International Rugby, Bunnings NPC Rd 1 4-6 August

Nervous times for a Welshman! An inexperienced squad (but fit and fast) and the 'Great White Orc' rock up in Cardiff on Saturday....

Could be anything from a 'plucky loss' to 'a romp to victory' but these RWC warm ups have a history of going with the home side. That and the Orc coach 'Borthers' not proven and the bookies giving us a 5 point start? Good enough for me.

A multi-tiddler for me:
NZ -24.5 / England -4.5 / France -3.5 @ 5.90 Pokerbet for 2 units.
Sorry Jameson Can't see Wales win

Jocks have gone full strength. No French team yet, but widely expected to be a "B" team.

As such, bet Scotland +5.5 @ 1.91

(Not large stakes - these are warm up or trial games after all)

The All Blacks made 12 changes to the team that last played Australia. Jan Foster kept only three players and will field many debutants.

"No disrespect", it was said. Eddie Jones said he doesn't see it as disrespectful, as everyone has the World Cup on their minds and they are preparing for that.

The thing is, the All Blacks can afford it! They can afford to field the reserves, because they've already done the hard work. If the Wallabies see it disrespectful, or complain, they should do something about it on the pitch. They should win this and win it emphatically, if they want to prove a point. Not just a scrappy win, but a win that would never have been in doubt.

If they lose the match, then it would be the equivalent of Jan Foster saying "I told you so".

I have to take Tasman -8.5 @1.70 2u // Tasman o32.5 very nice as well.

Very strong compo, specially the center partnership. Bench stronger as well, Otago not bad, specially the lose trio, but weak in the center and the bench. For me should be an easy win for the home side.

I add Hawkes Bay -5.5 @1.75 2u. Strong squad this season with the expected returns of Weber and Fakatava while North Harbour will sorely miss Telea and Stevenson in the backline. They have a strong forward pack but backline looks pretty weak with a lot of unexperienced players (apart from Booth, Gatland and Taefu).

Not lineups yet but looks to me that HB should be more favourite.

Had a look at teams for tomorrow's games and like Taranaki. Will be windy in New Plymouth, but no rain predicted.

Taranaki over 31.5 points at 9/10 and Taranaki -8.5 at 17/20.

Also think Otago can score more than 21.5 points against Tasman.

Aus over 16.5 @ evens (Boyles)

Felt a couple pts too low for me.

The Springboks are poorer without Duane and Eben. A team without either of them is really in trouble. If Wiese gets targeted who else will secure go forward ball?

Boks under 27.5 points

Brent Graham wrote: Bledisloe Cup Betting Preview

Aussies over 18.5 the best I could find and a case of beer with The Oracle on it

Is there a beer that the Oracle doesn't like? If so get a case of it in ready. At least this way you can draw some comfort from the fact that even though you paid for it, he wont be enjoying it.....

Australia burnt me (and a few of us) last week but call me a sucker for punishment -

My best bet of the weekend is Aus over 7.5HT currently still available at Sunbet @ 2

My cheeky Saturday morning multi -

Aus +14.5HT & Hawke's Bay W & SamoaVsTonga over 45.5 @ 3.45

I go with o62.5 @1.89 2u in Manawatu-Wellington game. Not best weather conditions as it will be cold and humid but both are positive teams in attack and with weak defences, specially Manawatu.

Need acca practice for the football season

Samoa/Fiji/England/Argentina/Uruguay @ 23/2

Brent Graham wrote: Bledisloe Cup Betting Preview

Aussies over 18.5 the best I could find and a case of beer with The Oracle on it

nothing like having a side bet with the oracle to change your form

Mondo86 wrote: Australia burnt me (and a few of us) last week but call me a sucker for punishment -

My best bet of the weekend is Aus over 7.5HT currently still available at Sunbet @ 2

My cheeky Saturday morning multi -

Aus +14.5HT & Hawke's Bay W & SamoaVsTonga over 45.5 @ 3.45

Took all of 7 minutes to come in - must be a record lol

Pablo wrote: I go with o62.5 @1.89 2u in Manawatu-Wellington game. Not best weather conditions as it will be cold and humid but both are positive teams in attack and with weak defences, specially Manawatu.

This game is so kak. Pedestrian at best. How is the points line set at 62.5?

Won’t get 30 points in this game.

Chiefie wrote:

Pablo wrote: I go with o62.5 @1.89 2u in Manawatu-Wellington game. Not best weather conditions as it will be cold and humid but both are positive teams in attack and with weak defences, specially Manawatu.

This game is so kak. Pedestrian at best. How is the points line set at 62.5?

Won’t get 30 points in this game.

0-3 after 30min.

Tough watch.

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Pablo wrote: I go with o62.5 @1.89 2u in Manawatu-Wellington game. Not best weather conditions as it will be cold and humid but both are positive teams in attack and with weak defences, specially Manawatu.

This game is so kak. Pedestrian at best. How is the points line set at 62.5?

Won’t get 30 points in this game.

0-3 after 30min.

Tough watch.

6-3 at HT.

I think for these opening NPC rounds, it has to be an unders play. Appears bookies are setting their points lines on legacy/historical results, so real opportunity to hammer the unders I think!

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Pablo wrote: I go with o62.5 @1.89 2u in Manawatu-Wellington game. Not best weather conditions as it will be cold and humid but both are positive teams in attack and with weak defences, specially Manawatu.

This game is so kak. Pedestrian at best. How is the points line set at 62.5?

Won’t get 30 points in this game.

0-3 after 30min.

Tough watch.

6-3 at HT.

I think for these opening NPC rounds, it has to be an unders play. Appears bookies are setting their points lines on legacy/historical results, so real opportunity to hammer the unders I think!

I take this one, horrible match and horrible bet, you may be right with the unders perspective. What I don't take is Hawkes Bay result playing against a worse team than them.

Pablo wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Pablo wrote: I go with o62.5 @1.89 2u in Manawatu-Wellington game. Not best weather conditions as it will be cold and humid but both are positive teams in attack and with weak defences, specially Manawatu.

This game is so kak. Pedestrian at best. How is the points line set at 62.5?

Won’t get 30 points in this game.

0-3 after 30min.

Tough watch.

6-3 at HT.

I think for these opening NPC rounds, it has to be an unders play. Appears bookies are setting their points lines on legacy/historical results, so real opportunity to hammer the unders I think!

I take this one, horrible match and horrible bet, you may be right with the unders perspective. What I don't take is Hawkes Bay result playing against a worse team than them.

Sticking with all unders in the international games today, hoping it’s a trend that sticks!

Going unders across the points (around 54.5 -56.5) @5-1.

GL all

Nice to have a decent winner after a poor last weekend.

I’m taking an overs acca for afternoon/evening interest -

Jap fij 49.5
Scot fra 45.5
Wal Eng 49.5
Ire ita 50.5

@ 11/1

Hello team,

France over 0.5 try HT X Wales +13 X Italy +16 HT @ 2.73

France team lined up very playful / Wales vs England 2 teams in doubt, tight match / Review of squad on the side of Ireland, Italy solid team lined up.

Over 44.5 @ 10/11 sco fra

SA +22
Arg +26
Sa over 21.5
Arg over 17.5

Bet builder @ 8/10 (boyles)

Brent. Best bet was over 20.5

Chiefie wrote:

Pablo wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Pablo wrote: I go with o62.5 @1.89 2u in Manawatu-Wellington game. Not best weather conditions as it will be cold and humid but both are positive teams in attack and with weak defences, specially Manawatu.

This game is so kak. Pedestrian at best. How is the points line set at 62.5?

Won’t get 30 points in this game.

0-3 after 30min.

Tough watch.

6-3 at HT.

I think for these opening NPC rounds, it has to be an unders play. Appears bookies are setting their points lines on legacy/historical results, so real opportunity to hammer the unders I think!

I take this one, horrible match and horrible bet, you may be right with the unders perspective. What I don't take is Hawkes Bay result playing against a worse team than them.

Sticking with all unders in the international games today, hoping it’s a trend that sticks!

Going unders across the points (around 54.5 -56.5) @5-1.

GL all

Hope somebody was trailing.

Under 54.5 in Ireland v Italy squeaks in for the final leg at 33-17