Rugby World Cup Quarter Finals Betting Thread + other rugby

Fiji have over achieved and are ready to leave so two for me

England -7.5 @ 9/10 Full bet

To win
Wales/Ireland/England/France @ 21/4 Will cover in full on Boks if still running Sunday evening

France @1.82 2u

Was having a discussion with a friend about Ireland on weekend after a few beers, my opinion was they go out 1/4 finals yet again. He disagreed, i took my view onto Twitter, probably ill advised and got a load of bites from Ireland fans.

I get it, they are on a great run, look like they have the measure of All Blacks.

But i just have this gut feel they go out Sat. NZ big guns to step up to the plate and deliver a huge performance. Sticking with it.

NZ win @ 13/10

RWC this week

I think best bet without doubt is under 43.5 France v Boks.

I havent checked weather but this match is under 40.5 match, will be blood and thunder, box kicks and pens. It should not make up unless France gets into a big lead early on which is unlikely.

Ireland should beat the AB and at that price, Im ok since i guess there will be some 5-6 on the exchanges.

Wales v Pumas - Cap that around 8 myself, cant see Wales not winning this given the way Argies been playing. Wales isnt a great team but everyone knows their job, that should be enough.

France should get the win against the Boks at home and with liekly Dupont back. Not so bullish on France winning if Lucu plays since he is slow and is generally shit. Will be even more keen on unders if Maxime plays 9 for France.

England v Fiji - England should really kick Fiji to death here but its quite hard to call. Cant see England chasing any scores here, if they go 2 tries down think they are a bit fucked imo. Interesting match and two poor sides.

Despite the turmoil off the field, the rugby produced in the premeriship in the last few seasons has been top notch to me. Good to have domestic season back.

Bristol v Tigers - Will be tight, have to fancy Bristol at home though esp at evens. Tigers will score a couple of maul tries Im sure given the new coach. Hopefully wont be enough.

Sarries v Exeter - Exeter teamsheet looks garbage imo..they have lost a few, fancy sarries to do them away from home.

Bath v Newcastle - Wouldnt normally fancy Bath to cover a big - hcp given the way they play and Im sure as hell their coach is average at best. But man mountain Alfie Balbary is back and he is worth about 5 points by himself and Bath teamsheet is decent cos they picked up so many players who lost their clubs.

GLouc v Quins - No opinion here, if had to pick Glouc at home....esp Quins is half the normal team without normal half backs although I expect J Evans to be ver good addition to Quins at 10.

Sale v Saints - Horror match up for Saints here. Fancy Sale strongly, cant see them losing, only problem would be couple of bullshit tries at the death to ruin hcp from Saints which can occur given their backline.

Willho2 wrote:
Despite the turmoil off the field, the rugby produced in the premeriship in the last few seasons has been top notch to me. Good to have domestic season back.

Thanks for sharing your tips bud.

I fully agree with you Will, the Premiership provides good quality rugby which is predictable enough to add to the bank balance fairly consistently and has a good few Saffa players in the mix.

Along with the URC, which also produces excellent rugby. These 2 comps I do research, as we get TV coverage in SA.

I also punt the Pro14, which doesn't get TV coverage here, yet goes with the home team 90% of the time, without any but the most cursory of research.

I'm so thankful that the rugby continues, quite seamlessly, after the WC.
Good luck out there everybody

Edit, (after Taranaki just beat Canterbury): By the same yardstick, I'm so happy that the NPC is nearly over. It's become completely unpredictable in the last 4 weeks, a proper money toilet

Viva Super Rugby

Cheeky Ire v NZ preview
I think Couch has been sold by Gregor Paul

southpaw wrote: Was having a discussion with a friend about Ireland on weekend after a few beers, my opinion was they go out 1/4 finals yet again. He disagreed, i took my view onto Twitter, probably ill advised and got a load of bites from Ireland fans.

I get it, they are on a great run, look like they have the measure of All Blacks.

But i just have this gut feel they go out Sat. NZ big guns to step up to the plate and deliver a huge performance. Sticking with it.

NZ win @ 13/10

I dip in and out here. I'm Irish, live in Ireland. I have sporting PTSD from watching this Ireland team for the last few decades. I was in Cardiff when Argentina mauled us in 2015.
My opinion is this. I'll believe we can beat NZ in a knock out RWC game when it happens. Until it happens I'm a cynical non-believer. We can win all the 6Ns and test matches we like. All of it is completely worthless unless you can win the big prize. And every single time we've played a knock out world cup game we've been murdered. More than double scores in every game. Haven't even led a RWC QF since the first half in 1995!
Murdered by France in 1995
Out of pools in 1999
Murdered by France in 2003
Out in pools in 2007
Beaten well by Wales in 2011
Murdered by Argentina in 2015
Murdered by NZ in 2019

There HAS to be mental baggage on this team.

This Ireland NZ game is so interesting for about 10 different reasons. The main thing is the range of outcomes is as big as I can think of. Nothing would surprise me.
It's obvious that NZ rugby has been in decline for a few years. Do they have a kick left in them. If we dominated them and won by 20 I can see a path to that happening.
I can also see us freezing and being carved apart. It's genuinely fascinating. If it's tight do you see us or them having the know how to bring it home. I'd lean them.
I think for us to win we have to start fast and have them second guessing themselves.
If they start fast. Yikes. Watch out.

If I wasn't Irish I'd almost certainly be taking the 7/5 available out there on NZ. I'd also look at some kind of hcap HT/FT. If we have a mental break we'll be murdered yet again.
Elsewhere, I don't like the SA lineup. Leaning strongly to France. Mainly on the basis of your place kicking vs us was atrocious and no lessons have been learned there.

I am hoping Rassie and Nienaber know what they're doing.

Starting Reinach and Libbok over Faf & Pollard when box kicking and goal kicking is key.
Having Willie on the bench, absolute defensive liability.

With this team, missed penalties/conversions off the tee, and with the French goal kicking, I cant see the boks winning this.

Hugely disappointed in this team announcement but will have seconds of humble pie if it comes off... but looking unlikely.

WAL vs ARG - 2 or more yellow cards in the match - 2.20 (Sportingbet)

IRE vs NZ - Each team to score a try in each half - 3.50 (Sportingbet)

Saracens +0.5 @1.84 2u

Ire v NZ
Try scored in the first 10 minutes: Yes @6/5 Bet365

Two teams that like to start fast

In the always interesting Pro D2 I go today with Valence Romans -4.5 @1.833 2u
Also interesting Valence o24.5 @1.83

Strong lineup and with heavy wins at home against title contenders( Brive, Colomiers and BOP) I cannot see Rouen coping with that. A couple of important absences in Rouen backline (Lydon and Bly)

Pablo wrote: In the always interesting Pro D2 I go today with Valence Romans -4.5 @1.833 2u
Also interesting Valence o24.5 @1.83

Strong lineup and with heavy wins at home against title contenders( Brive, Colomiers and BOP) I cannot see Rouen coping with that. A couple of important absences in Rouen backline (Lydon and Bly)

Demolition work by Valence

Argentina over 18.5
NZ win
Fiji over 18.5
SA over 18.5

@ 15/1

main bet of weekend = NZ win. Fired up for this game v Ireland.

secondary bet = SA over 18.5

enjoy.

Wales not getting enough credit here I think they win and win well. Argentina are a side full of mistakes and Wales will press them to make them. Expect a lot of kicking from Wales and pressure from those kicks to force turnovers or penalties.

Wales -4.5 / Wales 13+

Saracens over 23.5

Fill up!

Bath over 35.5 at 8/10

Bath over 39.5 at 14/10

Quins over 23.5 at 8/10

Quins over 29.5 at 3.2/1

Either team by 7 or less in Boks at 12/10

Saracens over 29.5 at 2/1

Going to tail you TOS fro a treble -

Saracens over 24.5
Quins over 23.5
Bath over 34.5

@ 5.7/1

Argentina over 20.5 @ 2.37

Wales vs Argentina

Drop goals over 0.5 @ 15/4

Saracens

WTF Saracens

Double: Wales win & France win @ 2.88

Wales were poor after the 1st 20. Could have snatched it near the end despite the ref but on the day, the best side won.

Like NZ to start strong but the race to 10 odds are way too short for me. Left with first scoring play NZ try @ 4/1

So weird to see NZ plus 3.5 , I've done the unthinkable and changed lanes, not a great idea if you're a superstitious player as I am , I'm now on the NZ train
!! Ireland have been outstanding , the stadium will be full of green and the singing will be terrific to hear . However I think the dirty filthy Kiwis are gonna get up for this one . I simply have to go for the plus ..... have changed bru as well ......

On the plus train in a big way too Coil, make or break stakes

NZ +3.5 @ 1.95

Those final 3 minutes will go down in history. It was absolutely draining. So intense. Credit to both sides.

Probably the most satisfying betting win I’ve ever had. Stuck my neck out last week when said NZ would win this. got a load of flack from some Irish fans, surprising as all Irish fans I’ve met in person have been brilliant.

Harry said on the show Ireland have never been ahead 1 minute in a quarter final. Never. It was a stat that stunned me, was not aware. It continues.

ja, that stat is wrong - will never forget that last gasp Campese try in '91

Ardie Savea with my MOM at 10-1.

Easiest bet ever made.

ENG vs FIJ
Like Argentina, I think Fiji play better when they underdogs in a match. England missed a trick by not starting Ford, and I think Fiji will try to take whatever points are on offer.

Frank Lomani over 12.5 points - 3.50 (Sportingbet)

FRA vs RSA
I think it will be a proper knockout style rugby game and both teams will take points when it is offered. Ramos is a lethal kicker and like the game against NZ, France will seek to apply scoreboard pressure with penalty kicks.

Thomas Ramos over 15.5 points - 3.00 (Sportingbet)

Hoping the Orc v Fiji test is a chuck around - I need 48 pts ....

Boks over 9.5 HT is a strong one from me

France/ SA @ 8 for fun

Bongi @ 3.5 ATS a dabble

southpaw wrote: Argentina over 18.5
NZ win
Fiji over 18.5
SA over 18.5

@ 15/1

main bet of weekend = NZ win. Fired up for this game v Ireland.

secondary bet = SA over 18.5

enjoy.

Taken 10 units Boks under 19.5 @ evens, am standing to profit 20 units on acca but too much riding on this game in head, heart and pocket, so taking a mid profit position. If Boks end on 19 even better.

Should hopefully be a cracker.