Super Rugby Week 6, URC Round 13 + other rugby 21-23 March
- Brent Graham
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I continue to play very low stakes and am enjoying the rugby without the pressure of big bets riding.
We have plenty of rugby to look forward to this weekend and 1st things 1st CLICK HERE to get the weekly betting newsletter if you are not yet on it.
The Super Rugby Pacific Blog is up and running with updated tables, outright betting and my handicap projections also shown below
Moana Pasifika +10.5 v Chiefs
Highlanders -3.5 v Reds
Blues -2.5 v Crusaders
Waratahs -3.5 v Brumbies
Force -4.5 v Drua
The URC Round 13 blog is also live and I have a go at the handicaps although I am not confident about these and expect if I were a bookie this week I would take some punishment
Here they are
Cardiff -4.5 vs Emirates Lions
Glasgow Warriors -6.5 vs Munster
Hollywoodbets Sharks -14.5 vs Zebre Parma
Benetton -3.5 vs Edinburgh
Vodacom Bulls -8.5 vs Leinster
Dragons +3.5 vs Ulster
Ospreys -4.5 vs Connacht
Scarlets +2.5 vs DHL Stormers
There is also Gallagher Pem and Top 14 action and I look forward to your thoughts and hope everyone has a great week.
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- Brent Graham
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Moana Pasifika +10.5 (+14.5) v Chiefs
Highlanders -3.5 (-2.5) v Reds
Blues -2.5 (+0.5) v Crusaders
Waratahs -3.5 (+4.5) v Brumbies
Force -4.5 (-3.5) v Drua
Waratahs and Pasifika games the big differences but I think the bookies are closer to the mark than I am so won't get involved yet
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- Sharkster
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- Brent Graham
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Cardiff -4.5 (-4.5) vs Emirates Lions
Glasgow Warriors -6.5 (-5.5) vs Munster
Hollywoodbets Sharks -14.5 (-21.5) vs Zebre Parma
Benetton -3.5 (-3.5) vs Edinburgh
Dragons +3.5 (+5.5) vs Ulster
Ospreys -4.5 (-3.5) vs Connacht
Scarlets +2.5 (+1.5) vs DHL Stormers
Very surprised that all are close other than Sharks game but I cannot bring myself to back Zebre on the plus.
Bookies have not priced Bulls v Leinster yet and are likely waiting for squad news from the visitors.
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- Sharkster
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I'm loath to bet on the force but if white and Donaldson are to start at 9/10 I like them
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- sportsbettor
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Sharkster wrote: Does anyone know if there is a set time for Sr teams to come out? Like the prem and urc are usually 12 pm on Friday or Thursday
I'm loath to bet on the force but if white and Donaldson are to start at 9/10 I like them
Hey mate,
This season the super rugby teams are released each week at around 4pm Wednesday afternoon New Zealand time.
Which is 3am Wednesday morning if u are in the UK.
Good luck this week.
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- Brent Graham
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Tomorrows THE HANDICAP is live at 09h00 due to a commitment I have on Thursday night - I will be looking at Super Rugby with The Mossman '
News on a URC show to follow
Click here to set a reminder on You Tube
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- Sharkster
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sportsbettor wrote:
Sharkster wrote: Does anyone know if there is a set time for Sr teams to come out? Like the prem and urc are usually 12 pm on Friday or Thursday
I'm loath to bet on the force but if white and Donaldson are to start at 9/10 I like them
Hey mate,
This season the super rugby teams are released each week at around 4pm Wednesday afternoon New Zealand time.
Which is 3am Wednesday morning if u are in the UK.
Good luck this week.
Thanks
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- sportsbettor
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To add to their long injury list, he did an injury at training today.
www.stuff.co.nz/sport/360622285/blues-la...cted-training-injury
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- Sharkster
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Sharkster wrote: Does anyone know if there is a set time for Sr teams to come out? Like the prem and urc are usually 12 pm on Friday or Thursday
I'm loath to bet on the force but if white and Donaldson are to start at 9/10 I like them
Took force -4
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- Sharkster
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That's along with crusaders -1 and force -4
For having a bet in all except for one game it's lower confidence this week
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- Brent Graham
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- Southpaw
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Force Drua over 62.5 @ 9/10
Expecting points in this one. Was 89 points in game vs Moana in similar conditions and 62 feels well within range. The heat will sap defence and will become optional.
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- Southpaw
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Not a game I’m getting overly involved in but one big price jumps out -
Last try Quinn Tuppea @ 20/1
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- Jameson
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Laraxwell wrote: Maona Pasifica over 23.5pts 10/11 @ Boyles
Thanks for that - I went in at 1/2 time when it was over 18.5. Not often I get a good start to the weekend
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- Brent Graham
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Did South just hit another 20/1 winner?
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- Southpaw
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Brent Graham wrote: wow didn't watch till last 10 and how did the plus 18.5 arrive? Early -12.5 bakers must have been crapping themselves
Did South just hit another 20/1 winner?
No wrong sub. Looked at him was 14/1.
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- Brent Graham
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URC Blog Updated
Warriors over 27.5 at 19/20
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- Brent Graham
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- Pablo
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Leinster +10 ha @1.793 2u
Rain in cardiff, my expected line was 43 points in average conditions so value in the unders.
Expected two points advantage to Bulls but Leinster with a second string but still strong, so one score match in my opinion.
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- Sharkster
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Sharkster wrote: Under 50.5 in Newcastle v Sale. A little concerning that money seems to be coming for the over. Might leave it closer to the ko see if a better number is available
Adding o46 I'm the Glasgow match
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- Southpaw
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I like the Reds this season but injuries are going to hurt them this weekend, lost best player in whole Australian rugby, Mcreight, for this game, plus a few more.
Highlanders can take advantage here -
Higlanders over 29.5 pts @ 5/6
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- Brent Graham
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Sharks -23.5 at 1/1
Looking forward to seeing the Hooker/Julius combo at 12 and 13
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- Southpaw
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- Connachtrugby0
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- Sharkster
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Sharkster wrote:
Sharkster wrote: Under 50.5 in Newcastle v Sale. A little concerning that money seems to be coming for the over. Might leave it closer to the ko see if a better number is available
Adding o46 I'm the Glasgow match
Dead in the water
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- Connachtrugby0
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Sharkster wrote:
Sharkster wrote:
Sharkster wrote: Under 50.5 in Newcastle v Sale. A little concerning that money seems to be coming for the over. Might leave it closer to the ko see if a better number is available
Adding o46 I'm the Glasgow match
Dead in the water
Adam Hastings is finished as a rugby player. He's absolutely septic
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- Connachtrugby0
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- Southpaw
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Anyway we move on -
STORMERS OVER 23.5 @ 5/6
All over this one.
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- sportsbettor
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All action includes extra time, if required.
-Blues SU/Western Force SU, 2.58 odds, 3 units
-NSW SU/Western Force SU, 3.99 odds, 1.5 units (one and a half units)
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- Laraxwell
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Len Ikitau Anytime try scorer 9/4 @ Boyles
He scored 3 tries last week so hope he carries this form through
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- Pablo
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Raining cats and dogs in Clermont, expected line around 40 points.
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- Sharkster
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Sharkster wrote: Added brumbies -6 and reds +5
That's along with crusaders -1 and force -4
For having a bet in all except for one game it's lower confidence this week
Looking like 2 out of 3 this morn. Brumbies started well but put themselves in trouble.
For the first try I'm sure the camera caught an angle of jorgesens foot in touch. Anyone see that?
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I'm noticing a different approach to reffing in Sr.
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- Chiefie
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Pablo wrote: u47.5 clermont-racing @2 2u
Raining cats and dogs in Clermont, expected line around 40 points.
You confident on this pablo?
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- Pablo
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Chiefie wrote:
Pablo wrote: u47.5 clermont-racing @2 2u
Raining cats and dogs in Clermont, expected line around 40 points.
You confident on this pablo?
Average stake 2u
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Pablo wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Pablo wrote: u47.5 clermont-racing @2 2u
Raining cats and dogs in Clermont, expected line around 40 points.
You confident on this pablo?
Average stake 2u
Alright - sounds good. Let’s hope for a downpour
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- Pablo
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Chiefie wrote:
Pablo wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Pablo wrote: u47.5 clermont-racing @2 2u
Raining cats and dogs in Clermont, expected line around 40 points.
You confident on this pablo?
Average stake 2u
Alright - sounds good. Let’s hope for a downpour
Heavy rain expected from 14:00 to 17:30 (9.6 mm in that 3 hours and a half), maybe second half dry but enough rain until HT in my opinion to find value here in the under.
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- coil
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Pablo wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Pablo wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Pablo wrote: u47.5 clermont-racing @2 2u
Raining cats and dogs in Clermont, expected line around 40 points.
You confident on this pablo?
Average stake 2u
Alright - sounds good. Let’s hope for a downpour
Heavy rain expected from 14:00 to 17:30 (9.6 mm in that 3 hours and a half), maybe second half dry but enough rain until HT in my opinion to find value here in the under.
Cheers Pablo. Love that downpour which then stops and turns the ball into a greasy bar of soap.
Come on unders
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- Jameson
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Wish I'd gone overs instead of the minus.
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- Southpaw
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At risk of undoing all good work last week I’ve upped Stormers over 23.5 to max bet stake. More out of frustration.
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