All Football Tips w/c 29th April

Mbappe over 1.5 Shots on target at 8/10.

Mbappe is a man for the big occasion and has shown that throughout the Champions League this season, having registered an average of 2.3 shots on target per game in Europe. If PSG are to take any kind of advantage into the second leg in Paris, they will be relying on the mercurial talents of Mbappe against a Dortmund side who will set up in a defensive formation and look to play on the counter.

Chelsea vs Tottenham

Both defenses are unreliable, so I'm taking a few goals here.

Bet: Over 3.5 goals @1.80

Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen is the favorite for the Europa League and has not lost a single match in any competition all season long.
Even if Roma no longer has Mourinho, they remain a quality outfit with an elite defence. They have the fourth best defences in terms of xG allowed in Serie A this season.

Leverkusen has made a habit of scoring late goals this season. They have scored 17 goals after the 88th minute, including in each of their last three matches, in which they have been crucial to preserve their unbeaten streak. It’s clear that Leverkusen haven't been at their overall best in the last month.

With a draw being a good result for Leverkusen, and Roma maintaining their excellent defensive metrics, I think that Roma can get a result here.

Bet 1: Roma +0.5 @1.73
Bet 2: Draw @3.50 - half stake.

Olympique Marseille vs Atalanta

Atalanta commit a ton of bodies into the attack and have been really good creating chances from wide areas, as they’ve completed the third-most crosses into the penalty area in Serie A.

Atalanta may also have the hottest striker in the world right now, Gianlucca Scamacca, who has now scored 15 goals in all competitions in only 20 matches, and has scored seven goals in his last seven appearances with a lot of them coming via crosses.

Marseille are playing more passively in a solid defensive block out of possession and looking to transition more rather than the possession dominant team we saw under Gattuso. Under Gasset they are allowing 1.21 xG per 90 minutes.

Atalanta are a really good defensive team. They work hard to win duels across the pitch, to win the ball. Atalanta are top in Serie A in ball recoveries per 90 minutes and they are top five in high turnovers forced, which has led them in 2024 to only allowing 1.13 npxG per 90 minutes.

Bet: Draw @3.40

Aston Villa vs Olympiakos
Chelsea vs Tottenham

Bet builder: Villa win + Villa over 1.5 goals + over 2.5 match goals at Chelsea vs Spurs
Total odds 1.95

Thanks Quill for all your insight into tonight's games and goodluck with your bets.

DSTV Prem + Conference League Double:
Sundowns DC + Over 1.5 Goals into Villa WIN - 15/10

Chelsea v Tottenham

Spurs awful on Sunday, but the fact they had to go for it in second half meant Spurs shots landed ( all of it went on drink ). This screams goals, so will risk a higher line.

Over 4.5 goals @ 9/5

Tough night for the forum Thursday... Thursday Night European Football is a curse at times.

EPL Friday Night
Luton vs Everton

Can't believe the Everton price here, Luton are going down and their fighting spirit is diminishing fast. Now that Everton are safe, they should play with more freedom and in a must win game for Luton, Everton should pick them off on the counter.

Everton to win - 17/10

EPL Saturday

Brentford vs Fulham over 4.5 offsides - 1.12/1 (Sunbet)
Bournemouth & Wolves to score double - 29/10

Final round of the EFL Championship games today, and all games kick of at 13:30 SA time. Taking a lottery bet on BTTS for all 12 games at 550/1.

Over 2.5 goals at

Birmingham
Leeds
Middlesbrough
Arsenal
Sheffield Utd
Man City

@ 19/2

Sheff Utd v Nottm Forest
Bet: Sheffield over 1.5 goals @3.00

Burnley v Newcastle
Bet: Burnley over 1.5 goals @2.10

Brentford v Fulham
Bet: Brentford @2.10

Liverpool v Tottenham

Classic "Dr Tottenham " game. Think Spurs represent the perfect opportunity to send Klopp off with a big win. Fancy an early goal, but will have a go on Liverpool total goals as I can't see how Liverpool don't create a ton of chances

Liverpool 3 or more goals @ 10/11 ( skybet )

Similar thoughts I think later kick off, dry, warmish, no rain, perfect for Liverpool to go hard-

Liverpool over 21.5 shots @ 10/11

Will forgive Norwich for buggering up yesterday's acca if they consign Leeds to another year in the Championship.

Villa and Liverpool each over 1.5 goals @ 5/4

Chelsea match goals over 3.5/Liverpool BTTS @ 29/20

and the beers

Villa + Pool win into Chelsea draw @ 19/1

Chelsea vs West Ham

Bet builder: Over 3.5 goals + BTTS Yes @2.00

Brighton vs Aston Villa
Chelsea vs West Ham

Villa (+0.5) + over 2.5 match goals in the Chelsea match @2.00

Thanks Stokes, South, Vann and Quill and Goodluck with the bets for today.

EPL

Please Liverpool (players and fans) just give Klopp the sendoff he absolutely deserves. Dont do to him what they did to Gerrard at the end. Second last home game of the season, no title pressure, no excuses, fans and players have to be giving their all for the 90 mins.

Liverpool over 3.5 goals - 34/10
Lazy man BTTS treble in all 3 PL games - 19/10

Seria A
Roma/Juventus to end in a DRAW - 35/10