Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby

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7 months 3 weeks ago - 7 months 2 weeks ago #1 by Brent Graham
Wow what an opening round we had.

Overall I finished ahead with a mixture of last minute losses and wins. I was up and down from the start but edged ahead with under 5.5 tries in Bok game and then had a nice win on Wales -4.5 and -5.5

Performance of the weekend for me was the Boks, game of the weekend Wales v Fiji and flop of the weekend Argentina

Outright Betting Update
The Boks have firmed to favourites at WSB

South Africa 28/10
France 3/1
New Zealand 9/2
Ireland 5/1
England 12/1
Australia 14/1
Wales 33/1
Argentina 40/1
100/1 and better the balance

Round 2 Matches - these 5 games are out at WSB

France -57.5 v Uruguay
New Zealand -67.5 v Namibia
Samoa -31.5 v Chile
Ireland -31.5 v Tonga
England -19.5 v Japan

These are my handicap projections for the remaining 3 games

Wales -35.5 v Portugal
South Africa -66.5 v Romania
Australia -7.5 v Fiji

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The Handicap will be Friday at 12h00 and look out for other shows and previews Here is the link to view and subscribe to the Goodforthegame You Tube Channel www.youtube.com/c/GoodforthegameTV/videos

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Last edit: 7 months 2 weeks ago by Brent Graham. Reason: heading correction
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7 months 3 weeks ago #2 by Brad Breath
Think WSB have the Ireland v Tonga line about right at 31.5.
Opened 39.5 at some books in Europe, so have jumped on this.
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7 months 3 weeks ago - 7 months 3 weeks ago #3 by BuggerBoy
Call me crazy but I’m firing a confident strike on Namibia +70.5 vs the All Blacks and taking a long hard look at the Uruguay +58.5 vs France.

With caps that big, particularly the 70.5, it’s just such a massive number that really requires a team to take every single chance with almost no room for error. Something as simple as a yellow card or a 5-10 minute stretch where the attack goes quiet can easily prevent a team from covering a massive cap. The All Blacks also haven’t exactly been their most clinical, ruthless selves of late. A few NZ handling errors could be all that Namibia needs to cover the cap.

Namibia has covered the +70.5 with multiple scores to spare vs New Zealand in both of the previous two World Cups. Will definitely be a Namibia plus punter here.

The Uruguay +58.5 is giving me a bit more pause given the home field advantage of France, but it just seems too many points.
Last edit: 7 months 3 weeks ago by BuggerBoy.

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7 months 3 weeks ago #4 by southpaw
interesting. I was eyeing up NZ on the -66. The AB's have a 2 week break after this match, i think they will be looking to go hard at Namibia, even with a 2nd string side. Nambia 2nd game in 6 days, and i think they start to fall off like did in last 10 vs Italy much earlier vs All Blacks. I think it gets ugly for them.

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7 months 3 weeks ago #5 by Pablo
Portugal +34.5 @1.90 2u

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7 months 3 weeks ago #6 by R3V3R3NT_

southpaw wrote: interesting. I was eyeing up NZ on the -66. The AB's have a 2 week break after this match, i think they will be looking to go hard at Namibia, even with a 2nd string side. Nambia 2nd game in 6 days, and i think they start to fall off like did in last 10 vs Italy much earlier vs All Blacks. I think it gets ugly for them.


I have a similar view. But comes down to conditions. If it stays just as hot these minnows are going to continue to fall apart in the final 20.

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7 months 3 weeks ago #7 by hanrick
Fiji +9.5 at 8/10. Also give them a chance of winning.

IMO it will suit Fiji's style of play more to play against Australia than what it suited them against Wales. Wales made the most tackles of any team in the first round. Just don't see Australia being as efficient in defence as Wales were and Wales still leaked quite a lot. Fiji will also be pretty angry about some of the calls that didn't go their way in that Wales game. Expect them to come out very fired up.

If conditions are okay I think this game will have points so will look at overs on Fiji points.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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7 months 3 weeks ago - 7 months 3 weeks ago #8 by BuggerBoy
IMO when it’s a cap of 70 points it’s not so much the final 20 minutes that’s key. It’s a given that a 70 point favourite is going to have their way with the other team late on in matches. It’s the first 20 minutes and whether they can get off the mark quickly and stay ahead of the pace they need to cover such a large handicap.

The minnows have been starting strong and keeping it respectable in the first half for the most part. Biggest deficit at half time in the first round was Romania down 25 to Ireland. For me, Ireland’s form is a bit better than NZ and I rate Namibia a bit more than Romania. If Namibia can keep it within 21ish at the half that’s going to be a mighty tall task to cover the 70.

I will also be adding Namibia +33.5 first half.
Last edit: 7 months 3 weeks ago by BuggerBoy.

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7 months 3 weeks ago #9 by Laraxwell
Agree with thoughts on Fiji
Botia and Tuisova should be fit to start and this match becomes Fiji's final now.
Will play Fiji overs rather than handicap though.

Apologies for posting a Pro2 pick here.
Agen play Nevers at home this evening.
I would welcome Pablo's thoughts here.
Nevers have started strong and fancy them on the plus away to Agen.
I've stretched out handicap to+8 @ 8/11 Boyles
Hoping to make a cheeky stash for weekend
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7 months 3 weeks ago #10 by Pablo

Laraxwell wrote: Agree with thoughts on Fiji
Botia and Tuisova should be fit to start and this match becomes Fiji's final now.
Will play Fiji overs rather than handicap though.

Apologies for posting a Pro2 pick here.
Agen play Nevers at home this evening.
I would welcome Pablo's thoughts here.
Nevers have started strong and fancy them on the plus away to Agen.
I've stretched out handicap to+8 @ 8/11 Boyles
Hoping to make a cheeky stash for weekend


Strongly agree on Nevers, I already took their +7 ha @1.72 2u this morning (best available line for me)

They sent a very heavy team while Agen rotates plenty from last week void match against Rouen (some important absences Barrington, Erbani, Lokotui, Tolot out). For me this should be a one score match so value in that Nevers hándicap. They're lethal in the mauls this season and with some rain during the day and humid conditions they will have advantage in that área.
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7 months 3 weeks ago - 7 months 3 weeks ago #11 by Pablo
Uruguay +59.5 @1.65 2u
Last edit: 7 months 3 weeks ago by Pablo.

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7 months 3 weeks ago #12 by Pablo

Pablo wrote:

Laraxwell wrote: Agree with thoughts on Fiji
Botia and Tuisova should be fit to start and this match becomes Fiji's final now.
Will play Fiji overs rather than handicap though.

Apologies for posting a Pro2 pick here.
Agen play Nevers at home this evening.
I would welcome Pablo's thoughts here.
Nevers have started strong and fancy them on the plus away to Agen.
I've stretched out handicap to+8 @ 8/11 Boyles
Hoping to make a cheeky stash for weekend


Strongly agree on Nevers, I already took their +7 ha @1.72 2u this morning (best available line for me)

They sent a very heavy team while Agen rotates plenty from last week void match against Rouen (some important absences Barrington, Erbani, Lokotui, Tolot out). For me this should be a one score match so value in that Nevers hándicap. They're lethal in the mauls this season and with some rain during the day and humid conditions they will have advantage in that área.


Red card for Nevers in 12th minute. Very nice ...

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7 months 2 weeks ago #13 by Laraxwell
Shame about the early red, but that's always the risk betting on the current game.

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7 months 2 weeks ago #14 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
Guys have changed the preview to include any other rugby this week

Wow some massive handicaps this weekend

Personally leaning Uruguay plus but All Blacks minus in the opener

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7 months 2 weeks ago #15 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby

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7 months 2 weeks ago - 7 months 2 weeks ago #16 by Laraxwell
France v Uruguay -
Bet : Under 73.5pts

Sure Uruguay come out all guns blazing for this.
So did Romania, Namibia and Chile in Round 1, scoring 8, 8 and 12 pts in their matches.

Shaun Edwards has transformed the French defence so expect any French Test XV to follow script.
I don't see Uruguay scoring many here - bookies have them scoring 9 -10pts
Handicap is hovering around minus 51-53 pts so suggests value in going under points total

There is the chance that Villiere and Bielle-Biarrey make hay but it is a very different French lineup and you expect cohesion might slow the points counter.
Last edit: 7 months 2 weeks ago by Laraxwell. Reason: error

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7 months 2 weeks ago #17 by Chiefie
Malcolm Marx is out of the world cup.

This is a problem.

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7 months 2 weeks ago #18 by dholliday
Taking Uruguay under 1.5 tries & NZ -64.5 at 2.50

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7 months 2 weeks ago #19 by Naidoo
Bet Builder at Hollywoodbets for tonights game @ 13/10

Uruguay over 4.5 points
Uruguay under 16.5 points
Under 83.5 total match points

Twitter handle @vinolin_naidoo

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7 months 2 weeks ago #20 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
Late call to do a video Preview for France v Uruguay

Money has come for Uruguay and will stick with the +54.5 in GFTG preview and adding a winning margin 31-40 play

Click here to watch on You Tube


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7 months 2 weeks ago #21 by Pablo

Pablo wrote: Uruguay +59.5 @1.65 2u


Way to easy, nice match by Uruguay

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7 months 2 weeks ago #22 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
Lovely from Uruguay

+54.5 preview pic arrives but a bit annoyed I didn't hit the 31-40margin play as thought it was a massive runner at the break

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7 months 2 weeks ago #23 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
New Zealand v Namibia Betting Preview

-69.5 and Roigard FTS at 10/1

A reminder that we will send out a newsletter Friday, Saturday and Sunday this weekend, join us here bit.ly/bettingmail

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7 months 2 weeks ago #24 by mackem
Couch’s Corner, New Zealand and Namibia and Ireland and Tonga preview and plays

goodforthegame.co.za/Boyle-Sports/couch-...-16th-september.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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7 months 2 weeks ago #25 by shaft
Namibia over 0.5 first half points @ 23/20

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."

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7 months 2 weeks ago #26 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
Samoa v Chile Preview

Chile over 9.5 at 0.73/1

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7 months 2 weeks ago #27 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
Boks v Romania Betting preview

Main play Sunday but an early nibble on Bok player to score 3 tries or more a 3/1

Thats me for a couple of hours, loadshedding cripping me

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7 months 2 weeks ago #28 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
We live at 12h00 for The Handicap RWC Round 2 preview

I am joined by Thoughts on Sports and The Understaker

Click here to set a reminder on You Tube

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7 months 2 weeks ago #29 by kt6747
Great thoughts guys and really enjoying the World Cup.

I have followed you Brent with the NZ Minus, got -67.5

But also included a couple of Try scorers

Luke Jacobsen 2 or more @ 26/1 - Remember him always popping up with the odd one. Hoping he will get the full 80 min since not been a starter most probably in next game.

Leceister faingkulu - 3 or more trys at 10/3
Think one of the wings will get some and the ball always seems to follow him.

Enjoy the ruggers

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7 months 2 weeks ago #30 by Mondo86
Newcastle Falcons over 47,5 tonight looks the goods -

Canterbury -21.5 vs Southland is tasty

On to the WC -

NZ 2nd half total points 41.5 appeals - Namibia dropped off badly in the second against Italy and this could turn ugly

Chile over 10.5 (line is moving up) is probably my strongest of the weekend -

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7 months 2 weeks ago #31 by southpaw
NZ -66.5 @ 17/20
Player of match Faingaanuku @ 6/1
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7 months 2 weeks ago #32 by Mondo86
Huge value on Sarries -4 tomorrow afternoon. This line will blow out.

Saracens have loaded their team and this should be a double figures line -

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7 months 2 weeks ago #33 by hanrick
Namibia over 6.5 points at 12/10 and a smal interest on Roigard 2 or more tries at 5/2

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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7 months 2 weeks ago #34 by wslark1
Non RWC play

Premiership Rugby Cup

Saracens -4 v Gloucester

Big big strike personally

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7 months 2 weeks ago #35 by southpaw
TONGA over 10.5 @ 5/6

Like this one. weather looks like will clear a few hours before ko. Barnes ref, Ireland to try avoid any injuries.

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7 months 2 weeks ago #36 by Pablo

Mondo86 wrote: Huge value on Sarries -4 tomorrow afternoon. This line will blow out.

Saracens have loaded their team and this should be a double figures line -


Managed to take that line, for me its golden.

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7 months 2 weeks ago #37 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
Put a quick preview together for NZL v Nam and threw in a couple of additional bets

Namibia over 4.5

Roigard 2 tries or more 11/4

Click here to watch on You Tube


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7 months 2 weeks ago #38 by Northerner

Brent Graham wrote: Put a quick preview together for NZL v Nam and threw in a couple of additional bets

Namibia over 4.5

Roigard 2 tries or more 11/4

Click here to watch on You Tube


Has there even been a quicker winning brace bet than that :woohoo:

Feeling decent about my 12/1 MOTM bet now … thanks Brent

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7 months 2 weeks ago #39 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
Cheers Northerner I certainly didn't expect it in 7 mins and thanks to The Understaker for mentioning on the show

A couple of previews

Wales v Portugal


Portugal +31.5 at 19/20

Ireland v Tonga Preview

Tonga over 10.5

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7 months 2 weeks ago #40 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
Australia v Fiji

What a game this should be - taking over 51.5 at 1/1

England v Japan

Overs again, 50.5

Australia v Fiji Watch Along
Guys we are trying out something I have noticed has become popular on You Tube and I will be doing a "watch along" with betting related commentary for Australia v Fiji - Betxchange are going to give away some vouchers

Set a reminder to watch on You Tube


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7 months 2 weeks ago #41 by shaft
Chile over 4.5 1st half points @ 8/10

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."

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7 months 2 weeks ago #42 by kcmarinopirlo
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
8 or more tries in each game today @5/1

Twitter @kamalch53215288

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7 months 2 weeks ago #43 by Jameson
Wales -27 !

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7 months 2 weeks ago #44 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
Under 58.5 points my main bet on Wales v Portugal

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7 months 2 weeks ago #45 by southpaw
MoM LRZ @ 9/1
last try Davies @ 12/1

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7 months 2 weeks ago #46 by Jameson

Jameson wrote: Wales -27 !


Us Welsh are dumb, lazy and seemingly uncoached - truly awful today and Portugal deserved more.

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7 months 2 weeks ago #47 by coil
And you keep voting labour !! Amongst other things , just joking .

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7 months 2 weeks ago #48 by coil

Brent Graham wrote: Under 58.5 points my main bet on Wales v Portugal


That was lovely to watch BG .

Next game I'm finding hard , Tonga are way short of Fiji and Samoa for that matter , strong irish side , Wayne Barnes on the whistle .... have found under 60.5 points and I'll throw a few pound at that .

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7 months 2 weeks ago #49 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Rugby World Cup Round 2 Betting Thread + other rugby
Cheers Coil,

This looks a tough one

I am going against usual instincts with a half time play

Ireland over 20.5 points at 8/10

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7 months 2 weeks ago #50 by southpaw

southpaw wrote: TONGA over 10.5 @ 5/6

Like this one. weather looks like will clear a few hours before ko. Barnes ref, Ireland to try avoid any injuries.


Davies disallowed try killed my LTS bet in Wales game.

Topped up Tonga over 9.5 @ evens.

1st try Aki 14/1
Last try Casey 14/1

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