Super Rugby week 2, URC week 15, Gallagher week 19 3-5 March

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1 year 2 months ago - 1 year 2 months ago #1 by Brent Graham
The start of Super Rugby made for a really crowded week of rugby. Given I called 9/11 handicaps in our competition and also nailed the Newsletter Best Bet it should have been a good weekend for me but I made some poor choices (like firing Glasgow overs and Sharks v Ulster unders) and ended up breaking square.

We have a seperate thread for the Varsity Cup - CLICK HERE

The 6 Nations takes a break this weekend but we have a really packed program ahead

Super Rugby - my projected handicaps

Punters; Note that this is a Super Round and all 6 matches take place in Melbourne - still feeling my way into this so caps may be well off on some matches

Crusaders -12.5 v Highlanders
Rebels +12.5 v Hurricanes
Moana Pasifika +24.5 v Chiefs
Drua +11.5 v Waratahs
Blues -10.5 v Brumbies
Force -2.5 v Reds

URC - my projected handicaps

Munster -14.5 v Scarlets
Glasgow -16.5 v Zebre
Stormers -8.5 v Sharks
Bulls -9.5 v Lions
Edinburgh +9.5 v Leinster
Opreys -5.5 v Benetton
Dragons +7.5 v Connacht
Cardiff +4.5 v Ulster

There is also Gallagher Prem action

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THE HANDICAP
Don’t miss our live rugby betting show THE HANDICAP “Rugby chat that matters” on Thursday night 21h00 SA time – Here is the link to view the Goodforthegame You Tube Channel www.youtube.com/c/GoodforthegameTV/videos

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Last edit: 1 year 2 months ago by Brent Graham. Reason: correct error
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1 year 2 months ago - 1 year 2 months ago #2 by R3V3R3NT_
My Super rugby predicted handicaps are pretty close. I have the Chiefs as a slightly heavier favorite. But main difference is I have the Force as a 7.5 point favorite not a 7.5 point dog. 14 point swing for me so I cant not Take an early strike force +7.5 and ML.

Actual handicaps in green

Crusaders vs Highlanders 12.5 13.5
Rebels vs Hurricanes -14.5 -15.5
Moana vs Chiefs -24.5 -20.5
Drua vs Waratahs -12.5 -7.5
Blues vs Brumbies 9.5 9.5
Force vs Reds 7.5 -7.5
Last edit: 1 year 2 months ago by R3V3R3NT_. Reason: Didnt make sence.

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1 year 2 months ago #3 by Brent Graham
Likewise only big difference is in he Force game in Super Rugby - WSB caps in brackets

Crusaders -12.5 v Highlanders (-14.5)
Rebels +12.5 v Hurricanes (+13.5)
Moana Pasifika +24.5 v Chiefs (+22.5)
Drua +11.5 v Waratahs (+7.5)
Blues -10.5 v Brumbies (-9.5)
Force -2.5 v Reds (+6.5)

Surprised all of my URC were within a couple of points other than Glasgow v Zebre

Munster -14.5 v Scarlets (-16.5)
Glasgow -16.5 v Zebre (-21.5)
Stormers -8.5 v Sharks (-7.5)
Bulls -9.5 v Lions (-13.5)
Edinburgh +9.5 v Leinster (+7.5)
Opreys -5.5 v Benetton (-5.5)
Dragons +7.5 v Connacht (+5.5)
Cardiff +4.5 v Ulster (+5.5)

An early double for me Force +6.5 onto Zebre +21.5

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1 year 2 months ago #4 by R3V3R3NT_
[quote An early double for me Force +6.5 onto Zebre +21.5[/quote]

Juicy :cheer:

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1 year 2 months ago - 1 year 2 months ago #5 by Kirky
Hey Guys, please be aware that all Super Pacifica matches are being played in Melbourne this week.
Oops sorry Brent already said so :silly:
Last edit: 1 year 2 months ago by Kirky.

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1 year 2 months ago #6 by Brent Graham
LOL you have to get up pretty early in the morning to catch me out Kirky :lol:

Checking Super Rugby caps the Canes have gone from -14.5 to -18.5 and Blues from -9.5 to -11.5

Little to no movement in the URC

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1 year 2 months ago #7 by southpaw
Highlanders side named not great at all.

Saders -14 @ 10/11
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1 year 2 months ago - 1 year 2 months ago #8 by Brad Breath
Came on to post same bet South - its a terrible side
Last edit: 1 year 2 months ago by Brad Breath.

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1 year 2 months ago #9 by Mondo


The cheeky Friday morning double -

Crusaders/ Crusaders & Hurricanes 2nd Half -7.5 @2.55

Also, why are you guys bullish on Zebre? They burnt me so badly 2 weeks ago when they shipped 19 points in the final 6 minutes to destroy my Zebre +18.5 which, at 34-38 and less than 10 to go looked like gold :woohoo: PTSD sounds about right.

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1 year 2 months ago - 1 year 2 months ago #10 by Pablo

southpaw wrote: Highlanders side named not great at all.

Saders -14 @ 10/11


On the same boat but adding one more unit so 3u in total there. Highlanders lineup looks horrible.

Chiefs -21.5 @1.91 for 2u
Last edit: 1 year 2 months ago by Pablo.

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1 year 2 months ago #11 by Brent Graham
Good spots on the Crusaders line lads

We will be talking Super Rugby and URC on tonights show - I am joined by veteran Oracle and first time Darren

Click here to watch on You Tube


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1 year 2 months ago #12 by Brent Graham

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1 year 2 months ago #13 by Brent Graham
Rebels v Hurricanes Preview

The line is high but I am hoping not high enough - over 61.5

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1 year 2 months ago #14 by Brent Graham
Drua v Waratahs Preview

Tah's over 31.5 - I think we have 1 week to feast on points before bookies finalise adjustment

Moana v Chiefs Preview

Chiefs over 42.5

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1 year 2 months ago #15 by Brent Graham
Force v Reds betting preview

Sticking to my guns here and taking +6.5

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1 year 2 months ago #16 by Mondo
Crusaders over 20.5 first half points @2
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1 year 2 months ago #17 by southpaw
Beauty of a start to rugby weekend, think bookies took a hiding.

Can’t watch next game but 2 exotics for an interest

1st try Hardwick 33/1
Last try Laki 22/1

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1 year 2 months ago #18 by Mondo
Think the bookies won it all back in the Canes game
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1 year 2 months ago #19 by Brent Graham
Good start to the weekend with both preview picks arriving

Going to wait for points line for Stormers and Blues games but here is Bulls v Lions Betting Preview

I am taking8/10 Lions +14.5 but am gagging for points lines

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1 year 2 months ago #20 by shark prince
Evening fellas, forgot to post my bets for Friday night's game which was for the best! I was on big on Crusaders -13.5/Canes -7.5 on a double. Thought it would've been a banker, just a reminder to not include unpredictable sides like the Canes in doubles/triples.

Also on Chiefs -14.5/Blues -4.5 and Reds/Tahs outright doubles this weekend. Happy punting.
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1 year 2 months ago #21 by southpaw
a bit against the grain it seems but i like Drua to score points.

Drua over 24.5 @ 10/11

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1 year 2 months ago - 1 year 2 months ago #22 by Pablo
I have to go Stade Francais +8.5 @1.80 2u

Strong compo they field (maybe best of the season) but Toulon almost full strength. For me is one score match, the franciliens will want to revenge the defeat of the previous match at home.

And add o52.5 @1.84 in harlequins-exeter game 2u as well. Play at Twickenham, Marcus Smith at 10 and good weather means points to me, and line is low.
Last edit: 1 year 2 months ago by Pablo.

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1 year 2 months ago #23 by southpaw
Stormers Sharks over 48.5 @ 20/23

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1 year 2 months ago #24 by Brent Graham
Stormers v Sharks betting preview

Over 48.5 - aligned with South on this one

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1 year 2 months ago - 1 year 2 months ago #25 by Kirky

Mondo wrote: Think the bookies won it all back in the Canes game


Won it all back in Canes, and then rubbed salt into my wounds with Munster failing the cap.:S :(
Put my money on Canes, then on Munster. Yech.

My hopes now lie with the Stormers -7.5, and 13+
Smaller interest in Leinster -7.5, Ulster -5.5 & Connacht -3.5

Have a feeling of gloom about this entire endeavor right now. :S
Tired of gloomy Saturday mornings. Should learn to leave Friday nights alone.....
Last edit: 1 year 2 months ago by Kirky. Reason: more thought

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1 year 2 months ago #26 by Flemenstar
Two horrendous teams Waratahs and Drua. Was on Chiefs earlier, a joke

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1 year 2 months ago - 1 year 2 months ago #27 by Jameson

Flemenstar wrote: Two horrendous teams Waratahs and Drua. Was on Chiefs earlier, a joke


Yup, not going well. Waratahs manage to score 3 pts in what, 30 mins?

EDIT: Brent comes good in the end!
Last edit: 1 year 2 months ago by Jameson.

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1 year 2 months ago #28 by southpaw
Bulls v Lions - over 57.5 @ 10/11

It's fair to say i'm looking for fast starts in both SA games this afternoon.

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1 year 2 months ago #29 by Jameson
Stormers game has turned into something dire - zero urgency.....

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1 year 2 months ago #30 by Brent Graham
Lions over 20.5 - FIRE

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1 year 2 months ago #31 by Flemenstar
How shit have the Bulls been? A disgrace
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1 year 2 months ago #32 by Flemenstar
Never again am I betting on a game involving two south African teams. Been stung far too many times. Shit games no urgency at all
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1 year 2 months ago #33 by Brent Graham
Leinster over 27.5

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1 year 2 months ago #34 by Kirky
A weekend to forget.
A weekend where everything I touched, turned to poo.

Proper shite across the board for me. :sick: :pinch:

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1 year 2 months ago #35 by Pablo

Kirky wrote: A weekend to forget.
A weekend where everything I touched, turned to poo.

Proper shite across the board for me. :sick: :pinch:


Same here, Blues losing to Brumbies was the icing on the cake ...
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1 year 2 months ago #36 by Laraxwell
Chiefs 2nd half sunk my ship
4th leg of a 5 time accu - all others flew home
Ah well - chasing high handicaps is risky

Newcastle v London Irish
Total Points set at 47.5
Seems low for a match with LI
Checked weather and is fine
Gonna play the Overs
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1 year 2 months ago #37 by Flemenstar
Anyone know anything about Racing v Toulouse later on in the Dome? Pablo you usually good at French rugby

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1 year 2 months ago #38 by shark prince
Reminder to still not include Blues bets in doubles/triples...

Great call on the Lions from everyone, followed on that call which was some saving grace. Thankfully the Reds/Tahs pulled through to almost break even.

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