URC Week 4 Gallagher Prem Week 5 plus other rugby 10-12 Nov

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5 months 3 weeks ago #1 by Brent Graham
A weekend where I finished slightly ahead after a terrible start with the Newsletter Best Bet Sharks overs looking a runner for all of 3 minutes and the acca also going crashing out on Friday night with no points in the 2nd half of the Stormers game

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I pulled back on the Bulls overs tries and also Munster minus and I wish I had followed Pierre with this as a best bet

Another full house of fixtures ahead and I imagine we will see more RWC players enter the mix

Here are my URC handicap projections

Zebre +10.5 v Sharks
Cardiff +4.5 v Bulls
Ulster -1.5 v Munster
Benetton +4.5 v Stormers
Ospreys +5.5 v Glasgow
Scarlets -5.5 v Lions
Edinburgh -6.5 v Connacht
Dragons +20.5 v Leinster

There is also Gallagher Prem action and betting posts on any rugby matches welcome in this thread

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5 months 3 weeks ago #2 by Brent Graham
WSB are out with their caps, their in brackets, 5 points or more difference in re, 3-4 points in orange

Zebre +10.5 (+9.5) v Sharks
Cardiff +4.5 (+9.5) v Bulls
Ulster -1.5 (-3.5) v Munster
Benetton +4.5 (+1.5) v Stormers
Ospreys +5.5 (+5.5) v Glasgow
Scarlets -5.5 (-8.5) v Lions
Edinburgh -6.5 (-6.5) v Connacht
Dragons +20.5 (+16.5) v Leinster

Going to resist getting involved at this stage and will watch the markets

Of those that are different I fancy the Stormers -1.5 the most

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5 months 3 weeks ago #3 by southpaw
my rugby form was terrible last weekend but can thank a sunday football strike to revive my mood for week ahead.

Stormers -1 @ 10/11

As much as it was a poor game to watch in Glasgow, they were not outplayed and a night match on artificial turf was always going to be a challenge of sorts.

Day game in Italy, clear conditions, should be more their cup of tea. Expecting a response.

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5 months 3 weeks ago #4 by Brent Graham
Some money for Zebre +7.5 from +9.5

Stormers now generally slight favs from an opening of +1.5 - moving in the direction I expected it to

No other significant movements that I can pick up

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5 months 3 weeks ago #5 by Jameson
Cardiff are +8 @ evens here in the UK - good enough for me.

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5 months 3 weeks ago #6 by Brent Graham
The Handicap is live at 21h00 tonight - genny should be running as I am now 45 hours with no power

Click here to set a reminder and watch on You Tube


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5 months 3 weeks ago #7 by shaft
The Bulls big dogs are all on the bench. I’m having a confident strike on Cardiff +4.5 HT @ 1.81

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."

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5 months 3 weeks ago #8 by Brent Graham
Cardiff v Bulls Preview

Thinking along similar lines Shaft and going Cardiff/Bulls HT/FT at 5/1

Also on over 51.5

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5 months 3 weeks ago #9 by Brent Graham
Zebre v Sharks Preview

I am a sucker for punishment - Sharks -6.5

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5 months 3 weeks ago #10 by Jameson
Dry in S Wales this afternoon and evening - Cardiff to run the arses off the Vodacom Chumps! :-)

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5 months 3 weeks ago #11 by Pablo
In the always interesting Pro D2 I go with Provence o31.5 @1.83 and Nevers -15.5 ha @1.90 both for 2u.

Aurillac with a second string team and Provence almost full strength, good weather expected so line is low in my opinion. Same for Nevers as Rouen rotates for this match, some rain expected so I prefer hándicap rather than Nevers points.
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5 months 3 weeks ago #12 by Brent Graham
Benetton v Stormers preview

Benetton back to fav after team news but I like this Stormers side

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5 months 3 weeks ago #13 by Brent Graham
Scarlets v Lions Preview

Lions win at 43/20

Time to concentrate on the newsletter

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5 months 3 weeks ago #14 by Mondo86
Cheeky Friday double -

Zebre over 12.5 HT & Cardiff over 1.5 tries HT @ 4.18

Ulster ML can have my money also -

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5 months 3 weeks ago #15 by hanrick
LOL, Sharks! 1st ever loss to Zebre. Plumtree not wasting time to properly make his mark.

Bulls over 28.5 points onto Munster +3.5 at 27/10

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 months 3 weeks ago #16 by Pablo

Pablo wrote: In the always interesting Pro D2 I go with Provence o31.5 @1.83 and Nevers -15.5 ha @1.90 both for 2u.

Aurillac with a second string team and Provence almost full strength, good weather expected so line is low in my opinion. Same for Nevers as Rouen rotates for this match, some rain expected so I prefer hándicap rather than Nevers points.


Rien de ríen.

Sad joke Provence and Nevers today against a full depleted sides ...

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5 months 3 weeks ago #17 by Jameson
Thought I would try something different today in an attempt to break a losing streak of 6 consecutive bets (mostly overs) so I go Gloucester (at home) +3 against Bath.

Half time its 20 - 10 and I'm thinking the world is a nice place. Gloucester then experience a collapse of epic proportions and concede 4 consecutive tries to be down 20 - 38 at one point. The game finishes 27 - 45.

I think I need a break!!

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5 months 3 weeks ago #18 by Brent Graham
Depressing Friday night for me - bets not even runners

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5 months 3 weeks ago #19 by henryscat
I love this forum and the preview show and im glad I found it on day on google as its now a part of my weekly browsing especially towards the weekend. But these tips with south african teams in them are beating me in to submission. Week after week african club sides are beating me silly. The rest is epic! :)

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5 months 3 weeks ago - 5 months 3 weeks ago #20 by Laraxwell
A dry 3°C in Edinburgh tonight
Edinburgh v Connacht - I like Over 49.5pts @5/6

They may lose but also like Connacht Over 20.5pts
Last edit: 5 months 3 weeks ago by Laraxwell.

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5 months 3 weeks ago #21 by Thrasher6
I'm throwing the towel in here...like Northerner. To be honest you'll be getting very little knowledge here. It's a graveyard...

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5 months 3 weeks ago #22 by southpaw

Thrasher6 wrote: I'm throwing the towel in here...like Northerner. To be honest you'll be getting very little knowledge here. It's a graveyard...


Please do us a favour and move on to wherever you want to go. Don’t need this negativity here on a forum that promotes nothing but honest positive betting thoughts and insight.

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5 months 3 weeks ago - 5 months 3 weeks ago #23 by Thrasher6
Too many losers...not enough winners. I'll be moving on...used to be good....but average now. Check what's been served up this weekend,,,
Last edit: 5 months 3 weeks ago by Thrasher6.

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5 months 3 weeks ago #24 by Pablo

Thrasher6 wrote: Too many losers...not enough winners. I'll be moving on...used to be good....but average now. Check what's been served up this weekend,,,


How old are you?

If you are above 30 I can only wish you good luck, you'll need it. Your problem is bigger than you think.

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5 months 3 weeks ago #25 by Laraxwell

Thrasher6 wrote: Too many losers...not enough winners. I'll be moving on...used to be good....but average now. Check what's been served up this weekend,,,


Got 1 out of 2 so not so bad - bets looked dead at HT

But it's been tricky punting on rugby post World Cup. Takes time to grasp formlines etc esp with hybrid A/B sides

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5 months 3 weeks ago #26 by Thrasher6
Too many raw nerves for a few here......anyway

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5 months 3 weeks ago #27 by Chiefie
Jeeezz, the guys are salty on here lately.

Reckon those 1/4 final performances by the NH teams have the guys on tilt.

Guys, nobody on here is trying to post a losing bet, unless they work for the bookies perhaps. I’m sure a lot of time and effort is going into these picks, so either follow them and hope for the best, or take the L if it loses and move on. No need to give the guys grief, it’s not necessary.

And if you’re gambling more than you can afford to lose, then take a break or put loss limits on your account, it’s simple.

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5 months 3 weeks ago #28 by Mondo86
Negativity on here isn’t necessary.

Leinster over 4.5 tries @ 2
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5 months 3 weeks ago #29 by Jameson

Mondo86 wrote: Negativity on here isn’t necessary.

Leinster over 4.5 tries @ 2


What about positivity? I suppose if we are happy to get praised when tips work out then we should also accept some stick if not? Within reason of course!

Skin of teeth tip on Leinster there BTW! :-)

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