International Rugby, Bunnings Rd, Toyota Challenge 3 21-27 August

These RWC warmups are a bit of a lottery so keeping stakes low, but have taken 3 early plusses.

Fiji +11.5
Georgia +17.5
Samoa +24.5

All at 17/20.

Might be way off, but expecting England, Scotland and Ireland to experiment a bit with the teams.

hanrick wrote: These RWC warmups are a bit of a lottery so keeping stakes low, but have taken 3 early plusses.

Fiji +11.5
Georgia +17.5
Samoa +24.5

All at 17/20.

Might be way off, but expecting England, Scotland and Ireland to experiment a bit with the teams.

Thanks Hanrick , I concur with all three . England will be so desperate for a win but I could even see Fiji winning this one , England are atrocious at the moment and much will depend on whether they change the team a lot , the current lot besides a few are very average.

Similar thoughts with Georgia , I expect Scotland to rotate a fair amount and this should allow the visitors to play positively .

Ireland have to rotate plenty too , Samoa have improved and hoping they turn out a good side .

Ireland are also playing their match in FRANCE and not in Ireland. Worth noting.

Personally I find it hard to follow a Fiji plus with enough confidence to risk any bankroll. I can make a case for it going both ways in this fixture.

Weekend double:
Ire -22.5 X Fiji + 11.5pts

Farrell will change a few for Ireland but the wider squad are well drilled in play systems so I don't expect a let up.

England are just guff right now. Always a chance they'll come good but they seem way off the pace now
Will also be looking to play Fiji pts line 18 - 22 pts

Great game unfolding in the midweek NPC. 7 - 0 after an hour. I went Tasman +6.5 ......

Jameson wrote: Great game unfolding in the midweek NPC. 7 - 0 after an hour. I went Tasman +6.5 ......

there must have been a serious "unders" ref in that game

kompos wrote:

Jameson wrote: Great game unfolding in the midweek NPC. 7 - 0 after an hour. I went Tasman +6.5 ......

there must have been a serious "unders" ref in that game

J. Doleman.

The match was riddled with errors.

Confident on Lyon +9.5 ha @1.80 2u

SR with lots of absences due to WC (11 starters if I don't remember wrong) while Lou is not as affected. Lou lost Doussain for the whole season but Pages is a nice substitute.

For me this should be a one score match

Quill wrote:

kompos wrote:

Jameson wrote: Great game unfolding in the midweek NPC. 7 - 0 after an hour. I went Tasman +6.5 ......

there must have been a serious "unders" ref in that game

J. Doleman.

The match was riddled with errors.

The place kicking wasn't even schoolboy! My granny could have back heeled those two Tasman 3 pointers ......

Scotland have basically gone full bore - The bookies had expected some change.

I am snapping up -16.5 and -17.5.

This will end up in the twenties pre kick off I expect.

I jump into Canterbury -6.5 @1.91 for 2u, but I may add another one. I expect Wellington to rotate after yesterday successful defence of the Shield.

Boks over 2.5 tries @ 10/11

Always felt NZ could be thinking about that crunch game against France in a couple weeks time. Can’t afford to lose any key players for that game. Boks with Wales game under belt and time in UK I feel can really trouble them. Was considering win only but will stick to a more favourite market of mine.

Manuwatu +6.5. Zero confidence as they shipped nearly 70 pts last time out but hey, they will eventually stop the rot, especially at home?!

Boks over 9.5 HT

Don't overthink it.

Jameson wrote: Manuwatu +6.5. Zero confidence as they shipped nearly 70 pts last time out but hey, they will eventually stop the rot, especially at home?!

I did this bet on tuesday and I was sweating until the final whistle ...

Don't like any Bok team without Willie. Esterhuizen and Moodie combo to take time to shape. Who knows with Libbok.

NZ HT -2.5 @ 8/10

Unfortunately I won't be at the game but I shall be watching the match tonight from Twickenham at a local pub .
Matt Carley is the referee , so that's an English ref , he normally likes a few points but I think they might be hard to come by tonight , if I can get under 50.5 I'll have a strike .
I have managed to get some plus 5.5 the Bok's at evens and think this really could go either way .

Initially I liked Fiji quite strongly and after looking through the sides I'm still in that camp but less confident , so a small to medium bet there on plus 14.5 . Jaco Peyper in charge . The game is back at Twickenham so the pitch could play a role ?

Luke pearce is the ref on Sunday for France v Australia at Stade du France , weather looks ok .
Australia are littered with average players but despite them being hopeless they may well have a chance if France go easy .
Might be a game to wait and see , either have a bet just before kick off on the best plus or preferably to have a strike on the Wallabies if France start strongly .

All Blacks -5.5 at 9/10 and All Blacks over 26.5 points at 0.82/1

Fiji Over 15.5pts v England 5/6 (Ladbrokes)
Over 18.5pts with Bet365!

coil wrote: Thanks Hanrick , I concur with all three . England will be so desperate for a win but I could even see Fiji winning this one , England are atrocious at the moment and much will depend on whether they change the team a lot , the current lot besides a few are very average.

Yeah guys, although I share your sentiments on all 3 games, it's Fiji I'm strongest on.

2 units Fiji on the board @ 5.35 (Pokerbet)
2 units Semi Radrandra anytime try scorer @ 5.00 (Sunbet)

hanrick wrote: All Blacks -5.5 at 9/10 and All Blacks over 26.5 points at 0.82/1

Terrible, terrible calls. Could not have read this game any more wrong. Not quite sure what to make of the result though.

What a destruction from Boks. NZ looked undercooked. Had a firm strike on the over 2.5 tries so a good bank building for RWC.

Rain possibly at Twickenham so just 2 exotics for now -

1st try Dan @ 10/1
Last try Ravouvou Letsgogo @ 16/1

Japan need something before the WC starts. +12.5 @ 9/10

The Boooks were great last night , their start was very convincing and their intensity was impressive but Like Hanrick mentioned how much can be taken from this performance ?

Getting a little cloudy and like South mentioned there may be a few drops of rain during the England game . It is the kind of game that England could beat the cap but as I mentioned earlier Fiji have improved their consistency particularly the last few years and I expect them to go close .

In the other game's there is not much different , Georgia I still fancy a little on the plus , Samoa on the plus and the Nips on the best place .

Should be a great afternoon

I really like an overs bet as you can enjoy the game for what it is and celebrate each score regardless. But I'm getting absolutely murdered betting on them. This snoozzzzzz fest at Twickers now - promising start, sun shining, in comes the rain and no score for 25 mins .....

8 - 3 half time and overs gone. Jeeesssuuussss.

Come on Fiji!

Yeah you're unlucky Jamieson , the rain was a few drops where I am but Twickenham has had a down pour , of course I went unders and it's a joy to watch when it's like this .

Beginning to really like Japan more and more , yes they're hopeless and not the decent side they once were but I feel they really have to put in an encouraging display today

coil wrote: Yeah you're unlucky Jamieson , the rain was a few drops where I am but Twickenham has had a down pour , of course I went unders and it's a joy to watch when it's like this .

I dont believe this - I had over 47.5 !

Well done mate !!!

I'm on under 52.5 so sweating bullets these last few LOL

Got some ammo in the tank thanks to Fiji and the half time tip from @ukrugbybets for them to win at 10/1

Anyone got any fancies for the 5:30pm games?

First thoughts would be Capuozzo to score and maybe points in both games

Japan over 18.5
Aus A over 39.5
Samoa over 12.5

Away team cap treble @ 13/2

Had plus 25.5 Georgia and under 54.5 in italian match , it's the hope that kills you and plus 14.5 Japan . Fuk me senseless , all three are murdered in the final minutes .

coil wrote: Had plus 25.5 Georgia and under 54.5 in italian match , it's the hope that kills you and plus 14.5 Japan . Fuk me senseless , all three are murdered in the final minutes .

Grim. But I had the Jocks -8 at half time - I'm on a winning streak (of 2)!

The conundrum today - fire the over 49.5 in Paris on what should be an open game with a good overs ref, or sit tight for the main course to come in a few weeks time.

Going on yesterday results how can I not back Aus on the board ?

Brent Graham wrote: Missed all of the rugby yesterday other than 1st half England v Fiji - what a win for Fiji and I know alot of you were on the outright and the plus - well played

Going to try and catch highlights of the games, sounds like Samoa were excellent as well

Samoa were really up for it for the full 80. Sadly, they had 2 chances in the last few minutes but fluffed both of them ....

southpaw wrote: The conundrum today - fire the over 49.5 in Paris on what should be an open game with a good overs ref, or sit tight for the main course to come in a few weeks time.

+14 is good enough for me today!

Weather in Paris looks good but with the possibility of some light rain towards full time.

Will try the tryscorer bets again -

1st Topou @ 25/1
Last try Couillard @ 16/1

Hells bells - Frogs look v.good.