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Written by Brent Graham
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Thursday, 15 July 2010 23:28 |
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The Cheetahs started 13.5 point favourites at home to the Griquas last year but they ended up being rolled by 10 points. This year the layers have given the visitors a 10 point start.
I was impressed with the way the Cheetahs started against Western Province last week but in the end they were outplayed and were well beaten despite having been slight favourites.
The Griquas on the other hand caused something of an upset when they beat the Sharks in Kimberley having started 7.5 point underdogs on most books.
The big news for the home team is that Juan Smith starts as Captain and coach Drotske will be hoping he can galvanize the team as he did in the Super 14. The Griquas have made a couple of changes with Rosslee benched for Geel and Buckle starting at tight head prop.
HISTORY
The Cheetahs started 13.5 point favourites last year but lost this fixture 18-28 although they did gain revenge later in the season with a comprehensive 58-13 win in Kimberley. In 2008 the Cheetahs won 22-3 in Bloemfontein.
BETTING
Cheetahs 4/11 at GreatOdds
Draw 33/1 at Mbet and World of Sport
Griquas 3.65/1 at World of Sport
Handicap Cheetahs -8.5 at 9/10 with World Sports Betting Griquas +10 at 9/10 tie no bet with Betxchange
BETTING ANGLE
I certainly expected more from the Cheetahs last week but I think as the season progresses we will find there is no disgrace in losing to Western Province.
The return of Juan Smith is huge and while I expect the Griquas are going to give plenty of cheek I think that the Cheetahs will win this one and I suspect they will do enough to beat the handicap as well.
BET: 2 units Cheetahs -8.5 at 9/10 with World Sports Betting
From a spreads perspective my first instinct was that there will be plenty of points in this one but while no rain is expected the temperature looks set to be pretty close to freezing tomorrow night and this may bring with it a moist surface. I will make my final call closer to kick off though and will post any bets in this thread in our forum.
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