Stage 19 Bets
1u Van Poppel top 3 at 7/1
1u Kristoff top 3 at 8/1
0.25u win Pasqualon 200/1, Kron 200/1, Turgis 400/1, Van More 400/1
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- Brent Graham
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I see Van Poppel now 9/1 top 3 and Kristoff 11/1 - Sunbet showing me scant respect LOL
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- Chadmatt08
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Thanks for the tips Brent.
I followed with Jonas over Pogacar yesterday and hollywood bets decided it was a loss so i used there customer support function and they refuse to even listen, they state the Pogacar beat Jonas and won the stage. It is ridiculous, I have the live chat transcript its actually laughable. They really should get people who know sport a little bit.
Anyone have anyoone I can contact about this?
Many thanks
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