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- Super Rugby Rd 7, Currie Cup Rd 5, Heineken Champions Cup QF 7-9 April
Super Rugby Rd 7, Currie Cup Rd 5, Heineken Champions Cup QF 7-9 April
- Brent Graham
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My biggest bet of the weekend was on Quins over 23.5 and heading into the final 5 minutes they trailed 32-7 - they somehow delivered 3 tries to land the bet and I then fired into tries overs in the Lions game to cap a great day.
The Newsletter Best Bet* Force +21.5 arrived although I was disappointed to fall just short of Toulouse overs against the Bulls
Plenty of rugby this weekend although less games than last week
Heineken Cup quarters and here are my projections with opening caps in brackets to the right (based on home team)
Leinster -13.5 v Leicester (-18.5)
Toulouse -7.5 v Sharks (-11.5)
Exeter -1.5 v Stormers (+1.5)
La Rochelle -7.5 v Saracens (-7.5)
Super Rugby handicap projections - just 4 matches this weekend
Crusaders -25.5 v Moana
Reds +6.5 v Brumbies
Highlanders +9.5 v Hurricanes
Rebels +11. v Blues
Here are the Currie Cup fixtures - returning players from Bulls and Cheetahs will have an impact if selected so I am not even going to attempt those
Bulls v Griquas - Griquas favs unless Bulls get players back
Sharks +10.5 v Pumas
WP -21.5 v Griffons
Lions v Cheetahs - Lions favs if Cheetahs dont get players back, if Cheetahs are full strength they should be double digit favs
I am down in George on my final school rugby tour so will be a bit quiet this week
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Reds +9.5 (+4.5) v Brumbies
Highlanders +9.5 (+9.5) v Hurricanes
Rebels +8.5 (+15.5) v Blues
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- Brent Graham
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Crusaders -25.5 v Moana (-29.5)
Reds +6.5 v Brumbies (+4.5)
Highlanders +9.5 v Hurricanes (+8.5)
Rebels +11.5 v Blues (+15.5)
Two 4 pointers but suspect I was slightly out and not the bookies so not going to pull the trigger
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- wslark1
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I've decided to create a Twitter for my rugby plays. If anyone fancies a follow the @ is below:
@Rugby_Punts - twitter.com/Rugby_Punts
Any follows appreciated.
WJS
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- Mondo86
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HT at -14.5 looks very tempting
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- Brent Graham
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Bulls v Griquas (+1.5) - I didn't even try cap this one
Sharks +10.5 v Pumas (+14.5)
WP -21.5 v Griffons (-15.5)
Lions v Cheetahs - (+14.5) so looks like Cheetahs players will be back
big differences in both games I capped but more a sign of how tough these are to cap than a signal to fire I reckon
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- Pablo
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Toulon 20 wins in last 22 home games and focused. Niniashvili and Tuisova out for Lyon, two big blows. Benetton pretty strong at home this season, I don't think Cardiff can repeat an upset after last week win.
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- wslark1
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Certainly have my eye on Glasgow v Lions & Exeter v Stormers to see whats on offer for a possible overs
Will also have a Lyon unders in the shortlist for now
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- Mondo86
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Will run them close I think and can match them physically. Half tempted for a small punt at 6/1 for Tigers on the board as conditions will suit also!
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-Pacific...review-and-tips.html
2 Units, Richie Mo'unga to score a try at any time at 12/10 with WSB
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-Pacific...review-and-tips.html
4 Units Brumbies -3.5 points at 9/10 (widely available)
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- Pablo
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Strong compo and a big reaction needed, so line is low.
I know the risk but there is value for me in this line.
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- Brent Graham
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- GoGoNoNo
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Lyon has a lot of injured or left to rest players this weekend, most of them are regular players.
The wounded. : Kaabèche, Mayanavanua, Sobéla, William, Cretin, Gouzou, Taufua, Doussain, Tuisova, Mignot, Niniashvili.
Choice of staff : S. Taofifenua, Devisme, R. Taofifenua, Saginadze, Dumortier.
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- shark prince
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Found tribet either team by 9 or less which I really like at just under evens - combining it with Saders to win by 10+ to lift the odds. Reds can win this by a penalty or less, and don't see the Brumbies winning larger than a 30-23 type scoreline.
Not entirely convinced by the Crusaders lineup but Goodhue back is positive, I capped it at -22.5 but that may have been wrong on my end. I don't like the -29.5, Crusaders could beat it but it's a 50/50 call - no value for me. Nothing from Moana in the last few weeks to draw my money either. Combining Crusaders to score 41+ and a Hurricanes win in a multi at evens.
I like the Hurricanes team a lot, besides Ardie it's also a strong pack and bench - and a fire backline. Highlanders have key ins however no Smith ruins their rhythm of the last few weeks. Canes should win comfortably. Have them in a multiple above. Waiting on points to be released in Aus at 33.5. I'm liking the Hurricanes overs 33.5 more than the -7/8. Hurricanes should score 40, their defence could leak between 25-35 hence not confident on the cap. Total overs an option but risk of Landers not contributing much scares me off.
Melbourne weather is average but it could clear up by tomorrow night. Smaller units than on the other 3 games from me here. Game time decision between Blues 1-21 or Blues over 33.5 depending on whether. Rebels have shown fight this year, but Blues should win this comfortably on the road.
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- shark prince
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Found tribet either team by 9 or less which I really like at just under evens - combining it with Saders to win by 10+ to lift the odds. Reds can win this by a penalty or less, and don't see the Brumbies winning larger than a 30-23 type scoreline.
Not entirely convinced by the Crusaders lineup but Goodhue back is positive, I capped it at -22.5 but that may have been wrong on my end. I don't like the -29.5, Crusaders could beat it but it's a 50/50 call - no value for me. Nothing from Moana in the last few weeks to draw my money either. Combining Crusaders to score 41+ and a Hurricanes win in a multi at evens.
I like the Hurricanes team a lot, besides Ardie it's also a strong pack and bench - and a fire backline. Highlanders have key ins however no Smith ruins their rhythm of the last few weeks. Canes should win comfortably. Have them in a multiple above. Waiting on points to be released in Aus at 33.5. I'm liking the Hurricanes overs 33.5 more than the -7/8. Hurricanes should score 40, their defence could leak between 25-35 hence not confident on the cap. Total overs an option but risk of Landers not contributing much scares me off.
Melbourne weather is average but it could clear up by tomorrow night. Smaller units than on the other 3 games from me here. Game time decision between Blues 1-21 or Blues over 33.5 depending on whether. Rebels have shown fight this year, but Blues should win this comfortably on the road.
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-Pacific...review-and-tips.html
BET: 3 Units, Hurricanes by 1-12 points at 5/2 at World Sports Betting
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-Pacific...review-and-tips.html
BET: Handicap, Blues -13.5 at 19/20 at WSB
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- shark prince
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Heineken-Cup/stade-...review-and-tips.html
Under 50.5 total points, 17/20 widely available
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Heineken-Cup/exeter...review-and-tips.html
BET: 4 Units, Stormers -5.5 widely available at 9/10
Note Brent will add a bet for the Warriors v Lions Challenge Cup preview on Saturday morning
Warrior v Lions preview
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- mackem
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- shark prince
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- Brent Graham
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- wslark1
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Quite like Scarlets v Clermont over 50.5 (49.5 has been spotted out there)
Lines have moved elsewhere but if you fancy hop on when you can!
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- coil
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All over Toulouse on the minus 11.5 tomorrow.
On unders at Exeter at 52.5 and plus Exeter 4.5 for bigger .
Lyon plus 9.5 against Toulon .
And Highlanders on the best plus , I got plus 8.5 at 4/5 , one of my best of the weekend .
Play Well
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- shark prince
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Blues O32.5.
Canes win/Blues -3.5 double at evens.
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- Brad Breath
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Landers have conceded 43 points per game.
Bet Canes over 31.5 @ 1.83
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- Brent Graham
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- Chiefie
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With Damon Murphy on the whistle, no chance.Brent Graham wrote: Late call over 55.5 in Canes game
I hate him.
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- Flemenstar
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Top 4 in URC would all win the league over there
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- The Vann
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In-play half time
Canes over 21.5 @ 9/10
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- Brent Graham
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Yip Chiefie Murphy been killing this
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- Flemenstar
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- coil
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- wslark1
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Saracens o13.5 x Cardiff Blues o16.5
BOYLE - @1.73
3u
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- Pablo
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- kompos
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Flemenstar wrote: Ref has nothing to do with the standard of rugby being horrendous
THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU
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- Brent Graham
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- coil
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- coil
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Unders have been a disaster with points flowing like untapped champagne .
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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WP over 38.5 at 17/20 v Griffons
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- hanrick
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Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- Chiefie
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Jesus wept.
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- Brent Graham
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- hanrick
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hanrick wrote: WP -22.5 at 2/1
Hope the Griffons can win the game
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- Brent Graham
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- The Vann
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Brent Graham wrote: Some very low try lines in Lions v Cheetahs game at the bookies that are up - I see alot of chaos and void bets acoming
Took the 23/20 on over 9.5. Live in hope
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- Bookie Basher
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Brent Graham wrote: Some very low try lines in Lions v Cheetahs game at the bookies that are up - I see alot of chaos and void bets acoming
Curious to know if multiple books had the same low lines, how would they justify voiding them?
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