Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Brent Graham
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7 months 4 weeks ago #1 by Brent Graham

Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread was created by Brent Graham

Ok guys the wait is over - this is the official week 1 RWC betting thread

We will set up a separate thread for any other rugby this week

We also have a thread for long term plays

Here are the current handicaps

France v New Zealand (choice)
Italy -31.5 v Namibia
Ireland -62.5 v Romania
Australia -22.5 v Georgia
England -0.5 v Argentina
Japan -24.5 v Chile
South Africa -10.5 v Scotland
Wales -5.5 v Fiji

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Mondo86
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7 months 4 weeks ago #2 by Mondo86

Replied by Mondo86 on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Early spots -

Not so cheeky bankroll builder - NZ +7.5 & Fiji +11.5 @ 1.8

For those feeling bolshy, add in Scotland +18.5 for @2.46

if you are feeling very frisky, Fiji & NZ @ 4.9

Ireland -27.5 HT against Romania also looks good - Surely they start off full strength and blow them away early before taking off stars in the second half.

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Pablo
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7 months 4 weeks ago #3 by Pablo

Replied by Pablo on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Mondo86 wrote: Early spots -

Not so cheeky bankroll builder - NZ +7.5 & Fiji +11.5 @ 1.8

For those feeling bolshy, add in Scotland +18.5 for @2.46

if you are feeling very frisky, Fiji & NZ @ 4.9

Ireland -27.5 HT against Romania also looks good - Surely they start off full strength and blow them away early before taking off stars in the second half.

Ireland can put 80 points on this Romania, they are crap. Even with a second string team this wil be ugly.

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Quill
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7 months 4 weeks ago #4 by Quill

Replied by Quill on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Pablo wrote:
Mondo86 wrote: Early spots -

Not so cheeky bankroll builder - NZ +7.5 & Fiji +11.5 @ 1.8

For those feeling bolshy, add in Scotland +18.5 for @2.46

if you are feeling very frisky, Fiji & NZ @ 4.9

Ireland -27.5 HT against Romania also looks good - Surely they start off full strength and blow them away early before taking off stars in the second half.

Ireland can put 80 points on this Romania, they are crap. Even with a second string team this wil be ugly.

Agree. Ireland destroyed Romania 60-0 in the 80s, when Romania was strong and was playing very well against Six Nations teams, beating France, Scotland, Wales...
They can target 100 points.

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Pablo
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7 months 4 weeks ago #5 by Pablo

Replied by Pablo on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Quill wrote:
Pablo wrote:
Mondo86 wrote: Early spots -

Not so cheeky bankroll builder - NZ +7.5 & Fiji +11.5 @ 1.8

For those feeling bolshy, add in Scotland +18.5 for @2.46

if you are feeling very frisky, Fiji & NZ @ 4.9

Ireland -27.5 HT against Romania also looks good - Surely they start off full strength and blow them away early before taking off stars in the second half.

Ireland can put 80 points on this Romania, they are crap. Even with a second string team this wil be ugly.

Agree. Ireland destroyed Romania 60-0 in the 80s, when Romania was strong and was playing very well against Six Nations teams, beating France, Scotland, Wales...
They can target 100 points.

And they didn't even take the best players available, some shocking missings in the romanian squad. You may be right with the 100 points target.

I think line will open around 70, overs for sure.

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TheAdmiral
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7 months 4 weeks ago #6 by TheAdmiral

Replied by TheAdmiral on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Hi all, hard to believe it’s finally here, what a (almost) 2 months this is going be!

I don’t wanna spoil the party but imo this isn’t the round to get overly involved in. These lines have been out for months and are pretty well set now. Of course surprise team news, refs and weather can always change that but for me this is a weekend to enjoy the rugby, if you got in on some of the early value theres no need to jeopardise that with bad value punts, there’ll will be plenty later on!

Follow me on Twitter @TheAdmiralRugby

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southpaw
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7 months 3 weeks ago #7 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

FRA v NZ - over 47.5 @ 5/6
Fiji over 20.5 @ 5/6
Ireland over 66.5, Italy over 43.5 - dbl @ 5/2

All BoyleSports.

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Pablo
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7 months 3 weeks ago #8 by Pablo

Replied by Pablo on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Ireland o68.5 @1.90 2u

Confident on this one, Romania IS the weakest team this World Cup. Should be a slaugther.

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Jameson
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7 months 3 weeks ago #9 by Jameson

Replied by Jameson on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

I'm slightly surprised that Wales -5 is still there what with Fiji's starting (and excellent) fly half ruled out.

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southpaw
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7 months 3 weeks ago #10 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Jameson wrote: I'm slightly surprised that Wales -5 is still there what with Fiji's starting (and excellent) fly half ruled out.

Probably reflects general view of Wales chances. Couldn’t take the minus 5 with any level of confidence. Still like Fiji points but hoping for a drop to around 18.5.

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Jameson
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7 months 3 weeks ago #11 by Jameson

Replied by Jameson on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

southpaw wrote:
Jameson wrote: I'm slightly surprised that Wales -5 is still there what with Fiji's starting (and excellent) fly half ruled out.

Probably reflects general view of Wales chances. Couldn’t take the minus 5 with any level of confidence. Still like Fiji points but hoping for a drop to around 18.5.

Wales will win by more than a score - honest. We're simmering under the radar!

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Brent Graham
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7 months 3 weeks ago #12 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

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harry_rag
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7 months 3 weeks ago #13 by harry_rag

Replied by harry_rag on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Interesting comments on the merits of Romania and the prospects of Ireland putting a huge amount of points on them. It was the main handicap line that struck me as too high at first glance but you've certainly caused me to pause on pulling the trigger.

My standard approach these days is to sell hotshots and sell substitute try minutes, especially for favourites. I think we'll see some eye-watering prices for that game but I'd still be watching from behind the sofa if I sold them. Sub try minutes can be especially brutal late on.

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GeeGee
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7 months 3 weeks ago #14 by GeeGee

Replied by GeeGee on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Friday and Saturday games have day time temperatures of around 35C barring Eng/Arg which is mid 20's. Not sure of humidity.

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hanrick
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7 months 3 weeks ago #15 by hanrick

Replied by hanrick on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

First strike of the 1st round games for me:

Namibia over 10.5 points at 5/6. Also taken over 13.5 points at 14/10.

Like the team they have picked and imo that team has points in them. I give them 2 tries at least and in Tiaan Swanepoel they have a reliable kicker. He can also slot penalties from his own half. Italy a quality side, but they have conceded points lately.

Also like Chile over 13.5 points at 0.82/1.

Have taken the double of Namibia over 10.5 onto Chile over 13.5 aswell.

Looks like conditions will be very good for all the games. Very hot, but humidity low enough.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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Laokai
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7 months 3 weeks ago #16 by Laokai

Replied by Laokai on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

I like Hanrick’s play on Namibia here.
I’m going 2U on Namibia o10.5 at 1.88 and 2U on Ireland -61.5 at 1.9.

I really wanted to pull the trigger on Fiji too, but their injury at fly half just killed it for me.

GL!

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southpaw
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7 months 3 weeks ago #17 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Like those.

Will take the treble -
Nambia over 9.5
Chile over 12.5
Fiji over 13.5

@ 3.7/1

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Brent Graham
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7 months 3 weeks ago #18 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Put this preview together on You Tube for France v New Zealand - Click here to watch on You Tube

There is a R200 Betx voucher up for grabs and some pretty cool price boosts highlighted

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R3V3R3NT_
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7 months 3 weeks ago #19 by R3V3R3NT_

Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

I like that Argentina over 20.5 line I can sunk my teeth into that.

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Two Left Feet
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7 months 3 weeks ago #20 by Two Left Feet

Replied by Two Left Feet on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Can anyone explain the "any team to score 3 unanswered tries" market to me? On WSB

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Bookie Basher
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7 months 3 weeks ago #21 by Bookie Basher

Replied by Bookie Basher on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Two Left Feet wrote: Can anyone explain the "any team to score 3 unanswered tries" market to me? On WSB

Either team must score three tries in the game without the opposition scoring a try in between.

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Two Left Feet
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7 months 3 weeks ago #22 by Two Left Feet

Replied by Two Left Feet on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Ok so basically to score three tries in a row for either team

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Bookie Basher
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7 months 3 weeks ago #23 by Bookie Basher

Replied by Bookie Basher on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Two Left Feet wrote: Ok so basically to score three tries in a row for either team

Correct.

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mackem
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7 months 3 weeks ago #24 by mackem

Replied by mackem on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Couch Critic's preview and plays France v All Blacks and England v Argentina

goodforthegame.co.za/Boyle-Sports/couch-...nd-betting-tips.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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Brent Graham
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7 months 3 weeks ago #25 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Italy v Namibia Preview

Following The Understaker and going overs on Namibia points

Forgot to post France v New Zealand Preview

Leaning more and more France but took the Tribet at 15/10 and draw at 25/1

Added the under 49.5 per video preview

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Brent Graham
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7 months 3 weeks ago #26 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Ireland v Romania Preview

Turned to my Irish mate for inspiration and turns out like Couch he also enjoys his hookers

Herring FTS at 13/2

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Brent Graham
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7 months 3 weeks ago #27 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Australia v Georgia Preview

Aussie by 21-30 incl at 2.65/1

Guys the Superbru pool has soared over 50k - if you haven't paid yet you missing out

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Brent Graham
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7 months 3 weeks ago #28 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

I am on my last legs LOL

England v Argentina betting preview

Tribet any other result at 16/10

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shaft
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7 months 3 weeks ago #29 by shaft

Replied by shaft on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Small interest first up. Taukeiaho last try @ 14/1

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."

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southpaw
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7 months 3 weeks ago #30 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

game 1 FRA V NZL -

Total pts 47.5 - i was heavily leaning overs, line has stayed same all week, i hesitated and didn't get on, but now that line is still there, i'm still tempted in. Going to see how hot/sweaty it sounds closer to kick off.

Couple of big prices -

Last tryscorer Faingaanuku @ 14/1 - think he gets at least 1 or 2 chances and a strength v smaller French backline appeals.

Player of Match Villiere @ 20/1 - if this is a tight one a moment of magic could stand out for player of match consideration. DuPont heavy 3/1 favourite but cannot be taking those odds in this market.

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Mondo86
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7 months 3 weeks ago #31 by Mondo86

Replied by Mondo86 on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

So France concede most of their points in the second half, with their 4th Q being where they leak the most - with that in mind, huge value in NZ over 10.5 second half

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Brent Graham
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7 months 3 weeks ago #32 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

The Oracle joins me live at 19h00 to chat France v New Zealand

Click here to set a reminder

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harry_rag
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7 months 3 weeks ago #33 by harry_rag

Replied by harry_rag on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

I've had a couple of tryscorer bets in the opening game at prices that reach the "just about" threshold; Jordan at 15/8 and Telea at 11/5 (both with Uni).

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southpaw
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7 months 3 weeks ago #34 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

FRA +17
NZ +17
over 30.5 pts
1st half over 13.5
2nd half over 13.5

Bet builder @ 5/6

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Brent Graham
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7 months 3 weeks ago #35 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Taken France at 1/1 with the Betx boost

Now heavily involved

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Brent Graham
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7 months 3 weeks ago #36 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Japan v Chile Preview

Chile +25.5 at 1.1 (Betx Boost)

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7 months 3 weeks ago #37 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Boks v Scotland Preview

Under 5.5 tries at 11/10

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mackem
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7 months 3 weeks ago #38 by mackem

Replied by mackem on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Couch's Corner, Boks vs Scotland and Wales v Fiji preview and plays from Hein

goodforthegame.co.za/Boyle-Sports/couch-...-10th-september.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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southpaw
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7 months 3 weeks ago #39 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Wasn’t the most entertaining game last night, true RWC style battle, but we take the winning start to what is going to be a betting marathon. Thank god no other major sporting events on this weekend, the punter in me couldn’t cope!

Ireland over 66.5, Italy over 43.5 - dbl @ 5/2

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Brent Graham
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7 months 3 weeks ago #40 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

I like that double South

Our final preview for the weekend Wales v Fiji

I am in the Welsh camp and taking -5.5

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Profitable_Hedgehog
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7 months 3 weeks ago #41 by Profitable_Hedgehog

Replied by Profitable_Hedgehog on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Love Argentina over 21.5 at 1.90. Seems far too low, especially if Bofelli brings his kicking boots.

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Naidoo
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7 months 3 weeks ago #42 by Naidoo

Replied by Naidoo on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

A 35/10 treble at Sunbet for today's games:

Namibia over 7.5 points
Ireland over 64.5 points
Argentina over 17.5 points

Twitter handle @vinolin_naidoo

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Bookie Basher
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7 months 3 weeks ago #43 by Bookie Basher

Replied by Bookie Basher on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Brent Graham wrote: Ireland v Romania Preview

Turned to my Irish mate for inspiration and turns out like Couch he also enjoys his hookers

Herring FTS at 13/2

Better off taking Herring as Ireland's FTS at 7/1 as opposed to Herring to score the first match try at 13/2 with WSB

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Bookie Basher
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7 months 3 weeks ago #44 by Bookie Basher

Replied by Bookie Basher on topic Rugby World Cup Round 1 Betting Thread

Brent Graham wrote: Ireland v Romania Preview

Turned to my Irish mate for inspiration and turns out like Couch he also enjoys his hookers

Herring FTS at 13/2

Better off taking Herring as Ireland's FTS at 7/1 as opposed to Herring to score the first match try at 13/2 with WSB

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