NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
- Brent Graham
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The Rugby Championship takes a break and my handicap projections for round 3 below
Australia +4.5 v SA
New Zealand -14.5 v Argentina
I haven't seen any caps or outright betting yet - New Zealand surely odds-on now but it is wide open
This week we only have NPC and well done to Hanrick for going 6/7 on Thursdays show
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- BDub
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Was hoping for late teens but will still look to take NZ minus at this line. Argentina defense is like kids on crutches + Nz will be buzzing after the Bok win.
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- BDub
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Didn’t see that coming.
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Counties 9.5 Waikato -9.5 (-7.5)
Wellington -10.5 Northland 10.5 (+13.5)
North Harbour 4.5 Tasman -4.5 (-3.5)
Auckland -7.5 BOP 7.5 (-7.5)
Taranaki 21.5 Canterbury -21.5 (-18.5)
Only lean would be counties and cant not play Canterbury in that spot.
Northland is strong defensively 10.5 might still be to much in a low scoring game.
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- hanrick
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- Quill
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I'm following the trend of high scoring matches in the New Zealand competition.
Bet: Total Points Over 55.5 @1.82
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- hanrick
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- Chiefie
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Quill wrote: Otago vs Hawke's Bay
I'm following the trend of high scoring matches in the New Zealand competition.
Bet: Total Points Over 55.5 @1.82
Otago seem to be struggling for points, first 2 games around 45 point mark, see the same happening here - around 45-52 personally; going unders.
Good luck though Quill mate - let’s wait and see! Buckle up!
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- Chickendinner
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- hanrick
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hanrick wrote: I like Harbour to beat Tasman. Northland plus looks juicy aswell.
Like Counties plus a lot too. Reckon Counties and Harbour win their games
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- hanrick
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BDub wrote: TAB NZ have the cap for the New Zealand vs Argentina as -22.5.
Was hoping for late teens but will still look to take NZ minus at this line. Argentina defense is like kids on crutches + Nz will be buzzing after the Bok win.
That's a juicy plus on Argentina. Safer bet probably overs on Argentina points
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- BDub
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hanrick wrote:
BDub wrote: TAB NZ have the cap for the New Zealand vs Argentina as -22.5.
Was hoping for late teens but will still look to take NZ minus at this line. Argentina defense is like kids on crutches + Nz will be buzzing after the Bok win.
That's a juicy plus on Argentina. Safer bet probably overs on Argentina points
35.5 points for NZ and 12.5 for Argentina. For me I’ll look at o35.5 for NZ as a big strike. Argentina’s defense is nowhere. Only concern is the Christchurch pitch can get slippery under the lights.
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- BDub
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Southland +7.5 vs Otago
Otago’s 3rd game in 9 days. Only rested a few for the midweek game and if they don’t rotate heavily this will be most player’s 3rd game in a row.
Stags lost narrowly by 1 point to a good Auckland side.
Can see Southland winning.
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- Brent Graham
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Manawatu 21.5 Hawkesbay -21.5 (-17.5)
Weathers crap in NZ certainly looks like an UNDERS weekend even up all the overs we have had the last 2 rounds.
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- R3V3R3NT_
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R3V3R3NT_ wrote: Southland 9.5 Otago -9.5 (-7.5)
Manawatu 21.5 Hawkesbay -21.5 (-17.5)
Weathers crap in NZ certainly looks like an UNDERS weekend even up all the overs we have had the last 2 rounds.
That Southland line has come in already to 3.5. I don't think its enough. Otago has held three of the better attacking teams to basically under 20 points and Average 18.3 PAPG. Only some brilliance from Nanai-Seturo got Counties to 23 points. I'm not sure Southland is good enough for more than one try vs a quality defense. I get the fatigue argument but at 3.5 theres no stags value anymore. The game screams UNDER to me waiting to see where the line comes out.
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- hanrick
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Weather looks fine in Pukekohe though and this looks like an overs game. Waikato games generally overs games. Like the Steelers to win so focussing more on their points.
Counties over 24.5 and smaller on over 48.5 total points.
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- Northerner
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- Northerner
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- southpaw
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Japan win @ 9/4
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- southpaw
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- Jameson
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southpaw wrote: After a good win on Bok ladies last week I thought this womens rugby internationals could be a good gap filler for main rugby punting. But After that miss-by-a-mile call on the Japs the female rugby betting terminates here for me.
lol don't be so disheartened - your 'win' was only out by what, 36pts?
I just cant get into this women's rugby ......
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- R3V3R3NT_
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- Chiefie
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First loss in 18 years in Auckland, perfect time.
And now HB cocking up 3+ 5m lineouts - what a clown show this NPC is.
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