URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Brent Graham
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1 year 7 months ago #1 by Brent Graham

URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct was created by Brent Graham

Last week I was moaning about just missing my Best Bet and the Newsletter Acca by small margins but this week I got the rub of the green and then some

Although the preview pick of over 50.5 points arrived in the All Black game (after the hooter) I got involved on the ABs -30.5 and over 44.5 points in running and actually took quite a knock on the game (also factoring in my SA outright play)

I flew into overs in the Stormers game (Best Bet) and also took a double with Bulls overs - the Stormers bet arrived after the hooter and the Bulls overs thanks to a 79th minute Steyn penalty - man that guy can kick under pressure

I then backed the Boks over 4.5 tries and with 5 minutes to go I still needed 2 more tries. They arrived and it was yet another after the hooter win

That night overs landed in the Lions game and the 19/2 newsletter ACCA landed - I only realised when I logged on this morning and got the good news.

There is no international rugby this weekend but we have the NPC, Gallagher, URC and also the start of the Toyota Challenge

I will have a go at the URC handicaps for the weekend - I have usually only capped the SA games so may have some teething issues on the other games

Bulls -15.5 v Connacht
Ulster +6.5 v Leinster
Cardiff -6.5 v Lions
Stormers -8.5 v Edinburgh
Ospreys v Glasgow - no idea
Munster -16.5 v Zebre
Benetton -3.5 v Scarlets
Dragons +10.5 v Sharks

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I think the Friday show for the Gallagher Prem worked well and we may try it again this week.

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Have a good week

BG

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1 year 7 months ago #2 by BDub

Replied by BDub on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

NPC lines (via TAB NZ):

Bay of plenty -14.5 v Northland (Wednesday)
Hawkes bay -3.5 v Tasman
Southland +19.5 v North Harbour
Auckland-13.5 v Taranaki
Otago +13.5 v Canterbury
Counties +9.5 v Wellington

Will take Otago on the plus and Otago on the board as soon as it’s available in South Africa. Can see Canterbury rotating heavily to rest players while Otago may need the win and possibly the bonus point depending on the games on Wednesday and Friday.

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1 year 7 months ago #3 by Kirky

Replied by Kirky on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Does anyone know if the AB players will be available to play for their clubs over the next couple of weeks before the AB Northern Tour player announcement is made ?

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southpaw
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1 year 7 months ago #4 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

some early fancies in NH -

Bristol -7 at Newcastle. Bristol letting in a lot of tries but Newcastle were soundly beaten on weekend. Surface should suit Bristol attacking style.

Sharks -6 at Dragons. Nearly blew it in Italy but in parts very impressive for 1st match of season. Dragons improving, but think Sharks forwards will dominate. Not sure if any of the Bok Sharks will make it, suspect not.

Stormers -9 vs Edinburgh. Sounds like some of the Boks might feature, but still up in the air. If they do, the -9 will look good.

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hanrick
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1 year 7 months ago #5 by hanrick

Replied by hanrick on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

southpaw wrote: some early fancies in NH -

Bristol -7 at Newcastle. Bristol letting in a lot of tries but Newcastle were soundly beaten on weekend. Surface should suit Bristol attacking style.

Sharks -6 at Dragons. Nearly blew it in Italy but in parts very impressive for 1st match of season. Dragons improving, but think Sharks forwards will dominate. Not sure if any of the Bok Sharks will make it, suspect not.

Stormers -9 vs Edinburgh. Sounds like some of the Boks might feature, but still up in the air. If they do, the -9 will look good.

Interesting. I wouldn't mind some money for the Stormers to get on a bigger plus for Edinburgh. Even if the Stormers had all their Boks I would fancy the +9.5. The way these two teams play there might be some points aswell in this game. 14:00 kick off with perfect conditions predicted for Greenpoint.

Also like Benetton -2.5 a lot. They should go much better at home than at Leinster.

And Zebre +33.5 against a Munster side still recovering from Johann van Graan looks way too big.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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southpaw
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1 year 7 months ago #6 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

hanrick wrote:
southpaw wrote: some early fancies in NH -

Bristol -7 at Newcastle. Bristol letting in a lot of tries but Newcastle were soundly beaten on weekend. Surface should suit Bristol attacking style.

Sharks -6 at Dragons. Nearly blew it in Italy but in parts very impressive for 1st match of season. Dragons improving, but think Sharks forwards will dominate. Not sure if any of the Bok Sharks will make it, suspect not.

Stormers -9 vs Edinburgh. Sounds like some of the Boks might feature, but still up in the air. If they do, the -9 will look good.

Interesting. I wouldn't mind some money for the Stormers to get on a bigger plus for Edinburgh. Even if the Stormers had all their Boks I would fancy the +9.5. The way these two teams play there might be some points aswell in this game. 14:00 kick off with perfect conditions predicted for Greenpoint.

Also like Benetton -2.5 a lot. They should go much better at home than at Leinster.

And Zebre +33.5 against a Munster side still recovering from Johann van Graan looks way too big.

yes would agree re overs, in fact my weekend will be dominated by overs plays bar a few early cap interests. I even ended up trading out some caps last week to put more focus onto overs, which worked well.

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Brent Graham
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1 year 7 months ago #7 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

My first go at handicapping the URC games - 5 close, 1 medium difference Sharks, 1 larger Leinster and 1 massive Munster - Sunbet caps in brackets

Bulls -15.5 (-17.5) v Connacht
Ulster +6.5 (-1.5) v Leinster
Cardiff -6.5 (-6.5) v Lions
Stormers -8.5 (-10.5) v Edinburgh
Ospreys v (-3.5) Glasgow - no idea
Munster -16.5 (-31.5) v Zebre
Benetton -3.5 (-3.5) v Scarlets
Dragons +10.5 (+6.5) v Sharks

Taking a small treble at 5/1 Leinster +1.5, Zebre +31.5 Sharks -6.5

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1 year 7 months ago #8 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

I see WSB have betting up on the Toyota Challenge

Griquas -4.5 v Emerging Ireland
Cheetahs -13.5 v Bulls

Will have a look at teams before commenting on these

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hanrick
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1 year 7 months ago #9 by hanrick

Replied by hanrick on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Brent Graham wrote: I see WSB have betting up on the Toyota Challenge

Griquas -4.5 v Emerging Ireland
Cheetahs -13.5 v Bulls

Will have a look at teams before commenting on these

Without ANY info on this and no idea what teams look like, both minusses look backable. Will also do a bit of research before getting involved.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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Flemenstar
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1 year 7 months ago #10 by Flemenstar

Replied by Flemenstar on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Any opinions on Connacht v Bulls Friday?
18 seems a lot on the hcap.

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1 year 7 months ago #11 by Profitable_Hedgehog

Replied by Profitable_Hedgehog on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Going big on Emerging Ireland vs Griquas at 2.60

Griquas have lost arguably their two best players in Zander Du Plessis and Sango Xamlashe. Emerging Ireland's backline could consist of Baloucoune and Daly two outside backs who have both been capped by the senior team. I really like Ciaran Frawley, he has impressed me each time I've seen him play and I really don't see how these two sides aren't much closer in terms of odds.

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1 year 7 months ago #12 by Flemenstar

Replied by Flemenstar on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Frawley injured. Not playing

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Brent Graham
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1 year 7 months ago #13 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Lads Hanrick and I will be talking URC, Toyota Championship (massive difference in overseas pricing) and NPC at 21h00

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1 year 7 months ago #14 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Taken some under 47.5 at 10/11 in Hawkes Bay game

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Quill
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1 year 7 months ago #15 by Quill

Replied by Quill on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Brent Graham wrote: Taken some under 47.5 at 10/11 in Hawkes Bay game

I'm on unders too.

Took an alternative under 44.0 @2.05
I also took Tasman +3.5 (alternative) @1.95.

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1 year 7 months ago #16 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Bulls v Connacht Betting Preview

Bulls over 17.5 1st half points

Cardiff v Lions Betting preview

Will check conditions later and a small play Botha 1st Lions try at 6/1

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1 year 7 months ago #17 by Chiefie

Replied by Chiefie on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Brent Graham wrote: Taken some under 47.5 at 10/11 in Hawkes Bay game

Even in a hurricane, the kiwi teams still can’t bloody tackle.

Heavily invested in unders and it’s 17-10 at the break. They could be playing in an apocalyptic volcanic storm and the overs would still hit.

Why do we go with unders chaps? Why.?

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Quill
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1 year 7 months ago #18 by Quill

Replied by Quill on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Chiefie wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Taken some under 47.5 at 10/11 in Hawkes Bay game

Even in a hurricane, the kiwi teams still can’t bloody tackle.

Heavily invested in unders and it’s 17-10 at the break. They could be playing in an apocalyptic volcanic storm and the overs would still hit.

Why do we go with unders chaps? Why.?

If we took over 47.5 the score would have been 3-3.

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Quill
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1 year 7 months ago #19 by Quill

Replied by Quill on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Quill wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Taken some under 47.5 at 10/11 in Hawkes Bay game

Even in a hurricane, the kiwi teams still can’t bloody tackle.

Heavily invested in unders and it’s 17-10 at the break. They could be playing in an apocalyptic volcanic storm and the overs would still hit.

Why do we go with unders chaps? Why.?
If we took over 47.5 the score would have been 3-3.

Waiting for the total to go below 45.5 (if it does) and I'll take the overs.

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1 year 7 months ago #20 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Yeah Quill I could not believe the points - some awful decision making

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1 year 7 months ago #21 by Quill

Replied by Quill on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Took Tasman +10.5 @1.87, live.

They have two All Blacks on the bench, they'll bring them on soon.

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1 year 7 months ago #22 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Dragons v Sharks Betting preview

Sharks -6.5 at 0.82/1

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1 year 7 months ago #23 by Flemenstar

Replied by Flemenstar on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Any opinion on Ireland v Griguas

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1 year 7 months ago #24 by Laraxwell

Replied by Laraxwell on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

There's a Boylesports outlet a 5min walk from me. I was planning on taking up the +26pts on Griquas- available up to 8am this morning. The bloody shop doesn't open until 10am. Handicap has reeled into +21pts after 8am and in further to +15pts just now.
Boyles listening to Hanrick?

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Quill
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1 year 7 months ago #25 by Quill

Replied by Quill on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Quill wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Taken some under 47.5 at 10/11 in Hawkes Bay game

Even in a hurricane, the kiwi teams still can’t bloody tackle.

Heavily invested in unders and it’s 17-10 at the break. They could be playing in an apocalyptic volcanic storm and the overs would still hit.

Why do we go with unders chaps? Why.?
If we took over 47.5 the score would have been 3-3.

The jinxing worked again

I forgot who is the forum member who likes to say something along the lines "I love a sluggish game, a mud bath, knock-ons and ball spillages, when I have an unders bet"?

This is exactly what this match was and I felt it that way, especially with Tasman butchering so many chances.

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1 year 7 months ago #26 by Jameson

Replied by Jameson on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Brent Graham wrote: Bulls v Connacht Betting Preview

Bulls over 17.5 1st half points

Cardiff v Lions Betting preview

Will check conditions later and a small play Botha 1st Lions try at 6/1

That's a poor Cardiff pack - front row in particular. What's the opinion on the Lions pack??

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1 year 7 months ago #27 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Happy to start the weekend with a small win

Stormers v Edinburgh betting preview

Over 47.5 at 17/20

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1 year 7 months ago #28 by Flemenstar

Replied by Flemenstar on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Is 15 still a bet I'm wondering

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1 year 7 months ago #29 by Chiefie

Replied by Chiefie on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Thoughts on bulls v Connacht over 58.5

Weather looks good, attacking bulls line up and hope Connacht score a few and then crumble in the last 25mins

Thoughts on that? As currently heavily invested.

Lol.

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1 year 7 months ago #30 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

weather getting grim here in UK today, windy and rainy evening expected for most. Would keep any overs plays to tomorrow or games in SA.

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1 year 7 months ago #31 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Stormers over 27.5 @ 10/11

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1 year 7 months ago #32 by Laraxwell

Replied by Laraxwell on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Boyles have handicap at Griquas +7pts now
Too much movement for me

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1 year 7 months ago #33 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

The Gallagher Premiership Preview has been moved forward 15 minutes to 13h15 to accommodate the Griquas kick off t 13h45

Click here to set a reminder on You Tube

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1 year 7 months ago #34 by Northerner

Replied by Northerner on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Griquas v Emerging Ireland points line at 56.5 in UK with Spreadex

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southpaw
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1 year 7 months ago #35 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Griquas v Emerging Ireland

over 58.5 total points @ 5/6

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Jameson
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1 year 7 months ago #36 by Jameson

Replied by Jameson on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Northerner wrote: Griquas v Emerging Ireland points line at 56.5 in UK with Spreadex

Not even listed on the 2 sites I use in the UK ......

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1 year 7 months ago #37 by Laraxwell

Replied by Laraxwell on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Yeah - nothing from Bet365
But they'll let you punt on tractor pulling in Kazakhstan

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1 year 7 months ago #38 by kompos

Replied by kompos on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

in an hour there is rugby and I can't have a bet - only 2 clowns with betting and both out of bounds

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1 year 7 months ago #39 by hanrick

Replied by hanrick on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

kompos wrote: in an hour there is rugby and I can't have a bet - only 2 clowns with betting and both out of bounds

Same here. Big fancy on Griquas and I'm not going to have a cent on the game. Not through my own choice

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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1 year 7 months ago #40 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

southpaw wrote: Stormers over 27.5 @ 10/11

also taken over 47.5 total points, think it moves out a bit more.

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Jameson
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1 year 7 months ago #41 by Jameson

Replied by Jameson on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Laraxwell wrote: Yeah - nothing from Bet365
But they'll let you punt on tractor pulling in Kazakhstan

Got any tips for that? LMAO

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1 year 7 months ago #42 by Chiefie

Replied by Chiefie on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Griquas and Emerging Leprechauns can be watched here :

Kick off in 23min

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1 year 7 months ago #43 by Schooms

Replied by Schooms on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Laraxwell wrote: Yeah - nothing from Bet365
But they'll let you punt on tractor pulling in Kazakhstan

brilliant!

Love rugby punting....especially Sevens!

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1 year 7 months ago #44 by Chiefie

Replied by Chiefie on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Don’t bother with this emerging Ireland v Griquas game. Ref is blowing anything that moves.

7 points in 20 mins.

Dire.

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1 year 7 months ago #45 by Flemenstar

Replied by Flemenstar on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Griquas are woeful. Some of decision making is pathetic really

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1 year 7 months ago #46 by Flemenstar

Replied by Flemenstar on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Looks like the 26 hcap was right.

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1 year 7 months ago #47 by Chiefie

Replied by Chiefie on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Thoroughly enjoying all these skew 5m throw ins as an overs play.

Like seriously - that’s at least 4 now, at least.

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1 year 7 months ago #48 by hanrick

Replied by hanrick on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

hanrick wrote:
kompos wrote: in an hour there is rugby and I can't have a bet - only 2 clowns with betting and both out of bounds

Same here. Big fancy on Griquas and I'm not going to have a cent on the game. Not through my own choice

Thank goodness they didn't price up

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1 year 7 months ago #49 by Profitable_Hedgehog

Replied by Profitable_Hedgehog on topic URC, NPC, Gallagher Prem, Toyota Challenge + other rugby 30 Sep - 2 Oct

Obviously hindsight is 20/20 but I still don't know how Emerging Ireland were priced at over 2.60. This Emerging Ireland has a similar coaching setup and squad to the one that went to New Zealand and beat the Maori All Blacks. No disrespect to the Griquas but the Currie cup is a level below, especially when you consider they haven't had any serious competitive action in two months.

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