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- Investec Champions & Challenge Cup Quarters, Super Rugby Rd 8 12-14 March
Investec Champions & Challenge Cup Quarters, Super Rugby Rd 8 12-14 March
- Brent Graham
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The Newsletter Best Bet La Rochelle win at 8/10 scraped in thanks to a last minute missed conversion from The Stormers and the 4 leg acca landed at 11/1 - if you haven't joined me in the battle against the bookies then click here to get my weekly mail
This weekend we have another 4 Super Rugby games and here are my projected handicaps
Pasifika +19.5 v Reds (playing in Whangārei at Semenoff Stadium, Northern New Zealand)
Waratahs +11.5 v Crusaders
Hurricanes -1.5 v Chiefs
Rebels +4.5 v Highlanders
We are into the Champions Cup quarter-finals - here are my projected caps
Bordeaux -22.5 v Harlequins
Leinster -9.5 v La Rochelle
Northampton -6.5 v Bulls
Toulouse -17.5 v Exeter
I have a feeling some of my caps could be well out this week and there may be some early decisions to be made
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- Pablo
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And I´m leaning all home teams.
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- Quill
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Bordeaux -15.5 v Harlequins
Leinster -7.5 v La Rochelle
Northampton -2.5 v Bulls
Toulouse -21.5 v Exeter
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- TheAdmiral
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Moana +13.5 v Reds
Waratahs +12.5 v Crusaders
Hurricanes +1.5 v Chiefs
Rebels +4.5 v Highlanders
Waratahs + my early fancy
Also took Northampton win @ 1.9 and Bordeaux -13
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- Pablo
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Blackadder ready to play and Lío Willie look as well to be back, while Tahs lost Bell, masive blow.
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- Pablo
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Blackadder ready to play and Lío Willie look as well to be back, while Tahs lost Bell, masive blow.
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- Brent Graham
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Pasifika +19.5 (+14.5) v Reds - 5 point difference but will wait for Reds team, I was prob too high
Waratahs +11.5 (+11.5) v Crusaders
Hurricanes -1.5 (+1.5) v Chiefs 3 points diff - I think money comes for Canes and they start -1.5
Rebels +4.5 (+4.5) v Highlanders
Bordeaux -22.5 (-14.5) v Harlequins 8 points, I think money come for Bordeaux and line starts closer to 18.5
Leinster -9.5 (-6.5) v La Rochelle - 3 pts - I am leaning quite strongly to Leinster here, Lar Rochelle travelling back from SA where they were not that impressive
Northampton -6.5 (-2.5) v Bulls 4 pts - I think this line moves and start closer to mine
Toulouse -17.5 (-21.5) v Exeter 4 pts, I think my cap was wrong and won't be taking the plus
Taking a 5/1 treble for a unit
Bordeaux -14.5
Leinster -6.5
Northampton win 15/20
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- Brent Graham
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here are the Challenge Cup Quarter Final handicaps - now that we are at the business end of the comp we get early prices and they will certainly warrant a closer look
Gloucester -6.5 v Ospreys
Sharks -8.5 v Edinburgh
Clermont -6.5 v Ulster
Benetton -2.5 v Connacht
Must say I am really warming to Leinster in the Champions Cup but not sure there is any need to rush in with the cap stable
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- Laraxwell
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I dunno, that Leinster jersey might be getting the better of you, Brent.
Ronan O Gara has brought his La Rochelle team to Cork for the week - his homestead. He'll have them primed and riled for Leinster match.
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- Brent Graham
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I just have a feeling La Rochelle are a notch below what they were last year.
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- Kirky
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Oh dear 'o dear.southpaw wrote: cannot have the Tahs this week. Look tired, need a rest, Saders rested and confidence back. I like Saders -10 but looking at Saders pts over 33.5.
That -10.5 looks like an invitation specially meant for me saying - 'come get your free money here Kirky, take as much as you want...'
The death of me. The Super Rugby gimme
Ah well, nothing else for it.....
I can resist anything except temptation
I guess I'm all-in on the -10.5 for 5u. And I'm on -15.5 for 5u too.
Just gotta wait for pay-pay now LOL
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- Kirky
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Yeah, ohh how the dead cert has hurt me badly in the past.Jameson wrote: The alam bells ringing out when Goodforthegame spots a dead cert lol
But, as you've said before 'here we go again like lambs to the slaughter'.
I also wanna see if Oracle gives it the nod for 'grannies pension' tonight
I swear if the Saders don't come to this party (and I'm seeing by 28), I'll absolutely loose my shit
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- Pablo
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Pablo wrote: I posted again here, Northampton dnb @2 2u
And I´m leaning all home teams.
Northampton changed from -3.5 to -7.5 in a matter of minutes. Anyone knows why?
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- Brent Graham
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Pablo wrote:
Pablo wrote: I posted again here, Northampton dnb @2 2u
And I´m leaning all home teams.
Northampton changed from -3.5 to -7.5 in a matter of minutes. Anyone knows why?
Yes mate, all their Boks didn't travel.
I got some Saints ML 1.91 and then on above news some -3.5
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- Pablo
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Brad Breath wrote:
Pablo wrote:
Pablo wrote: I posted again here, Northampton dnb @2 2u
And I´m leaning all home teams.
Northampton changed from -3.5 to -7.5 in a matter of minutes. Anyone knows why?
Yes mate, all their Boks didn't travel.
I got some Saints ML 1.91 and then on above news some -3.5
Thanks for the info, mates.
I see nothing but a big home win now, Northampton is unplayable at home this season. I was in the Northampton dnb 2u and I add another 2u in the -8.5.
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- Brent Graham
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Join us and The Mossman live at 21h00 on The Handicap
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- Brent Graham
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I will be posting my plays in this article
Friday morning
Reds -14.5
Crusaders -9.5
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- Jameson
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- Pablo
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Big rotation Biarritz and MDM going full strength plus emotive day for MDM
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- Brent Graham
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Nice call Saders overs there South
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- Kirky
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So I was into both the Saders and the Reds - dead certs both, for quite a few bob in all kinds of combosKirky wrote:
Yeah, ohh how the dead cert has hurt me in the past.
But, as you've said before 'here we go again like lambs to the slaughter'.
I also wanna see if Oracle gives it the nod for 'grannies pension' tonight
I swear if the Saders don't come to this party (and I'm seeing by 28), I'll absolutely loose my shit
Well neither of them disappointed me, I didn't watch the games and got back this afternoon expecting to see a pair of walkovers and my balances up somewhat. Nope.
So, I've lost my shit for a bit, wasn't too surprised tbf, and like a pro I've dived back in - chasing
If not for the fact that I've had a few good weeks, and my accounts are looking quite good, I would definitely be crying now.
But I'm going to pop open my first weekend beer, since last night, and I bid you all cheers, and good luck
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- ProveMeWrong
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Pablo wrote: MDM -11.5 ha @1.90 2u
Big rotation Biarritz and MDM going full strength plus emotive day for MDM
Pablo you beauty!! So solid as usual
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- Pablo
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ProveMeWrong wrote:
Pablo wrote: MDM -11.5 ha @1.90 2u
Big rotation Biarritz and MDM going full strength plus emotive day for MDM
Pablo you beauty!! So solid as usual
Thanks mate!
Unlucky I was unable to post Vannes and Beziers team overs because bet365 didnt open market for first time in the season ...
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- Kirky
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Great calls Pablo, spot-on as usual.Pablo wrote:
ProveMeWrong wrote:
Pablo wrote: MDM -11.5 ha @1.90 2u
Big rotation Biarritz and MDM going full strength plus emotive day for MDM
Pablo you beauty!! So solid as usual
Thanks mate!
Unlucky I was unable to post Vannes and Beziers team overs because bet365 didnt open market for first time in the season ...
For me, Agen loss (88% chance for the win) meant another 4 accas down the crapper. Not a single W, and a small fortune gone.
This weekend could of / should have been so different
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- Roger Rabbit
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Chiefs over 23.5 points
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- Roger Rabbit
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Has moved to 22.5 @ 9/10 and have taken some moreRoger Rabbit wrote: Canes V chiefs
Chiefs over 23.5 points
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- Brad Breath
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Brad Breath wrote: Hurricanes +1.5 for me, expected it to be scratch
Cashed this out and took +2.5 when line drifted early in the week
My sister in Wellington says it's been pissing down for most of the day, but stopped now.
Would still lean overs tbh.
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- Pablo
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Kirky wrote:
Great calls Pablo, spot-on as usual.Pablo wrote:
ProveMeWrong wrote:
Pablo wrote: MDM -11.5 ha @1.90 2u
Big rotation Biarritz and MDM going full strength plus emotive day for MDM
Pablo you beauty!! So solid as usual
Thanks mate!
Unlucky I was unable to post Vannes and Beziers team overs because bet365 didnt open market for first time in the season ...
For me, Agen loss (88% chance for the win) meant another 4 accas down the crapper. Not a single W, and a small fortune gone.
This weekend could of / should have been so different
Thanks mate!
I had the same problem with Agen, and for me even worse because I did Angouleme +13 so no need to back Agen in a multi ...
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- Brent Graham
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- Roger Rabbit
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Easy as you like Gentleman, Well played:beersouthpaw wrote: Late call overs in Wellington 48.5 @ 17/20
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- Pablo
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Highlanders dnb @6 0.5u
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- southpaw
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Roger Rabbit wrote:
Easy as you like Gentleman, Well played:beersouthpaw wrote: Late call overs in Wellington 48.5 @ 17/20
Cheers RR.
Sharks game at same line so tempting but feels a trap.
Going to limit my interest -
Last try Williams @ 12/1
1st/2nd try bongi/DVDM @ 100/1, highly speculative!
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I hesitated on sharks edi overs and should have stuck to gut, which was that this weekend a lot of games primed for overs.
It’s superb conditions in France, despite high line I’m sucked in -
Over 59.5 pts @ 5/6 UBB HAR
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- Brent Graham
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Great win Leinster for the Newsletter - Acca gone missing thanks to Bordeaux
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