The first leg of the UCL semi final between PSG and Bayern Munich takes place on Tuesday night and we take a look at a number of options available to punters.
PSG
PSG won both legs of their quarter final match up with Liverpool by a 2-0 scoreline. Desire Doue and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia were on target in the first leg in Paris and a brace from Ousmane Dembele wrapped things up in the return at Anfield.
PSG made short work of Chelsea in the first knockout round, winning 5-2 in Paris and 3-0 at Stamford Bridge. They started the League Phase well including a victory away to Barcelona but they won just 1 of their last 5 and missed out on auto qualification with 14 points. One of their League Phase defeats came at home to Bayern, 2-1. PSG were subsequently matched with Monaco in the play offs and after a 3-2 win away from home, a 2-2 draw in Paris saw them edge their way through.
PSG are currently 6 points clear of Lens at the top of the Ligue 1 standings with 4 rounds of matches to go although they do still have to visit their title rivals.
Bayern
Bayern sealed their semi final place with a 6-4 aggregate win over Real Madrid. They were in a strong position after a 2-1 win in the first leg in Madrid thanks to goals from Luis Diaz and Harry Kane. The return in Munich saw Real lead 3-2 at half time (Palovic and Kane scored for Bayern). It stayed that way until Luis Diaz equalized on 89 minutes following the first of 2 very late red cards for Real and Olise made it 4-3 on the night.
Bayern breezed into the last 8 after dismantling Atalanta, winning the first leg in Italy 6-1 and the return in Munich 4-1. They made short work of automatic qualification for the knockout rounds, winning 7 and losing just the 1 (to Arsenal who topped the log) to finish clear in second spot. Aside from the 3-1 defeat to Arsenal, Bayern scored at least 2 goals in every match including that 2-1 win away to PSG.
Bayern are 15 points clear of Dortmund at the top of the Bundesliga standings and are already assured of the title. They have lost just 1 league game all season, rattling up 113 goals and they have also reached the semi finals of the German Cup.
The Betting:
In the outright betting to win the UCL this season Bayern are 7/4 favourites with Sportingbet, Arsenal are 12/5, PSG are 5/2 and Atletico Madrid can be backed at 13/2.
Back to this tie and to qualify for the final under any method over the two legs Bayern are 8/11 and PSG are even money.
To win tis first leg PSG are 13/10 a draw is 19/10 and Bayern are 17/10
A total of 3 goals or more in this first keg is priced at 4/10 and it’s 4/11 for both teams to score.
Ousmane Dembele’s price to score anytime has been boosted to 29/20
Michael Olise’s price to score anytime has been boosted to 11/4
The Verdict:
I’d fancy Bayern over 2 legs but this meeting in Paris looks very tight to call. However, despite being the away side Bayern still get my vote to wrack up 5 or more corners.
Bet: Bayern total corners over 4.5 at 19/20 with Sportingbet
Note odds quoted are subject to change