Rugby World Cup 2022 (2021) Betting Thread
- Brent Graham
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SA's opponents in round 1 are France and they are the 8/1 3rd favs with Canada 16/1 and 40/1 a better the balance
These are the sort of tournaments where if you do your homework there is money to be made
It certainly looks a 2 horse race but I am battling to see what the knockout draw will look like - I see top 2 teams in each group and 2 best 3rd place finishers but cannot see if for example England and New Zealand are likely to meet in the semi or the final - please shout if you find this info
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- BDub
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The first 3 games are played at Eden Park, where the last 3 are played at Northland Events Centre in Whangarei. So far weather predicted looks ok. Weather may be a big factor later on.
South Africa +43.5 v France
Fiji +55.5 v England
Australia +27.5 v New Zealand
USA -6.5 v Italy
Japan +35.5 v Canada
Wales v Scotland (choice)
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- BDub
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Nz -27.5 v Australia
Some injury concerns for some key NZ players but the Kiwis smashed Aus 52-5 in August and then played an experimental team and still beat Aus 22-14.
At a packed out Eden Park and being coached by Wayne Smith I expect the kiwi girls to cover.
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- Brent Graham
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- R3V3R3NT_
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My thoughts so far
South Africa +43.5 v France
Tough one to start with, I would play the half time line if anything (-20.5). I think its the kind of game France score early then just cruises to save themselves for later in the tournament.
Fiji +55.5 v England
If you think England can NIL Fiji then take the minus. If you think Fiji can score a couple take the plus.
Australia +27.5 v New Zealand
Can't not back NZ with the coaching changes at home in Eden Park.
USA -6.5 v Italy
Watched more Italian rugby than anything to try get a read on this game because of the reasonable line. Italy really doesn't have much on attack, no speed, no power, no footwork and no skill players. I think they will struggle to put points on the board more so if Furlan is out.
Unders become a strong play in Italian games if offered because they still structurally defend well.
Japan +35.5 v Canada
Haven't seen much of these two assume Canada wins well.
Wales v Scotland (choice)
Wales wins this one, Scotland are a mess from the top management down that will come through in the performance on the field.
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- southpaw
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England over 63.5
France over 8.5 tries
NZ over 40.5
@ 7/1
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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Got a feeling second round games may get better to punt.
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- R3V3R3NT_
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USA -20.5 V Japan
France +7.5 V England
Italy +7.5 V Canada
Wales +34.5 V New Zealand
Fiji -5.5 V South Africa
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- Brent Graham
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Brent Graham wrote: Are those actual caps or predicted ? I really like England -7 5
Predicted
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- R3V3R3NT_
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R3V3R3NT_ wrote:
Scotland +7.5 (+24.5) V Australia
USA -20.5 (-21.5) V Japan
France +7.5 (+16.5) V England
Italy +7.5 (+14.5) V Canada
Wales +34.5 (+47.5)V New Zealand
Fiji -5.5 (-7.5) V South Africa
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- BDub
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R3V3R3NT_ wrote:
R3V3R3NT_ wrote:
Scotland +7.5 (+24.5) V Australia
USA -20.5 (-21.5) V Japan
France +7.5 (+16.5) V England
Italy +7.5 (+14.5) V Canada
Wales +34.5 (+47.5)V New Zealand
Fiji -5.5 (-7.5) V South Africa
Was lining up a big strike on Fiji and Australia but these minuses have come out a lot bigger than I hoped. Still think Fiji cover.
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Australia has not even scored more than 20 points in a game in the last 5 years let alone win a game. Scotland are battle hardened.
Canada is good and they have the best kicking game. 10, 12, 15 can all kick, 9 can box kick and even 8 kicks goals. Italy will still make them grind for the win.
Taken some Scotland +24.5 and Italy +14.5 already
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- R3V3R3NT_
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R3V3R3NT_ wrote: No respect for Northern Hemisphere teams.
Australia has not even scored more than 20 points in a game in the last 5 years let alone win a game. Scotland are battle hardened.
Canada is good and they have the best kicking game. 10, 12, 15 can all kick, 9 can box kick and even 8 kicks goals. Italy will still make them grind for the win.
Taken some Scotland +24.5 and Italy +14.5 already
See what they come up with total wise but I don't think either game goes over 40.
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- hanrick
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R3V3R3NT_ wrote:
R3V3R3NT_ wrote:
Scotland +7.5 (+24.5) V Australia
USA -20.5 (-21.5) V Japan
France +7.5 (+16.5) V England
Italy +7.5 (+14.5) V Canada
Wales +34.5 (+47.5)V New Zealand
Fiji -5.5 (-7.5) V South Africa
Nothing out with books I bet with yet, but on the above caps I like Scotland plus (their forwards looked impressive) and Wales plus.
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- The Vann
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Took a large bite.
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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USA -21.5
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- Chiefie
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Brent Graham wrote: Off to a bad start in the URC and the fightback begins here
USA -21.5
Guys please, this is an urgent appeal.
Don’t bet on woman’s rugby. It’s just not worth it.
Handling errors, skew line outs - mainly on the attack 5m out, turnovers conceded, screaming.
We deserve better. Don’t bet on it. Don’t watch it. Don’t talk about it.
If there are enough of us who boycott it, it will eventually stop.
3-5 at HT to the Japanese in perfect conditions.
Nightmare.
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- Northerner
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Chiefie wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Off to a bad start in the URC and the fightback begins here
USA -21.5
Guys please, this is an urgent appeal.
Don’t bet on woman’s rugby. It’s just not worth it.
Handling errors, skew line outs - mainly on the attack 5m out, turnovers conceded, screaming.
We deserve better. Don’t bet on it. Don’t watch it. Don’t talk about it.
If there are enough of us who boycott it, it will eventually stop.
3-5 at HT to the Japanese in perfect conditions.
Nightmare.
Shut up Chiefie, you losing yet another bet doesn’t give you an excuse to be a misogynist
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- Chiefie
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Northerner wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Off to a bad start in the URC and the fightback begins here
USA -21.5
Guys please, this is an urgent appeal.
Don’t bet on woman’s rugby. It’s just not worth it.
Handling errors, skew line outs - mainly on the attack 5m out, turnovers conceded, screaming.
We deserve better. Don’t bet on it. Don’t watch it. Don’t talk about it.
If there are enough of us who boycott it, it will eventually stop.
3-5 at HT to the Japanese in perfect conditions.
Nightmare.
Shut up Chiefie, you losing yet another bet doesn’t give you an excuse to be a misogynist
Jesus. When did joking around become an issue?
If you’re married to a woman’s rugby player, I get it, but chill winston - if you can’t tell by the opening line of “This is an urgent appeal” that this is a joke, then you need to go for a bike ride.
And please don’t accuse me of misogyny, I’ve paid for a lot of women to get through dental school.
And that was a winning bet of over 44.5 points, cheers.
Moving on from northerner and his/her sense of humour failure - like the England hooker to score.
Cokayne at 3.25-1
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- Brent Graham
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Brent Graham wrote: Poms -155 and involved
Taken the points +15.5 GL
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- Brent Graham
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- BuggerBoy
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8/10 on Italy/Canada Under 47.5 looks a treat.
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- Brent Graham
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- R3V3R3NT_
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BuggerBoy wrote: This tournament appears to be an unders parade. Very sloppy play in attack and either an unwillingness or inability to kick penalties is resulting in low scoring matches.
8/10 on Italy/Canada Under 47.5 looks a treat.
Agree under looks really good, already have Italy +14.5 and Fiji -3.5 First half, just deciding how hard I want to hammer Wales plus.
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- ChiliFarmer
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- R3V3R3NT_
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ChiliFarmer wrote: I would agree with those that have previously suggested UNDERS in the totals in this tournament as where some value may currently lie. In light of that WAL v NZ 65.5 total pts seems pretty high doesnt it? Thoughts?
Yeah seems smart to just keep hitting unders.
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- Brent Graham
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Tilt bet under 48.5 in Fiji v SA
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Australia PK Wales
New Zealand -47.5 Scotland
France -21.5 Fiji
Japan +12.5 Italy
Canada -21.5 USA
England -54.5 South Africa
See what the books come up with .....
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- BDub
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R3V3R3NT_ wrote: Predicted Caps
Australia PK Wales
New Zealand -47.5 Scotland
France -21.5 Fiji
Japan +12.5 Italy
Canada -21.5 USA
England -54.5 South Africa
See what the books come up with .....
Lines are out at Bet365 and I love Wales +10 and also fancy Canada -12 v USA. Will see a lot of my money if they open similar in South Africa
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- R3V3R3NT_
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R3V3R3NT_ wrote: Predicted Caps
Australia PK -11.5 Wales
New Zealand -47.5 -47.5 Scotland
France -21.5 -34.5 Fiji
Japan +12.5 -17.5 Italy
Canada -21.5 -14.5 USA
England -54.5 -60.5 South Africa
See what the books come up with .....
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- R3V3R3NT_
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- BDub
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R3V3R3NT_ wrote: Calling it now Wales win pile in boys. LOL
Definitely agree. Have taken a big strike on Wales +9.5 and Wales win at 4.50
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- southpaw
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May need to look at it differently to get a balance, but hoping cap may come in further, will then jump on the best minus.
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- R3V3R3NT_
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The girls keep talking about the rev up they get from Wayne Smith at half time. Two games in a row with poor starts I think it will be a focus in this one.
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- ChiliFarmer
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- BuggerBoy
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Canada-USA is the match I’m targeting and will be a green light unders play once bookies post a total.
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- BuggerBoy
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Scotland have been solid defensively in their previous matches. I don’t think they’ll contribute much on the scoreboard and asking a rotated NZ squad to score 57+ points in a relatively meaningless match is asking a lot.
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- BuggerBoy
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Canterbury win
Double @ 1.92
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- southpaw
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Didn’t manage to get on the Aus minus, southpaw is on holiday in Greece with the family and the all inclusive Drinks don’t support getting up early for these matches!
Will look at France Fiji game for some involvement.
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- BuggerBoy
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Unders strike again!
France/Fiji Under 59.5 up next
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- Brent Graham
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Under 58.5 in Fiji v France
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