6 Nations Rd 5, Super Rugby Rd 4 & Currie Cup Rd 2 17-19 March
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
I had a great weekend till then though including hitting the newsletter acca at 11/1 and overall I managed to finish nicely ahead but what a pity about those Scots
This week we have the final round of 6 Nations action (man it has been good), the 4th round of Super Rugby and the 2nd round of Currie Cup
Here are the opening 6 Nations lines
Scotland -18.5 v Italy
France -18.5 v Wales
Ireland -15.5 v England
I am sure that is the 1st time in 6 Nations history we have 3 handicaps over 15 points
Here are my Super Rugby Pacific handicap projections - have a feeling I will be well out on a few
Hurricanes -14.5 v Waratahs
Chiefs -22.5 v Rebels
Blues -6.5 v Crusaders
Brumbies -14.5 v Moana Pasifika
Highlanders -12.5 v Force
Reds -12.5 v Drua
Here are my Currie Cup week 2 projections
Pumas -12.5 v Lions
Bulls +8.5 v WP
Griffons +22.5 v Cheetahs
Griquas +1.5 v Sharks
Lets see if the bookies agree
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- R3V3R3NT_
- Offline
- Posts: 236
- Thank you received: 91
Hurricanes -7.5 v Waratahs
Chiefs -16.5 v Rebels
Blues -2.5 v Crusaders
Brumbies -12.5 v Moana Pasifika
Highlanders -5.5 v Force
Reds -5.5 v Drua
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- RuggaBugga
- Offline
- Posts: 587
- Thank you received: 310
Canes -15.5 v Tahs
Chiefs -25.5 v Rebs
Blues -1.5 v Saders
Brumbies -18.5 v Moana
Landers -11.5 v Force
Reds -11.5 v Drua
Blues looks a cracker!
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Kirky
- Offline
- Posts: 413
- Thank you received: 100
I think that the home teams are going to dish out pain to their visitors in this week's final round.
On my Superbru predictions I'm going the home teams by 30 each, but will probably adjust to mid 20s by the weekend
I've accordingly laid my first punts of next weekend on accas and individuals, straight up on all the minuses, and will be waiting for the variations, and Sportingbet to appear.
-17.5/-18.5/-15.5 @ 6.64 Sunbet.
I believe I'm in for a big one, and I'll drink to that. Cheers guys
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- shaft
- Offline
- Posts: 415
- Thank you received: 132
"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Hurricanes -14.5 v Waratahs (-15.5)
Chiefs -22.5 v Rebels (-23.5)
Blues -6.5 v Crusaders (-0.5)
Brumbies -14.5 v Moana Pasifika(-18.5)
Highlanders -12.5 v Force (-12.5)
Reds -12.5 v Drua (-12.5)
6 point diff in Blues game and 4 points Brumbies game
I am not going to get involved at this stage, a bit weary of the Crusaders with returning and well rested stars
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brad Breath
- Offline
- Posts: 823
- Thank you received: 207
Crusaders +1.5 @ 1.91
Highlanders -11 @ 1.91
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- wslark1
- Offline
- Posts: 75
- Thank you received: 56
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Quite surprised to be so aligned with bookies on CC caps - 3 point difference in the Bulls game the biggest
Pumas -12.5 v Lions (-13.5)
Bulls +8.5 v WP (+11.5)
Griffons +22.5 v Cheetahs (+21.5)
Griquas +1.5 v Sharks (choice)
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- R3V3R3NT_
- Offline
- Posts: 236
- Thank you received: 91
Taken a solid strike at this and will get more involved closer to game time, likely sell down to Rebels +7.5.
I think the Rebels are undervalued here they have played well in three games while 1-2 they could be 3-0 here. But for first game jitters away to the Force and a Hurricanes game that really just came down to two penalty goals. Key for me is Chiefs weakness at lineout (10th) and discipline (5 yellows) while the Rebels strength is Lineout (1st) and discipline (2 yellows).
There is also a 50/50 chance the Chiefs rest their All Blacks here hence an early strike incase a weaker team is announced. Its either this week or next week away to the Waratahs. Next week vs the Tahs makes more sense with the Blues following that. But perhaps they view the Rebels as an easier matchup and choose to rest here.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Taking +23.5 in Chiefs v Rebels preview
Guys watch this space we have a competition for a R3000 RWC bet with Pokerbet coming up this weekend - if not done yet you can open your Pokerbet account here
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Offline
- Posts: 428
- Thank you received: 202
Brent Graham wrote: Canes v Tahs betting preview
Tahs u18.5
Bff I have the opposite feeling in this match.
I like too much the o52.5 even with the strong wind and high humidity.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
- Away
- Posts: 6644
- Thank you received: 948
goodforthegame.co.za/Rugby-International...review-and-tips.html
Scotland to win by 11-20 points at 28/10 with BetXchange
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
- Away
- Posts: 6644
- Thank you received: 948
goodforthegame.co.za/Rugby-International...review-and-tips.html
France total points over 37.5 at 9/10 with WSB
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3646
- Thank you received: 1417
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Offline
- Posts: 428
- Thank you received: 202
And also o53 @1.854 in Hurricanes-Waratahs, going against the general consensus of an under there.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Offline
- Posts: 428
- Thank you received: 202
Colomiers -14 ha @1.833 2u
U44 Vannes-Oyonnax @1.854 2u
In the first one I go with the home team as Aurillac makes big rotation for this match (Smith, Plantier, Kartvelishvili, Javakhia, Maituku, Masterson, Shvangiradze, Delarue, Niko, Coertzeen, Powell Gogoladze all out) and Colomiers almost full strength (no Seguy at 10 nor Dastugue but strong lineup by the way).
In the second one I go against the stats as this should be big overs match, but weather looks pretty bad in Vannes with rain and strong wind. La Rabine is and small stadium so wind will have an impact for sure. Both teams full strength but Vannes should be on point in defence to keep the best team of the season in a low score.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- shark prince
- Offline
- Posts: 75
- Thank you received: 19
Will post my remaining bets for the weekend later in the evening, good luck all.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Was great to have The Understaker back on the show last night
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
- Away
- Posts: 6644
- Thank you received: 948
goodforthegame.co.za/Rugby-International...review-and-tips.html
England +15.5 points at 9/10 with Sportingbet
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
With The Understaker on this one - not a massive ht handicap fan but the -7.5 is too tempting
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Reds v Drua
Reds -13.5
Blues v Crusaders
Blues on the board
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- shark prince
- Offline
- Posts: 75
- Thank you received: 19
Big plays are Reds -11.5, Scotland 1-21 and following on the Lions o20.5 call on the show which sounds a cracker.
Wasn't planning on being confident on the Reds tomorrow until last weeks results. Drua pushed Reds all the way last year at Suncorp, and they have a support base in Brisvegas. They can go punch for punch with the Reds style. Backing the Reds based on a Drua hangover, Reds bounce back, and an overreaction from the bookies. Very happy to find -11.5.
Expecting an Italy response, they've been decent this tournament. Scotland won't lose but won't hammer a plucky Italy who will throw everything in the last match (after last week's crap). As long as Scotland don't get an early jump, 1-21 will be fine.
Not as bullish on the Brumbies as the forum, for whatever reason I have an inkling Moana will put up a fight. Don't trust Brumbies to put away teams. Will sit it out.
Medium play on Force +18.5, tempted to hammer this as I think it's a good bet but trusting more than 3 units on the Force is insanity for me. Don't expect Landers putting away any team with the way they've been playing, they're trash.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3646
- Thank you received: 1417
Lions over 21.5 @ 10/11
Not as big a bet as the Bulls +10.5, they bloody well better turn up later!!
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
- Away
- Posts: 4489
- Thank you received: 1185
Now have a common opponent for Bulls and Lions and the two sides look equally crap. Offer me these odds on WP and I'm taking them
Win WP @ 17/10
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Newsletter best Bet Lions over 22.5 arrives - no idea how after that 1st half
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Laraxwell
- Offline
- Posts: 286
- Thank you received: 60
I followed
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3646
- Thank you received: 1417
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4888
- Thank you received: 1063
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Jameson
- Offline
- Posts: 544
- Thank you received: 52
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Offline
- Posts: 428
- Thank you received: 202
Laraxwell wrote: Great calls Pablo!
I followed
Pro D2 always a tricky competition but yesterday we had good luck.
Unlucky I'm in a pretty bad run in the other competitions ...
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- coil
- Offline
- Posts: 1346
- Thank you received: 470
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pierrebal
- Offline
- Posts: 209
- Thank you received: 90
Follow me on @kilianpierre
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3646
- Thank you received: 1417
Over 53.5 @ 17/20
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- coil
- Offline
- Posts: 1346
- Thank you received: 470
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kcmarinopirlo
- Offline
- Posts: 364
- Thank you received: 131
Duhan 1st half try 4/1
Damien Penaud 1st half 4/1
France game Total PTS under 55.5 + Reds -12.5 double
Twitter @kamalch53215288
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- coil
- Offline
- Posts: 1346
- Thank you received: 470
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Chiefie
- Offline
- Posts: 874
- Thank you received: 74
coil wrote: Pure torture
Go on Coil! Second half flood gates will open. Don’t stress.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- coil
- Offline
- Posts: 1346
- Thank you received: 470
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Chiefie
- Offline
- Posts: 874
- Thank you received: 74
coil wrote: I dunno Chiefie , this is unbelievably bad .
Points line sitting at 43.5 now, I’d press overs big time. Italy will be gassed from all those tackles.
Reckon you will get to 50 points in this game… I’d load up.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kcmarinopirlo
- Offline
- Posts: 364
- Thank you received: 131
50% time in Italys 22 surely the floodgates open after 60mins
Twitter @kamalch53215288
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3646
- Thank you received: 1417
France over 36.5 @ 10/11
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- coil
- Offline
- Posts: 1346
- Thank you received: 470
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- coil
- Offline
- Posts: 1346
- Thank you received: 470
Like a moth to a light bulb , over French points at 35.5 , over 50.5 points at 5/7 and plus Wales like a victim plus 20.5 .
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.